QUOTE(bursalchemy @ May 23 2012, 01:44 PM)
FB is definitely overvalued, looks at its P/E at 75, i dont see any prospect with its business model. It does not have hard real tangible non current assets. Most of its NCA are made up of its branding (intangible assets). Its prospective main sources of income is from advertising.
As WB principles, technology stock prospect are hardly to determine. It requires significant amount of R&D and the future prospect is not clear. As u can see google market cap is almost same as General Motor although google's revenue are far lesser than GM.
All of these internet based stock is the contributing factor of 2000 US market slumps. People just buy those stock they are know without considering its tacit business prospect. FA is the language of business, Figures wont lie but liar can figures.

Finally someone talk about fundamental
IMHO, I prepared to be corrected for that

.
For Gas Malaysia, I still trying to look for value but can't find much of it. Yes, they have their pipeline & distribution, but the margin is getting thinner and thinner, I am a bit worry about that, the earning translated into approx. RM0.18/ share, even the dividend policy is 100%, that translated into 18c divvy for RM2.20 stock, or 8.1% yield (if the book building hit max). The earning is base on FY11 book, which is 2 years ago, during that year, January ~ May margin is approx. double of June ~ Dec, so the FY12 earning might not be as much (I still can't find the FY12 figure in the prospectus), by my kampung guess, the PAT should be at the region of RM0.12/ share, if that's true, then the yield should be around 5.5%. Talk about PE, the PE should be in the region of 12 ~ 19 (based on RM2.20).
The prospect of the company actually not so bright, as the company will be much depending on the non-IPP gas users, as current gas production is basically stagnant at best, they have to depends on the new re-gassification plant in Malacca to spur for further growth of the business, but the plant might not produce significant supply of gas for them (TNB still need a lot of them, else Gov & Petronas have to pay ransom again

). The margin they are going to get from the transmission is going to stay at current level for sometime at least, which is half of what they used to get during FY10 and before.
The IPO is based on offer share, no new share was created, meaning to say the major shareholder actually cash out at the IPO price and the company does not need additional fund to grow their business (there are news about the expansion of their network but that will be based on internally generated fund, aka cash or money borrowed). I got funny feeling about this, because to me, the major shareholders are trying to cash out.
But I am not all negative about this, reason:
1. RM2.20 is not fixed, but if they can build the book beyond that, then there are good chance for quick money.
2. Retail investor will be paying the same as institution investors if the book building is less than that.
3. After all, that's stable business, and that shouldn't be losing money, so debut like maxis (or less than maxis) will possible.
4. Supply on one hand, but they might get some demands as their users are expanding, from time to time we can see industrial user like Hartalega etc are expanding their plant, also with growth of domestic user etc.
I am a bit confused about this counter, can someone please enlighten me on that

Still think I will apply for this, at least to stag during the first day.