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sulifeisgreat
post Dec 31 2009, 02:18 PM

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here we r party.gif celebration time, have u place ur bets for the coming year or hibernating laugh.gif
mali mali wave.gif step right in, big or small, black or red, up or down, in or out thumbup.gif louyah analyst report

Stocks Mostly Flat In Sleepwalk Toward 2009's End

Stocks treaded water Wednesday, moving little up or down as the indexes finished mostly flat.

The Nasdaq clawed its way to a 0.1% gain. The Dow and the S&P 500 were fractionally up. The NYSE composite slipped 0.2%.

Volume was up slightly on both major exchanges.

While the market hasn't found consistent traction in months, the major indexes have recently used the dead time to do a little repair work on their charts.

By avoiding heavy-volume declines and inching to new highs, the indexes have distanced themselves from earlier distribution days. A distribution day involves a significant loss in a major index in higher volume. It points to institutional selling.

Yet the market also hasn't shown much accumulation. The Nasdaq have the best Accumulation/Distribution Ratings among indexes, and those are neutral or near neutral.

On the plus side, the ratio of new highs to new lows has been strong of late. This month's combined new highs on the NYSE and Nasdaq are averaging about 315 daily vs. fewer than 20 new lows a day.

Economic reports also are tilting to the positive side. On Wednesday the Chicago purchasing managers index for December swept past expectations as it notched its best mark since January 2006.

But that report did little to boost the market. The indexes moved up for about 10 minutes on the news and then slipped back to sleepwalking mode.

Among top-rated stocks, there were few moves in big trade.

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) leapt 4% in double its usual volume as it cleared a two-month consolidation.

On the downside, diet products provider Medifast (MED) fell 10% in triple volume. According to SEC documents, Chief Executive Michael McDevitt sold 30,000 shares on Monday — or about 9% of shares he beneficially owns. Such sales aren't necessarily a red flag because there may be personal reasons for a company executive to sell shares. But it can create nervousness.

Another possible explanation is that one or more institutional investors are locking in gains for the year. Medifast jumped 450% in 2009 through Wednesday.

Cloud-computing company Salesforce.com (CRM) fell 1% in fast trade, ending a seven-session win streak. It remains 9% past a 67.82 buy point after a Dec. 18 breakout.

Ultimately every uptrend is about leadership. In the past five weeks, at least 45 stocks with respectable fundamentals have broken out. How have they done?

Many are up from buy points by single-digit percentages. A few are up smartly, including China Agritech (CAGC), up 32%; Warner Chilcott (WCRX), up 16%; and American Superconductor (AMSC), up 15%.

do drink & drive cheers.gif + a sector for pressure reading cool2.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 2 2010, 04:14 AM

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Happy New Year 2010 flex.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 4 2010, 11:21 PM

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sugar for consideration, ipsu & sgg icon_idea.gif
very rare m'sia make it to big news! but look bolehland is in the news, no need elaborate further on artikel - tq for the cooperation
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB126252276477713845.html

swing traded stock of ctct bought 15.80 previously, has reach target & sold 17.04
& added sgg into watchlist @ gambling portfolio drool.gif dun like ipsu chart

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also kppc change name to ks

http://investing.businessweek.com/research...cusip=48562P103





This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 5 2010, 12:54 AM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 4 2010, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 4 2010, 11:37 PM)
That's why our Sugar King is Malaysian's richest..

SOLD my LVS and FUQI for small profit, suddenly all moved. FUQI sold at 18.35, bought 18.20. LVS Sold +5cts and shoot to 15.94 high. Sold at low 15.80.

Suddenly share mana2x pun bole beli.. smile.gif
*
well u r a day trader & like hold short term position, it seems an ok trade, base on ur trading taktik rclxms.gif
looks like fuqi unlikely to hit my double bottom target price tongue.gif
so if i were gambling on ur shoes at ur buy point, i would have take the risk & await exit, once it swing traded up (if it ever does tat) laugh.gif
nice opening for most of my watchlist / gambling position, very likely most of us r doing fine too icon_rolleyes.gif
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 5 2010, 12:35 AM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jan 4 2010, 11:47 PM)
Can anyone recommend me any sure win stock?

Then we can earn enough to retire.. smile.gif

Makan gaji cannot be rich lor..
*
tat is really interesting concept hmm.gif
please let me know too, once u have found the recommendation for sure WIN stock & I will join in too laugh.gif
y dun u just google on winning stock criteria & update us on ur findings wink.gif
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 5 2010, 11:49 AM

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some like it hot, some like it cold, some been staying out & some already knee deep inside cool2.gif
irregardless of our opinions, its the action the momo & we take that only matters, real cold hard cash or loan laugh.gif

the usual economic indicators for your pressure reading
http://money.cnn.com/news/economy/index.html

there is always 2 side to every issue, just like a coin brows.gif make a stand & make $ out of it
http://money.cnn.com/2010/01/04/markets/thebuzz/index.htm

and for pleasure reading, the other side of the coin, Don't Blame Ben For The Meltdown thumbup.gif

Financial Crisis: It's common these days to hear that the 2007-08 financial meltdown was all the Fed's fault. Speaking last weekend, Fed chief Ben Bernanke set the record straight.

In recent days, we've been surprised by the large number of pundits and market commentators who have stated matter-of-factly that the Fed's actions this decade were "at fault" for the housing boom and bust.

It's one thing, of course, to say that the Fed might have erred in keeping interest rates too low during the economic problems of the 2000s. That may well be the case. But it's quite another to say that they "caused" it all. This simply ignores history.

Faced with a record stock market collapse, a recession and the economic aftermath of 9/11, the Fed very aggressively slashed interest rates from 6.5% at the start of 2001 to 1% by mid-2003 and kept them there until mid-2004. The housing market boomed.

Starting in mid-2004, however, the Fed began to let rates creep up, fearing a spurt in inflation if rates were kept too low.

The housing market continued to boom for two more years, until rates hit 5% in May of 2006. It was then that many people with low-interest, adjustable-rate mortgages suddenly found themselves unable to keep up with payments. Home sales plunged, prices fell, foreclosures soared.

In 2007, the housing market suffered a spectacular fall that dragged down the global economy with it. All the Fed's fault? In a word, no. Virtually no one in 2003 was arguing for anything but massive interest-rate cuts by the Fed. And the Fed obliged them.

Again, in 2005, the Fed raised interest rates based on market fears of rampant inflation. If anything, the Fed's mistake was being too reactive — and not focusing on price stability, the only thing it really can control.

Scapegoating Bernanke would be an easy answer to all this. It would mean we'd have to do little other than fire him, and all our troubles go away.

Unfortunately, what Bernanke said on Sunday at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association happens to be dead right: Our crisis was not one of monetary policy but of misregulation of our financial and housing markets. Whether you think monetary policy was right or wrong, it did not cause the crisis.

"Borrowers chose, and were extended, mortgages that they could not be expected to service in the longer term," Bernanke said. "This description suggests that regulatory and supervisory policies, rather than monetary policies, would have been more effective means of addressing the run-up in house prices."

He's right. As we've noted repeatedly on this page, it wa s government regulation of the housing market that caused our current woes.

Take the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of the picture, remove the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) from the books, and there's no housing crisis — and no financial meltdown. Period. No matter what the Fed did.

By funding trillions of dollars of home loans made by private banks to poor credit risks, Fannie and Freddie created the toxic financial waste that now pollutes the balance sheets of nearly every finance company in America. And will for years to come.

Fannie and Freddie didn't act alone; they were pushed into doing it by Democrats in Congress, such as Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd and Massachusetts Rep. Barney Frank, and by the Clinton administration, which equipped the CRA to force banks to make bad loans in the name of "boosting homeownership."

"The financial crisis was caused by U.S. government housing policies that helped create 25 million subprime and Alt-A mortgages — 47% of all U.S. mortgages — which are currently defaulting at unprecedented rates," noted Peter Wallison, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, who predicted the debacle back in 2000. "This caused the financial crisis and current recession."

Today, Fannie and Freddie have become de facto nationalized mortgage companies — holding or originating nearly one half of the nation's $11 trillion or so in mortgages, many of them little more than junk. Having lost an estimated $100 billion in the last year and failed spectacularly, you might think they would pull back.

They haven't. Congress just lifted the borrowing capacity of the two GSEs to above $400 billion — giving them a blank check back from taxpayers to continue their disastrous lending practices.

We're not saying the Fed is beyond reproach. Fed policy is often ill-timed and misguided. But it didn't cause the meltdown.

Those who blithely blame Bernanke's Fed deflect attention from the true culprit behind this mess: a big-government regulatory regime that forced banks to make loans to people who couldn't pay them, and now wants you to pay for it all. And you will.


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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 5 2010, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jan 5 2010, 09:33 PM)
there is one:

Let say you have $8192

use margin account leveraging to set either win all or lose all.

Place $128 in the beginning.
if win, you get $128; after that place $128 again.

if you lose, then you place $256. if you win, you place $128 again.

if you lose again, place $512.

Like that you will have very least chance to lose. Usually will win..

My friend told me, do give opinion..


Added on January 5, 2010, 9:34 pm

working like cow.. so must find a way to earn money.. wink.gif
*
wat stock is tat? sound like the way I playing in genting casino laugh.gif
if u use tat style in usa, do post us its results for our neutral viewing nod.gif
bet u have not met a stock which never recover from its dip

sulifeisgreat
post Jan 5 2010, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Jan 5 2010, 10:52 PM)
LVS and MGM are flying now..
*
dun u jus like swing trade & having the patience to wait yawn.gif
but they were not in my watchlist blink.gif


Added on January 5, 2010, 11:02 pm
QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jan 5 2010, 10:51 PM)
research or tembak, depends which one are u..
*
any clue how / where to guide them for tembaking or researching rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 5 2010, 11:02 PM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 6 2010, 12:23 AM

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QUOTE(mIssfROGY @ Jan 5 2010, 11:15 PM)
they should read your research or others research?...and for tembak...just anything i guess?
I am a tembak fella...so i am not the best to gib advice.....  blush.gif sweat.gif

For me i stick to big names, coz i dun like to read research papers and i am blind to technical charts.
I choose shares that i think less chances to die...BP, RAI, X and MOS..BP coz of dividen and i blif oil will go up. X and MOS becoz of growth and commodity. So far...no regrets.
Got x at 29, MOS at 35 and BP at 45. ....and of coz i also look at the price & history price when i buy.
So i think depends on each personalities i guess...no right and wrong.
If your way work, means its the right way liao.
*
ur buying price not bad! u sure know how to look for bargain during a mega sale rclxms.gif
maybe can consider the 30 stocks inside dow jones
or the strong moat type from reading morningstar thick publish book, which is found in kinokuniya or mph

suspek the nex mega sale wil be 10-15 yrs later, maybe health sector gua, since democrats pushing the bill so hard rclxub.gif
as u say, no right, no wrong icon_rolleyes.gif from here, we can see so many diff invest / trade style
if make $, its the right way rolleyes.gif


Added on January 6, 2010, 12:32 am
QUOTE(debbieyss @ Jan 6 2010, 12:02 AM)
I thought DJ will fall about 0.50% but now is only 0.10%  tongue.gif
*
dunno le, base on 1 sen observation cool2.gif
its earnings season, momo could be try buying stock in anticipation of good earnings hmm.gif
since the analyst expectation its on conservative side, they wil rerate it, once earnings really up
in meantime, using mega news season for doing a shakeout shakehead.gif

This post has been edited by sulifeisgreat: Jan 6 2010, 12:32 AM
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 6 2010, 07:05 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 6 2010, 12:52 AM)
We got small caps pulling back tonight but other sectors are moving forward.
Dollar firming up and trading sideways as with Gold and Silver.
Shipping stocks like DSX (I'm holding this in my portfolio) and DRYS are also moving up with BDI rising.

Oh boy.. feeling tempted to take my profit for TCK now. Hit another 52 weeks high.  rclxms.gif

*
take lah tck profit, dun be greedy whistling.gif
for my gambling style, other stocks stil holding to it in watchlist, i greedy wan brows.gif
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 7 2010, 01:23 AM

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wms bought 40.05, close swing trade position 43.04

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bought for gambling, call options on clf 'CGJGJ.X' for $7.1, all or nothing, casino style, burn baby burn drool.gif

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r we heading south? dunno since i not fortune teller rclxub.gif
so many ah beng & ah lian is also enter with their gang to pasar, sumore got weird advertisment ask to gamble, hav to be careful cool2.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 8 2010, 02:16 PM

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The Hottest Commodity ETFs Of '09

After free-falling from their bubble highs in 2008, commodities rebounded with gusto alongside stocks last year. Here's an overview of the top nonleveraged commodity ETFs of 2009 and what's driving performance.

BarclaysiPath Copper ETN (JJC) rallied 134% in 2009, outperforming all commodities to win back its 54% shave the prior year. But it still trades 18% below its bubble peak from March 2008.

It's 6% extended from a 44.95 buy point after a low-volume pullback to its 10-week moving average.

Although China, the world's biggest copper consumer, has about 800,000 tons of the red metal on hand, prices will likely remain high in the first half of 2010, according to Scotiabank.

"World copper mine expansion was held back in 2007-08, as major mining companies feared that future prices might not yield adequate rates of return, given rapidly escalating mine development costs," the report stated.

IPath Lead ETN (LD) vaulted 131% last year, recovering all of its 44% nose dive from 2008. It has formed a four-month saucer base with a possible 67.14 buy point.

IPath Nickel ETN (JJN) jumped 80% last year after falling 56% in 2008. It may be forming a handle in a double-bottom base with a possible 29.59 buy point.

Nickel, a key stainless steel ingredient, climbed to a two-month high this week even though nickel inventories have risen to hit a record high.

Industrial metals followed the stocks higher this year and as the prospects for economic recovery improved, demand for base metals rose, explains Paul Kavanaugh, a commodity analyst with PFGBest.com. He projects commodity prices will follow the lead of stocks well into the second quarter of 2010.

Sugar Shortage

Bitter for consumers but sweet for traders, iPath Sugar ETN (SGG) rallied 84% last year, after it fell 19% in 2008. It broke out of in December and trades 8% past a 74.18 buy point.

The exchange-traded note, which tracks sugar futures, second-highest next to copper and lead among Barclays commodity notes.

While food prices have fallen from their bubble highs in mid-2008, sugar prices have continued to climb. Refined sugar prices have shot up 40% since the beginning of 2008.

Increased use in place of high-fructose corn syrup, a 10% drop in U.S. beet sugar production in 2008 and 2009, a disruption in refining capacity, a decline in imports from Mexico and U.S. limitations on imports from other countries are likely to drive prices higher in the new year, according to economists with the USDA.

The production shortfall sent sugar supplies to a 33-year low. Meanwhile too much rainfall in Brazil (the world's largest producer), poor harvests in India and rising demand for ethanol production drove global sugar prices this year.

A Tale Of Two Gases

U.S. Gas (UGA) spiked 88% in 2009 but remains 44% below its peak. It tanked 61% the year before.

Gasoline supplies are up 2% from a year ago and demand over the past four weeks rose 1.1% from a year ago, according to Dailyfutures.

Meanwhile, U.S. Natural Gas (UNG) imploded 56% on top of a 36% loss from 2008 because of abundant supplies and lower demand.

The Energy Information Administration estimates that usage dropped 1.9% in 2009 owing to a decrease in industrial usage and warmer-than-normal weather in the Eastern U.S. in November. It projects demand will ease 0.4% in 2010. Production rose by 3.7% in 2009 because of a significant rise in output from onshore shale basins.




sulifeisgreat
post Jan 8 2010, 11:04 PM

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market up or down? dunno man rclxub.gif make ur stand & place ur bets, its earnings season
now tat, wil be the real kicker brows.gif
below r excerpt from another forum laugh.gif

1) November payrolls were revised to show the economy actually added 4,000 jobs in that month rather than losing 11,000 as initially reported.
That's a 15K difference. I can't wait to see what creative accounting they use to expalin the December numbers. Looks like that Job Summit went well..........

2) This from the CNN story:
Perhaps the most encouraging news from December was a 46,5000 net increase in temporary help jobs. Temporary employment is typically seen as a leading indicator of job growth because employers will add part-time workers before they're willing to hire permanent employees.

Well, in past years that may have been the case, but with the multiple spectres of 0bamacare, cap and tax, and other nefarious anti-business mischief soon to become reality, my guess is temp jobs are likely going to be "it."

3) The numbers are smoothed for those type of seasonal variations. What -85,000 means is that 85,000 fewer people were hired in December after accounting for the normal season flux of the Christmas.

Actually, though, November and December is normally a time of job losses on an unadjusted basis as many seasonal operations (shipping for Christmas, outdoor recreation, outdoor construction, etc.) slow down by October/November, manufacturing takes a holiday for Thanksgiving and Christmas and New Years, etc. The last December with growth in the absolute number of jobs was 1999.

4) "Market" should not be confused with "economy". Market is up on government provided liquidity, anticipation, overweighting of particular "hot" group in the "market" as measured too often by only 30 Dow Industrial stocks (which can be and has been replaced by stronger companies, which makes the "index game" upwardly "rigged" - better to use Russell 2000 / RUT or Wilshire 5000 index, though similar caveats apply) as well as real earnings which are positive due to offshoring and cutting employment. "Market" can also be a financing mechanism for public companies, so government makes every effort to sustain and/or maintain its high level.

there is a real earnings recovery - which is one of the big drivers of the "market" - but it actually comes at the expense of real economy and economic recovery. Such environment is not sustainable for very long, especially when federal and state governments make it ever more difficult to start or grow the business, with higher business costs due to taxes, mandates, regulations, minimum wage, unionization, artificially created inflation and so on...

[QUOTE]

If you don't ask the right questions you may not get the right answers
sulifeisgreat
post Jan 10 2010, 05:35 PM

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my watchlist @ gambling portfolio cool2.gif
everything on track, since none reach cut loss level flex.gif oso its estimated earnings due date

*hog, 23/1/10, <50 & >200ma, stil tidur
vwdry, 28/1/10, <50&200ma, ^**stil tidur
gci, 30/1/10, >50&200ma, ^ok on track

*rgr, 24/2/10, <50&200ma, ^stil tidur
clf & CGJGJ.X , 25/2/10, >50&200ma, ^**ok on track
*tlvt, 26/2/10, >50&200ma, ^**~ok on track

vnr, 5/3/10, >50&200ma, ^~ok on track
bont, 11/3/10, >50&200ma, ^~ok on track
hitk, 11/3/10, >50&200ma, ^~ok on track
ks, 16/3/10, >50&200ma, **stil tidur
*heat, 18/3/10, >50&200ma, **~ok on track
gol, 20/3/10, >50&200ma, ^~ok on track
caas, 26/3/10, >50&200ma, ^~**ok on track

sgg is etf, no earnings date laugh.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 12 2010, 06:36 PM

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i m curious, did anyone ever make $ trading from salvador dali or martin wong? or attended their seminars? rclxub.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 13 2010, 01:59 AM

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QUOTE(mH3nG @ Jan 12 2010, 08:38 PM)

Maybe we should create a virtual portfolio and track their recommendations but it'll be difficult to carry out as they usually don't tell you when to sell it. I notice that whenever salvador recommends any share, that particular share will see a significant movement.
*
no sell recommendation rclxub.gif thanx for the info. no students here to defend them? hmm.gif i think i got the mesej flex.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 18 2010, 11:18 AM

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dun u jus luv opex day or the few days movement b4 it rclxms.gif
dunno izit a shakeout? but exited swing trade vwdry (b:19.35 s:21.04) & rgr (b:10.18 s:11.04) brows.gif
did not add any new position & jus riding my current holdings + waiting exit signs flex.gif
though some of them seems to be in gostan mode doh.gif
especially hitk & vnr... bracing for impact on 50ma or hav to cut loss laugh.gif

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funi comments from another forum cool2.gif

“The banks are not hoarding cash they are loaning it all to government. Buying bonds. Then borrowing more from the federal reserve at .25% and buying bonds at 3%. There is a wild man in charge and this is the safest bet they could find."

The banks know they will be punished further if they don’t cought it up and buy more bonds. They know this government will do what it can to put them “fat cat bankers” out of business, they minimize risk, in their view, by buying government debt.

The government knows that they need to sell more bonds in order to spend more debt. The fed loans it to the banks at .25% and they buy bonds at 3%, giving the government mo’ money. Government is wasting it and stealing it.

The result is the same, of course. No loans.

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 19 2010, 09:59 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 19 2010, 08:55 AM)
Lucky no trade last nite due to MLK holiday. Else we could see some swings in few of the popular counters and ready to make some profit.

Future is GREEN but this does not mean the day itself will be green
*
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http://hotair.com/archives/2010/01/18/brow...-d-c-on-friday/

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405...1604106924.html

http://prescriptions.blogs.nytimes.com/201...ner=rss&emc=rss

understand some of u dun like politiks, but in reality, their policies does affect the pasar, learn to trade with it whistling.gif
a lose by team obama tis tuesday, may scuttle health care plan, as no 60 seat majority thumbup.gif
now, wil the market react positively or negatively to the election result laugh.gif u wil know soon..
here r the gamblers gamble cool2.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 20 2010, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 14 2010, 10:24 PM)
Buy high, becomes bag holder.  biggrin.gif

*
I luv new highs, at times, it means no overhead resistance thumbup.gif provided breakout with volume cool2.gif
of coz, shit may happen, if it does, cut loss lo flex.gif

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sulifeisgreat
post Jan 20 2010, 09:53 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jan 20 2010, 03:51 PM)
China central bank restrict lending to cool off the market?

DJIA futures now -36. Nice tongue.gif
*
cramer effect, he likes to bring followers to holland rolleyes.gif some trade against his selection laugh.gif

http://www.businessinsider.com/jim-cramer-...ey-loses-2010-1

wil futures be as same as actual closing? place ur bets brows.gif I no new position, jus riding...

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