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 Stock market V21, Huge Stimulus Age

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aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(fergie1100 @ Mar 6 2009, 10:03 AM)
yea... but after the div, the share price had been adjusted to 8.60....  so @8.10 now, the drop is not too severe yet i guess tongue.gif but it's still a good pick i think...
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Possibly for some banking share like Ppbank is ttrading above premium look at all other banking stock all trading around kacang puteh prices, while PPB is trading above RM 8 ... it is only a matter of time before gravity takes over,

In the meantime, figuring which stock that would jump the most during the mini budget is really mind boggling anyone any 2 cents to sparE?
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 12:16 PM

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Citibank outlook on Malaysia's Mini Budget...

Gov going to reduce emloyers mandatory 12% contribution this time around?

This post has been edited by aurora97: Mar 6 2009, 12:17 PM


Attached File(s)
Attached File  CITI_PREVIEW_MINI.pdf ( 159.78k ) Number of downloads: 40
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 12:49 PM

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Commentary from Casino KLCI

the race is on for intra day traders to decide for the best buy for Tuesday's Mini Budget rally (high chance or maybe).... or will our mini budget be crushed by tonights unfortunate news coming from the United States... its a high stakes game....

its the rouellete table of fortune... after this rally it might be a very cold winter ahead, r u ready?

4 hours to market close.

Who will be the beneficiaries and who will be the losers...

It's winner takes all and losers obviously have to hold on to their stocks until they make money next year (maybe).

Watch words..
200 Counters++, Very Limited Funds, Market is down, mini Budget, America.

Place ur bets!
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 02:53 PM

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Malaysian Stimulus Pack to go hand in hand rally together with American's wopping 410 Billion Dollar Stimulus?

March 10th the day everyone should watch out for.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...IQIk&refer=home

2 Hrs.. left
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(okyjace @ Mar 6 2009, 02:59 PM)
While investors may have renewed optimism following the stimulus announcement... I personally believe what will happen is a wave of disappointment instead. More due to the general mood rather than what's in the stimulus itself. Too many people are likely to think... "is that it?"
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speaking blindly...

personally whether its Rm1 or 1 bill or 100 billion for that matter, no amount of money can stop any country in the current financial state into a melt down. Any gd news on the radar (though may be temp) is worth jumping for joy after a streak of bad news before we head into the dark 1 2 3 4 Q of 2009.

Needless to say, whether there will be a rally like i said chances are its possible... on the other hand, tonights performance across the other side of the continent i.e. USa will be very crucial in order to determine whether a rally will materialize. Besides that over the weekend, it will be important to determine how the US stimulus pack will be allocated and passed through congress, whether it will materialize as well this tuesday.

So its a double edge sword, no one really knows...

Roll the dice and hope for the best.
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 03:31 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 6 2009, 03:26 PM)
Stimulus package, be in US one, Malaysia one, their objective is to put a stop on the vicious cycle i.e. stop the sprillaring down effect, less business so retrench worker, less people got job eventually lesser business then more job being slashed and so on and on.

It is not meant to prop up stock market, nor those stimulus package surely can put the economy growth back to normal.

It takes time to stop the vicious cycle, and slowly confidence being built back, and slowly economy start growing again. It is not a quick fix, don't hope miracle happening overnight by having stimulus package, it is unrealistic.
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Correcting myself...
nola just that the tendency for market to rally when stimulus packs r announced are high (according to Citi review 10 out of 11 times), after all the excitement the market will go back to its depressing mode.

Which i agree that no stimulus pack or no amount of money can turn around the world economy at the beat of a heart beat.
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 04:21 PM

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went in with guns blazing for resort... now all the kwn kwn for resort we all in same boat now.

remember to mandi air bunga when market open on Tuesday.
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(Freelancer @ Mar 6 2009, 04:31 PM)
So.. gun blazing at what price? 2.010?  unsure.gif  biggrin.gif
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yeah got resorts at 2.01, manage to avrg down to 2.08...

just saw resort hitting Rm 2 briefly.

I like the buying momentum going on with resorts, 2.01 will determine whether resorts will continue its south bound journey or head north...

Tuesday should be interesting in determining the direction of resorts...

at least must reach or breach 2.05, than possibly there will be new highs.

or

at least must sustain at 2.01, otherwise it will cr8 new lows.


aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 04:49 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 6 2009, 04:39 PM)
Wow, 1067 people Q to buy Resort at 2.00 amounted 50K lots.

Being thrown all in once when nearing 4.45pm?  brows.gif
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must be Cherroyla ... he posted at 4:39 someone key in 4:45 Rm 2 50K lots rahsia bocor already..

This last min buaya.
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 05:31 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 6 2009, 05:25 PM)
ya, i understand they need a lot of cash flow for the casino.

so it never cross my mind that hoping Resorts or Genting would be generous on their upcoming years dividend.

buying Resorts / Genting, purely is watching the company grow. like someone suggested, serve as my children education fund 20 years later, kekeke!
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in good time i guess, only time will tell... this is my first forray into resorts hopefully nto the least... i got burnt by Maybank so badly i lost my banana become pisang hagus.

i thought u were blue label how come now suddenly turn into pink label... u Tarp!

aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 05:54 PM

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delisting/ privatisation sounds good to me, just that the price must be right otherwise i will burn down resort world (tong kuai yi chun).
aurora97
post Mar 6 2009, 06:18 PM

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QUOTE(Junior83 @ Mar 6 2009, 06:02 PM)
chance to drop to Rm1.6 will happen only KLSE drop to 700+ .... it's oversold if drop that much currently...

Propose dividen: 4.00 sen per ordinary share of 10 sen each, less 25% tax

Are they going to reject the dividen proposal that cause the sell down??  hmm.gif

Not only RESORT, lot of blue chip become penny stock during that time  sweat.gif and interest rate is higher than dividen le.... now 2.5%  doh.gif

maybe further cut another 0.5% in next week mini budget
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worse case scenario is 1.4, 1.6 is still baearable, considering the fact that it has now consecutively hit new lows... it's no suprise if it hit another new low again.

like i said winner takes all for speculators this coming tuesday for a mini rally...

the loser ends up holding on until recovery...

but i plan to cut lost if it losses 10% of its value from the current purchase price and offset against my TM shares which i will realize it very soon.

than i will be back to nett cash again, bringing back my gain to about 3-4% of my total invesment made.

no thanks to Maybank cry.gif
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 09:15 AM

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dissapointing news from the States and Jpn... doh.gif

looks like bet on the wrong way, going to be a very cold winter ahead... have to avg down...
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 09:19 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 10 2009, 09:16 AM)
sorry to hear that mate. dun forget to cut loss and preserve cash.
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lol its ok...

u win some lose some, still too early to say anything...

once hit 10% mark cut loss.
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 09:33 AM

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QUOTE(Freelancer @ Mar 10 2009, 09:26 AM)
Whoa.. Resorts.. Genting..  eyes can't see..   doh.gif
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the night is still young barely 45mins in to the 1st half already say is bad...

Caveat of course is...

unless more bad news being churned out this week (which is more likely than not), probably can see the whole market heading south bound. A very dissapointing weekend indeed.

Lets see what 50b will do to the market hmm.gif

This post has been edited by aurora97: Mar 10 2009, 09:34 AM
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 10:00 AM

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lol rumours of stimulus package also no cure, the market is taking every down to hell with it ...

muahahhauhauha
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 10:27 AM

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QUOTE(aurora97 @ Mar 10 2009, 09:33 AM)
the night is still young barely 45mins in to the 1st half already say is bad...

Caveat of course is...

unless more bad news being churned out this week (which is more likely than not), probably can see the whole market heading south bound. A very dissapointing weekend indeed.

Lets see what 50b will do to the market  hmm.gif
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fingers crossed ..
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 10:48 AM

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just turn off ur monitor put a note on it that say "open after 1 yr later"

no worries be happy!
aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 10 2009, 11:10 AM)
Become a Ostrich then, putting the head into the sand, then safe liao.  biggrin.gif

Actually it is good time to "learn" the patient and as a control your emotion lesson. Once you get through it, you are actuallly helping yourself which you will able to make more wise decision in the future.

It is a valuable experience that something can't be taught or told simply. 

Just my 2 cents.
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QUOTE(chyaw @ Mar 10 2009, 11:39 AM)
I don't think aurora mean that. My investment strategy is buy when you think the stocks undervalue (doesn't mean at the lowest price, since I don't know how to predict it). Then I'll sell them when I think the stock is overvalue. Of course, my method can only works for long term investment. Not the best method, but it is a method that I'm comfortable with. Looking at stock price the whole day will destroy my "periuk nasi" (unless I decide to retire now or I'm as good as some of you guys in stocks).
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Thats some fair comments on both ends of the aisle...

Cherroy
If ur comments are directed at me, obviously i have no regrets with what I have purchased. If i have any doubts at all, It's no different than throwing my monies into the deep blue sea and hoping for returns.

I have held shares for upwards of 7 mths before I see any return, this was the only time I was lucky enough to enjoy in excess of 100% return from a single stock. needless to say only sector to enjoy such overwhelming and steady return was in fact plantation stock.

I may speculate, but i speculate whereas the price i personally myself consider as being low/undervalued.

Will the performance of a counter within one day affect my judgment i doubt it, I might even consider ploughing in more money to avg down should I have the opportunity to do so.



aurora97
post Mar 10 2009, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 10 2009, 03:16 PM)
Resorts back to 2.00
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dont think it can hold on to its gains today, its barely head above water. Likewise if it hit another new low there will be more lower than lows to come...

the only comforting part is someone buying chunks of resorts for the time being sweat.gif , while the queueing sell is enormous compared to those wanting to buy ... shocking.gif

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