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 Stock Market V10

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TScherroy
post Feb 22 2008, 04:39 PM, updated 18y ago

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V10 is coming

Gamuda selling is quite stubborn, keep on coming up one.

TFP (Mesdaq) is a poor fella, listing on wrong day.

Recently IPO become a losing game liao.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 22 2008, 04:45 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 05:39 PM)
V10 is coming

Gamuda selling is quite stubborn, keep on coming up one.
*
The sellers just back from friday's prayers, could be caught in traffic jam just now.


They call to boycott this stock for Year 2008 ( just read )


Added on February 22, 2008, 4:45 pmWhile a potential M&A deal could be an upside risk, we reiterate Gamuda as a top stock to avoid for 2008,"

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 22 2008, 04:45 PM
panasonic88
post Feb 22 2008, 04:49 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 04:43 PM)
The sellers just back from friday's  prayers, could be caught in traffic jam just now.
They call  to boycott  this stock for Year 2008 ( just read )


Added on February 22, 2008, 4:45 pmWhile a potential M&A deal could be an upside risk, we reiterate Gamuda as a top stock to avoid for 2008,"
*
ah i know where you got that source from
from morganmarket.com right, i read about that this morning too

========

anyway, reportin' in happy.gif
sharesa
post Feb 22 2008, 04:50 PM

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tongue.gif Catwoman not challenging Spidey, but teaming.
Need to change the Feng Shui animal for better luck ahead keh-keh.
aretla
post Feb 22 2008, 04:51 PM

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gamuda will close <4.00 liao....
panasonic88
post Feb 22 2008, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 22 2008, 04:50 PM)
tongue.gif Catwoman not challenging Spidey, but teaming.
Need to change the Feng Shui animal for better luck ahead keh-keh.
*
haha your catwoman eyes very "tajam" oh

i seriously feeling sleepy la
why market has yet to call it a day yawn.gif
sharesa
post Feb 22 2008, 04:53 PM

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hope gamuda has got nothing to do with accounting irregularity
panasonic88
post Feb 22 2008, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 22 2008, 04:53 PM)
hope gamuda has got nothing to do with accounting irregularity
*
oh please, not another TRANMIL or MEGAN...
GAMUDA used to be my favourite counter.
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 22 2008, 05:52 PM)
haha your catwoman eyes very "tajam" oh

i seriously feeling sleepy la
why market has yet to call it a day  yawn.gif
*
Another Black Friday.......
TScherroy
post Feb 22 2008, 04:55 PM

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Notice that contruction stocks, political linked stocks (like MRCB, Tebrau) all being hit hard in recent 2 days drop.
kinwawa
post Feb 22 2008, 04:59 PM

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yaya.....r they cashing to get some fund for GE????
alivecmh
post Feb 22 2008, 05:01 PM

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biggrin.gif. Bought another 1k lots of HSI-c2 at 0.025, last min bounce back to 0.03.
chinkw1
post Feb 22 2008, 05:01 PM

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GE cash out and CPO downtrend, offload lor.
Digital_Life
post Feb 22 2008, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 04:55 PM)
Notice that contruction stocks, political linked stocks (like MRCB, Tebrau) all being hit hard in recent 2 days drop.
*
Money needed to print banner, poster ...etc biggrin.gif

panasonic88
post Feb 22 2008, 05:02 PM

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wow alivecmh, did you see the magical moment on HSI-C2? ohmy.gif

very last second before 5PM, someone pushed it up with volume = 1

fuiyo!
dreams_achiever
post Feb 22 2008, 05:03 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 04:55 PM)
Notice that contruction stocks, political linked stocks (like MRCB, Tebrau) all being hit hard in recent 2 days drop.
*
dreams_achiever reporting in..
the first 100 version for LYN stock market thread..yahoo..

wonder whether next monday will be good day or not.
depend whether tonight DJ will closed as BLACK FRIDAY or not.. sweat.gif
panasonic88
post Feb 22 2008, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 22 2008, 05:01 PM)
biggrin.gif. Bought another 1k lots of HSI-c2 at 0.025, last min bounce back to 0.03.
*
you..you buying again! *speechless* ohmy.gif


SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 05:55 PM)
Notice that contruction stocks, political linked stocks (like MRCB, Tebrau) all being hit hard in recent 2 days drop.
*
very sensitive issue. Got projects but cannot appoint your own sub contractors, how to make money ?

Last time, Ali BaBa and now Baba Ali.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 22 2008, 05:13 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 22 2008, 05:05 PM

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wah...u c...last 10 mins the volume surged so much!!!!
dreams_achiever
post Feb 22 2008, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 22 2008, 05:04 PM)
you..you buying again! *speechless* ohmy.gif
*
Erm..buying 1K lots at 0.025. from brokerage fees, u did loss quite alot from normal fees.
minimum fees is RM28. ur normal cost is ard RM12++
chinkw1
post Feb 22 2008, 05:13 PM

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Everyday last 10 min like that one.
alivecmh
post Feb 22 2008, 05:17 PM

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Ya lo, I wondering how those ppl knows that buying 100 shares can push up the stock price by 1 bit at last min.

Wil not buy anymore hsi-c2 from now on cause i used up all my budget that allocate for this counter biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by alivecmh: Feb 22 2008, 05:21 PM
TScherroy
post Feb 22 2008, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 22 2008, 05:17 PM)
Ya lo, I wondering how those ppl can know that buying 100 shares can push up the stock price by 1 bit at last min.

Wil not buy anymore hsi-c2 from now on cost i used up all my budget that allocate for this counter biggrin.gif
*
Contract note is accumulated one for the whole day, the fella bough 1 lot (x100) doesn't necessary only buy 1 lot only, may be already bought some for today, then last minute take 1 lot to make it close 'higher'.

It is quite a norm now in KLSE to make last minute transaction to make it closed a little bit higher.

alivecmh
post Feb 22 2008, 05:25 PM

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Silly Question here, How tat fella knows that 1 lot can make it higher ? Is there a way to estimate ?
kinwawa
post Feb 22 2008, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 22 2008, 05:13 PM)
Everyday last 10 min like that one.
*
Oh...i mean volume of post in our forum in last 10 min so much......till now V10 liao! hehehehe rclxms.gif thumbup.gif
Njoy ur weekends ppl!
alivecmh
post Feb 22 2008, 06:09 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 22 2008, 05:33 PM)
Oh...i mean volume of post in our forum in last 10 min so much......till now V10 liao! hehehehe  rclxms.gif  thumbup.gif
Njoy ur weekends ppl!
*
Today many many post especially when the market about to close rclxms.gif
sinclairZX81
post Feb 22 2008, 07:50 PM

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Wah, I'm like so late for V10. Congrats!
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 08:04 PM

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QUOTE(sinclairZX81 @ Feb 22 2008, 08:50 PM)
Wah, I'm like so late for V10. Congrats!
*
Do Not worry. There are no free gifts for early birds.

lklatmy
post Feb 22 2008, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 05:22 PM)

It is quite a norm now in KLSE to make last minute transaction to make it closed a little bit higher.
*
Hi,everyone here,just to inform you before hand,this practice of making last minute one lot transaction thing to influence the closing price will soon be thing of the past.

Bursa is now in the final stage of testing a new trading system known as Bursa Trade.One of the salient point of the system is that there will be a pre-opening and pre-closing price determination process based on supply and demand. The pre-closing price determined will be the closing price for the day and all tradings done after that (for a duration of about 10 minutes)will be based on that price.So,it will be very difficult and costly to influence the closing price since the supply and demand will be transparent to all market participants.If one try to push up the closing price by putting in a large buying order,there is a possibility that a lot of sellers will take advantage and sell to the buyer.The whole mechanism is more complex than what I explained here and if you would like to know more,the details are available in the Bursa website under "Bursa Trades".

The new trading system is expected to go live in April.
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 10:41 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Feb 22 2008, 11:09 PM)
Hi,everyone here,just to inform you before hand,this practice of making last minute one lot transaction thing to influence the closing price will soon be thing of the past.

Bursa is now in the final stage of testing a new trading system known as Bursa Trade.One of the salient point of the system is that there will be a pre-opening and pre-closing price  determination process based on supply and demand. The pre-closing price determined will be the closing price for the day and all tradings done after that (for a duration of about 10 minutes)will be based on that price.So,it will be very difficult and costly to influence the closing price since the supply and demand will be transparent to all market participants.If one try to push up the closing price by putting in a large buying order,there is a possibility that a lot of sellers will take advantage and sell to the buyer.The whole mechanism is more complex than what I explained here and if you would like to know more,the details are available in the Bursa website under "Bursa Trades".

The new trading system is expected to go live in April.
*
Thank you for sharing the info.

Just a bit of curious, is the practice in line with other parts of the world, or sound like another "currency control " to me.

Is it in line with free market forces or buy low and sell high ?

How the investors know what are the pre determined prices of let say 1000 counters during the last 10 minutes ?






SUSDavid83
post Feb 22 2008, 11:01 PM

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lklatmy
post Feb 22 2008, 11:07 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 10:41 PM)
Thank you for sharing the info.

Just a bit of curious, is the practice in line with other parts of the world, or sound like another "currency control " to me.

Is it in line with free market forces or buy low and sell high ?

How the investors know what are the pre determined prices of let say 1000 counters during the last 10 minutes ?
*
Just a bit of curious, is the practice in line with other parts of the world, or sound like another "currency control " to me.

This is already practised in many advanced countries,The new trading system is supplied by a company known as Euronet which is owned by many world reknown bourses in Europe.



Is it in line with free market forces or buy low and sell high ?

In my opinion,the new system is superior to the existing system as the true supply and demand forces will determine the pre-opening and pre-closing prices.



How the investors know what are the pre determined prices of let say 1000 counters during the last 10 minutes ?

The buyer and seller queing during the price determination process is shown in our(remisier)computer.I presume the same information will also be available to all those clients who access their broker's website for online prices.




My reply is based on Briefings and notes given by Bursa.Do correct me if I got it wrong especially our forumer who knows the new system better,DeVils,where are you? tongue.gif tongue.gif

The new system is not new to those who currently trades FKLI and FCPO,it's already in use there.

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Feb 22 2008, 11:16 PM
TScherroy
post Feb 22 2008, 11:09 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 10:41 PM)
Thank you for sharing the info.

Just a bit of curious, is the practice in line with other parts of the world, or sound like another "currency control " to me.

Is it in line with free market forces or buy low and sell high ?

How the investors know what are the pre determined prices of let say 1000 counters during the last 10 minutes ?
*
It is as same as the FKLI currently. The last 5 minutes of trade, all are being done in one price which is determined by supply and demand aka the system will do automatical matching for it. You can see the quantity of the queue, but you don't get the price done, only after the market close then all are being revealed and matched.

It is a good way to avoid price manipulation for higher closing price at last minute, which is widely being 'abused' now especially when you see 1 lot being done pruposely to make it close higher.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 22 2008, 11:11 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 23 2008, 12:09 AM)
It is as same as the FKLI currently. The last 5 minutes of trade, all are being done in one price which is determined by supply and demand aka the system will do automatical matching for it. You can see the quantity of the queue, but you don't get the price done, only after the market close then all are being revealed and matched.

It is a good way to avoid price manipulation for higher closing price at last minute, which is widely being 'abused' now especially when you see 1 lot being done pruposely to make it close higher.
*
Thank you.

I believe it is based on weighted average of " last 10 minutes " transactions. correct me if i am wrong ?

sharesa
post Feb 22 2008, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Feb 22 2008, 10:09 PM)
Hi,everyone here,just to inform you before hand,this practice of making last minute one lot transaction thing to influence the closing price will soon be thing of the past.

Bursa is now in the final stage of testing a new trading system known as Bursa Trade.One of the salient point of the system is that there will be a pre-opening and pre-closing price  determination process based on supply and demand. The pre-closing price determined will be the closing price for the day and all tradings done after that (for a duration of about 10 minutes)will be based on that price.So,it will be very difficult and costly to influence the closing price since the supply and demand will be transparent to all market participants.If one try to push up the closing price by putting in a large buying order,there is a possibility that a lot of sellers will take advantage and sell to the buyer.The whole mechanism is more complex than what I explained here and if you would like to know more,the details are available in the Bursa website under "Bursa Trades".

The new trading system is expected to go live in April.
*
after reading this " Bursa Trade", I find it quite complicating.
I guess after implementation of this system, people are unable to make one lot transaction to influence the closing price? So, no more way to make our portfolio looking good.


Added on February 22, 2008, 11:38 pm
QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 22 2008, 11:09 PM)
It is as same as the FKLI currently. The last 5 minutes of trade, all are being done in one price which is determined by supply and demand aka the system will do automatical matching for it. You can see the quantity of the queue, but you don't get the price done, only after the market close then all are being revealed and matched.

It is a good way to avoid price manipulation for higher closing price at last minute, which is widely being 'abused' now especially when you see 1 lot being done pruposely to make it close higher.
*
But though being 'abused' , isn't it better this way as price is closed higher?

This post has been edited by sharesa: Feb 22 2008, 11:38 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 23 2008, 12:33 AM)
after reading this " Bursa Trade", I find it quite complicating.
I guess after implementation of this system, people are unable to make one lot transaction to influence the closing price? So, no more way to make our portfolio looking good.


Added on February 22, 2008, 11:38 pm

But though being 'abused' , isn't it better this way as price is closed higher?
*
"
Bursa present system i think is more than 10 years old . They are coming out something like the windows "Vista."

Whether user friendly or not , it is a big question. The system is copied " from other parts of the world "

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 22 2008, 11:43 PM
sharesa
post Feb 22 2008, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 11:42 PM)
"
Bursa present system i think is more than 10 years old . They are coming something like the windows  "Vista."

Whether user friendly or not , it is a big question. The system is copied " from other parts of the world "
*
hmmm.. so, you mean you also prefer the present system?
SKY 1809
post Feb 22 2008, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 23 2008, 12:44 AM)
hmmm.. so, you mean you also prefer the present system?
*
Not exactly.

But I do not want to use Vista unless XP is totally obselete. why wasting so much resources and money , and Bill Gate treat us like "a tool " for him to test or do trial run.

lklatmy
post Feb 22 2008, 11:56 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 11:24 PM)
Thank you.

I believe it is based on weighted average of " last 10 minutes " transactions. correct me if i am wrong ?
*
No,it's not the weighted average.

The new system goes briefly this way,At 4.45pm,determination of pre-closing phase will begin,all matchings will halt but buying and selling orders can continue to be input into the system and will queue at various prices.The system will at 4.50pm,determine the price where maximum buyers and sellers could match and that will be the closing prices for the day.All orders input during this phase and can be matched will be done at the determined price.

From4.50to 5 pm,this phase is known as "trading at close".During this period,all new orders can only be keyed in at the determined price and if there is a counter party available,orders will be filled.Orders input at price other than that determined will automatically be rejected by the system.

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Feb 23 2008, 12:05 AM
sharesa
post Feb 22 2008, 11:57 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 22 2008, 11:49 PM)
Not exactly.

But I do not want to use Vista unless XP is totally obselete. why wasting so much resources and money , and Bill Gate treat us like "a tool "  for him to test or do trial run.
*
IC.....i'm using vista but many of my equipments incompatible with it, still 'd 'ol XP much better. Sorry, off topic liao. tongue.gif


Added on February 23, 2008, 12:02 am
QUOTE(lklatmy @ Feb 22 2008, 11:56 PM)
No,it's not the weighted average.

The new system goes briefly this way,At 4.45pm,determination of pre-closing phase will begin,all matchings will halt but buyers and sellers can continue to be input into the system and will queue at various prices.The system will at 4.50pm,determine the price where maximum buyers and sellers will match and that will be the closing prices for the day.All orders input during this phase and can be matched will be done at the determined price.

From4.50to 5 pm,this phase is known as "trading at close".During this period,all new orders can only be keyed in at the determined price and if there is a counter party available,orders will be filled.Orders input at price other than that determined will automatically rejected by the system.
*
so, what is the benefit for retail investors? Looks like none...

This post has been edited by sharesa: Feb 23 2008, 12:02 AM
lklatmy
post Feb 23 2008, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 22 2008, 11:57 PM)


so, what is the benefit for retail investors? Looks like none...
*
Please be informed that your query has been refer to the appropriate authority for further action,I believe that a reply will be forthcoming in due course from DeVils the forumer from Bursa. tongue.gif tongue.gif tongue.gif

SKY 1809
post Feb 23 2008, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 23 2008, 12:57 AM)
IC.....i'm using vista but many of my equipments incompatible with it, still 'd 'ol XP much better. Sorry, off topic liao. tongue.gif


Added on February 23, 2008, 12:02 am

so, what is the benefit for retail investors? Looks like none...
*
Bursa going to take the views from retailers from this forum ? Serious, kah ?

Since when ?

Sorry, do not mean to flame you. notworthy.gif

greddym3
post Feb 23 2008, 02:39 AM

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4.45 it starts...that means 4.40 until 4.44 fund manager push up the price la hehe
SUSDavid83
post Feb 23 2008, 07:40 AM

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TScherroy
post Feb 23 2008, 08:57 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 22 2008, 11:57 PM)

Added on February 23, 2008, 12:02 am

so, what is the benefit for retail investors? Looks like none...
*
There is no direct benefit for everyone, just to avoid last minute manipulation as we had seen many many times, KLCI suddenly shoot up 5-6 points in last minute. It is just for the closing price more accurate reflecting the situation.

Sometimes a stock for the whole day trade at 10.00 then last minute with 1 lot done (due to no seller queueing) then the 1 lot done at 10.30 which eventually the closing price become 10.30 and index being calculated with 30 cents rise.
If one didn't monitor the market one, simply look at newspaper reporting, you will think: oh, great my stock up 30 cents today, in fact, it is just because of 1 lot being done. doh.gif
Or someone didn't monitor the market one, then see the closing price is 10.30, then next day, straight away call the remiser to buy at 10.30, in fact, it falls back to 10.00 or 10.10 next day then person is being 'cheated' by the closing price already.

This situation particular pronounce on some low liquuidity stocks even on some blue chips stocks like Petgas, BAT etc whereby there is not many queue between sellers and buyers also.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 23 2008, 09:02 AM
sharesa
post Feb 23 2008, 09:03 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 23 2008, 08:57 AM)
There is no direct benefit for everyone, just to avoid last minute manipulation as we had seen many many times, KLCI suddenly shoot up 5-6 points in last minute. It is just for the closing price more accurate reflecting the situation.

Sometimes a stock for the whole day trade at 10.00 then last minute with 1 lot done (due to no seller queueing) then the 1 lot done at 10.30 which eventually the closing price become 10.30 and index being calculated with 30 cents rise.
If one didn't monitor the market one, simply look at newspaper reporting, you will think: oh, great my stock up 30 cents today, in fact, it is just because of 1 lot being done. doh.gif 
Or someone didn't monitor the market one, then see the closing price is 10.30, then next day, straight away call the remiser to buy at 10.30, in fact, it falls back to 10.00 or 10.10 next day then person is being 'cheated' by the closing price already.

This situation particular pronounce on some low liquuidity stocks even on some blue chips stocks like Petgas, BAT etc whereby there is not many queue between sellers and buyers also.
*
now I get it. Thanks for explanation Cherroy. nod.gif


Added on February 23, 2008, 9:05 am
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 23 2008, 12:19 AM)
Bursa going to take the views from retailers from this forum ? Serious, kah ?

Since when ?

Sorry, do not mean to flame you. notworthy.gif
*
hei........Lyn forummers' stockholdings is some percentage of whole Bursa , yunno biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by sharesa: Feb 23 2008, 09:05 AM
SKY 1809
post Feb 23 2008, 09:15 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 23 2008, 09:57 AM)
There is no direct benefit for everyone, just to avoid last minute manipulation as we had seen many many times, KLCI suddenly shoot up 5-6 points in last minute. It is just for the closing price more accurate reflecting the situation.

Sometimes a stock for the whole day trade at 10.00 then last minute with 1 lot done (due to no seller queueing) then the 1 lot done at 10.30 which eventually the closing price become 10.30 and index being calculated with 30 cents rise.
If one didn't monitor the market one, simply look at newspaper reporting, you will think: oh, great my stock up 30 cents today, in fact, it is just because of 1 lot being done. doh.gif 
Or someone didn't monitor the market one, then see the closing price is 10.30, then next day, straight away call the remiser to buy at 10.30, in fact, it falls back to 10.00 or 10.10 next day then person is being 'cheated' by the closing price already.

This situation particular pronounce on some low liquuidity stocks even on some blue chips stocks like Petgas, BAT etc whereby there is not many queue between sellers and buyers also.
*
Sometimes it has to be fair to everyone because share market is an equal playing field.

There is a stock called Pharma then went up about 70sen with only 1 lot done, and then suspended. Did Bursa not aware of the manipulation going on ? Did they send out any query so far ?

Someone said the minorities have to buy back UEM world co shares at a premium, is it fair also ? afterall, share price had oledi pushed up by 70sen in first place.

The damages from unseen hands and "deemed" acceptable practices are far more damaging. than a last 10 minutes action.

Share prices of listed stocks in Bursa oledi starting to come down, even if regional and us markets are doing all right.

Sorry, do not intend to flame you, just speaking out for the silent minorities.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 23 2008, 10:02 AM
sinclairZX81
post Feb 23 2008, 10:16 AM

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Yes, good for beginners to know. I used to fall into that trap before too. After pay 'tuition' fees, then learn lah.
TScherroy
post Feb 23 2008, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 23 2008, 09:15 AM)
Sometimes it has to be fair to everyone because share market is an equal playing field.

There is a stock called Pharma then went up about 70sen with only 1 lot done, and then suspended. Did Bursa not aware of the manipulation going on ? Did they send out any query so far ?

Someone said the minorities  have to buy back UEM world co shares at a premium, is it fair also ? afterall, share price had oledi pushed up by 70sen in first place.

The  damages from unseen hands and "deemed"  acceptable practices are far more damaging. than a last 10 minutes action.

Share prices of listed stocks in Bursa oledi starting to come down, even if  regional and us markets are doing  all right.

Sorry, do not intend to flame you, just speaking out for the silent minorities.
*
Yup, minorities shareholders most of the time being 'bullied' one.

For long term investment, that's why old timers in the market often/mostly advise people to avoid political linked stocks if can and choose those sincerely looking after the minorities shareholders one. <-- a generous dividend (as much as they could based on profit) can be seen as one of the way looking after the minorities shareholders. This is why one of the reasons I bought Reit as well, as Reit needs to distribute at least 90% of their profit to the shareholders. There are some good stocks that also giving out as much as they could.

Regarding the UEM issue, still can't find a logical answer for UEMworld to offer their shareholders to buy at 15% premium. If one is the shareholder of the company, and the company owning the shares, isn't it indirectly one own those shares? shouldn't being giving out porportional to their shareholder? Instead it is now shareholders need to fork out money (some more expensive than market price) to buy those shares rather than being given.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 23 2008, 11:21 AM
alivecmh
post Feb 23 2008, 10:35 AM

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DJIA closed at +96.72 (0.79%), hopefully monday got technical rebound after the heavy slump in these few days.


Added on February 23, 2008, 10:52 amhttp://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080222/the_week_ahead.html?.v=2, In US, you can know what companies going to announce their financial report, why not here ?

Or I can get it from somewhere. Anyone to share pls ?

This post has been edited by alivecmh: Feb 23 2008, 10:52 AM
SUSDavid83
post Feb 23 2008, 11:30 AM

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Foreign-led selling drags down KLCI

PETALING JAYA: The KL Composite Index (KLCI) lost more than 25 points yesterday, falling to 1,369.48 at the close, its lowest level in a month.

The benchmark index rebounded from a day's low of 1,354.71 but was "mirroring" the trading movement on Jan 22, when there was a market sell-off, TA Securities technical analyst Stephen Soo told StarBiz.

On Jan 22, the KLCI closed at 1,354.48 points.

According to KL-based fund managers, the market saw foreign-led selling that dragged down heavyweights Sime Darby Bhd, MISC Bhd, IOI Corp Bhd, Tenaga Nasional Bhd and MMC Corp Bhd, among others.

Gamuda Bhd, the country's second largest construction player, saw its shares fall for a second consecutive day, down 28 sen, or 6.67%, to RM3.92.

On Thursday, Gamuda founder Datuk Lin Yun Ling cut his stake in the company to 1.7% from 5.2%, causing a 15.67% daily drop in the counter.

This comes as regional property stocks also tumbled yesterday.

Construction counters IJM Corp Bhd and MMC fell three sen, or 3.97%, to RM7.25 and 26 sen, or 6.4%, to RM3.80 respectively.

Soo said: "For the next two weeks the market should be range-bound between 1,340 and 1,400 points.

"However, it depends on regional markets. If they rebound and trigger a rally, there is a possibility of the KLCI breaching the 1,400-point level in the next two weeks."

In the near term, Soo expects the index to range from 1,350 to 1,380 points.

The 1,340-point level was a very strong support level as it was a triple-bottom reached in intra-day trading in October, November and January, he added.

According to fund managers, another reason for foreign selling yesterday was the expectation for further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve which would make borrowing costs in Malaysia less attractive compared with the United States.

Morgan Stanley Research, Asia/Pacific in a Jan 29 report said it expected Bank Negara to "keep rates on hold".

"However, if the growth slowdown surprises on the downside, we believe the central bank will tilt towards addressing growth concerns and the risk with regard to policy direction are skewed towards easing, particularly given that the Fed is likely to bring the target rate down further than we previously expected to 2.5%," the report said.

Regional markets were down yesterday on US recession fears as the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 140 points in overnight trading to 12,284 due to weak manufacturing report from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank.

Bloomberg reported that the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's general economic index fell more than forecast this month to -24, showing the margin by which more firms reported a decrease in activity instead of an increase.

Meanwhile, despite talk of foreign selling, the ringgit closed at a new high of 3.21 against the US dollar as Asian currencies rose on speculation that central banks in the region would allow currency advances to curb inflation.

The ringgit yesterday weakened against the euro and pound sterling at 2.7709/7742 and 6.3256/3311 respectively.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...83&sec=business
SKY 1809
post Feb 23 2008, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 23 2008, 11:35 AM)
Yup, minorities shareholders most of the time being 'bullied' one. 

For long term investment, that's why old timers in the market often/mostly advise people to avoid political linked stocks if can and choose those sincerely looking after the minorities shareholders one. <-- a generous dividend (as much as they could based on profit) can be seen as one of the way looking after the minorities shareholders. This is why one of the reasons I bought Reit as well, as Reit needs to distribute at least 90% of their profit to the shareholders. There are some good stocks that also giving out as much as they could.

Regarding the UEM issue, still can't find a logical answer for UEMworld to offer their shareholders to buy at 15% premium. If one is the shareholder of the company, and the company owning the shares, isn't it indirectly one own those shares? shouldn't being giving out porportional to their shareholder? Instead it is now shareholders need to fork out money (some more expensive than market price) to buy those shares rather than being given.
*
If FF sell our blue chips, it is not just simply because of UEM as political connected stock or gamuda's director selling shares.

These are just on the surface " stories ". You need to understand why FF want to pull out of Malaysia at this moment . Figure out for yourself.

Stocktube is a good place to know something.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 23 2008, 07:44 PM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 23 2008, 08:29 PM

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There is question that need to ask here:

Why there is new call warrant named as CHMOBIL-CA and CHMOBIL-CB?
I tot all foreign call warrants ended as 1,2,3... And local call warrants ended with A,B,C..
But now seem the situation is reversed.. rclxub.gif
aretla
post Feb 25 2008, 09:05 AM

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Gamuda still dropping huhhhh
kinwawa
post Feb 25 2008, 09:28 AM

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come on....go up somemore SCOMI...h.ehehe
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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 25 2008, 09:28 AM)
come on....go up somemore SCOMI...h.ehehe
*
I think scomi will not move much. Same goes to Sapcres. Just have to see how, after election.
kinwawa
post Feb 25 2008, 09:39 AM

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hahhaha......with the current market condition....just wait n be patient lo....just to cheer myself up hhehehehe. If it doesn't drop much, already a blessing tongue.gif
eteractive
post Feb 25 2008, 09:58 AM

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Hey Guys,

Would like to know which Online Stock is better? Maybank? RHB or?

Which one should I sign up for smile.gif

Thank You! rclxms.gif
ts1
post Feb 25 2008, 10:02 AM

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gamuda may hv heavy selldown frm foreign tranche la....MD wanna leave in 18mths maybe sooner...i guess may b due to MMC-Gamuda project..got strong objection frm malay contractors chamber wan 30% of the deal
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post Feb 25 2008, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(eteractive @ Feb 25 2008, 09:58 AM)
Hey Guys,

Would like to know which Online Stock is better? Maybank? RHB or?

Which one should I sign up for smile.gif

Thank You!  rclxms.gif
*
i use zoomFinance

www.zoomfinance.com


Added on February 25, 2008, 10:42 amwhat happen to gamuda, dropping 40cents now.



This post has been edited by Suk: Feb 25 2008, 10:42 AM
TScherroy
post Feb 25 2008, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 23 2008, 08:29 PM)
There is question that need to ask here:

Why there is new call warrant named as CHMOBIL-CA and CHMOBIL-CB?
I tot all foreign call warrants ended as 1,2,3... And local call warrants ended with A,B,C..
But now seem the situation is reversed.. rclxub.gif
*
Welcome to Malaysia tongue.gif

My guess is if they use 1,2,3 then it can be until 9 (which will be reaching, now 7 liao) only due to alphabet limitation on the code name of the computer system, code name cannot be more than 7 alphabet, while at back (after abc-xx) can be 2 alphabet only, so C10 become 3 alphabet, so in this case, may be they have to rewrite their software just to accomodate the C10 but with ABC, they at least can use 20+ times, temporarily solve the problem.

Just pure guess, I might be wrong.
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post Feb 25 2008, 10:54 AM

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wah...all dropping again....whether US up or down....our market also tumbling.....i think GE has to end FAST! hehehhe
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 11:00 AM

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GAMUDA : 3.30, next rolleyes.gif
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post Feb 25 2008, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 11:00 AM)
GAMUDA : 3.30, next rolleyes.gif
*
GAMUDA is going to be a very cheap stock soon..........dare to take the risK??? hehehehe
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 11:10 AM

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lol i didnt say i want to buy laugh.gif

kinwawa, PBBANK ex-date is on this wednesday oh. still have today & tomorrow to buy in order to get the dividend (the price is pretty high now, tho) biggrin.gif
dreams_achiever
post Feb 25 2008, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 25 2008, 10:54 AM)
Welcome to Malaysia  tongue.gif

My guess is if they use 1,2,3 then it can be until 9 (which will be reaching, now 7 liao) only due to alphabet limitation on the code name of the computer system, code name cannot be more than 7 alphabet, while at back (after abc-xx) can be 2 alphabet only, so C10 become 3 alphabet, so in this case, may be they have to rewrite their software just to accomodate the C10 but with ABC, they at least can use 20+ times, temporarily solve the problem.

Just pure guess, I might be wrong.
*
Thanks cherroy for ur kind explaination. smile.gif
Noted. At first, i tot both are different for this case. Now, basically it is just same as other foreign call warrants. Only just limitation in our local bourse system.

Really Malaysia boleh..haha.

kinwawa
post Feb 25 2008, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 11:10 AM)
lol i didnt say i want to buy laugh.gif

kinwawa, PBBANK ex-date is on this wednesday oh. still have today & tomorrow to buy in order to get the dividend (the price is pretty high now, tho) biggrin.gif
*


hahaha...thanks for d info! Yeah..rite now still too xpensive for me leh....after ex-date if it dropped more then i will start accumulating la....i wanna join ur gang liao! hehehehe
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 11:32 AM

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good good, i am collecting money to buy more PBBANK too after the exdate. hoping to buy at around 10.30 to 10.40 biggrin.gif

ohyah, calling ahchin! i am jumping off from IOI liao, take money & keep for rainy day~!
TScherroy
post Feb 25 2008, 11:34 AM

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CPO at 3800! Up a whooping 120! shocking.gif

Man, this is shy-rocketing non-stop, won't do good for our daily life --> inflation. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 25 2008, 11:35 AM
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:32 PM)
good good, i am collecting money to buy more PBBANK too after the exdate. hoping to buy at around 10.30 to 10.40 biggrin.gif

ohyah, calling ahchin! i am jumping off from IOI liao, take money & keep for rainy day~!
*
He Bought a lot of Gamuda last week at RM 4. Now no eye see.
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 11:58 AM)
He Bought a lot of Gamuda last week at RM 4. Now no eye see.
*
shocking.gif serious huh? he told you?

SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:04 PM)
shocking.gif  serious huh? he told you?
*
Strictly P & C. can be sued for no reason.

ts1
post Feb 25 2008, 12:10 PM

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i did mentioned shit happened at gamuda...look like uxnoputra is forcing him out
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 12:11 PM

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"Bargain-hunting in some blue chips, plantations and property stocks is evident, but this could just be a technical rebound"


panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:06 PM)
Strictly P & C. can be sued for no reason.
*
wooo P&C, haha!
i thought he is those "safety comes first" fella
IOI, PBBANK heavyweight shares are his favourite rolleyes.gif

he didnt set a cut loss point, huh?

SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:12 PM)
wooo P&C, haha!
i thought he is those "safety comes first" fella
IOI, PBBANK heavyweight shares are his favourite  rolleyes.gif

he didnt set a cut loss point, huh?
*
Are you a Reporter by profession ?

panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 12:15 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:11 PM)
"Bargain-hunting in some blue chips, plantations and property stocks is evident, but this could just be a technical rebound"
*
i dont see anything interesting
maybe i see the urge to have more moolah with me during crisis time like now
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:14 PM)
Are you a Reporter by profession ?
*
i catch no ball unsure.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 12:22 PM

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Sign of inflation is on the way.

DJ MARKET TALK: Credit Suisse Cuts KFC Malaysia Target To MYR5.50 - 2008-02-25 03:27:00.0



0327 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Credit Suisse keeps Underperform call on KFC Holdings Malaysia (3492.KU), cuts target price to MYR5.50 from MYR7.00 after lowering EPS forecasts 5%-8%. Notes KFC's FY07 net profit of MYR104.3 million was inline with consensus, sales +14% on-year, but operating profit only +3% at MYR161.9 million. "We expect operating profit margins to be squeezed further in FY08 and FY09. Raw material costs continue to rise, with current spot prices for corn and soy meal being 32% and 42% higher than FY07 averages, respectively. KFC is also expanding its integrated poultry operations, where margins are thinner," analyst says in report. Stock down 3.2% at MYR6.10. (ALE)


Added on February 25, 2008, 12:30 pmDJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia Construction Cos Still Expensive -Citi - 2008-02-25 01:27:00.0



0127 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Citigroup's Choong Wai Kee says valuation multiples of Malaysian construction companies remain demanding; still too early to bottom-fish despite recent correction. In report, Choong says move by Gamuda's (5398.KU) MD Lin Yun Ling to sell almost his entire stake prompted fears industry may be peaking. Despite falling more than 20%, "Gamuda is now trading at 18X calendarized 2008 and about 11X 2009 earnings," he says. Keeps Hold call on stock with MYR4.80 target price; share down 5.1% at MYR3.72. Notes, local contractors have been aggressively venturing into Middle East, India and Vietnam due to lack of local jobs, but "execution in some projects has proven challenging, raising concerns that margins and earnings could be at risk of disappointment," he adds. (VGB)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 12:30 PM
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 12:32 PM

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i wonder why there are still ppl jump in for GAMUDA when they know there are a lot of uncetainty in the shares

eg. HSBC Holdings are disposing since last friday
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:32 PM)
i wonder why there are still ppl jump in for GAMUDA when they know there are a lot of uncetainty in the shares

eg. HSBC Holdings are disposing since last friday
*
Doing projects are tough, there are a lots of things not within your calculations and controls. Costs could overrun.


"Gamuda's valuation steep, core FY08-09 P/E 19X-28X vs rivals' 12X-17X. Also, cuts FY09-10 earnings forecast 8%-9% on lower orderbook assumption (MYR2.5 billion vs previous MYR3.0 billion), lower pretax margin forecast (5% vs previous 8%) for national double-tracking project on rising material cost. "

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 03:18 PM
hexen7
post Feb 25 2008, 12:51 PM

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woah!! .. i stop playing the market for a few months.. what's happening with Gamuda???
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:37 PM)
Doing projects are tough, there are a lots of things  not within  your calculations and controls. Costs could overrun.
*
hmm, looks like you have overheard from news/rumour
you are right, due to unknown reason, projects can be terminated or cancelled

/staying sideline to watch
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 01:10 PM

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Bad news are coming out one by one.

DJ MARKET TALK: Ho Hup May Extend Fall On Delisting Fears - 2008-02-25 00:59:00.0



0059 GMT [Dow Jones] Ho Hup Construction (5169.KU) may fall to test all-time low of 40 sen on announcement company has failed to submit 3Q07 results within stipulated timeframe (Nov. 30). If company fails to submit results by Feb. 29, trading in Ho Hup's shares will be halted the following market day. "The biggest concern now is that Bursa Securities may initiate delisting procedures. Investors are likely to dump the stock and stay on the sidelines rather than take that risk," says dealer. Shares ended down 12.5% at 42 sen Friday. (VGB)


Added on February 25, 2008, 1:14 pm
QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 02:00 PM)
hmm, looks like you have overheard from news/rumour
you are right, due to unknown reason, projects can be terminated or cancelled

/staying sideline to watch
*
What i say are basing on facts . Things that happened in the past and are happening now. No Rumours Please.

Warning oledi given by Top Gun.


Added on February 25, 2008, 1:24 pm



KLCI FUITURES CONTRACTS MOSTLY HIGHER AT MID-DAY
25 Feb 2008, 13:21
KLCI FUITURES CONTRACTS MOSTLY HIGHER AT MID-DAY

KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 25 (Bernama) -- The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
futures contracts on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives were mostly higher at mid-day
today with investors taking the cue from Wall Street's gains last Friday,
dealers said.
At lunch break, spot month February 2008 lost one point to 1,360.0 while
March 2008 increased 0.5 of a point to 1,356.5.
Far contract month June 2008 went up 1.5 points to 1,351.0 and September
2008 gained nine points to 1,350.0.
Volume stood at 9,904 lots while open interest amounted to 38,277
contracts.
On the cash market, the underlying KLCI was one point higher at
1,370.48. -- BERNAMA






This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 01:24 PM
TopGunn
post Feb 25 2008, 01:32 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:10 PM)
Bad news are coming out one by one.

DJ MARKET TALK: Ho Hup May Extend Fall On Delisting Fears - 2008-02-25 00:59:00.0
0059 GMT [Dow Jones] Ho Hup Construction (5169.KU) may fall to test all-time low of 40 sen on announcement company has failed to submit 3Q07 results within stipulated timeframe (Nov. 30). If company fails to submit results by Feb. 29, trading in Ho Hup's shares will be halted the following market day. "The biggest concern now is that Bursa Securities may initiate delisting procedures. Investors are likely to dump the stock and stay on the sidelines rather than take that risk," says dealer. Shares ended down 12.5% at 42 sen Friday. (VGB)


Added on February 25, 2008, 1:14 pm

What i say are basing on facts . Things that happened in the past and are happening now. No Rumours Please.

Warning oledi given by Top Gun.
I have quickly chopped off Gamuda still feel painfull..Don't try to hold with your hand if you see something uncertain falling from sky"1809". Unless you have clearer picture.
nod.gif

This post has been edited by TopGunn: Feb 25 2008, 01:38 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(TopGunn @ Feb 25 2008, 02:32 PM)
I have quickly chopped off Gamuda still feel painfull..Don't try to hold with your hand if you you see something uncertain falling from sky"1809". Unless you have clearer picture.
nod.gif
*
thank you for your advice. make a note here.
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(TopGunn @ Feb 25 2008, 01:32 PM)
I have quickly chopped off Gamuda still feel painfull..Don't try to hold with your hand if you see something uncertain falling from sky"1809". Unless you have clearer picture.
nod.gif
*
ermm, i dun quite understand the bolded part unsure.gif

kinwawa
post Feb 25 2008, 01:41 PM

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maybe falling dagger he means??? hehehehehe......
dunno this is really panic selling, over-reacted or indeed there's a BIG prob with Gamuda......
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 02:39 PM)
ermm, i dun quite understand the bolded part  unsure.gif
*
It was a normal practice for us to do during Currency Crisis. Quite similar. Not very sure about his.


Added on February 25, 2008, 1:49 pmI mean do not wait for things to happen first :-

DJ MARKET TALK: MIMB Tips Gamuda As Sell Based On Charts - 2008-02-25 05:32:00.0



0532 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: MIMB Research tips construction firm Gamuda (5398.KU) as Sell based on charts; notes stock broke its key support level of MYR4.54 on Feb 21 after peaking at its recent all-time high of MYR5.80 on Jan 14 with ample bearish divergent signals. "It remains in very firm daily and weekly downtrends with weak technical posture," MIMB says. Adds "investors would do well to Sell and dispose Gamuda on any rallies"; pegs immediate support at MYR2.90. Stock down 11.2% at MYR3.48 in active trade. (ECH)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 01:49 PM
TopGunn
post Feb 25 2008, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:39 PM)
ermm, i dun quite understand the bolded part  unsure.gif
*
Really?? It's just a hint, normally fortune-teller will not tell you directly mah...you have to guess..When the time reach, you will know abt it...hehe..

brows.gif
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:45 PM)
It was a normal practice for us to do during Currency Crisis. Quite similar. Not very sure about his.


Added on February 25, 2008, 1:49 pmI mean do not wait for things to happen first :-

DJ MARKET TALK: MIMB Tips Gamuda As Sell Based On Charts - 2008-02-25 05:32:00.0
0532 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: MIMB Research tips construction firm Gamuda (5398.KU) as Sell based on charts; notes stock broke its key support level of MYR4.54 on Feb 21 after peaking at its recent all-time high of MYR5.80 on Jan 14 with ample bearish divergent signals. "It remains in very firm daily and weekly downtrends with weak technical posture," MIMB says. Adds "investors would do well to Sell and dispose Gamuda on any rallies"; pegs immediate support at MYR2.90. Stock down 11.2% at MYR3.48 in active trade. (ECH)
*
wow immediate support at 2.90 sweat.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 02:52 PM)
wow immediate support at 2.90  sweat.gif
*
You never contact your friend, Chin ?
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 01:56 PM)
You never contact your friend, Chin ?
*
you said P&C mah. he would appear in the forum if he really wants to tell smile.gif
greddym3
post Feb 25 2008, 02:15 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 12:32 PM)
i wonder why there are still ppl jump in for GAMUDA when they know there are a lot of uncetainty in the shares

eg. HSBC Holdings are disposing since last friday
*
actually its gamuda md lin yun ling...hsbc is the nominee only.
ts1
post Feb 25 2008, 02:38 PM

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fidelity owns a lot of shares
aretla
post Feb 25 2008, 02:39 PM

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GOSH~~ Gamuda wil fall <3.00 today???

This post has been edited by aretla: Feb 25 2008, 02:40 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 03:29 PM

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MARKET TALK: Gamuda Off 16.3%,Extends Fall;May Test MYR3 Floor - 2008-02-25 07:14:00.0



0714 GMT . Construction concern Gamuda (5398.KU) down 16.3% at MYR3.28 in heavy volume, extending recent decline on foreign funds' selling pressure following move by founder and MD Lin Yun Ling to pare shareholding to 1.7% from 5.2%. Stock may fall to MYR3 (psychological support) as early as today if selling persists; below this, next support at MYR2.87 (Aug. 17 low). "Reasons such as estate planning (by Lin) or company's valuation having peaked is just not holding water. The market is convinced that there's a deeper reason for Lin's move. The key concern now is that he may not be fully committed to the running of the company or be interested in growing its business," says institutional dealer. Notes, combined total of around 25% of Gamuda's shares held by foreign funds. Since announcement of stake sale by MD Lin on Feb. 12, Gamuda has dived some 36.3%, losing MYR3.78 billion in market capitalization. (VGB)



panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 03:41 PM

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GAMUDA rebounded from 3.20 to 3.54 (wow, damn chi kek!)
howszat
post Feb 25 2008, 03:50 PM

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3.20 could be bottom for GAMUDA?
sharesa
post Feb 25 2008, 04:02 PM

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whoever daring enuf to buy Gamuda @3.20 surely can make a bundle today
TScherroy
post Feb 25 2008, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 25 2008, 04:02 PM)
whoever daring enuf to buy Gamuda @3.20 surely can make a bundle today
*
Must remember also, there are many many people that catching the falling dagger since the 4.00 mark.


chinkw1
post Feb 25 2008, 04:40 PM

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WOW CPO almost 3900 liaw, good for plantations...........

ioi klk all up

Pana hor sei liaw
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post Feb 25 2008, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 25 2008, 04:11 PM)
Must remember also, there are many many people that catching the falling dagger since the 4.00 mark.
*
Who are the major buyer for Gamuda push up on the share price from 3.20?
chinkw1
post Feb 25 2008, 04:52 PM

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CPO up almost +200 today?????
Can someone confirm this information pls?


panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 04:53 PM

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chin, you bought GAMUDA at RM 4.00 huh?
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 04:56 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 25 2008, 04:52 PM)
CPO up almost +200 today?????
Can someone confirm this information pls?
*
refer here, yes, nearly 200 points

http://www.klse.com.my/website/bm/market_i...derivatives.jsp
ante5k
post Feb 25 2008, 05:03 PM

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another crappy day for me....
sinclairZX81
post Feb 25 2008, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 04:56 PM)
OM gosh. shocking.gif

This post has been edited by sinclairZX81: Feb 25 2008, 05:08 PM
chinkw1
post Feb 25 2008, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 25 2008, 04:53 PM)
chin, you bought GAMUDA at RM 4.00 huh?
*
NO. I takut falling dagger mah.

Tonight I want to go watch movie in sunway pyramid. And have a drink there at Bar Flam. To relax and get some feel of the equity market for March.
ts1
post Feb 25 2008, 05:06 PM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Feb 25 2008, 03:50 PM)
3.20 could be bottom for GAMUDA?
*
a bit macam double bottom at 3.20...

same as maybulk 3.50+ then rebound strongly


*i guess only tongue.gif *
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(ts1 @ Feb 25 2008, 06:06 PM)
a bit macam double bottom at 3.20...

same as maybulk 3.50+ then rebound strongly
*i guess only  tongue.gif *
*
You have to guess whether FF want to keep on selling ( 30% ) first !


Added on February 25, 2008, 5:12 pmIn those days, they kept on bombing like Pearl Harbour.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 11:45 PM
panasonic88
post Feb 25 2008, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(ts1 @ Feb 25 2008, 05:06 PM)
a bit macam double bottom at 3.20...

same as maybulk 3.50+ then rebound strongly
*i guess only  tongue.gif *
*
3.20 > 3.7x > 3.6x

hmmm, will it go back to 4.00 on tomorrow?
(like cherroy said, i think alot of small fish tersangkut at 4.00+/-) rolleyes.gif
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post Feb 25 2008, 05:22 PM

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so boring n no mood to check the movement of the shares liao leh.....usually down all the time.....wan to buy also scare it will drop further tomolo....so scary......really need to retire for the moment liao....
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post Feb 25 2008, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(ts1 @ Feb 25 2008, 05:06 PM)
a bit macam double bottom at 3.20...

same as maybulk 3.50+ then rebound strongly
*i guess only  tongue.gif *
*
Maybulk case is different with Gamuda. Maybulk is directly because of DBI falling.

QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 05:10 PM)
You have to guest whether FF want to keep on selling ( 30% ) first !


Added on February 25, 2008, 5:12 pmIn those days, they kept on bombing like Pearl Harbour.
*
Can't blame them, if MD whom is running the business disposing his stake to just merely 1.+%, then everyone also suspect something behind.
A 1.+% stake might mean his position also in doubt when re-appointing for the MD post.

SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 25 2008, 06:22 PM)
so boring n no mood to check the movement of the shares liao leh.....usually down all the time.....wan to buy also scare it will drop further tomolo....so scary......really need to retire for the moment liao....
*
Buy whenever everyone fears , sell whenever people greed, right ? biggrin.gif
chinkw1
post Feb 25 2008, 05:26 PM

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cherroy, Pana,

CPO like makan vigra like this. In 2 months up by a whooppy 30+%.

Some view that this bubble will burst. But with the inventory so high, some says demand still more than supply.

If like this up trend, cooking oil, sabun, shampoo etc... all will increase price soon. Inflation wise jia lat lor.... what u guys think?
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 05:27 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 25 2008, 06:05 PM)
NO. I takut falling dagger mah.

Tonight I want to go watch movie in sunway pyramid. And have a drink there at Bar Flam. To relax and get some feel of the equity market for March.
*
Nice to hear from you again.

Busy nowaday ?

kinwawa
post Feb 25 2008, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 05:25 PM)
Buy whenever everyone fears , sell whenever people greed, right ? biggrin.gif
*
when will the mode of our KLCI transform to make ppl greed ar?? I'm still waiting leh..hhehehehehe

today almost bought Genting @7 leh.....

btw.....TS Vincent Tan bought a lot of BJTOTO shares lately...since last month.....today he bought somemore....wat does this means???? Privatisation soon???


Added on February 25, 2008, 5:30 pmgoing home lo..bubye....hopefully tomolo will be a brighter day!

This post has been edited by kinwawa: Feb 25 2008, 05:30 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 05:31 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 25 2008, 06:29 PM)
when will the mode of our KLCI transform to make ppl greed ar?? I'm still waiting leh..hhehehehehe

today almost bought Genting @7 leh.....

btw.....TS Vincent Tan bought a lot of BJTOTO shares lately...since last month.....today he bought somemore....wat does this means???? Privatisation soon???
*
Usually buy and then sell to FF ( DiGi and Prudential ) .Cosway planning for relisting outside Malaysia. Not sure this time.
TopGunn
post Feb 25 2008, 06:41 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 25 2008, 05:29 PM)
when will the mode of our KLCI transform to make ppl greed ar?? I'm still waiting leh..hhehehehehe

today almost bought Genting @7 leh.....

btw.....TS Vincent Tan bought a lot of BJTOTO shares lately...since last month.....today he bought somemore....wat does this means???? Privatisation soon???


Added on February 25, 2008, 5:30 pmgoing home lo..bubye....hopefully tomolo will be a brighter day!
*
Vincent Tan reply officially no intention to take BJTOTO private. News available in www.klse.com.my

SKY 1809
post Feb 25 2008, 08:32 PM

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DJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia Earnings Forecasts "Unrealistic" - Citi

25/02/2008 08:36:00 AM



0836 GMT [Dow Jones] Makes no changes to defensive strategy; keeps Overweight on plantation, telecom sectors; keeps Neutral on banks, media; keeps Underweight on construction, property. Tips top buys as IOI Corp. (1961.KU), IJM Plantation (2216.KU), Sime Darby (4197.KU), Maybank (1155.KU), Public Bank (1295.KU), Hong Leong Bank (5819.KU), Resorts World (4715.KU), DiGi (6947.KU), BAT (4162.KU), SapuraCrest (8575.KU). Tips top sells as Gamuda (5398.KU), SP Setia (8664.KU), Bumiputra Commerce (1023.KU). (LES)

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 25 2008, 09:27 PM
jongkolkhoo
post Feb 25 2008, 10:07 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 25 2008, 07:32 PM)
DJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia Earnings Forecasts "Unrealistic" - Citi

25/02/2008 08:36:00 AM

 

0836 GMT [Dow Jones]  Makes no changes to defensive strategy; keeps Overweight on plantation, telecom sectors; keeps Neutral on banks, media; keeps Underweight on construction, property. Tips top buys as IOI Corp. (1961.KU), IJM Plantation (2216.KU), Sime Darby (4197.KU), Maybank (1155.KU), Public Bank (1295.KU), Hong Leong Bank (5819.KU), Resorts World (4715.KU), DiGi (6947.KU), BAT (4162.KU), SapuraCrest (8575.KU). Tips top sells as Gamuda (5398.KU), SP Setia (8664.KU), Bumiputra Commerce (1023.KU). (LES)
*
What about Genting ? Now so low.. I got stuck at 8.6 then when the dagger fall, drool.gif I catch and catch drool.gif and catch drool.gif and ... catch ? rclxub.gif
sharesa
post Feb 25 2008, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Feb 25 2008, 10:07 PM)
What about Genting ? Now so low.. I got stuck at 8.6 then when the dagger fall,  drool.gif I catch and catch  drool.gif  and catch  drool.gif  and ... catch ?  rclxub.gif
*
what's your average price?
SUSDavid83
post Feb 25 2008, 10:35 PM

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DJIA starts the day with:

12,408.13 +27.11 +0.22%
Vv.SoViEt.vV
post Feb 25 2008, 10:43 PM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Feb 25 2008, 10:07 PM)
What about Genting ? Now so low.. I got stuck at 8.6 then when the dagger fall,  drool.gif I catch and catch  drool.gif  and catch  drool.gif  and ... catch ?  rclxub.gif
*
genting at RM8.6? it will be pain to wait till it goes up.
SImPle PLan
post Feb 26 2008, 04:31 AM

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Can anyone tell me wat actually happen to Suncity?
It has post a record profit(due to revaluation of sunway pyramid)
It also planning to list its reit by 2nd half of 2008 but it seems tat tis stock is plummeted down.
SKY 1809
post Feb 26 2008, 07:38 AM

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QUOTE(SImPle PLan @ Feb 26 2008, 05:31 AM)
Can anyone tell me wat actually happen to Suncity?
It has post a record profit(due to revaluation of sunway pyramid)
It also planning to list its reit by 2nd half of 2008 but it seems tat tis stock is plummeted down.
*
Someone said the property market had peaked and now is in the correction phrase. There was a public listed property company that did badly and had to be rescued by IJM. Many fund houses call to underweight the property sector because of expected poor future earnings generally. Sub Prime issue has encouraged people to sell their properties held for speculative purposes.

There was a quite big run up of price to this stock ( Suncity ) last year partly due to "goreng". But the same thing cannot be expected this year with the current sentiment . Stocks are generally on correction phrase.

Sunway group was badly hurt during the currency crisis due to over expansion with very high gearings ( debts ) . And with newly completed second phrase of Sunway Pyramid, the gearing is expected to be high. High gearing is good during the boom, but could be very bad during the bad time. It is like a double edged sword.

The "sudden" expectation of US likely to go into recession have put many business people into fear ( caught unguarded /unprepared), especially for companies with high gearings and poor prospect for property sector.

Turning into Reit could be a safer solution as a good way to reduce the high gearing, probably they might want to avoid the same situation of the Asia Currency Crisis ( if they foresee that there is a likely recession or do not want to take the chance )

Investors at this moment prefer to hold stocks that are defensive in nature. Companies that keep lot of cash have the advantage. Cash could be King . These companies stand a better chance of surviving through a crisis ( if any )

[ High gearing means a company borrows lot of money ( in debts ), compared to the share capital they put in. ( for the beginners of this forumer ).]

Just my 2sen opinion.

Judge you own.

DJ MARKET TALK: Aseam Keeps SunCity At Buy, Target Cut To MYR5.40 - 2008-02-20 07:21:00.0



0721 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Aseambankers keeps Buy call on Sunway City (6289.KU) or SunCity, but cuts target price to MYR5.40 from MYR6.10 based on 13X FY09 EPS estimate; expects possible property sales slowdown post-election "with rising costs of living as the government has hinted at lowering fuel subsidies," says analyst Ong Chee Ting. However, outlook remains good with MYR2 billion targeted sales launches in FY08. Notes FY08 net profit forecast raised by 88.4% and core net profit by 7.7% to reflect higher margin from leisure, hospitality units thanks to Visit Malaysia Year 2007. Adds 2Q08 results were above expectation. Also, SunCity REIT slated for listing in 2H08 will act as longer-term growth catalyst. SunCity shares flat at MYR3.56. (SJO)

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 26 2008, 11:09 AM
aretla
post Feb 26 2008, 09:20 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 26 2008, 07:38 AM)

[ High gearing means a company borrow lot of money, compared to the share capital they put in. ( for the beginners of this forumer ).]

*
high gearing == debt??
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 09:23 AM

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wow DJIA closed at +190 plus
happy morning for everyone right biggrin.gif
ante5k
post Feb 26 2008, 09:27 AM

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not bad so far..
kinwawa
post Feb 26 2008, 09:43 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 09:23 AM)
wow DJIA closed at +190 plus
happy morning for everyone right biggrin.gif
*
nothing much movement so far...hibernate again....Zzzzzzzzz......
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 26 2008, 09:43 AM)
nothing much movement so far...hibernate again....Zzzzzzzzz......
*
HSI-C1 still got another 3 days b4 expired,but still got many ppl goreng. somemore the price still bounce up. Pity HSI-C2 still waiting for time to come.
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 10:36 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 26 2008, 10:30 AM)
HSI-C1 still got another 3 days b4 expired,but still got many ppl goreng. somemore the price still bounce up. Pity HSI-C2 still waiting for time to come.
*
like the cantonese saying "can eat, dun waste" laugh.gif

dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 26 2008, 10:30 AM)
HSI-C1 still got another 3 days b4 expired,but still got many ppl goreng. somemore the price still bounce up. Pity HSI-C2 still waiting for time to come.
*
if im not mistaken, tmrw will be its suspension day. Dun look at its expired day but its suspensions day. From tnrw onwards, there will be no more trading for this counter.
Today is last day. Becareful ...
Dun jump into burning bandwagon..
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 10:41 AM

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I also hoping this counter to be suspended so that HSI-C2 can take over its position.
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 10:46 AM

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so probably by the middle of the day we'll see a lot of selling pressure on HSI-C1

p/s: those who aint aware of the suspension period would be trap forever and seeing their money turning into toilet paper, ghosh...
SKY 1809
post Feb 26 2008, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 11:46 AM)
so probably by the middle of the day we'll see a lot of selling pressure on HSI-C1

p/s: those who aint aware of the suspension period would be trap forever and seeing their money turning into toilet paper, ghosh...
*
You are saying it is a good buy "bye" , right ?
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 11:32 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 26 2008, 10:51 AM)
You are saying it is a good buy "bye" , right ?
*
market seem very cautious today even though DJ up alot.
All awaiting for bad report to release this week..
Tonite, important report will release to indicate how much confidence of US consumer level.

Time to hibernate for awhile..Zzzz...
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 11:35 AM

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my status : hibernating

avoid watching too much market nowadays rolleyes.gif
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 10:46 AM)
so probably by the middle of the day we'll see a lot of selling pressure on HSI-C1

p/s: those who aint aware of the suspension period would be trap forever and seeing their money turning into toilet paper, ghosh...
*
i dun think so. the warrant still in money at 0.075cents.
Based on last 4 average days closing for Hang seng index, HSI-C1 still valued at 0.075cents
HSI average points at ard 23448.15. If HSI index closed higher that this points, HSI-C1 will be more higher..

Judge at ur own. =)

(Note: just rough estimation, please correct me if im wrong)

This post has been edited by dreams_achiever: Feb 26 2008, 11:38 AM
sharesa
post Feb 26 2008, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 26 2008, 11:36 AM)
i dun think so. the warrant still in money at 0.075cents.
Based on last 4 average days closing for Hang seng index, HSI-C1 still valued at 0.075cents
HSI average points at ard 23448.15. If HSI index closed higher that this points, HSI-C1 will be more higher..

Judge at ur own. =)

(Note: just rough estimation, please correct me if im wrong)
*
just wondering how come if HSI close higher, the HSI-C1 also expected to move higher? I thought these warrants not really move in-tandem with the Main share but mostly based on choice of goreng? hmm.gif
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post Feb 26 2008, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 26 2008, 11:42 AM)
just wondering how come if HSI close higher, the HSI-C1 also expected to move higher? I thought these warrants not really move in-tandem with the Main share but mostly based on choice of goreng? hmm.gif
*
Well, based on my understanding. As long as call warrant hasn't reach suspension date, all traders tend to goreng it whether mother share is rise or not. Just like HKEX-C7, yesterday rose so much although mother share drop (kind of goreng type).
But for HSI-C1 case, it will move in-line with mother share now since it has come to final 5 average-days before going to suspension.
Coz if during conversion process, calculation is based on last 5 average days. Ppl can't goreng this stock at this point of time.

Btw, 0.075 is just rough estimation without considering currency fluctuation, administration costs and etc..
(im using 2.39 for HKD conversion, kinda outdated)
lhurgyof
post Feb 26 2008, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Feb 26 2008, 09:20 AM)
high gearing == debt??
*
Yup, high gearing = high debt. Check the company's Debt-Equity ratio
sharesa
post Feb 26 2008, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 26 2008, 11:50 AM)
Well, based on my understanding. As long as call warrant hasn't reach suspension date, all traders tend to goreng it whether mother share is rise or not. Just like HKEX-C7, yesterday rose so much although mother share drop (kind of goreng type).
But for HSI-C1 case, it will move in-line with mother share now since it has come to final 5 average-days before going to suspension.
Coz if during conversion process, calculation is based on last 5 average days. Ppl can't goreng this stock at this point of time.

Btw, 0.075 is just rough estimation without considering currency fluctuation, administration costs and etc..
(im using 2.39 for HKD conversion, kinda outdated)
*
oh...i c.....thanks. However, I still find it quite difficult to comprehend the warrants movement. I feel they are erratic, kinda no sense of direction blink.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 26 2008, 12:10 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 26 2008, 12:58 PM)
oh...i c.....thanks. However, I still find it quite difficult to comprehend the warrants movement. I feel they are erratic, kinda no sense of direction blink.gif
*
Retailers are quite blur on warrants.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 26 2008, 02:28 PM
sharesa
post Feb 26 2008, 02:47 PM

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market moving towards the drain .....again!
kinwawa
post Feb 26 2008, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 26 2008, 02:47 PM)
market moving towards the drain .....again!
*
Despite the fact that DJ closed almost +190 yesterday! What is happening with the market!!!!!!!!!!
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 02:53 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 26 2008, 02:47 PM)
market moving towards the drain .....again!
*
whatever goes up, have to come down...
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 04:20 PM

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So HSI-C1 will be suspended starting from tomorrow ? now whooping 0.125 already.
robertngo
post Feb 26 2008, 04:23 PM

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why the market so no energy? due to uncertainty of the election?
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE
Subject : HSI-C1-Expiry of Call Warrants



Contents : Kindly be advised of the following:-

(i) HSI-C1 will be expiring at 5.00 p.m. on Friday, 29 February 2008.

(ii) Trading in HSI-C1 will be suspended with effect from 9.00 a.m., Wednesday, 27 February 2008 in order to facilitate the delisting of HSI-C1 arising from the expiry.
(iii) HSI-C1 will be removed from the Official List of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad with effect from 9.00 a.m., Monday, 3 March 2008.

Your attention is drawn to CIMB Investment Bank Berhad's notice to holders of HSI-C1 dated 28 January 2008
Please refer to above bold statement.
kinwawa
post Feb 26 2008, 04:32 PM

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since HSI-C1 so high now...are they gaining???? no idea how call warrant is played....
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 04:34 PM

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aiyor, one more day for them to "play" with HSI-C1

ghosh i was shocked too, a $45 stock can becme $145 in a day, bravo!
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 04:34 PM)
aiyor, one more day for them to "play" with HSI-C1

ghosh i was shocked too, a $45 stock can becme $145 in a day, bravo!
*
Now is time for gorenger to goreng the stock.
Still have 26mins to go before this stock become suspended. No chances to goreng liao after today...hehe

Wanna join the boat? I wont joining though..haha.. tongue.gif
aretla
post Feb 26 2008, 04:39 PM

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GAMUDA reviving wo..
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 04:48 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 26 2008, 04:38 PM)
Now is time for gorenger to goreng the stock.
Still have 26mins to go before this stock become suspended. No chances to goreng liao after today...hehe

Wanna join the boat? I wont joining though..haha.. tongue.gif
*
oppss i lost track of time
which means today is the last trading day for HSI-C1
me aint buying either, am watching it now
current highest price is 0.155 rolleyes.gif

p/s: last 11-min

This post has been edited by panasonic88: Feb 26 2008, 04:49 PM
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 05:03 PM

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okie, that's it, end of HSI-C1 legend, closed at 0.145

my question is: why i can still see ppl buying the HSI-C1? ain't they aware of the suspension date, which is tomorrow?? unsure.gif
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 05:09 PM

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Finally the day come. Been waiting for it to expire.... HSI-C2 show off time (provided HK market surge).
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 05:03 PM)
okie, that's it, end of HSI-C1 legend, closed at 0.145

my question is: why i can still see ppl buying the HSI-C1? ain't they aware of the suspension date, which is tomorrow??  unsure.gif
*
Calculation: Final 5 days average points = 23500.502
Intrinsic value = (23500.50 - 23000) / 2500 / 2.39 (currency conversion, not sure whether need to do averaging)
= 0.08386 (estimation)

Hm..based on this, whoever bought more than this price will sure loss.
But still this warrant is in-money. More worth than toilet-paper..kaka..

Sigh, yesterday din analyse this counter else this morning will enter at 0.06cents.
Anyway, out there still got plenty of chances..awaiting for better counter....

alivecmh: i rather opt for HSI-C4 if want to play HSI call warrant counter. Premium is much lower.

This post has been edited by dreams_achiever: Feb 26 2008, 06:20 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 26 2008, 05:15 PM

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CPO Prices May Reach MYR4,500/Ton In '08 - Analysts
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 05:21 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 26 2008, 05:15 PM)
Calculation: Final average points = 23500.502
Intrinsic value = (23500.50 - 23000) / 2500 / 2.39 (currency conversion, not sure whether need to do averaging)
= 0.08386 (estimation)

Hm..based on this, whoever bought more than this price will sure loss.
But still this warrant is in-money. More worth than toilet-paper..kaka..

Sigh, yesterday din analyse this counter else this morning will enter at 0.06cents.
Anyway, out there still got plenty of chances..awaiting for better counter....

alivecmh: i rather opt for HSI-C4 if want to play HSI call warrant counter. Premium is much lower.
*
i see, thanks for showing the calculation.
erm given another chance to choose again, i guess i'd opt for HSI-C4 too
premium is lower, maturity date is longer, too
CalvinCLK
post Feb 26 2008, 05:51 PM

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I think the average point is 5 days before delisting? Not sure about this, someone pls clarify... smile.gif

No more low premium index CW dy... stock CW left CCCC-C3 and -C4.... sad.gif
dreams_achiever
post Feb 26 2008, 06:23 PM

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QUOTE(CalvinCLK @ Feb 26 2008, 05:51 PM)
I think the average point is 5 days before delisting? Not sure about this, someone pls clarify... smile.gif

No more low premium index CW dy... stock CW left CCCC-C3 and -C4.... sad.gif
*
Yup. final 5 days average points. My original post edited for clearer information.
Leftover warrants at least 20% higher premium. Dunno Hang Seng able to reach 32K again in 4 months before most of current call warrants going to expired.

Btw, next Friday going to list few more new HK call warrants like china railway, hung kai seng(biggest property player in HK) and etc..
Watch out for it...biggrin.gif
chinkw1
post Feb 26 2008, 06:31 PM

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our market is very slow, going no where.

hope tonite dj up, then tomolo will b green day.
davehii
post Feb 26 2008, 06:40 PM

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user posted image

hi, referring to the reply above, where can i read the rules and requirement regarding the announcement of the quarterly result?
i tried to find the rules in klse page but dint find anything seem like it

today i read on sinchew saying that for companies with financial year end at 31 Dec, this is the last week to announce their quarterly financial result, so this mean the listed companies are given 2 months time to prepare the result?

Thanks
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post Feb 26 2008, 06:46 PM

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IOI Properties proposes share split

KUALA LUMPUR: IOI Properties Bhd has proposed a one-for-two share split and to undertake a renounceable rights issue of up to 169.53 million new shares.

The implementation of the rights issue was based on one rights share for every four shares held after the proposed share split, at an issue price of RM5.50 per share, it told Bursa Malaysia.

The company would also amend the memorandum and articles of association to facilitate the proposed share split.

"The proposed rights issue will raise funds to refinance bank borrowings utilised or to be utilised, to part-fund the proposed acquisition of a 5.3-acre site at Singapore's Sentosa Cove and the working capital purposes of the company," it said in a statement on Tuesday.

The company expects the proposals to be completed by the first quarter of financial year ending June 30, 2009.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...00&sec=business
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 07:10 PM

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Tonite US got many important statistic to be released. I think DJIA will either plunge deeply or surge sharply. .. scary wednesday
panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 08:13 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Feb 26 2008, 06:46 PM)
IOI Properties proposes share split

KUALA LUMPUR: IOI Properties Bhd has proposed a one-for-two share split and to undertake a renounceable rights issue of up to 169.53 million new shares.

The implementation of the rights issue was based on one rights share for every four shares held after the proposed share split, at an issue price of RM5.50 per share, it told Bursa Malaysia.

The company would also amend the memorandum and articles of association to facilitate the proposed share split.

"The proposed rights issue will raise funds to refinance bank borrowings utilised or to be utilised, to part-fund the proposed acquisition of a 5.3-acre site at Singapore's Sentosa Cove and the working capital purposes of the company," it said in a statement on Tuesday.

The company expects the proposals to be completed by the first quarter of financial year ending June 30, 2009.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...00&sec=business
*
erm is this a good news for ppl who would like to buy IOI Prop and keep as long term investment? rolleyes.gif


QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 26 2008, 07:10 PM)
Tonite US got many important statistic to be released. I think DJIA will either plunge deeply or surge sharply. .. scary wednesday
*
i'll bet on plunging then. but no worries la, as long as we are not T+3 kaki, we could still sleep soundly without affected by the statistic.

alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 08:22 PM

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I'm waiting for the next major drop. March gonna be a terrible month for KLSE. Thinking of to enter the market at april. Any advise ?

panasonic88
post Feb 26 2008, 08:30 PM

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i choose to sell as much as possible whenever i can
not buying anything for the coming few months (keep on stressing that to myself everyday) rolleyes.gif
lklatmy
post Feb 26 2008, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(davehii @ Feb 26 2008, 06:40 PM)


hi, referring to the reply above, where can i read the rules and requirement regarding the announcement of the quarterly result?
i tried to find the rules in klse page but dint find anything seem like it

today i read on sinchew saying that for companies with financial year end at 31 Dec, this is the last week to announce their quarterly financial result, so this mean the listed companies are given 2 months time to prepare the result?

Thanks
*
Under Rule 9.22 Listing requirements of Bursa.Hope it helps..


http://www.bursamalaysia.com/website/bm/ru...ads/LR_MBSB.pdf
a6meister
post Feb 26 2008, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 26 2008, 08:13 PM)
erm is this a good news for ppl who would like to buy IOI Prop and keep as long term investment? rolleyes.gif
i'll bet on plunging then. but no worries la, as long as we are not T+3 kaki, we could still sleep soundly without affected by the statistic.
*
ioiprop, well, not bad, will make a study on it tonight.
SUSDavid83
post Feb 26 2008, 10:40 PM

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DJIA starts the day with:

12,539.60 -30.62 -0.24%
alivecmh
post Feb 26 2008, 11:55 PM

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DJIA suddenly turn GREEN, recovering from the early lost.
aretla
post Feb 26 2008, 11:57 PM

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QUOTE(a6meister @ Feb 26 2008, 10:09 PM)
ioiprop, well, not bad, will make a study on it tonight.
*
ioiprop only.. not ioicorp...hmmm.... hmm.gif
not reli interested liao..
ankw
post Feb 27 2008, 12:05 AM

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Genting International slips into red with RM872m loss

KUALA LUMPUR: Singapore-listed Genting International plc, a subsidiary of Genting Bhd, plunged into the red for the year ended Dec 31, 2007 (FY07), with a net loss of S$381.5 million (RM872.4 million), compared with a net profit of S$56.9 million in FY06, mainly due to S$454.6 million impairment loss on goodwill arising from the acquisition of UK gaming firm Stanley Leisure plc, now known as Genting Stanley plc.

This resulted in loss per share of 5.08 cents, compared with earnings per share of 0.92 cents previously, Genting International announced to the Singapore Stock Exchange on Sunday evening.

It did not recommend any dividend for FY07.

Genting International said the increase in the UK gaming duty bands and rates imposed by the UK government beginning April 2007 had a negative impact on the profit performance of the group.

It said the UK government's move to implement a smoking ban in all public enclosed areas in England and Wales beginning July 2007 had also adversely affected the group's gaming business.

"The impairment loss of S$454.6 million on the Leisure & Hospitality segment resulted in the segment realising a loss from operations of S$387.9 million for the year.

"The investment segment also suffered an impairment loss, arising from the expiry of an option to purchase land in the UK, of S$18.1 million as well as a fair value loss on financial assets at fair value through profit or loss of S$1.2 million.

"Both the impairment loss and fair value loss resulted in the investment segment recognising a loss from operations of S$14.2 million for the year," it added.

However, the contribution from UK casinos had ballooned its FY07 revenue by 156% to S$749.4 million from S$292.9 million previously.

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-c2adac11


Gamuda share price slumps further



KUALA LUMPUR: Gamuda Bhd's share price slumped for the third consecutive trading day after its managing director Datuk Lin Yun Ling, who has helmed the company for 27 years, cut his stake in the construction-based company.

The stock fell another 26 sen to RM3.66, with 98.27 million shares valued at RM346.36 million done yesterday.

According to a Bloomberg report, Gamuda's market value has dropped almost a third, erasing RM3 billion since Feb 21 when Lin said he had cut his stake to 1.7% from 5.2%.

The report said construction stocks including rival MMC Corporation Bhd also tumbled as analysts speculated the sale by Lin suggested the country's building industry was poised to decline. MMC yesterday fell 14 sen to RM3.66.

The Edge Financial Daily reported yesterday that construction stocks had been adversely impacted by concerns over rising material costs, apart from news of Lin ceasing to be a substantial shareholder of Gamuda, with the construction index underperforming the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index.

Bloomberg cited a Citigroup Inc report that share prices of Malaysian builders were overvalued and may sink further.

Lin's sale "prompted fear that the prospects of the industry may be peaking," Citigroup analyst Wai Kee Choong, who has a sell on the stock, wrote in a report yesterday.

"Until we see more downgrades in target prices and earnings of construction companies to more realistic levels, it is still too early to bottom fish."

According to the Bloomberg report, Lin said he was still "optimistic" about Gamuda's prospects and some analysts said the government would award more contracts under a RM200 billion five-year spending plan stretching to 2010.

"I don't think the construction industry is about to go downhill," said Kaladher Govindran, head of research at TA Securities Bhd, who raised his rating on Gamuda to buy from hold after the stock slump. He said the sell-off "is not justified".

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-b12aacd1
dreams_achiever
post Feb 27 2008, 07:44 AM

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QUOTE(ankw @ Feb 27 2008, 12:05 AM)
Genting International slips into red with RM872m loss

KUALA LUMPUR: Singapore-listed Genting International plc, a subsidiary of Genting Bhd, plunged into the red for the year ended Dec 31, 2007 (FY07), with a net loss of S$381.5 million (RM872.4 million), compared with a net profit of S$56.9 million in FY06, mainly due to S$454.6 million impairment loss on goodwill arising from the acquisition of UK gaming firm Stanley Leisure plc, now known as Genting Stanley plc.

This resulted in loss per share of 5.08 cents, compared with earnings per share of 0.92 cents previously, Genting International announced to the Singapore Stock Exchange on Sunday evening.

It did not recommend any dividend for FY07.

Genting International said the increase in the UK gaming duty bands and rates imposed by the UK government beginning April 2007 had a negative impact on the profit performance of the group.

It said the UK government's move to implement a smoking ban in all public enclosed areas in England and Wales beginning July 2007 had also adversely affected the group's gaming business.

"The impairment loss of S$454.6 million on the Leisure & Hospitality segment resulted in the segment realising a loss from operations of S$387.9 million for the year.

"The investment segment also suffered an impairment loss, arising from the expiry of an option to purchase land in the UK, of S$18.1 million as well as a fair value loss on financial assets at fair value through profit or loss of S$1.2 million.

"Both the impairment loss and fair value loss resulted in the investment segment recognising a loss from operations of S$14.2 million for the year," it added.

However, the contribution from UK casinos had ballooned its FY07 revenue by 156% to S$749.4 million from S$292.9 million previously.

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-c2adac11
Gamuda share price slumps further
KUALA LUMPUR: Gamuda Bhd's share price slumped for the third consecutive trading day after its managing director Datuk Lin Yun Ling, who has helmed the company for 27 years, cut his stake in the construction-based company.

The stock fell another 26 sen to RM3.66, with 98.27 million shares valued at RM346.36 million done yesterday.

According to a Bloomberg report, Gamuda's market value has dropped almost a third, erasing RM3 billion since Feb 21 when Lin said he had cut his stake to 1.7% from 5.2%.

The report said construction stocks including rival MMC Corporation Bhd also tumbled as analysts speculated the sale by Lin suggested the country's building industry was poised to decline. MMC yesterday fell 14 sen to RM3.66.

The Edge Financial Daily reported yesterday that construction stocks had been adversely impacted by concerns over rising material costs, apart from news of Lin ceasing to be a substantial shareholder of Gamuda, with the construction index underperforming the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index.

Bloomberg cited a Citigroup Inc report that share prices of Malaysian builders were overvalued and may sink further.

Lin's sale "prompted fear that the prospects of the industry may be peaking," Citigroup analyst Wai Kee Choong, who has a sell on the stock, wrote in a report yesterday.

"Until we see more downgrades in target prices and earnings of construction companies to more realistic levels, it is still too early to bottom fish."

According to the Bloomberg report, Lin said he was still "optimistic" about Gamuda's prospects and some analysts said the government would award more contracts under a RM200 billion five-year spending plan stretching to 2010.

"I don't think the construction industry is about to go downhill," said Kaladher Govindran, head of research at TA Securities Bhd, who raised his rating on Gamuda to buy from hold after the stock slump. He said the sell-off "is not justified".

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-b12aacd1
*
Actually, this news kinda outdated. I've checked news from Genting website. It has reported this news since 24th February 2008 (2 days ahead).
No wonder Genting drop these few days.
But fundamentally, it quite good. Time to bottom fishing..Well supported at RM7.10-RM7

SUSDavid83
post Feb 27 2008, 07:48 AM

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DJIA closed the day with:

12,684.92 +114.70 +0.91%
sinclairZX81
post Feb 27 2008, 08:22 AM

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brows.gif More ommph for local market today?
jiaenn83
post Feb 27 2008, 08:24 AM

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seem like it will b good day for msia mkt...djia increased yest...
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 09:10 AM

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not really eh, my counter mostly are still sleeping or half awake laugh.gif
kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:10 AM

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yest DJ+190 also nothing much la......need to wait for GE to end leh....
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 10:10 AM)
yest DJ+190 also nothing much la......need to wait for GE to end leh....
*
Hi Mate,

SACRES good buy or not for long term keeping ?

kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:16 AM)
Hi Mate,

SACRES good buy or not for long term keeping ?
*
U mean SAPCRES is it???? As mentioned...the order book is huge but whether profit is realized o not in reality remains a question....but i'm not too worry la for keeping.....i think after GE O&G counter will rebound....just my 2cents.....
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 09:28 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 10:23 AM)
U mean SAPCRES is it???? As mentioned...the order book is huge but whether profit is realized o not in reality remains a question....but i'm not too worry la for keeping.....i think after GE O&G counter will rebound....just my 2cents.....
*
Sorry it should be SAPCRES, typo error.

Now, could inch up slowly if US is ok, could be quite boring.

people want to see where is the support line first.



kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:28 AM

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but price is sliding down recently...dun rush into buying yet....
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 09:30 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 10:28 AM)
but price is sliding down recently...dun rush into buying yet....
*
Buy 20 lots only. Buy whenever people fear mah !


Added on February 27, 2008, 9:32 amDJ MARKET TALK: Gamuda +1.6%; May Test MYR4 On Buyback Hopes - 2008-02-27 01:19:00.0



0119 GMT [Dow Jones] Gamuda (5398.KU) +1.6% at MYR3.92 in moderate volume, extending recent gains on hopes company may buy back its own shares after losing almost MYR2.6 billion in market capitalization over last 6 days. Last year, Gamuda's shareholders approved a share buyback plan, allowing the company to buy back up to 10% of its shares. Dealer notes Gamuda's single largest shareholder, FMR LLC & Fidelity International, last week bought 40,300 Gamuda shares, raising its stake to 11.9%. "These are positive factors and could help lift Gamuda to around MYR4 (psychological resistance)," says one dealer. (VGB)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 09:32 AM
sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 09:28 AM)
but price is sliding down recently...dun rush into buying yet....
*
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:30 AM)
Buy 20 lots only. Buy whenever people fear mah !


Added on February 27, 2008, 9:32 amDJ MARKET TALK: Gamuda +1.6%; May Test MYR4 On Buyback Hopes - 2008-02-27 01:19:00.0
0119 GMT [Dow Jones] Gamuda (5398.KU) +1.6% at MYR3.92 in moderate volume, extending recent gains on hopes company may buy back its own shares after losing almost MYR2.6 billion in market capitalization over last 6 days. Last year, Gamuda's shareholders approved a share buyback plan, allowing the company to buy back up to 10% of its shares. Dealer notes Gamuda's single largest shareholder, FMR LLC & Fidelity International, last week bought 40,300 Gamuda shares, raising its stake to 11.9%. "These are positive factors and could help lift Gamuda to around MYR4 (psychological resistance)," says one dealer. (VGB)
*
sapcres is always one of my favourite. THough I'm stuck @ average 1.70, I feel that it's price is underrated now, and believe there's price recovery in store. What to do , sentiment is bad as most KLSE counters plus O & G counters are affected.
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 27 2008, 10:39 AM)
sapcres is always one of my favourite. THough I'm stuck @ average 1.70, I  feel that it's price is underrated now, and believe there's price recovery in store. What to do , sentiment is bad as most KLSE counters plus O & G counters are affected.
*
They say retailers all waiting and see.

Gamuda could be the yardstick again, watch its movement.

kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:44 AM

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ya....i'm actually thinking of buying somemore to average down.....but nt rushing yet.....i think after GE will rebound....hopefully market sentiment will be better then....
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 09:45 AM

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for O&G counter, i like KNM smile.gif

hoping to sell my SAPCRES & change for KNM, when the time is right.
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post Feb 27 2008, 09:50 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:45 AM)
for O&G counter, i like KNM smile.gif

hoping to sell my SAPCRES & change for KNM, when the time is right.
*
Too complicate to understand. I do not like right issue, bonus issue is ok.


DJ MARKET TALK: OSK Keeps KNM Group At Trading Buy - 2008-02-05 03:18:00.0



0318 GMT [Dow Jones] OSK keeps KNM Group (7164.KU) at Trading Buy, target at MYR8.50, after company yesterday proposed to raise MYR2.2 billion to finance potential strategic acquisitions; is looking to raise MYR1.1 billion via 1-for-4 rights issue at MYR4.00/share and another MYR1.1 billion via US$350 million exchangeable bond. Also plans two-for-one bonus issue. "We note KNM is announcing the fund-raising first before the actual acquisition, thus indicating its commitment to the exercise, but it may be exposed to some risks," says analyst Chris Eng; raising net profit call to MYR508 million and MYR732 million for FY08, FY09 respectively, taking into account full conversion of exchangeable bonds. Shares +2% at MYR7.35.(ALE)

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 10:00 AM
sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 09:51 AM

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if volume starts increasing for Sapcres, I'll buy some
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 09:57 AM

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I buy bcos book order is 6 billions and a favourite of Citigroup.

It is not a tip.
sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:57 AM)
I buy bcos book order is  6 billions and a favourite of Citigroup.

It is not a tip.
*
yeah, but its been a downtrend quite awhile, waiting for its reversal. Just hope to catch at right timing.
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:57 AM)
I buy bcos book order is  6 billions and a favourite of Citigroup.

It is not a tip.
*
haha welcome to our SAPCRES boat biggrin.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 11:11 AM)
haha welcome to our SAPCRES boat biggrin.gif
*
Gamuda would be the proxy for market RM 4 is the deciding factor.

skiddtrader
post Feb 27 2008, 10:17 AM

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Volume is a bit thin today.
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:14 AM)
Gamuda would be the proxy for market RM 4 is the deciding factor.
*
wouldnt buy even tho market gives a TP of RM 5 (if)

i heard there would be some announcement coming out after the GE, probably a negative news
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post Feb 27 2008, 10:30 AM

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DJ MARKET TALK: USD/MYR Falls Below 3.2050, CB May Be Supporting - 2008-02-27 02:19:00.0


FF Inflow or outflow, a bit blur blur ????

0219 GMT [Dow Jones] USD/MYR breached 3.2050 support, now at new decade low 3.2020 vs 3.2060 early morning on strong foreign fund flows, traders say; central bank appears to be supporting at 3.2020. "The market is now selling USD higher at around 3.2030-3.2040. Looks like there's slight profit-taking," says one; tips support at 3.2020 today, next key psychological level at 3.2000.(SJO)

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 10:30 AM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 27 2008, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:18 AM)
wouldnt buy even tho market gives a TP of RM 5 (if)

i heard there would be some announcement coming out after the GE, probably a negative news
*
really? what negative news that market expecting?
BN couldn't win 2/3 majority votes? (most likely i think it is)
If it does, sure KLSE will plunge to valley of doom.
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post Feb 27 2008, 10:38 AM

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bought sapcres already again
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 27 2008, 10:37 AM)
really? what negative news that market expecting?
BN couldn't win 2/3 majority votes? (most likely i think it is)
If it does, sure KLSE will plunge to valley of doom.
*
i dunno... unsure.gif

GAMUDA is 4.00 now
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 27 2008, 11:38 AM)
bought sapcres already again
*
Do not follow me to Holland !
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post Feb 27 2008, 10:43 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:40 AM)
Do not follow me to Holland !
*
not follow u -lah, Sky tongue.gif , but volume sudden up
TScherroy
post Feb 27 2008, 10:50 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:57 AM)
I buy bcos book order is  6 billions and a favourite of Citigroup.

It is not a tip.
*
If not mistaken when I came across some articles that Citigroup was the party making a 'sell' call just before it plunging down.

Not quite remember, I might be wrong.
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 27 2008, 11:50 AM)
If not mistaken when I came across some articles that Citigroup was the party making a 'sell' call just before it plunging down.

Not quite remember, I might be wrong.
*
DJ MARKET TALK: Citigroup Keeps Defensive Stance On Malaysia - 2008-01-07 07:14:00.0



0714 GMT [Dow Jones] Malaysia's consumption growth is likely to moderate in 2008, with government moves to release EPF funds unlikely to alter spending patterns significantly amid rising inflation environment, Citigroup's Wai Kee Choong says in report. Reiterates defensive strategy; recommends stocks with high yields, strong cash flows. "In the face of a twin-threat of slowing consumption growth and rising inflation environment, we feel that cyclical sectors could be headed toward mid-cycle corrections. Until the government reduces the hefty year petrol subsidies, it is unlikely that spending on infrastructure projects would be rolled out in a big way." Stays Overweight on Plantations, Telecom sectors; "The strong CPO price and telcos' strong cashflow should continue to lead the Malaysian market." Neutral on Banks, Media; Underweight Construction, Property. Tips top buys as IOI Corp. (1961.KU), Kuala Lumpur Kepong (2445.KU), IJM Plantation (3336.KU), Maybank (1155.KU), Public Bank (1295.KU), Hong Leong Bank (5819.KU), Resorts World (4715.KU), DiGi (6947.KU), BAT (4162.KU), SapuraCrest (8575.KU), NSTP (3999.KU). Tips top sells as Gamuda (5398.KU), SP Setia (8664.KU), Bumiputra Commerce (1023.KU). (LES)

DJ MARKET TALK: M;sia Oil & Gas Shrs Up; Safe Haven Status-Dealer - 2008-01-24 08:01:00.0



0801 GMT [Dow Jones] Malaysia's oil & gas-related stocks higher as investors seek to boost exposure in defensive sectors; dealers tip oil & gas engineering, services companies to continue to attract buying interest as growing global exploration activities likely to help support earnings growth in coming years. "Given all the fears about a U.S. recession and the market volatility, risk averse investors would be looking to raise their exposure to sectors considered safe havens, including oil & gas," dealer says. Perisai (0047.KU) +9.6% at MYR1.49, KNM Group (7164.KU) +4.0% at MYR6.50, Kencana (5122.KU) +1.4% at MYR2.14, Sapura Crest (8575.KU) +5.6% at MYR1.50, Scomi Group (7158.KU) +3.8% at MYR1.35. (BEL)

DJ MARKET TALK: SapCrest May Rise 5%-9% On Promising Outlook - 2008-01-11 00:42:00.0



0042 GMT [Dow Jones] SapuraCrest Petroleum (8575.KU) may rise 5%-9% on Malaysian Reserve report oil & gas player set for promising future after securing works of up to MYR6 billion. "Contracts for secured work currently stand at MYR6 billion, with about MYR5 billion added on in 2007. We have more tenders that are in various stages of the evaluation process, which (if secured) could result in further growth of orderbook," SapCrest's executive vice-chairman Shahril Shamsudin says, according to report. "Most of these projects have already been factored in (to share price), but there's growing interest in oil and gas players from foreign funds. This report may help attract fresh buying interest in SapCrest," says dealer. Shares ended flat at MYR1.80; resistance at MYR1.96 (Oct. 30 peak). (VGB)

DJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia Earnings Forecasts "Unrealistic" - Citi - 2008-02-25 08:36:00.0



0836 GMT [Dow Jones] Citigroup says consensus is "behind the curve" on cutting EPS growth estimates for Malaysian stocks; house recently cut forecast to just 9.9% for 2008E. Expects earnings downgrades over coming months as believes some target prices, EPS growth numbers remain at unrealistic levels; notes earnings disappointments from some smaller developers recently. "Until more downgrades come through, it is unlikely that we will see the bottom of the market," says Wai Kee Choong. Makes no changes to defensive strategy; keeps Overweight on plantation, telecom sectors; keeps Neutral on banks, media; keeps Underweight on construction, property. Tips top buys as IOI Corp. (1961.KU), IJM Plantation (2216.KU), Sime Darby (4197.KU), Maybank (1155.KU), Public Bank (1295.KU), Hong Leong Bank (5819.KU), Resorts World (4715.KU), DiGi (6947.KU), BAT (4162.KU), SapuraCrest (8575.KU). Tips top sells as Gamuda (5398.KU), SP Setia (8664.KU), Bumiputra Commerce (1023.KU). (LES)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 11:08 AM
jongkolkhoo
post Feb 27 2008, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 27 2008, 09:50 AM)
If not mistaken when I came across some articles that Citigroup was the party making a 'sell' call just before it plunging down.

Not quite remember, I might be wrong.
*
really tempted to buy sapcres however premium looks equally attractive and chances of dropping below .17 quite slim . don't quote me.

SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(jongkolkhoo @ Feb 27 2008, 12:02 PM)
really tempted to buy sapcres however premium looks equally attractive  and chances of dropping below .17 quite slim . don't quote me.
*
Warning. Do not follow me to Holland. I just buy to keep. Sell if price is good.

jongkolkhoo
post Feb 27 2008, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:05 AM)
Warning. Do not follow me to Holland. I just buy to keep. Sell if price is good.
*
This week is buying week for me. I Just buy and then go for a holiday. come back on 8th march and hopefully make some small profit. If everything not good, I just keep lor . Holland also got people company ma.. hmm.gif icon_rolleyes.gif better than buying rubbish during holiday. BTW any idea on what to buy in Jordan? besides dead sea mud.
sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 11:22 AM

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so many Sapcres Kaki around rolleyes.gif
pooh88
post Feb 27 2008, 11:26 AM

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Holland is a nice place to visit rclxms.gif
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 11:28 AM

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eh seriously, the volume for SAPCRES really pick up

something good gonna happen soon yah biggrin.gif
sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 11:28 AM)
eh seriously, the volume for SAPCRES really pick up

something good gonna happen soon yah biggrin.gif
*
maybe good financial report
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 27 2008, 12:29 PM)
maybe good financial report
*
Many investors are visitors of this forum. Someone said last week. biggrin.gif
jongkolkhoo
post Feb 27 2008, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(pooh88 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:26 AM)
Holland is a nice place to visit  rclxms.gif
*
Maybe I 'm not so lucky
after holiday in jordan then holiday in holland.. sweat.gif sweat.gif icon_idea.gif icon_idea.gif



***** warning********
(the following might also be a holland trip)

my Personal opinion ... if khairy wins his seat ( 99% win ) the scomi group goes up up icon_idea.gif

sharesa
post Feb 27 2008, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 11:33 AM)
Many investors are visitors of this forum. Someone said last week. biggrin.gif
*
what do you mean, eh? what's got to do with good financial report? hmm.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 27 2008, 12:36 PM)
what do you mean, eh? what's got to do with good financial report? hmm.gif
*
DJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia 4Q GDP Growth Likely +6.2% On-Year -DBS - 2008-02-27 03:09:00.0



0309 GMT [Dow Jones] DBS expects Malaysia's 4Q GDP growth at +6.2% on-year on stronger investment, stable consumption growth. "Growth in the manufacturing sector is not expected to be spectacular given the dismal external environment, but other sectors could very well spring some positive surprises. We expect the construction, mining as well as services sector to provide the necessary growth impetus." Says construction sector to continue to benefit from government's infrastructure development projects, fiscal budget. Expects growth in financial, business (real estate) services sectors to remain buoyant, but may have moderated from 3Q07 peak on market volatility due to U.S. subprime woes. Expects tourism, related industries to benefit from steady visitor inflows due to Visit Malaysia 2007 marketing campaign. "Mining sector should do well too, on the back of the high oil prices and increased regional demand." Data due after market close today. (LES)




kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 12:04 PM

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wei...i got meeting just now...and u all bought so many sapcres make it higher liao! thanks! i wanna buy more liao!!!!

btw...Pana...PBBANK drop somemore today....is it due to ex-price???
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 12:04 PM)
wei...i got meeting just now...and u all bought so many sapcres make it higher liao! thanks! i wanna buy more liao!!!!

btw...Pana...PBBANK drop somemore today....is it due to ex-price???
*
yeah i believe so smile.gif
aretla
post Feb 27 2008, 12:25 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 27 2008, 12:04 PM)
wei...i got meeting just now...and u all bought so many sapcres make it higher liao! thanks! i wanna buy more liao!!!!

btw...Pana...PBBANK drop somemore today....is it due to ex-price???
*
wat does "ex-price" means?

i tot we should look for good P/E ratio and EPS when choosing shares..
sapcres have -ve EPS wo.. still a good buy?
CalvinCLK
post Feb 27 2008, 12:44 PM

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After the heat of HSI-C1, I believe the next target might be HSI-C4, since it's the lowest premium rate among other -C2,-C3. I might consider buying some to keep. Expiry date August 2008, half a year more to go... Safer...


Added on February 27, 2008, 12:48 pmBOC-C2 in my shopping list also. End of august, even late... Today it rallys dy... I just found out about this warrant yesterday...

This post has been edited by CalvinCLK: Feb 27 2008, 12:48 PM
TScherroy
post Feb 27 2008, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Feb 27 2008, 12:25 PM)
i tot we should look for good P/E ratio and EPS when choosing shares..
sapcres have -ve EPS wo.. still a good buy?
*
This counter financial result is wobbling here and there. But does show some improvement recently. Got lot of project but whether it will turn the project in profitable $$, then only time will tell.
Supposely, it involves O&G, should be very good in this industry lately. But downside is it is highly political linked stock.


Added on February 27, 2008, 12:52 pm
QUOTE(CalvinCLK @ Feb 27 2008, 12:44 PM)
After the heat of HSI-C1, I believe the next target might be HSI-C4, since it's the lowest premium rate among other -C2,-C3. I might consider buying some to keep. Expiry date August 2008, half a year more to go... Safer...


Added on February 27, 2008, 12:48 pmBOC-C2 in my shopping list also. End of august, even late... Today it rallys dy... I just found out about this warrant yesterday...
*
Yup, C4 exercise price is lower than C2, C3 at 28,888. Once HSI crosses this level, it is 'in money' already. But market needs to turn into some bull run at least for HSI to reach that level.

Anyway, personally don't think the subprime and credit crisis is totally over, especially recently inflation showing some real threat already, oil>USD 100, Gold > USD 950, CPO > 3800. sweat.gif
Our money is shrinking fast without notice! icon_question.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 27 2008, 12:55 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 27 2008, 01:48 PM)
This counter financial result is wobbling here and there. But does show some improvement recently. Got lot of project but whether it will turn the project in profitable $$, then only time will tell.
Supposely, it involves O&G, should be very good in this industry lately. But downside is it is highly political linked stock.
*
Thank you for sharing the information.

I ask people not to follow me to Holland, and yet ....

Next time I should keep my big mouth shut.

Probably I cannot sleep well tonight...

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 12:54 PM
TScherroy
post Feb 27 2008, 12:56 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 27 2008, 12:54 PM)
Thank you for sharing the information.

I ask people not to follow me to Holland, and yet ....

Next time I should keep my big mouth shut.

Probably I cannot  sleep well tonight...
*
Doesn't necessary will go to Holland one, especially for Sapcres, at least it is trading quite resonable cheap level.
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 27 2008, 01:56 PM)
Doesn't necessary will go to Holland one, especially for Sapcres, at least it is trading quite resonable cheap level.
*
But very poor management. Project in hand 6 billions also cannot make money.

If Buffet is in Malaysia, he prefers to buy up 51% company, and sacks the management.
hexen7
post Feb 27 2008, 01:02 PM

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Sapcres hot now ar?


davehii
post Feb 27 2008, 01:23 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Feb 26 2008, 08:49 PM)
Under Rule 9.22 Listing requirements of Bursa.Hope it helps..
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/website/bm/ru...ads/LR_MBSB.pdf
*
ok found it. i was lookint at http://www.bursamalaysia.com/website/bm/ru...securities.html , no wonder cannot find it. Thanks
dreams_achiever
post Feb 27 2008, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 27 2008, 12:48 PM)
This counter financial result is wobbling here and there. But does show some improvement recently. Got lot of project but whether it will turn the project in profitable $$, then only time will tell.
Supposely, it involves O&G, should be very good in this industry lately. But downside is it is highly political linked stock.


Added on February 27, 2008, 12:52 pm

Yup, C4 exercise price is lower than C2, C3 at 28,888. Once HSI crosses this level, it is 'in money' already. But market needs to turn into some bull run at least for HSI to reach that level.

Anyway, personally don't think the subprime and credit crisis is totally over, especially recently inflation showing some real threat already, oil>USD 100, Gold > USD 950, CPO > 3800.  sweat.gif
Our money is shrinking fast without notice!  icon_question.gif
*
Yah, i also think same as well. HSI call warrant is no longer target for punters anymore.
Even HSI up +800 points, current HSI-cw having little movement. Unlike HSI-C1..(miss this counter so much)
Better change target to another HK counter.
Btw, new HSI-cw (HSI-C5) will be out in next week if not mistaken. But cw profile not yet out. Hope its exercise price much lower than all current HSI counter.
kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 02:46 PM

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wah...sapcres is dipping even more......i think foreign fund exiting for the moment till GE over.....anyway...will get more@ 1.1X
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post Feb 27 2008, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Feb 27 2008, 12:25 PM)
wat does "ex-price" means?

i tot we should look for good P/E ratio and EPS when choosing shares..
sapcres have -ve EPS wo.. still a good buy?
*
Where you see -ve EPS? I tot already move to +ve zone
skiddtrader
post Feb 27 2008, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Feb 27 2008, 04:29 PM)
Where you see -ve EPS? I tot already move to +ve zone
*
I think it was last year's financial results. This year's results q-q looks much better though.
kinwawa
post Feb 27 2008, 04:44 PM

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y is the price still sliding......hai....to buy o not to buy tongue.gif
TScherroy
post Feb 27 2008, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Feb 27 2008, 04:43 PM)
I think it was last year's financial results. This year's results q-q looks much better though.
*
Yes, last year, the company still making some losses in the quarterly report.

To calculate the EPS and PE on Sapcres, one needs to take into account of the potential warrant dilution (which almost 1/3 of its capital paid out) in order to justify more accurate on EPS and PE side.


Added on February 27, 2008, 4:54 pm
QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 27 2008, 01:44 PM)
Yah, i also think same as well. HSI call warrant is no longer target for punters anymore.
Even HSI up +800 points, current HSI-cw having little movement. Unlike HSI-C1..(miss this counter so much)
Better change target to another HK counter.
Btw, new HSI-cw (HSI-C5) will be out in next week if not mistaken. But cw profile not yet out. Hope its exercise price much lower than all current HSI counter.
*
HK-fever or CWs frenzy is over since last year end. Many had been burned by the 'fever' so whether future, the CWs still being chased after, don't know.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 27 2008, 04:55 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 05:37 PM

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Warning : Samudra ( Oil & Gas stock ) just reported a higher loss of RM 15m compared to RM1m in the previous year.

This may cause other oil and gas stocks ( esp Sapura Crest ) to drop. Do not catch a falling knife.

DJ MARKET TALK: Malaysia Shares End +0.1%; 1367-1384 Eyed - 2008-02-27 09:47:00.0



0947 GMT [Dow Jones] KLCI ends +0.1% at 1376.62 in thin volume, led by Gamuda (5398.KU), as concerns over company prospects ease after Managing Director Lin Yun Ling assured investors he will stay to lead the group for at least another five years. Some 778 million shares changed hands, market breadth positive with gainers marginally beating losers 370 to 361. Benchmark index tipped to trade within 1367 (200-day moving average) and 1384 (5-day moving average) range tomorrow. "We're still lagging compared to regional markets. General lackluster trading is due to the lack of any positive catalysts to boost the market. Most foreigners are staying on the sidelines until the political uncertainty is cleared after the elections," says dealer. Among gainers, Gamuda (5398.KU) +1.6% at MYR3.92, Sime Darby (4197.KU) +0.8% at MYR12.00, and IOI Corp (1961.KU) +2.5% at MYR8.30. On downside, Commerce-Asset (1651.KU) down 1% at MYR10.30, MRCB (1651.KU) down 1.5% at MYR2.02, and Public Bank (1295.KU) down 2.7% at MYR10.70. (ALE)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 27 2008, 06:09 PM
aretla
post Feb 27 2008, 05:39 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Feb 27 2008, 04:29 PM)
Where you see -ve EPS? I tot already move to +ve zone
*
from PBe sharelink smile.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 06:13 PM

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M'SIA RECORDS Q4 GDP OF 7.3 PCT, 6.3 PCT FOR 2007
27 Feb 2008, 18:11
M'SIA RECORDS Q4 GDP OF 7.3 PCT, 6.3 PCT FOR 2007
first para to read: fourth quarter last year, stead of this year
KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 27 (Bernama) -- Malaysia's economy grew at a blistering
pace of 7.3 percent in the fourth quarter last year, leading the nation to
chalk
up a commendable 6.3 percent gross domestic product for the whole of 2007.
This was the fastest pace of growth since the second quarter of 2004 when
the economy expanded by 7.9 percent.
Last year's growth of 6.3 percent versus 5.9 percent in 2006 was the best
achievement for the full year compared with 6.8 percent in 2004.
Malaysia managed to surpass the targeted six percent growth thanks to
robust domestic demand, driven by strong private consumption spending and
investment activities, Bank Negara Malaysia and the Statistics Department said
in statements issued separately here today.
The department said that the GDP expanded to RM641.49 billion last year at
current prices compared with RM572.55 billion in 2006.
Looking ahead, Bank Negara said growth prospects remains favourable, with
expanding domestic demand to continue to provide strong support for the
economy.
Domestic demand remained strong in the fourth quarter, expanding by 9.8
percent on the strength of private sector activities, while increased public
sector spending continued to support growth.
The central bank said private consumption expenditure grew by 11.1 percent
supported by high disposable income due to strong commodity prices, salary
increment in the public sector and stable employment market.
Besides this, the natiownide year-end sales had also encouraged consumer
spending it said.
For the first quarter, Malaysia chalked up a GDP of 5.5 percent, 5.7
percent in second quarter and 6.7 percent in the third quarter.
"The GDP growth for both the full year and the last quarter was way beyond
my expectations," said Inter-Pacific Research Sdn Bhd head of research Anthony
Dass.
He attributed the superlative performance to the agriculture sector,
particularly palm oil prices, which have been scaling historical high prices in
the excess of RM3,000 per tonne.
Bank Negara said the agriculture and mining sectors benefited from the
robust performance during the quarter, which could be seen through output in
agriculture, which increased by 6.9 percent following expansion in crude palm
oil output.
This was also supported by higher output of livestock.
Growth in the construction sector was sustained at 4.7 percent in the
fourth quarter supported by activities in the civil engineering such as
construction of expressways and non-residential sub-sectors.
For the whole of 2007, the construction sector expanded by 4.6 percent
which was the highest growth since 1999.
Private investment indicators, namely loans approved and disbursed to the
manufacturing and construction sectors as well as imports of capital goods
indicated increased capital spending by the private sector.
Similarly, higher disbursement for development expenditure by the Federal
Government was channelled towards agriculture and rural economic activities,
improving public utilities and transportation infrastructure as well as for the
provisions of education and health services.
Elsewhere, the manufacturing sector expanded by 5.6 percent compared to
the
third quarter of 3.3 percent, reflecting strong expansion in the
domestic-oriented industries.
The services sector, which continued to be the main impetus to GDP growth,
expanded by 9.1 percent.
Bank Negara said while global growth was expected to moderate this year,
the continued strength of domestic demand in the emerging economies,
particularly in the Asian region, would lend support to global growth.
Commodity producing countries would in particular, continue to benefit
from the high commodity prices, Bank Negara said.
The central bank said consumption activities were expected to remain
resilient in view of firm labour market conditions and high commodity prices.
Underlying private business and investment activities continued to expand,
together with the implementation of projects under the Ninth Malaysia Plan.
Near-term indicators as well as the latest six-month smoothed growth rate
of the Department of Statistics of Malaysia leading index indicate that
the nation's economy would remain resilient this year, Bank Negara said. --
BERNAMA






panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 06:25 PM

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my office connection was down in the afternoon...

SAPCRES is down, surprisingly ohmy.gif
volume increase, price down, does it mean ppl are selling than buying?
okk
post Feb 27 2008, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 06:25 PM)
my office connection was down in the afternoon...

SAPCRES is down, surprisingly ohmy.gif
volume increase, price down, does it mean ppl are selling than buying?
*
Every sell is a buy smile.gif
Actually the more accurate of saying it is more sellers want to throw the stock rather than more buyers want to buy the stock.
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 09:02 PM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 27 2008, 07:51 PM)
Every sell is a buy smile.gif
Actually the more accurate of saying it is more sellers want to throw the stock rather than more buyers want to buy the stock.
*
exactly what i mean
volume up, but price go down = seller is throwing the stock
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 09:09 PM

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okk, i am kind of paranoid when i see you here...

reason : you only show up in the discussion when the market is plunging
when i see you, i always think of CI = 1350 laugh.gif

ah anyway, U.S market has been up for 3 days continuously, so, becareful guys

and i heard that March would be a bad month as a lot of financing data is coming out from major banks

i came across this article...

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by panasonic88: Feb 27 2008, 09:10 PM
okk
post Feb 27 2008, 09:29 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:09 PM)
okk, i am kind of paranoid when i see you here...

reason : you only show up in the discussion when the market is plunging
when i see you, i always think of CI = 1350 laugh.gif
Haha, looks like I am a bad omen biggrin.gif
Anyway my advice here is not to trade now unless u know wat u r doing, stocks might look cheap now but cheap doesn't mean it's worth, we are seeing them as cheap because we compare the price now with what the price were 2 months ago, which is not a good practice. Think carefully before investing!
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 09:31 PM

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okk, just wondering, are you holding any defensive / dividend stocks (which you have bought years/months ago) now?

or there is zero stock in your portfolio?

This post has been edited by panasonic88: Feb 27 2008, 09:31 PM
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 10:29 PM

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@cherroy

i remember you said that in order for HSI-C2 to be "in-money"
HSI has to be atleast 30,870...

today HSI closed at 24,483
ghosh, still has long way to go sweat.gif

assuming HSI is hovering between 26,000 & 28,000 in the coming month(s)
what would be the right price for HSI-C2?
and how do you get to know whether it is "in-money" or not? unsure.gif

SUSDavid83
post Feb 27 2008, 10:31 PM

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DJIA starts the day with:

12,619.96 -64.96 -0.51%
okk
post Feb 27 2008, 10:34 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 09:31 PM)
okk, just wondering, are you holding any defensive / dividend stocks (which you have bought years/months ago) now?

or there is zero stock in your portfolio?
*
Zero except REIT
cks
post Feb 27 2008, 11:03 PM

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any1 herer know wat happen to mrcb? falls tremendously since early feb
alivecmh
post Feb 27 2008, 11:05 PM

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http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php, almost all index fall below expectation. expecting the recent market to plunge for the remaining of the week.
panasonic88
post Feb 27 2008, 11:19 PM

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@alivecmh

do you still have faith in HSI-C2 after seeing its performance today?
HSI up 700++ points oso no effect on it, lol
yup, i started to miss the taikor, HSI-C1 (those days are fun) biggrin.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 27 2008, 11:56 PM

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Fed Chief Signals Rate Cut to Help Wobbly Economy, Must Keep Eye on Inflation


alivecmh
post Feb 27 2008, 11:57 PM

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yup yup, bro, i still hav 8k lots , avg at price 0.03x. By end of march or start of april, i think it should be above 0.04


Added on February 27, 2008, 11:58 pmscratching head, all index below expectation, but DJIA turned green ???.. good news from Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks?


Added on February 28, 2008, 12:10 amhttp://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080227/bernanke_congress.html, Bernanke Signals Another Rate Cut, that make the DJIA comeback

This post has been edited by alivecmh: Feb 28 2008, 12:10 AM
skiddtrader
post Feb 28 2008, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:29 PM)
@cherroy

i remember you said that in order for HSI-C2 to be "in-money"
HSI has to be atleast 30,870...

today HSI closed at 24,483
ghosh, still has long way to go sweat.gif

assuming HSI is hovering between 26,000 & 28,000 in the coming month(s)
what would be the right price for HSI-C2?
and how do you get to know whether it is "in-money" or not?  unsure.gif
*
For it to be "in the money", warrant strike price has to be below market price. So for it to be "in the money", HSI needs to surpass 30870.
SUSDavid83
post Feb 28 2008, 07:26 AM

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DJIA closed the day with:

12,694.28 +9.36 +0.07%
sinclairZX81
post Feb 28 2008, 08:38 AM

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Little change. sad.gif
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 09:02 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 27 2008, 10:29 PM)
@cherroy

i remember you said that in order for HSI-C2 to be "in-money"
HSI has to be atleast 30,870...

today HSI closed at 24,483
ghosh, still has long way to go sweat.gif

assuming HSI is hovering between 26,000 & 28,000 in the coming month(s)
what would be the right price for HSI-C2?
and how do you get to know whether it is "in-money" or not?  unsure.gif
*
To be 'in money', HSI > exercise price of the HSI-Cx.

Only those 'in money' CWs will move according to its target exercise stock/index.

That's why HSI-C2 won't move much even though HSI up 700 points, it is still way long to go and might not able to 'in money' until its expiry data unless we saw a streak of bull run that make it potential to cross the exercise level. <-- that's the key of HSI-C2 or Cx movement. People not convince there is bull run in the place so not dare to chase after it.

Currently the trend (worldwide) is range bound only, hasn't broken through the upside (based on charting) or yet.

Market seems like waiting some economic indicators before moving to either side (up or down).

Btw, Sime reported quite disappointing financial result compared to the like other plantation stock like IOI or KLK. CPO has risen so tremendously, still increment of profit doesn't match the CPO price increment.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 09:05 AM
sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 09:08 AM

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QUOTE(cks @ Feb 27 2008, 11:03 PM)
any1 herer know wat happen to mrcb? falls tremendously since early feb
*
Generally whole market is in a downtrend except few exceptional ones, so be patient tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 09:11 AM

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DJ MARKET TALK: Sime Darby May Fall To MYR11.90 On 2Q Results - 2008-02-28 00:15:00.0



0015 GMT [Dow Jones] Sime Darby (4197.KU) may fall to test MYR11.90 (5-day moving average) after reporting 7% fall in 2Q net profit to MYR800 million from year earlier, says dealer; company cites higher taxes and other one-off factors, which masked improvements in most of its major businesses including plantations. 1H net profit rose 10.2% to MYR1.4 billion vs MYR1.27 billion. "The group is expected to continue delivering strong results in the second half, with CPO prices reaching new heights," President and CEO Ahmad Zubir Murshid says, adding group will be able to deliver its targeted cost savings of MYR400 million to MYR500 million via its ongoing restructuring and merger exercise by FY09. Stock ended +0.8% at MYR12 yesterday. (ALE)


Added on February 28, 2008, 9:19 amDJ MARKET TALK: KLCI May Open Up On Strong GDP; 1367-1384 Tipped - 2008-02-28 00:43:00.0



0043 GMT [Dow Jones] KLCI may open higher, possibly rise to around 1384 (5-day moving average), led by banking, construction and plantation stocks after central bank reported faster-than-expected 4Q GDP growth of 7.3% on year and 2007 GDP growth of 6.3% vs 6% official forecast, say dealers. Marginal gains on Wall Street may also trigger speculative intraday trade by retail investors, say dealers, but caution profit-taking into strength likely to cap gains. MIMB's Lee Cheng Hooi says selling on rallies will be the best strategy. "Tactically, fund managers would have to plan well ahead and trim their portfolios ahead of any imminent downturn by the second weekend of March 2008 (post general elections)," he says. KLCI's support pegged at 1367 (200-day moving average). Benchmark ended +0.1% at 1376.62 yesterday.(VGB)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 09:19 AM
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 10:52 AM

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Recent financial report especially on big cap GLCs one is not convincing enough, Maybank, MISC, Sime, Petgas which won't do good for the KLCI at near term.

You need strong and sterling performance of financial report to spur some bull run.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 10:52 AM
jiaenn83
post Feb 28 2008, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 27 2008, 01:44 PM)
Yah, i also think same as well. HSI call warrant is no longer target for punters anymore.
Even HSI up +800 points, current HSI-cw having little movement. Unlike HSI-C1..(miss this counter so much)
Better change target to another HK counter.
Btw, new HSI-cw (HSI-C5) will be out in next week if not mistaken. But cw profile not yet out. Hope its exercise price much lower than all current HSI counter.
*
how much we need to buy in minimum for the new HSI - cw? can enlighten me some?
dreams_achiever
post Feb 28 2008, 11:32 AM

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QUOTE(jiaenn83 @ Feb 28 2008, 10:56 AM)
how much we need to buy in minimum for the new HSI - cw? can enlighten me some?
*
for more information, click here

From osk website, issue price is set at 21.5cents.
I'm not sure how minimum qty that need to buy as i haven't tried buy IPO counter.
Need to ask LYN forumers here that had bought IPO counter before.
CalvinCLK
post Feb 28 2008, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 28 2008, 11:32 AM)
for more information, click here

From osk website, issue price is set at 21.5cents.
I'm not sure how minimum qty that need to buy as i haven't tried buy IPO counter.
Need to ask LYN forumers here that had bought IPO counter before.
*
The new HSI-C5 is good after I calculate (rough calculation as I am not at home, without my detailed warrant table)...
When is it going to be listed?

Waiting to cash out from CCCC-C4 if mother share rise another 50 cent... lolz.. then will start shopping, gonna come in again in March due to some reasons.


Added on February 28, 2008, 11:41 amI think quantity purchase depends on how much money you have in your account.. The amount you submit to buy is normally smaller than the amount approved. So normally people will place higher quantities.

This post has been edited by CalvinCLK: Feb 28 2008, 11:41 AM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 28 2008, 11:55 AM

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QUOTE(CalvinCLK @ Feb 28 2008, 11:39 AM)
The new HSI-C5 is good after I calculate (rough calculation as I am not at home, without my detailed warrant table)...
When is it going to be listed?

Waiting to cash out from CCCC-C4 if mother share rise another 50 cent... lolz.. then will start shopping, gonna come in again in March due to some reasons.


Added on February 28, 2008, 11:41 amI think quantity purchase depends on how much money you have in your account.. The amount you submit to buy is normally smaller than the amount approved. So normally people will place higher quantities.
*
wah..based on information from pdf file.
HSI-C5 is very attractive. Exercise price at 23800(need to wait for CW profile to be confirmed), but ratio quite high at 5000units: 1 HSI unit.
Premium stand at estimation 7%. A good replacement for HSI-C1. Much better than current all HSI-CW counter.
ankw
post Feb 28 2008, 12:01 PM

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Lessons from Warren Buffett's guru

Phillip Fisher says he doesn't want a lot of good investments but a few good outstanding ones.

Q: What can we learn from Philip Fisher?

Philip A. Fisher, one of Warren Buffett's investment gurus, is known for his philosophy on the qualitative aspects of selecting a good company for investment. Buffett learned qualitative analysis from him.

Fisher got his early education at Stanford Business School. He joined an independent San Francisco bank as a securities analyst in 1928, and founded Fisher & Co, an investment counselling business, in 1931.

According to his book entitled Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, one of the most important investment philosophies from Fisher is Scuttlebutt, which he also calls "the business grapevine", in investing.

Scuttlebutt is the use of the business grapevine to analyse a company. We can obtain the information from customers, employees, suppliers, academics, trade association officers, industry observers, etc. This information is crucial in determining the character of its managers and the potential of the company.

A good company should exhibit unquestionable management integrity, own highly competitive products, be in a healthy financial position, have good cost control and be effective in its research programme.

According to Fisher, even though it is hard to know quality of management, a good management team should possess the ability to carry out day-to-day tasks efficiently and have good long-term planning. The management should also have high integrity and maintain good labour, personal and executive relations.

Fisher is a believer of growth investing. We need to select stocks that have great potential to grow their businesses. It will be a waste of time to hold on to stocks that have no growth potential. He believes that we can get capital gains by buying into these companies as their stock prices would go up in line with the increase in their intrinsic value.

It requires extensive research before you can get one. Fisher said: "I don't want a lot of good investments; I want a few outstanding ones." These companies can be bought at high historic price earnings ratio (PER) because there is a possibility that their stock price is reflecting good news you don't know about yet.

The growth companies should demonstrate strong and well-directed research capabilities. These companies should also exhibit an above-average sales organisation. Besides, they need to have a sustainable profit margin and good return on capital. Normally, these companies are the market leaders in the industry and have the advantages of scale.

A consistent and predictable dividend policy will provide the minimum returns to investors. Although high dividends are good for investors, to maintain business growth, high growth companies need to retain a certain level of profits for future expansion.

If a company is paying dividends with little retained earnings, it will cause lower reinvestment, which will affect its long-term growth. As mentioned earlier, the main returns to an investor is capital gain. He believes that buying into high growth companies will provide the capital gain.

When to sell

Fisher believes in long-term investment. According to him, the most important thing is to select the right stocks. "If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell it is almost never," he said. However, if we select the wrong stocks, we need to sell.

We need to admit that we have made mistakes in our calculation. This attitude is important as not many retailers have the courage to admit their mistakes. Furthermore, we should not expect to be right all the time. We should be aware that we can make mistakes and we will make mistakes in our analysis, but more importantly, we need to learn from our mistakes.

Fisher said: "The chief difference between a fool and a wise man is that the wise man learns from his mistakes, while the fool never does."

Fisher will only call a sell on a stock when the company or industry has changed and the stock no longer qualifies as a growth stock or a better prospect is available elsewhere. He will not sell a stock just because a stock appears to be selling for a significantly above average PER or because the stock price has increased.

He believes that most investors always make mistakes by selling their stocks with the hope of buying them back at lower prices. In most instances, the investors miss the stock when it recovers.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...80&sec=business
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 12:19 PM

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2008 GROWTH TARGET TAKES INTO ACCOUNT POSSIBLE US RECESSION & SUBPRIME CREDI

PENANG, Feb 28 (Bernama) -- The 6.0-6.5 percent growth target set for the
Malaysian economy this year has taken into account a possible recession in the
United States and the fallout of the subprime credit crisis, Second Finance
Minister Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcop, said here today.
He said the government was initially aiming for a growth of 6.5 percent,
but once the economic problems cropped up in the U.S., the target was brought
within a range of 6.0-6.5 percent.
Yesterday, gross domestic product figures released by Bank Negara Malaysia
showed the economy to have expanded at a blistering pace of 7.3 percent for the
fourth quarter of last year and a full-year growth of 6.3 percent, which beat
market expectations.
The central bank, which attributed the superlative growth to robust
domestic demand driven by strong private consumption spending and investment
activities, projected that prospects for the economy remained fabvourable. --
BERNAMA


Added on February 28, 2008, 12:55 pmDJ MARKET TALK: CIMB Keeps M'sia 2008 GDP Growth Call Of 5.8%

28/02/2008 04:31:00 AM



0431 GMT [Dow Jones] CIMB Economic Research keeps Malaysia GDP growth forecast at 5.8% despite 4Q GDP growth coming in at 7.3% vs market expectation of 6.4%. "Amid external uncertainties, the 2008 growth outlook remains positive provided that key supports, that is domestic demand and investment, remain in place. We have priced in the external downside risks, and are sticking with" estimate of 5.8% GDP growth this year vs 6.3% in 2007. Makes no change to rate outlook; "the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50 per cent this year to sustain a steady pace of domestic demand whilst keeping inflationary pressures at bay."(ECH)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 12:55 PM
jiaenn83
post Feb 28 2008, 01:17 PM

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after looking at the HSI-cw still dunno much about how to buy this...are we using RM to trade in HKD?
skiddtrader
post Feb 28 2008, 01:31 PM

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QUOTE(cks @ Feb 27 2008, 11:03 PM)
any1 herer know wat happen to mrcb? falls tremendously since early feb
*
Their latest results posted a net loss of RM5.5 million compared to previous quarter earnings of RM14.1 million. Signs of things to come?
chinkw1
post Feb 28 2008, 01:42 PM

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klse very slow and going no where now.

better go eat bakkutteh and zzz......
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 01:44 PM

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hibernation mode ma.....hehehehhe....have to wait till GE over leh.....next week will b an xciting week just esp. few days just b4 GE....or ppl might just stay on the sideline n KLCI will remain FLAT
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Feb 28 2008, 02:31 PM)
Their latest results posted a net loss of RM5.5 million compared to previous quarter earnings of RM14.1 million. Signs of things to come?
*
GLC or political linked stocks generally not good as to keep costs under control. They could be quite badly hit from higher raw material Prices. Sign of inflation is also writing on the wall.

kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 01:45 PM

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waiting for PBBANK to drop to 10.30 n Genting to drop to 6.50 (Cherroy's price) hehehe
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 28 2008, 11:32 AM)
From osk website, issue price is set at 21.5cents.
I'm not sure how minimum qty that need to buy as i haven't tried buy IPO counter.
Need to ask LYN forumers here that had bought IPO counter before.
*
Last time I subscribed Google-C1 IPO time, it was 100K lot, I preceive this is standard?


Added on February 28, 2008, 1:52 pm
QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 01:45 PM)
waiting for PBBANK to drop to 10.30 n Genting to drop to 6.50 (Cherroy's price) hehehe
*
Don't know can hit or not, you need a market huge sell-down to get this price.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 01:52 PM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 28 2008, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 28 2008, 01:52 PM)
Last time I subscribed Google-C1 IPO time, it was 100K lot, I preceive this is standard?


Added on February 28, 2008, 1:52 pm

Don't know can hit or not, you need a market huge sell-down to get this price.
*
wah, 100K lot -> that's alot wor..costing millions of ringgit(if IPO price is 11cents)
or typo? are u mean 100K units/shares?

If today Genting announced bad financial result, it can drop to RM6.5 price.
Just wait for time to drop..
Btw, tonight will be AIG and Freddie Mae to announce its financial result.
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 02:13 PM

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I feel the new Genting boss is a bit aggresive. Borrows lot of moneys to buy up Casinos.

I heard their UK and cruise businesses are not doing well.

Just 2sen opinion.

DJ MARKET TALK: Genting Down 0.7% Ahead Of 4Q Results - 2008-02-28 05:36:00.0



0536 GMT [Dow Jones] Genting (3182.KU) down 0.7% at MYR7.05, tipped to stay in narrow range ahead of release of 4Q results after market close; dealers say shares lower in line with broader market weakness; average forecast from analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires tip 4Q net profit +4.7% on-year at MYR530 million; increased visitor arrivals at its casino resort, higher palm oil prices to boost earnings, but growth likely crimped by one-off factors as previous year's results including large gains from asset sales; casino unit Resorts (4715.KU) +0.5% at MYR3.82; analysts say talk company may be taken private lending support to shares. (BEL)




This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 02:18 PM
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 28 2008, 02:00 PM)
wah, 100K lot -> that's alot wor..costing millions of ringgit(if IPO price is 11cents)
or typo? are u mean 100K units/shares?

If today Genting announced bad financial result, it can drop to RM6.5 price.
Just wait for time to drop..
Btw, tonight will be AIG and Freddie Mae to announce its financial result.
*
Sorry, sorry, I mean 100K shares, my mistake.


Added on February 28, 2008, 2:20 pm
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 28 2008, 02:13 PM)
I feel the new Genting boss is a bit aggresive. Borrows lot of moneys to buy up Casinos.

I heard their UK and cruise businesses are not doing well.

Just 2sen opinion.
*
Cruise business is never a making busineness for Resort that's why Resort keen to dispose it or already dispose some of the stake, if not mistaken.

Yup, under the new CEO, Genting is a bit aggressive in term of their business, keep on enquiring overseas casinos especially in UK. He wants Genting to be an international player rather than confine to Malaysia only.

That's why previously I said, don't expect huge dividend from it for near term until the Singapore casino has run its operation and starting generate profit to Genting. It needs plenty of cash for to financial it.

UK casinos or western countries casinos are not the same as Asian countries one if you have been there before.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 02:35 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 02:26 PM

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DJ MARKET TALK: KLCI Down 0.3%; Likely To Stay In 1368-1380 Range - 2008-02-28 05:01:00.0



0501 GMT [Dow Jones] KLCI down 0.3% at 1373.25 midday in thin volume, erasing earlier gains as investors continue to lock-in profits on rallies. Market breadth negative with decliners leading gainers 415 to 174. Benchmark index tipped to drift in 1368-1380 range for rest of day. "There's very little conviction among investors. The concern is that local funds may stop lending support to index-linked companies once the general election is over (March 8)," says dealer. Concerns government may raise pump prices of fuel after elections also keeping investors on sidelines, he adds. Among gainers, Tenaga (5347.KU) +0.6% at MYR9.15, AirAsia (5099.KU) +3.3% at MYR1.59, IJM Corp. (3336.KU) +0.7% at MYR7.20. On downside, new listing SCGM (7247.KU) down 7.7% at 72 sen, off intraday high and IPO price of 78 sen, MRCB (1651.KU) down 2.5% at MYR1.97 and Gamuda (5398.KU) down 1% at MYR3.88. (VGB)



kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 02:28 PM

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US casino gives free cash one....i just went there last year! hehehehe
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 02:37 PM

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Oppss, for Genting may be can get 6.50 in near future, 6.90 now.

Somebody just sell in one shot 1.5 million shares (1 transaction) at 7.00.
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 02:41 PM

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good good...keep it down tongue.gif


Added on February 28, 2008, 2:53 pm6.85 lowest liao.....

This post has been edited by kinwawa: Feb 28 2008, 02:53 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 02:54 PM

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.. . . ...deleted. . . . .

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 03:05 PM
jongkolkhoo
post Feb 28 2008, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 12:45 PM)
waiting for PBBANK to drop to 10.30 n Genting to drop to 6.50 (Cherroy's price) hehehe
*
if genting drop 6.50 rclxub.gif rclxub.gif i still have average at 8.05 doh.gif doh.gif like this kepala pusing..
is pbb better or pbb-o1 better ?

kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 03:03 PM

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if genting really reach 6.50 and PBBANK 10.30...then i really pening kepala...which one to buy...or break the bank to buy both.....tat is way too risky wor...hehehehe
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post Feb 28 2008, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 03:03 PM)
if genting really reach 6.50 and PBBANK 10.30...then i really pening kepala...which one to buy...or break the bank to buy both.....tat is way too risky wor...hehehehe
*
Haha, FYI, beta of Genting is higher than Pbbank, so depends what you want from it.
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post Feb 28 2008, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 04:03 PM)
if genting really reach 6.50 and PBBANK 10.30...then i really pening kepala...which one to buy...or break the bank to buy both.....tat is way too risky wor...hehehehe
*
Do not need to buy 100k lot, mah.

Just buy 100 shares each per stock. All your problems solved.

Think small. lose less.

Everyday is a good buy, always cheaper then yesterday.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 03:14 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 03:19 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 28 2008, 03:07 PM)
Haha, FYI, beta of Genting is higher than Pbbank, so depends what you want from it.
*
sorry....care to xplain what beta means??? still learning leh.... tongue.gif
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post Feb 28 2008, 03:43 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 03:19 PM)
sorry....care to xplain what beta means??? still learning leh.... tongue.gif
*
Beta is a technical term, the higher the beta is, the higher the price volatility. For high beta stock, its price movement can be signficant that you can do trading on it. For low beta, its price moves lesser means you will find trading a bit difficult to gain/loss much.

Generally if one aims for short term gain, higher beta stocks is preferred.

This is nothing to do with long term holding. Beta high or low won't affect the long term trend, it is just for short term trading purposes as comparison between stocks. For short term trading purposes, the most important is the price differentiate between buy and sell only.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 03:44 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 28 2008, 03:43 PM)
Beta is a technical term, the higher the beta is, the higher the price volatility. For high beta stock, its price movement can be signficant that you can do trading on it. For low beta, its price moves lesser means you will find trading a bit difficult to gain/loss much.

Generally if one aims for short term gain, higher beta stocks is preferred.

This is nothing to do with long term holding. Beta high or low won't affect the long term trend, it is just for short term trading purposes as comparison between stocks. For short term trading purposes, the most important is the price differentiate between buy and sell only.
*
Oh...understood! THANKS!

anyway...looks like today no chance to buy PBBANK or Genting la.....keep on waiting first lo for the opportunity to come......

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post Feb 28 2008, 03:55 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 28 2008, 03:07 PM)
Do not need to buy 100k lot, mah.

Just buy 100 shares each per stock. All your problems solved.

Think small. lose less.

Everyday is a good buy, always cheaper then yesterday.
*
hahaha! i like that quote. the stock market connundrum.
dEviLs
post Feb 28 2008, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 28 2008, 03:43 PM)
Beta is a technical term, the higher the beta is, the higher the price volatility. For high beta stock, its price movement can be signficant that you can do trading on it. For low beta, its price moves lesser means you will find trading a bit difficult to gain/loss much.

Generally if one aims for short term gain, higher beta stocks is preferred.

This is nothing to do with long term holding. Beta high or low won't affect the long term trend, it is just for short term trading purposes as comparison between stocks. For short term trading purposes, the most important is the price differentiate between buy and sell only.
*
err I'm not sure if you are referring to the beta coefficient from the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), if yes then i would like to point out that beta is in fact a measure of volatility of a stock or portfolio in relation to the rest of the financial market and not the price volatility alone unsure.gif

An asset with a beta of 0 means that its price is not at all correlated with the market; that asset is independent. A positive beta means that the asset generally follows the market. A negative beta shows that the asset inversely follows the market; the asset generally decreases in value if the market goes up.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beta_coefficient
TScherroy
post Feb 28 2008, 04:16 PM

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QUOTE(dEviLs @ Feb 28 2008, 04:08 PM)
err I'm not sure if you are referring to the beta coefficient from the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), if yes then i would like to point out that beta is in fact a measure of volatility of a stock or portfolio in relation to the rest of the financial market and not the price volatility alone unsure.gif

An asset with a beta of 0 means that its price is not at all correlated with the market; that asset is independent. A positive beta means that the asset generally follows the market. A negative beta shows that the asset inversely follows the market; the asset generally decreases in value if the market goes up.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beta_coefficient
*
I am comparing the beta with the KLCI.

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/102401.asp

Yes, it doesn't necessary directly reflect the price volatility alone, it measure the price volatility against something else generally market indices. But it can be a indicator how much its price moves compared to overall market.

Thanks for highlighten, my apology if too simplify in my previous post that might lead to confusion or misunderstanding.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 28 2008, 04:18 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 04:22 PM

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i think since it is basically about volatility.....it's enough for newbie like us to digest tongue.gif


Added on February 28, 2008, 4:44 pmwah....PBBANK almost touch 10.30 leh....btw...SAPCRES turned green! wow....signs of good things ahead????.....hehehehhe

This post has been edited by kinwawa: Feb 28 2008, 04:44 PM
sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 04:22 PM)
i think since it is basically about volatility.....it's enough for newbie like us to digest tongue.gif


Added on February 28, 2008, 4:44 pmwah....PBBANK almost touch 10.30 leh....btw...SAPCRES turned green! wow....signs of good things ahead????.....hehehehhe
*
i hope Sapcres has met the bottom
panasonic88
post Feb 28 2008, 05:11 PM

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yo guys, how's your portfolio doing today, good? biggrin.gif

been busy with product seminars and all, no time for share market
my counters mostly are in red except LIONDIV
all because PARKSON is in the Top 10 Gainers (as you know, LIONDIV price move along with PARKSON)

hopefully it continue to go up biggrin.gif
Intrigue
post Feb 28 2008, 05:14 PM

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all red kaw kaw for me.. i over-heard at a local stock exchange that the market gonna be even worst after GE
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 05:18 PM

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sapcres GREEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! wow......hahahhaha.....

GENTING n PBBANK is getting nearer to my buy-price liao....but many says post GE will be worse....needs to revaluate the price o not ar???? hai.....

pana....PBBANK now dropping...u adding more????
panasonic88
post Feb 28 2008, 05:19 PM

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QUOTE(Intrigue @ Feb 28 2008, 05:14 PM)
all red kaw kaw for me.. i over-heard at a local stock exchange that the market gonna be even worst after GE
*
i guess that should be "the way" sweat.gif
even our seniors here also expecting a slumping market after GE
panasonic88
post Feb 28 2008, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 05:18 PM)
sapcres GREEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! wow......hahahhaha.....

GENTING n PBBANK is getting nearer to my buy-price liao....but many says post GE will be worse....needs to revaluate the price o not ar???? hai.....

pana....PBBANK now dropping...u adding more????
*
assuming everyday drop 30 to 40 sens
i believe by tomorrow the price will come to 10.10 to 10.20
me no rush to buy, probably after GE rolleyes.gif

=========

by the way, why are you guys so into GENTING shares?
i thought their recent report was poor...and that caused their price to go down these few days...

This post has been edited by panasonic88: Feb 28 2008, 05:23 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 28 2008, 05:25 PM

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i believe when things r going bad...more ppl will opt for gambling to try their luck to strike rich...hehehee......tat's y i like BJTOTO as well (bt not dropping!)

Genting i feel they have potential to grow if things goes well in S'pore.....but....if not...then...bye bye......
panasonic88
post Feb 28 2008, 05:28 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 05:25 PM)
i believe when things r going bad...more ppl will opt for gambling to try their luck to strike rich...hehehee......tat's y i like BJTOTO as well (bt not dropping!)

Genting i feel they have potential to grow if things goes well in S'pore.....but....if not...then...bye bye......
*
erm then probably gonna keep it for mid term investment

market anticipate poor financial result, that's why price is down (i guess la)

the report should be out on today...
Intrigue
post Feb 28 2008, 06:31 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 28 2008, 05:19 PM)
i guess that should be "the way" sweat.gif
even our seniors here also expecting a slumping market after GE
*
QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 05:25 PM)
i believe when things r going bad...more ppl will opt for gambling to try their luck to strike rich...hehehee......tat's y i like BJTOTO as well (bt not dropping!)

Genting i feel they have potential to grow if things goes well in S'pore.....but....if not...then...bye bye......
*
so should we hold some $$ for some shopping spree to recover back losses? icon_rolleyes.gif

It's like "One Leg already in SHIT, Another Leg Goes In also same" sweat.gif
sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 08:21 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 28 2008, 05:18 PM)
sapcres GREEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! wow......hahahhaha.....

GENTING n PBBANK is getting nearer to my buy-price liao....but many says post GE will be worse....needs to revaluate the price o not ar???? hai.....

pana....PBBANK now dropping...u adding more????
*
yay-yay-yay rclxms.gif it better be good. I bought somemore today to average down to 1.5+ already-lo.....
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 08:30 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 28 2008, 09:21 PM)
yay-yay-yay rclxms.gif  it better be good. I bought somemore today to average down to 1.5+ already-lo.....
*
If you look into sharings of co. There is a high % of FF holding including Citi nominee. BUt recently FF behaves abnormally bcos of Gamuda issue. Hope, they ( FF) are not drunk or mabuk this time.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 08:34 PM
sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 28 2008, 08:30 PM)
If you look into sharings of co. There is a high % of FF holding including Citi nominee. BUt recently FF behaves abnormally  bcos of Gamuda issue.  Hope, they ( FF)  are not drunk or mabuk  this time.
*
yeah,yeah... tongue.gif One large North American company, Seadrill has large holdings of Sapcres, average price about 1.2+ if not mistaken. They provide expertise for deepwater drill works etc, as long as they don't pull out, I feel quite safe.
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 08:56 PM

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Citigroup quite a respectable research house always views other stocks unfavourably but not for this company. Do they know something that we do not know of ? I mean a better profit for year 01/08.

From what you say, this co should be able to control the costs and improve the bottom line in time to come.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 09:10 PM
sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 09:19 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 28 2008, 08:56 PM)
Citigroup quite a respectable research house always views other stocks unfavourably but not for this company. Do they know something that we do not know of ?
*
Maybe they do, normally these people are one of the early birds to get news. I keep my fingers crossed that things are well and swell for Sapcres. TA securities also seem to like this counter.
jasontoh
post Feb 28 2008, 09:32 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 28 2008, 09:19 PM)
Maybe they do, normally these people are one of the early birds to get news. I keep my fingers crossed that things are well and swell for Sapcres. TA securities also seem to like this counter.
*
Hopefully la...Since it keeps on dropping, I lose faith in this counter. Still thinking whether wanna average down or not. But tomolo should be down more, so see how first on monday
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post Feb 28 2008, 09:41 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Feb 28 2008, 09:32 PM)
Hopefully la...Since it keeps on dropping, I lose faith in this counter. Still thinking whether wanna average down or not. But tomolo should be down more, so see how first on monday
*
sigh....somehow these few weeks this counter has been oversold. Today I bought more @1.17, altogether holding 16000units. My believe is this share will recover especially when there's good market momentum. So, i have not lost faith in this counter, just felt sorry for it... tongue.gif

SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Feb 28 2008, 10:32 PM)
Hopefully la...Since it keeps on dropping, I lose faith in this counter. Still thinking whether wanna average down or not. But tomolo should be down more, so see how first on monday
*
In share investing, you must have a reason ( your own ) of buying, otherwise you should not buy even it is at at 50sen bcos you see no value at all.

Some see Genting at rm 6.50 as good value, others might not.

Just my 2 sen opinion.


sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 09:47 PM

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TA Enterprise Investment Reseach: 28/2/08

As for stock picks of the day, investors should look to buy on any potential further dips in oil & gas related counters such as Kencana, Ramunia and SapuraCrest as grossly oversold conditions should trigger technical rebound gains going forward. Insurance related stock MAA should stage further recovery following yesterday?s rebound from sell-off backed by strong buying momentum.

SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 09:50 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 28 2008, 10:41 PM)
sigh....somehow these few weeks this counter has been oversold. Today I bought more @1.17, altogether holding 16000units. My believe is this share will recover especially when there's good market momentum. So, i have not lost faith in this counter, just felt sorry for it... tongue.gif
*
I believe this stock is good. But you MUST HAVE A LOT OF PATIENT.

This stock could go crazy at times but not on daily, weekily or monthly basis ( not like IOI ), but you reap good profit if you can hold on to.

sharesa
post Feb 28 2008, 09:56 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 28 2008, 09:50 PM)
I believe this stock is good. But you MUST HAVE A LOT OF PATIENT.

This stock could go crazy at times but not on daily, weekily or monthly basis ( not like IOI ), but you reap good profit if you can hold on to.
*



yeah tongue.gif , that's why I chose to buy back. But patient I must be. Also have to rely on market sentiment, no volume also cannot move up.

SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 09:59 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 28 2008, 10:56 PM)
yeah tongue.gif , that's why I chose to buy back. But patient I must be. Also have to rely on market sentiment, no volume also cannot move up.
*
A LOT OF PATIENCE INCLUDES NOT TO LOOK AT THIS STOCK TOO OFTEN, unless and until it goes crazy !

If you see Pbank on day to day, basically there is no much difference , still the same old Pbank.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 10:02 PM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 28 2008, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE
Genting has reported a net profit of RM514.4 million for the three months ended December 31, 2007, compared with RM506 million a year ago


MALAYSIAN leisure firm Genting Bhd reported a 1.7 per cent rise in fourth-quarter net profit yesterday, helped by higher earnings from its plantations and energy businesses.

Genting posted net profit of RM514.4 million (US$160.6 million) for the three months ended December 31, compared with RM506 million a year earlier.

It declared a final dividend of 4.3 sen per share.

Genting owns Malaysia's sole casino on Genting Highlands resort near the capital. It is also involved in hotel operations, oil palm plantations, power generation and the cruise business.

Reuters Estimates net profit consensus for Genting in calendar 2007 is RM1.38 billion, or 37.20 sen per share, on revenue of RM8.38 billion.

Genting shares fell 1.9 per cent in the fourth quarter, underperforming an 8 per cent rise in the benchmark Kuala Lumpur Composite Index. - Reuters

from bttimes.com.my
See the bold text. Reuters expectation is very high. Almost triple higher from Genting actual earning.
Dunno it is good news or not? to me seem not quite good earning. below analyst estimation.
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post Feb 28 2008, 11:06 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 28 2008, 09:56 PM)
yeah tongue.gif , that's why I chose to buy back. But patient I must be. Also have to rely on market sentiment, no volume also cannot move up.
*
I think Sapcres is ok also....but it will take longer time to generate back what I have expected. So I will opt for other shares or monitor for few more days. US Dow is not very promising tonight
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post Feb 28 2008, 11:07 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 28 2008, 11:19 PM)
See the bold text. Reuters expectation is very high. Almost triple higher from Genting actual earning.
Dunno it is good news or not? to me seem not quite good earning. below analyst estimation.
*
Good news , the profit does increase.

Bad news, with contribution from Asiatic ( palm oil stock ), its operating profit does not go up much ( could be due losses elsewhere).

One off disposal item at good profit could make the accounts looked attractive. The new Genting boss is more educated than his father, certainly knows how to make the accounts looks better.

Not actually looking into the accounts. just 2sen Opinion.

babana
post Feb 28 2008, 11:36 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Feb 28 2008, 10:19 PM)
See the bold text. Reuters expectation is very high. Almost triple higher from Genting actual earning.
Dunno it is good news or not? to me seem not quite good earning. below analyst estimation.
*
Dude, if u noticed..."Reuters Estimates net profit consensus for Genting in calendar 2007 is RM1.38 billion, or 37.20 sen per share, on revenue of RM8.38 billion"

The net profit of RM514.4 million announced by Genting was for the three months ended December 31, 2007. I did a little search and found dat overall net profit for calendar year 2007 is RM1,988,865 billion (obtained from HL e-broking website)

So i guess its probably a positive news in the earnings perspective but yea...there might be other factors which contributed to the selldown today although worries in FY 07's financial results might be one of the main factors.

This post has been edited by babana: Feb 28 2008, 11:43 PM
chinkw1
post Feb 28 2008, 11:45 PM

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OIL marching towards 110
CPO marching towards 4000

Inflation will be up high.

Most counters are down. except those related to cpo ones.

Dunno IOI will reach 10.00 or not leh?
SKY 1809
post Feb 28 2008, 11:52 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 29 2008, 12:45 AM)
OIL marching towards 110
CPO marching towards 4000

Inflation will be up high.

Most counters are down. except those related to cpo ones.

Dunno IOI will reach 10.00 or not leh?
*
Potential upside for CPO at RM4,500. Stocks for Year 2008 ?

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...00&sec=business

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 28 2008, 11:57 PM
dreams_achiever
post Feb 29 2008, 07:54 AM

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QUOTE(babana @ Feb 28 2008, 11:36 PM)
Dude, if u noticed..."Reuters Estimates net profit consensus for Genting in calendar 2007 is RM1.38 billion, or 37.20 sen per share, on revenue of RM8.38 billion"

The net profit of RM514.4 million announced by Genting was for the three months ended December 31, 2007. I did a little search and found dat overall net profit for calendar year 2007 is RM1,988,865 billion (obtained from HL e-broking website)

So i guess its probably a positive news in the earnings perspective but yea...there might be other factors which contributed to  the selldown today although worries in FY 07's financial results might be one of the main factors.
*
opps..overlooked it. THanks for explaination.
hehe.. blush.gif
SKY 1809
post Feb 29 2008, 08:32 AM

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QUOTE(babana @ Feb 29 2008, 12:36 AM)
Dude, if u noticed..."Reuters Estimates net profit consensus for Genting in calendar 2007 is RM1.38 billion, or 37.20 sen per share, on revenue of RM8.38 billion"

The net profit of RM514.4 million announced by Genting was for the three months ended December 31, 2007. I did a little search and found dat overall net profit for calendar year 2007 is RM1,988,865 billion (obtained from HL e-broking website)

So i guess its probably a positive news in the earnings perspective but yea...there might be other factors which contributed to  the selldown today although worries in FY 07's financial results might be one of the main factors.
*
Genting's future growths has a lot to do with their oversea investments ( main concern )

As you know :-

1) their cruise business is not doing very well most of the times.

2) They invested into UK casino too, and last year result is quite bad, and they blame it to " smoking factor ". To me, they are in " a state of denial. "

3) They borrow quite heavily to invest oversea.

4) Someone said basically running a foreign casino is quite different from the local environment.

It is my personal opinion that Genting should try the Asian region first like Singapore, Hongkong or Korea, bcos we share quite similar cultures.

Having saying that, it could a buying opportunity if the share price falls into an attractive level.

Just my 2sen opinion.


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"MARKET TALK: Genting May Hold Steady; 4Q Net As Expected - 2008-02-28 23:55:00.0



2355 GMT Genting (3182.KU) may hold steady after reporting in-line 4Q, full-year net profit; 4Q net profit +1.7% at MYR514.4 million; full-year net profit at MYR1.99 billion vs MYR1.50 billion year-earlier. Analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast 2007 net profit of MYR2.0 billion. "Investors may view the poor performance of the U.K. casino operations with some concern despite earnings coming in within expectations," dealer says. Shares ended down 3.5% at MYR6.85 yesterday. "


Added on February 29, 2008, 8:49 amIs inflation on the way ?

MARKET TALK: Nestle May Rise To MYR27 On Div Despite Weak 4Q - 2008-02-29 00:28:00.0



0028 GMT Nestle (4707.KU) may rise to test psychological resistance of MYR27 after company proposes final dividend of 78.81 sen gross vs 65 sen year earlier. Dealer says stock may rise initially on higher dividends, but weaker 4Q net profit of MYR33.8 million vs MYR51.5 million year earlier may encourage some profit-taking. For FY, net profit rose to MYR292 million vs MYR264.2 million. Company cites higher raw material costs for weaker 4Q earnings; expects challenging year in 2008. Stock ended flat at MYR26.25 yesterday. (ECH)






This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 29 2008, 09:02 AM
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 09:04 AM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 28 2008, 11:45 PM)
OIL marching towards 110
CPO marching towards 4000

Inflation will be up high.

Most counters are down. except those related to cpo ones.

Dunno IOI will reach 10.00 or not leh?
*
maybe can, who knows as life is full of surprises tongue.gif
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post Feb 29 2008, 09:27 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 10:04 AM)
maybe can, who knows as life is full of surprises tongue.gif
*
Some little hope is showing up might due to GDP figure :-

DJ MARKET TALK: USD/MYR Falls To New 10-Year Low; 3.1850 Support

29/02/2008 01:02:00 AM



0102 GMT [Dow Jones] USD/MYR at 3.1910, lower vs 3.2000 at yesterday's close as MYR strengthens in line with regional currencies like SGD, JPY, bearish USD sentiment, traders say; pair hits 10-year low 3.1890 in early morning. "We are seeing strong foreign fund buying, but no signs of central bank intervention as yet," says one; tips support at 3.1850 today.(SJO)

-------------------------

By the way, are you pushing up Sapcres ? biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Feb 29 2008, 09:30 AM
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 09:35 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Feb 29 2008, 09:27 AM)
Some little hope is showing up might due to GDP figure  :-

DJ MARKET TALK: USD/MYR Falls To New 10-Year Low; 3.1850 Support

29/02/2008 01:02:00 AM

 

0102 GMT [Dow Jones] USD/MYR at 3.1910, lower vs 3.2000 at yesterday's close as MYR strengthens in line with regional currencies like SGD, JPY, bearish USD sentiment, traders say; pair hits 10-year low 3.1890 in early morning. "We are seeing strong foreign fund buying, but no signs of central bank intervention as yet," says one; tips support at 3.1850 today.(SJO)

-------------------------

By the way, are you pushing up Sapcres ? biggrin.gif
*
keh-keh, wish I was the one, so that I can request all of you in Lyn to push up more biggrin.gif
kinwawa
post Feb 29 2008, 09:41 AM

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wah...sapcres is getting better...no more forced selling....hope it holds steady till after GE then i'm sure it will rebound fast.......

think of getting somemore since no chance to buy PBBANK n Genting liao hehehehehe
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 09:45 AM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 29 2008, 09:41 AM)
wah...sapcres is getting better...no more forced selling....hope it holds steady till after GE then i'm sure it will rebound fast.......

think of getting somemore since no chance to buy PBBANK n Genting liao hehehehehe
*
yeah...hope so too,
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post Feb 29 2008, 09:53 AM

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PBBANK price easily pushed up/down with "volume = 1"
lol, once again, looks like 10.30 is the bottom rolleyes.gif
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post Feb 29 2008, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 29 2008, 10:53 AM)
PBBANK price easily pushed up/down with "volume = 1"
lol, once again, looks like 10.30 is the bottom rolleyes.gif
*
Remember we always remind retailer to buy only 1 lot. That is why ..just joking. biggrin.gif
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post Feb 29 2008, 09:58 AM

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HSI-C2 volume start to picking up again. ..
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 29 2008, 09:58 AM)
HSI-C2 volume start to picking up again. ..
*
but the price doesnt pick up, more seller than buyer sad.gif
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DJ MARKET TALK: MS Remains Bullish On Asia Agribusiness Sector - 2008-02-29 01:59:00.0



0159 GMT [Dow Jones] Morgan Stanley says strong underlying trend in soft commodities supports bullish view on agribusiness in Asia. "We remain positive on both upstream resource producers benefiting from rising agricultural commodities prices and productivity facilitators that enhance crop yields. We would avoid downstream processors as we expect higher input costs and limited pricing power to continue; i.e., soybean and corn processors." Expects supply challenges to keep boosting prices for soft commodities such as palm oil, soybean, corn, with raw milk, vegetables prices to catch-up on growing demand for higher protein diets in emerging countries, clean fuel demand from developed world, scarcity of land and water; notes adverse weather conditions could further disrupt food supply driving up prices further. "Agriculture is also one of the most recession-proof of all asset classes, especially in a scenario of global slowdown." Tips top picks as China Green (0904.HK), Sime Darby (4197.KU); says China Green benefiting from vegetable-price uptrend, solid cost management; Sime Darby is proxy for global crude palm oil (CPO) sector, with upside risk on exposure to biofuel industry. (LES)



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post Feb 29 2008, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 29 2008, 08:58 AM)
HSI-C2 volume start to picking up again. ..
*
don't dare to touch these american style warrants. the burnt from last encounter (not referring to HSI or any of it's direct babies) is still painful. sweat.gif

anyone have any info on premium nutrients? seems to be holding at .17 and bouncing up and down.
cheers.

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post Feb 29 2008, 10:24 AM

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DJ MARKET TALK: MS Tips Malaysia As Relative Safe Haven - 2008-02-29 02:11:00.0



0211 GMT [Dow Jones] Morgan Stanley tips Malaysia as relative safe haven in stagflationary-type environment. Says growth model of leveraging on commodity revenue, fiscal pump-priming is defensive in 2008 amid limited emerging-market recoupling buoying commodity prices, high willingness by government to pump-prime given elections. Says domestic demand buffered from surging inflation by food/fuel subsidies. Notes short-term risk from possibility of government reducing fuel subsidies of 34%-50% amid US$100/bbl oil price; says 10%-30% rise in fuel prices to impact 0.4-1.3 percentage points of GDP on consumer spending power, all else equal. Tips long-term risk from economy outside of commodity, construction pump-priming losing shine; notes Malaysia's export market share has declined with China's WTO entry. (LES)



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post Feb 29 2008, 10:38 AM

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KLCI approaching 1350 soon, analyst said strong support is at 1340, and if it breaches that, it can be quite bad, but I will put it at 1350...
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post Feb 29 2008, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 10:38 AM)
KLCI approaching 1350 soon, analyst said strong support is at 1340, and if it breaches that, it can be quite bad, but I will put it at 1350...
*
yeah, in these times , believe in yourself, analysts can say anything. They talk according to the wind direction tongue.gif
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 10:45 AM

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I strongly recommend u guys to read this book, written in year 1930.

http://www.amazon.com/Reading-Market-Tacti...04253052&sr=8-1


sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 10:45 AM)
I strongly recommend u guys to read this book, written in year 1930.

http://www.amazon.com/Reading-Market-Tacti...04253052&sr=8-1
*
can you summarize? tongue.gif
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 10:46 AM)
can you summarize? tongue.gif
*
This is a book about tape reading, which means the only 2 trustable items in your stock judgement is price and volume, coz these are the only 2 things that happen in the market. Ignore whatever news and just focus on price and volume. It also tells you in great detail how stock market is manipulated. Believe it or not, this book was written in 1930 and it's still published today, and it's one of the best tape reading book ever. Strongly recommend to you. I am still reading it...
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 10:49 AM)
This is a book about tape reading, which means the only 2 trustable items in your stock judgement is price and volume, coz these are the only 2 things that happen in the market. Ignore whatever news and just focus on price and volume. It also tells you in great detail how stock market is manipulated. Believe it or not, this book was written in 1930 and it's still published today, and it's one of the best tape reading book ever. Strongly recommend to you. I am still reading it...
*
will check out that book at MPH tongue.gif
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 10:53 AM)
will check out that book at MPH tongue.gif
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Only sold at Kinnokuniya, I tried to find in MPH last time, dun haf...
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 10:55 AM)
Only sold at Kinnokuniya, I tried to find in MPH last time, dun haf...
*
aiyo, only at KLCC ---
aretla
post Feb 29 2008, 11:06 AM

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wat does it means by "tape reading""???
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post Feb 29 2008, 11:06 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 10:41 AM)
yeah, in these times , believe in yourself, analysts can say anything. They talk according to the wind direction tongue.gif
*
Yes, analysts are 'cari makan' one also. Mostly, they don't dare to be contrarian or against the market wind.
It is your hard-earned money, you decide how you want to do with it, don't need to follow exactly as analysts said. Take it as reference but decide your own. If analysts are right everytime then they already become like Warren Buffet, don't need to work as analysts anymore. No offence to those analysts, instead professional analysts do give good advice and recommendation, just to remind people don't follow blindly, but takes it as good reference.

Just not far away (few months old) when Google share is surging strongly from 400 -> 600+, most analysts put a buy call and set the target price of 700-800 some even 900. Now after some mini-plunge of Google share now become 400+ then a lot of analysts slash their target price become 500-600. It all happens just in few month old time only.
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Feb 29 2008, 11:06 AM)
wat does it means by "tape reading""???
*
Last time in New York market, all market activity is recorded in a tape, this include the transacted price, and the volume. So people will go and read the tape.
For current world, the tape is equivalent to our time-sales table, which means how much volume is transacted at what price at what time.

Tape reading means you analyze that in detail, trying to project the next market movement based on price and volume movement.


Added on February 29, 2008, 11:11 am
QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 29 2008, 11:06 AM)
Yes, analysts are 'cari makan' one also. Mostly, they don't dare to be contrarian or against the market wind.
It is your hard-earned money, you decide how you want to do with it, don't need to follow exactly as analysts said. Take it as reference but decide your own. If analysts are right everytime then they already become like Warren Buffet, don't need to work as analysts anymore. No offence to those analysts, instead professional analysts do give good advice and recommendation, just to remind people don't follow blindly, but takes it as good reference.

Just not far away (few months old) when Google share is surging strongly from 400 -> 600+, most analysts put a buy call and set the target price of 700-800 some even 900. Now after some mini-plunge of Google share now become 400+ then a lot of analysts slash their target price become 500-600. It all happens just in few month old time only.
*
Read the book that I recommend and you will realize you can't trust a single analyst.

This post has been edited by okk: Feb 29 2008, 11:11 AM
aretla
post Feb 29 2008, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 11:10 AM)
Last time in New York market, all market activity is recorded in a tape, this include the transacted price, and the volume. So people will go and read the tape.
For current world, the tape is equivalent to our time-sales table, which means how much volume is transacted at what price at what time.

Tape reading means you analyze that in detail, trying to project the next market movement based on price and volume movement.

*
huhh... never know that tim..
thanks for info rclxms.gif
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 11:10 AM)
Last time in New York market, all market activity is recorded in a tape, this include the transacted price, and the volume. So people will go and read the tape.
For current world, the tape is equivalent to our time-sales table, which means how much volume is transacted at what price at what time.

Tape reading means you analyze that in detail, trying to project the next market movement based on price and volume movement.


Added on February 29, 2008, 11:11 am

Read the book that I recommend and you will realize you can't trust a single analyst.
*
the book suggests that analysts fake a news to induce people to buy/sell? tongue.gif Sorry... in order to get that book, have to drive all the way to KLCC, unless working around that area, might as well get some instant tips from you... rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by sharesa: Feb 29 2008, 11:30 AM
aretla
post Feb 29 2008, 11:31 AM

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1930.... 2008..... the strategy still practical???
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 11:25 AM)
the book suggests that analysts fake a news to induce people to buy/sell?  tongue.gif Sorry... in order to get that book, have to drive all the way to KLCC, unless working around that area, might as well get some instant tips from you... rolleyes.gif
*
The author sees stock market as a market, what it means is we are consumers, stocks are the goods, and those professional traders pool and syndicates are the seller. They will always purchase stock with low price and try to get us to buy with higher price, so we are not a partner to them, we are their customers. If you look at this relationship, you will have a completely different view on stock market. He gave a completely detail scenario on how this is manipulated with news, earning reports, etc...

He also brought up a good point. A stock direction by default is GOING DOWN. Unless there is someone actively playing or supporting it, it won't go up. And I totally agree with that. For example, GENTING might be a good company but if the big players are not playing it, do you think GENTING stock will rise?
Vice versa to those unknown stocks, if the big players play it, they will go up, regardless what the company is doing or it is making loss...

3 reasons when the pro are called in to manipulate the stocks:
1. When the big shareholder want to liquidate their share to get cash, they will ask the pro to help them jack up the price so they can sell at better profit.
2. When the company want to release new IPO or new shares, they will engage pro to publish news that this company is a very good company, so more ppl will rush in to buy the stock after IPO or new shares release.
3. When the company want to takeover or purchase company XYZ. They will engage pro to suppress company XYZ stock price so that they can buy with cheap price.

The author mentions it's NOT POSSIBLE for us to guess who is buying or selling. The most we can do is see how mcuh volume going and wats the quickness of the volume being transacted. All these pros will disguise themselves in their operations.
One more thing, when all ppl are heading to the same direction, that means something is wrong...

This post has been edited by okk: Feb 29 2008, 11:50 AM
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 11:38 AM)
The author sees stock market as a market, what it means is we are consumers, stocks are the goods, and those professional traders pool and syndicates are the seller. They will always purchase stock with low price and try to get us to buy with higher price, so we are not a partner to them, we are their customers. If you look at this relationship, you will have a completely different view on stock market. He gave a completely detail scenario on how this is manipulated with news, earning reports, etc...

He also brought up a good point. A stock direction by default is GOING DOWN. Unless there is someone actively playing or supporting it, it won't go up. And I totally agree with that. For example, GENTING might be a good company but if the big players are not playing it, do you think GENTING stock will rise?
Vice versa to those unknown stocks, if the big players play it, they will go up, regardless what the company is doing or it is making loss...
*
ah-ha....the author does sound convincing, seems like ordinary people shouldn't play stocks & shares. More like a game than an investment, especially when price is expensive.
Thanks.

This post has been edited by sharesa: Feb 29 2008, 11:46 AM
okk
post Feb 29 2008, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Feb 29 2008, 11:46 AM)
ah-ha....the author does sound convincing, seems like ordinary people shouldn't play stocks & shares. More like a game than an investment, especially when price is expensive.
Thanks.
*
The author gave a very sound statement.
He said if you are not willing to study tape reading in detail, by reading the volume and price movement, it's better that just buy a stock and hold, coz you can never outmanouvre these big players if you don't put in effort.
kinwawa
post Feb 29 2008, 12:09 PM

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sapcres 1.24 now....keep it up!
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Feb 29 2008, 12:09 PM)
sapcres 1.24 now....keep it up!
*
not enough buyers in market to push the price, everybody's waiting & See.... sad.gif
Intrigue
post Feb 29 2008, 12:37 PM

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does EPS justify against current stock value? Some stock EPS lets say IRIS is at 0.52 but the current stock value only at 0.14 and another Oilcorp EPS at 2.10 but current value at 0.87

I didn't study stock or business before. Maybe someone can enlighten me?
skiddtrader
post Feb 29 2008, 01:13 PM

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QUOTE(Intrigue @ Feb 29 2008, 12:37 PM)
does EPS justify against current stock value? Some stock EPS lets say IRIS is at 0.52 but the current stock value only at 0.14 and another Oilcorp EPS at 2.10 but current value at 0.87

I didn't study stock or business before. Maybe someone can enlighten me?
*
The EPS is normally written in term of cents. Meaning IRIS EPS is RM0.0052 and Oilcorp EPS is RM0.021.
TScherroy
post Feb 29 2008, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(okk @ Feb 29 2008, 11:38 AM)
The author sees stock market as a market, what it means is we are consumers, stocks are the goods, and those professional traders pool and syndicates are the seller. They will always purchase stock with low price and try to get us to buy with higher price, so we are not a partner to them, we are their customers. If you look at this relationship, you will have a completely different view on stock market. He gave a completely detail scenario on how this is manipulated with news, earning reports, etc...

He also brought up a good point. A stock direction by default is GOING DOWN. Unless there is someone actively playing or supporting it, it won't go up. And I totally agree with that. For example, GENTING might be a good company but if the big players are not playing it, do you think GENTING stock will rise?
Vice versa to those unknown stocks, if the big players play it, they will go up, regardless what the company is doing or it is making loss...

3 reasons when the pro are called in to manipulate the stocks:
1. When the big shareholder want to liquidate their share to get cash, they will ask the pro to help them jack up the price so they can sell at better profit.
2. When the company want to release new IPO or new shares, they will engage pro to publish news that this company is a very good company, so more ppl will rush in to buy the stock after IPO or new shares release.
3. When the company want to takeover or purchase company XYZ. They will engage pro to suppress company XYZ stock price so that they can buy with cheap price.

The author mentions it's NOT POSSIBLE for us to guess who is buying or selling. The most we can do is see how mcuh volume going and wats the quickness of the volume being transacted. All these pros will disguise themselves in their operations.
One more thing, when all ppl are heading to the same direction, that means something is wrong...
*
I partly agree of the article but partly disagree.

This article is best to describe those 'goreng' stock situation. It is not applicable to all.

In investment world, it is all about return rate. If a stock that can generate profit/dividend to shareholders that is significant more than FD interest rate, then you don't need 'big players' to drive the share price. People will automatically will to buy. This factor is already strong enough to drive up the share price.
Also, to gain in stock market, one doesn't need to gain through the price appreciation alone, if a stock is giving steady and consistently dividend let say 7-10%, you don't need to sell or wait for the share price appreciation to gain, you already gain through the dividend alone every year! Share price appreciation become a extra bonus only.

But this article is definitely true on some lousy and 'goreng' type of stock, whereby company financial situation hardly convincing and no dividend and hardly got one. Their share price is all about people willing to 'goreng' it. Those manipulation technic does happen in stock market, no doubt about that.

When all people are heading the same direction, which means there would be bubbling process. Yes, that's right, on something wrong

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 29 2008, 01:52 PM
aretla
post Feb 29 2008, 02:19 PM

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why muhibah is trading halt??
also.. anyone know wat happen to waseong? it drops from 3.5 to 2.1 since last tuesday..

This post has been edited by aretla: Feb 29 2008, 02:37 PM
SKY 1809
post Feb 29 2008, 02:40 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Feb 29 2008, 03:19 PM)
why muhibah is trading halt??
also.. anyone know wat happen to waseong? it drops from 3.5 to 2.1 since last tuesday..
*
Company Name : MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BHD
Stock Name/Code : MUHIBAH - 5703
Disseminated Datetime : 29-02-2008 13:40:09
Headline : PROVISION OF FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE

MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BHD ("Muhibbah" or "the Company")
-PROVISION OF FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE PURSUANT TO PRACTICE NOTE NO. 11/2001 OF THE
LISTING REQUIREMENTS OF BURSA MALAYSIA SECURITIES BERHAD ("BURSA SECURITIES")
On behalf of the Board of Muhibbah, we wish to announce that pursuant to
Practice Note No. 11/2001, the aggregate amount of financial assistance
provided during the quarter ended 31 December 2007 to facilitate the ordinary
course of business of the Company and the Group is as per the table under
Tables Section below.

There would be no significant financial impact to the earnings and cash flow of
Muhibbah Group as a result of the below financial assistance granted during the
reporting quarter as these guarantees are not expected to be realised and
called upon.
You are advised to read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment.
To read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment, please access
the Bursa website at http://www.bursamalaysia.com .

TScherroy
post Feb 29 2008, 03:16 PM

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CPO has hit 4001 just now. sweat.gif
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 03:26 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 29 2008, 03:16 PM)
CPO has hit 4001 just now.  sweat.gif
*
feels like bubble
cwtong
post Feb 29 2008, 03:48 PM

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<<CPO has hit 4001 just now.>>


where do u all check CPO online?
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 04:01 PM

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next wk market will chiong-ke?
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 04:07 PM

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what would happen when CPO bubble burst?
dreams_achiever
post Feb 29 2008, 04:13 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:07 PM)
what would happen when CPO bubble burst?
*
Cooking oil price, soap price down..
and of course
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
KLCI index also down..haha biggrin.gif
next week will be crucial week for Malaysia. Either KLSE market up or down will depend on poll results.
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post Feb 29 2008, 04:15 PM

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today may end greenish, to welcome the election next Saturday
dreams_achiever
post Feb 29 2008, 04:15 PM

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QUOTE(cwtong @ Feb 29 2008, 03:48 PM)
<<CPO has hit 4001 just now.>>
where do u all check CPO online?
*
KLSE website. Choose FCPO derivatives.
Click here for the link http://bursa.asiaebroker.com/BursaFutureSearchAll.htm
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 04:20 PM

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we wan price rally rally rally!

i miss the day when we are at 1400 to 1450 rolleyes.gif
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 04:33 PM

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is it foreigner buying or local institution?
TScherroy
post Feb 29 2008, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:20 PM)
we wan price rally rally rally!

i miss the day when we are at 1400 to 1450 rolleyes.gif
*
Actually KLCI just drop a little only, 1400 is not too far away, supported by mostly on plantation counters.

Price already rally mah, -> toll price, petrol price, food price, gold price etc. tongue.gif doh.gif
Better don't have this kind of rally sweat.gif

Actually, even stock market (share price) also rally, the real gain for the public is minimum. Stock price rally, you gain 10%, food price and expenses also rise 10%, one actually gain nothing in real term. It is worst for the 'makan gaji' one, for sure most salary won't be rising 10%.
chinkw1
post Feb 29 2008, 04:35 PM

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WOWWWwwwwwwwww..........

OIL 103 and going strong marching towards 110.
CPO 4000 before we cross to March, and uptrend towards 4500.

Malaysia inflation will be high this year, very significantly higher than past years.

Malaysia economy will be great too bcoz we are exporting huge scale of palm oil.

BOLEH.........
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post Feb 29 2008, 04:37 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:35 PM)
WOWWWwwwwwwwww..........

OIL 103 and going strong marching towards 110.
CPO 4000 before we cross to March, and uptrend towards 4500.

Malaysia inflation will be high this year, very significantly higher than past years.

Malaysia economy will be great too bcoz we are exporting huge scale of palm oil.

BOLEH.........
*
It only benefitted the sector of plantation and comodities and small portion of the public, while general public and lower income group will suffer big time.

Again some 'jokers' in the market buy all 1 lot all index linked counter, Maybank, MISC, BAT, IOI, Genting, Tenaga, Commerz, Petgas etc, try to make the index a little bit higher. Why? because today is the settlement of the FKLI! biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 29 2008, 04:43 PM
kinwawa
post Feb 29 2008, 04:43 PM

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yalo...ah chin ar...always think bout his IOICORP only hehehehee
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post Feb 29 2008, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 29 2008, 04:37 PM)
It only benefitted the sector of plantation and comodities and small portion of the public, while general public and lower income group will suffer big time.

Again some 'jokers' in the market buy all 1 lot all index linked counter, Maybank, MISC, BAT, IOI, Genting, Tenaga, Commerz, Petgas etc, try to make the index a little bit higher. Why? because today is the settlement of the FKLI!  biggrin.gif
*
manipulation process again.
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 29 2008, 04:37 PM)
It only benefitted the sector of plantation and comodities and small portion of the public, while general public and lower income group will suffer big time.

Again some 'jokers' in the market buy all 1 lot all index linked counter, Maybank, MISC, BAT, IOI, Genting, Tenaga, Commerz, Petgas etc, try to make the index a little bit higher. Why? because today is the settlement of the FKLI!  biggrin.gif
*
ohyah, today is the last day of the month
time for them to push up the index to make it look "nice & beautiful" laugh.gif
alivecmh
post Feb 29 2008, 04:50 PM

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But the market look like drop further instead of being push toward +.
chinkw1
post Feb 29 2008, 04:51 PM

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inside my pocket: ioi, klk, ijmplnt, pbbank-01. very suei i no have Asiatic, which today topgainer.......sad.gif
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(alivecmh @ Feb 29 2008, 04:50 PM)
But the market look like drop further instead of being push toward +.
*
8 min more...now at 1359
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 04:52 PM

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everybody watch for the last minute push
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 04:53 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:51 PM)
inside my pocket: ioi, klk, ijmplnt, pbbank-01. very suei i no have Asiatic, which today topgainer.......sad.gif
*
so now you know lor biggrin.gif
i plan to grab ASIATIC on the next round of price correction.
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post Feb 29 2008, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:52 PM)
8 min more...now at 1359
*
Turn 'green' at close? brows.gif

If it does, then only can say Malaysia Boleh. rclxms.gif doh.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Feb 29 2008, 04:56 PM
alivecmh
post Feb 29 2008, 04:55 PM

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what's wrong with H-DISPLAYS ? The price has been dropping from rm1.x to 0.29.
panasonic88
post Feb 29 2008, 05:01 PM

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oh well, end of show, nothing to see...
alivecmh
post Feb 29 2008, 05:02 PM

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Merrill Lynch bought 12,477,727 shares of HDISPLAY from UBS AG. Ever since then, the price keep falling till now. Willl there be a sign of rebound later ?
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post Feb 29 2008, 05:09 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 29 2008, 04:53 PM)
so now you know lor biggrin.gif
i plan to grab ASIATIC on the next round of price correction.
*
CPO up above 4000, its a big push from plantationsss........

But how come IOI drop so much leh, scratchingmy head.... icon_question.gif
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post Feb 29 2008, 06:31 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 29 2008, 05:09 PM)
CPO up above 4000, its a big push from plantationsss........

But how come IOI drop so much leh, scratchingmy head.... icon_question.gif
*
Because market doesn't believe it is sustainable for long term. Don't know market is right or not. Your guess is good as others now.

It is as same as gold situation, gold price sky-rocketed to USD950, but gold mining stocks only up marginally as same as oil stocks situation.
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post Feb 29 2008, 10:32 PM

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oil NOW 102 is it?
CPO now 3989 is it?

Can someone kindly confirm the above data as of friday nite plsss.

Super inflation for Malaysia in 2008, petrol, cooking gas, food, sabun, shampoo, cooking oils, cosmetics .... everything will up price very soon.

Wah, DJ tonite kena teruk lah, next week red chilli week.

This post has been edited by chinkw1: Feb 29 2008, 10:54 PM
sharesa
post Feb 29 2008, 11:45 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Feb 29 2008, 10:32 PM)
oil NOW 102 is it?
CPO now 3989 is it?

Can someone kindly confirm the above data as of friday nite plsss.

Super inflation for Malaysia in 2008, petrol, cooking gas, food, sabun, shampoo, cooking oils, cosmetics .... everything will up price very soon.

Wah, DJ tonite kena teruk lah, next week red chilli week.
*
haiya....everyday eat red chilli, investors also kena diarrhea
chinkw1
post Mar 1 2008, 12:03 AM

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Just found this shocking news.
Cannot believe it.

Recently, ALL plantations companies revealed handsome financial reports, some announced up to 200% higher than the corresponding previous quarter. Thumbs up for plantations.

But, there is one that announced worse than previous quarter. guess which one is it?
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...28&sec=business

SUSDavid83
post Mar 1 2008, 07:05 AM

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DJIA lost 300 points to close at:

12,266.39 -315.79 -2.51%
panasonic88
post Mar 1 2008, 07:45 AM

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black friday in US....

wooo scary monday in asia regional market...
TScherroy
post Mar 1 2008, 09:07 AM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 1 2008, 12:03 AM)
Just found this shocking news.
Cannot believe it.

Recently, ALL plantations companies revealed handsome financial reports, some announced up to 200% higher than the corresponding previous quarter. Thumbs up for plantations.

But, there is one that announced worse than previous quarter. guess which one is it?
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...28&sec=business
*
Not that shocking either, once you have been old enough in the market, you won't find this quite shocking anymore.

Told you back when discussing about Synergy Drive time, mega merger is not 1 + 1 = 2, sometimes it is 1 + 1 = 1.5 only. Most (although not all) GLCs again and again disappointing the market. Its plantation businesses still running fine, the more concern part is Sime taking up Bakun project one.
Actually the previous/initial proposed Synergy Drive as pure plantation stock is more appealing than a conglomerate which is more attractive to foreign investors. If it is a pure plantation then with CPO sky-rocketed, its share will be performing more magnificient. But this proposal suddenly being off-course in the middle, nobody knows why, even Synergy Drive name being discarded. The deal become more like Sime takes over the other companies.

The key question, why some others similar within the same industry can post good result while GLCs cannot? sad.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 1 2008, 09:25 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 1 2008, 09:32 AM

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2nd opinion :-

Sime : Operating profit is up by 66% . But the co wrote off some unusual big item, so the net profit drops.

Genting : Operating profit rose marginally even with Asiatic. Some big item gain makes the net profit more attractive.

Both have impact on EPS. It is up to you to interpret the results. Could be misleading at times.

just my 2sen opinion.

P/S > MAS in the past used to sell off airplanes at profits to make accounts more attractive.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 1 2008, 10:05 AM
TScherroy
post Mar 1 2008, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 1 2008, 09:32 AM)
2nd opinion :-

Sime : Operating profit is up by 66% . But the co wrote off some unusual big item, so the net profit drops.

Genting : Operating profit rose marginally even with Asiatic. Some big item gain makes the net profit more attractive.

Both have impact on EPS. It is up to you to interpret the results. Could be misleading at times.

just my 2sen opinion.

P/S > MAS in the past used to sell off airplanes at profits to make accounts more attractive.
*
This is the concern part. It is not the first time already since after taking over the Bakun project.

Yes, one always should look into the details to analyse the earning result. On the front, sometimes can be misleading without properly analyse the details, why earning goes up or down. Generally market will prefer and view the most positively with profit increment that are purely generated by businesses revenue or increse in profit margin in all or at core businesses.

Just like Sime, after the mega-merger, it will include the earning of previously GHope, Guthrie, H&L etc. So profit surely increases as size of company become 2x, 3x bigger already, so it is better to look at net operating earning of EPS will give a clue whether the merger is effective or ineffective.
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post Mar 1 2008, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 1 2008, 11:41 AM)
This is the concern part. It is not the first time already since after taking over the Bakun project.

Yes, one always should look into the details to analyse the earning result. On the front, sometimes can be misleading without properly analyse the details, why earning goes up or down. Generally market will prefer and view the most positively with profit increment that are purely generated by businesses revenue or increse in profit margin in all or at core businesses.

Just like Sime, after the mega-merger, it will include the earning of previously GHope, Guthrie, H&L etc. So profit surely increases as size of company become 2x, 3x bigger already, so it is better to look at net operating earning of EPS will give a clue whether the merger is effective or ineffective.
*
Yes , I agree with you. One should examine the details and not solely depending on Net Profit or Earning Per Share.

In the case of Genting Bhd , Net Profit rosed 32% :-

Taking a closer look :-

1) Disposing off profitable company ( Sanyen ) and replaced with UK Casino ( loss closed to RM 1 billion from impairment). Genting INt 's Intangible assets = rm 4.35 billions.

note: Genting Int sales is about RM 1.7 billions, just managed to break even ( operating profit less interest cost )

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-c2adac11

2) Genting. Finance Cost is RM 400 million per year. Final Q operating profit dropped compared to previous year. Despite better profit contributed by Asiatic ( up 55sen ).
3) Gambling luck has increased so the profit margin drops.
4) Intends to dispose off ( part ) Resort World share or taking it to private.
5) having intention to sell off " Asiatic" ( golden goose keeping 500m cash/investments ). just market saying only.


It is replacing a good asset with a poorer one, so I doubt it is from Strength to Strength.


It reminds me of "Proton ".


Just my 2sen opinion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Intangible Asset

What does it Mean? An asset that is not physical in nature. Corporate intellectual property (items such as patents, trademarks, copyrights, business methodologies), goodwill and brand recognition are all common intangible assets in today's marketplace. An intangible asset can be classified as either indefinite or definite depending on the specifics of that asset. A company brand name is considered to be an indefinite asset, as it stays with the company as long as the company continues operations. However, if a company enters a legal agreement to operate under another company's patent, with no plans of extending the agreement, it would have a limited life and would be classified as a definite asset.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 2 2008, 07:56 PM
mych
post Mar 1 2008, 05:33 PM

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fyi plantation stock price is much like the miners.. whether the stock price can sustain that value depends if CPO can hold that high price for the next 5 yrs.. IMHO right now the market is trying to find the bottom
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post Mar 2 2008, 01:01 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 1 2008, 02:35 PM)
Yes , I agree with you. One should examine the details and not  solely depending on  Net Profit or Earning Per Share.

In the case of Genting Bhd , Net Profit rosed 32% :-

Taking a closer look  :-

1) Disposing  off profitable company ( Sanyen ) and replaced with UK Casino ( loss closed to RM 1 billion from impairment). Genting INt 's  Intangible assets = rm 4.35 billions, Goodwill rm 1.9 billions.

note: Genting Int sales is about RM 1.7 billions, just managed  to break even ( operating profit less interest cost  )

http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...7b2220-c2adac11
*
It's not hard to fathom why Genting has increased its stakes in gaming companies in London. The casino business there is seeing deregulation and by having stakes in the major players, Genting is hedging its bets all around.
This is crucial as unlike Singapore where the government will issue two casino licences instead of one as expected earlier, the UK government is restricting the number of casino licences to only one "super casino".
In the original Gambling Bill, the proposal was to allow an unlimited number of large-scale casinos or super casinos with each holding up to 1,250 slot machines. Subsequently, it was scaled down to eight regional super casinos, following pressure from backbenchers from the Labour Party and charitable organisations. In early April, the House of Lords approved the Gambling Bill after the government scaled it down further to only one. It is to be built in Blackpool.
Apart from the single super casino, the authorities have also allowed eight "large" casinos with 150 slot machines and another eight small casinos with 80 slot machines.

Stanley Leisure is the largest casino operator in the UK. So it's not surprised Genting would have to pay premium to acquire their shares. By having stake in the top 3 largest casino in UK, Genting would have a good chance to share profit from the UK first super-casino build in Blackpool. However, what's unexpected would be the changes in the new tax rates may erodes the company profit.

The Gaming Duty (Amendment) Regulations 2007
Part of gross gaming yield Rate
The first £918,250 15 per cent.
The next £633,000 20 per cent.
The next £1,108,750 30 per cent.
The next £2,340,000 40 per cent.
The remainder 50 per cent.

Previous

The first £267k 2.5 per cent.
The next £593k 12.5 per cent.
The next £593k 20 per cent.
The next £1m 30 per cent.
The remainder 40 per cent.

While Genting Sanyen Paper division with 536.4 million revenue just get 47.3 million profit. Merely a 8.7% Net profit margin. By disposing this segment, Genting get 740 million cash. ROI for the acquirer is at least 15 years.

UK Stanley total paid £639m with an annual profit of £31.9m and annual revenue of £220m. Net profit is approximate 14% and ROI is 20 years if the annual profit is remain the same.

Sourced from http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...f8f500-ecb7cbca

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Mar 2 2008, 02:34 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 2 2008, 08:04 AM

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QUOTE(keith_hjinhoh @ Mar 2 2008, 02:01 AM)
It's not hard to fathom why Genting has increased its stakes in gaming companies in London. The casino business there is seeing deregulation and by having stakes in the major players, Genting is hedging its bets all around.
This is crucial as unlike Singapore where the government will issue two casino licences instead of one as expected earlier, the UK government is restricting the number of casino licences to only one "super casino".
In the original Gambling Bill, the proposal was to allow an unlimited number of large-scale casinos or super casinos with each holding up to 1,250 slot machines. Subsequently, it was scaled down to eight regional super casinos, following pressure from backbenchers from the Labour Party and charitable organisations. In early April, the House of Lords approved the Gambling Bill after the government scaled it down further to only one. It is to be built in Blackpool.
Apart from the single super casino, the authorities have also allowed eight "large" casinos with 150 slot machines and another eight small casinos with 80 slot machines.

Stanley Leisure is the largest casino operator in the UK. So it's not surprised Genting would have to pay premium to acquire their shares. By having stake in the top 3 largest casino in UK, Genting would have a good chance to share profit from the UK first super-casino build in Blackpool. However, what's unexpected would be the changes in the new tax rates may erodes the company profit.

The Gaming Duty (Amendment) Regulations 2007
Part of gross gaming yield  Rate
The first £918,250  15 per cent.
The next £633,000  20 per cent.
The next £1,108,750  30 per cent.
The next £2,340,000  40 per cent.
The remainder  50 per cent.

Previous

The first £267k  2.5 per cent.
The next £593k  12.5 per cent.
The next £593k  20 per cent.
The next £1m  30 per cent.
The remainder  40 per cent.

While Genting Sanyen Paper division with 536.4 million revenue just get 47.3 million profit. Merely a 8.7% Net profit margin. By disposing this segment, Genting get 740 million cash. ROI for the acquirer is at least 15 years.

UK Stanley total paid £639m with an annual profit of £31.9m and annual revenue of £220m. Net profit is approximate 14% and ROI is 20 years if the annual profit is remain the same.

Sourced from http://203.115.192.58/cms/content.jsp?id=c...f8f500-ecb7cbca
*
Thank you for your information.

This is not the first time that Mr Lim failed in his calculations. Star Cruise was a good example. Now Genting/Resort is just a minority shareholder.

Senior Uncle Lim faced with many impossible tasks ( at his time ) and yet he built Genting into a World Class Casino/Resorts from virtually jungles on top of mountains . He did it with little resource and money. On papers, this type of project was facing a high chance of failing.

The present Genting management is far more superior than Uncle Lim alone, and yet many things ( calculations ) could go wrong.

On papers :-

A mere 14% net profit only might look good . However, when investors venture into overseas, one needs to consider operating, cultural, environment (smoking) and political risks that are not the same as Malaysia. Do not forget, they need to borrow money to buy the casino, the interest cost.

In actual situation :-

The UK Casino is acquired with a goodwill of RM 1.8 billions and forms part of intangible assets of 4.35 billions ( could be licences etc ).

With Sales Turnover of RM 1.7 Billions ( jumped 250% ) , Genting Int, just breaks even after taking the interest cost ( ignoring impairment loss of RM 1 billion ).

Probably luck is not their side bocs the government imposed Higher Tax and Smoking Ban after the taking over. Otherwise they should be able to get higher profit with 250% increase in sales. They may want to bring down high interest costs that eating up their profit. If not, may have to write off more impairment costs.

In reality, it could a loss to operate this Casino on borrowed money, if sales drops below RM 1.5 billions.

Conclusion :-

I wonder whether is it a good venture, or would it be another Star Cruise ? only time can tell.

Just 2 sen opinion.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 2 2008, 09:02 PM
aretla
post Mar 2 2008, 01:50 PM

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so in short.. better not to buy genting or resorts now?

This post has been edited by aretla: Mar 2 2008, 01:51 PM
keith_hjinhoh
post Mar 2 2008, 02:39 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 2 2008, 08:04 AM)
On papers :-

A mere 14% net profit only might  look good . However, when investors venture into overseas, one needs to consider operating, cultural, environment (smoking) and political  risks  that are not the same as  Malaysia.

In actual situation :-

The UK Casino is acquired with a goodwill of RM 2 billions and with intangible assets of 4.35 billions ( could be licences  etc ).

With Sales Turnover of RM 1.7 Billions ( jumped 250% ) , Genting Int,  just break  even after taking the interest cost ( ignoring impairment loss of RM 1 billion ).

Probably luck is not their side bocs the government imposed Higher Tax and Smoking Ban after the taking over. Otherwise they should be able to get higher profit with 250 increase in sales. They may want to bring down high interest costs that eating up their profit. If not, may have to write off more impairment costs.

Conclusion :-

I wonder whether is it  a good venture, or would it be another Star Cruise ? only  time can tell.

Just 2 sen opinion.
*
Of course, it's undeniable that luck is not on their side. Even all the UK casino faces this problem. However, this is unavoidable as Genting Int. mission is to become world largest casino operator. There's alot of company venture into UK gaming industry in the recent years, so it's not only Genting take up the bait, in fact they're having majority stake in UK gaming industry listed company. By securing their position in the UK, I guess in the near future, it will be profitable. However, only time will tell.

[attachmentid=408897]

Refer to the chart, the industry worth of 60b pound and there're alot of company venturing into UK. It would be stupid for Genting not taking up that opportunity, however, it does look stupid after the changes in legislation tongue.gif and the turbulence in the UK politics towards the Gambling industry.

Afterall, Genting will still be a profitable company and recession proof as well (assume that their management team is still doing their work). Pick a right price and the future of Genting is still bright as I believe their company ATM is still heading the right direction.

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Mar 2 2008, 02:47 PM
chinkw1
post Mar 2 2008, 02:53 PM

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Looking at DJ close level last friday, next week will be eating chili for regional market. CPO, OIL and other commodities are sky high, inflation is teruk lor.

Hopefully the bear market in klse is shortlive, otherwise all ta kong chai suffer.

Plantation counters all pls wake up and jump lor.
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post Mar 2 2008, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Mar 2 2008, 02:50 PM)
so in short.. better not to buy genting or resorts now?
*
The impairment loss of RM 1 billion could be used to buy up 51% of a small Listed Co in Malaysia. Again, there is no guarantee that Genting Int would not do the write off again in future.

On the bright side, with a net profit of 3 billions or more a year, Genting is a strong position to absorb more losses. Remember gambling luck is on the rise and Casino's profit margin is quite flat in Malaysia.

However, in the long run, they would have hard time to get supports from the bankers ( heavy borrowings ) and minority shareholders. Minority's share of profit is erosed.

Impairment Charges: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/analyst/110502.asp

It is also a rumour that IOI is talking to Genting to buy over Asiatic. If the deal comes through, Genting would have cash of RM 3.6 billions in hand. But is it worth to sell Asiatic to pay for the impairment cost of UK Casino ?

Investors also confident that their Casino in Singapore should be able to do well.

Just my 2 sen opinion.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 2 2008, 11:24 PM
davehii
post Mar 2 2008, 03:38 PM

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hi, got a noob question here. after reading the book secrets of millionaire investors, found that it is not bad to invest in US stocks. However i would need to know as a Malaysian, is it legal to invest in US stocks? and which are the licensed agent (broker) to provide such service. Thanks in advance
mlpk
post Mar 2 2008, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 2 2008, 03:02 PM)
Investors also confident that their Casino in Singapore should be able to do well.
*
Not to be confident that their Casino in Singapore should be able to do well due to the following

1) Sand casino will be operating/opening earlier that Genting casino in sentosa (Profit will bound to drop due to diversion of tourist to new Sands casino).

2) Sand casino is in the main land. Location wise is near to the heart of singapore like changi airport and shopping complexes and flexible for tourist or near to their SG home.

3) Theme park will not see making profit due to highly recurring maintanance fee. eg HK Disney Land is making a loss indeed as reported.

4) Travelling is very inflexible and even longer to travel to sentosa compare to mainland Sand casino. alot Hidden cost for tourist. Competition.

5) Tourist/Gamblers nowadays were talking about flexibility and easy n convienance due to the hot wheather and climate changing.

6) China man company always is very stingy (when comes to $$). Just Formality for showing investor that the company is improving and changing but altitude and bad habits does not change overnight or even does change at all internally. Character of each person does not change and is born with it. 360 degree change is off the books.

7) Economy dampens after the election and interest on borrowing will burden the whole group for another 10 years again. Too heavy an investment is indirectly not good for the group when a recession returns worldwide and interest rates rise. history will indeed repeat again. All interest borrowing will increase and alot of hidden possibilities is bound to flop up soon.

8) No such thing is sure win and taking alot of risk were bound to in any investment. Greed will be the beginning of a down fall for any investor.

9) Always Mainland is more safety than island (Maybe tsunami will occur in island due to climate change)

10) Group with too huge of a diversity is not good sign for the company. alot of $$ involve and the return will take years/decades to recover. Difficult to manage and alot of transparency behind. Gambling tax will increase from time to time.

just my 2 cents opinion

This post has been edited by mlpk: Mar 2 2008, 04:06 PM
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aiseh... I know I'm new here.. but anyhow, I want to share my bad luck...

my HKEX-C4 and HKEX-C5 drop like no tomorrow these days...

now is holding at 0.035 and 0.020 ...
tomorrow no eye see...
wu wu wu~~~
alivecmh
post Mar 2 2008, 07:02 PM

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stay away from hkex-cx whenever possible, the premium is sky high and it's mother share price is damn low. HK gov has made few B of $HK paper lost from investing into the mother share of hkex.

Just my 2 cents

This post has been edited by alivecmh: Mar 2 2008, 07:03 PM
keith_hjinhoh
post Mar 2 2008, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(mlpk @ Mar 2 2008, 03:52 PM)
Not to be confident that their Casino in Singapore should be able to do well due to the following

1) Sand casino will be operating/opening earlier that Genting casino in sentosa (Profit will bound to drop due to diversion of tourist to new Sands casino).

2) Sand casino is in the main land. Location wise is near to the heart of singapore like changi airport and shopping complexes and flexible for tourist or near to their SG home.

3) Theme park will not see making profit due to highly recurring maintanance fee. eg HK Disney Land is making a loss indeed as reported.

4) Travelling is very inflexible and even longer to travel to sentosa compare to mainland Sand casino. alot Hidden cost for tourist. Competition.

5) Tourist/Gamblers nowadays were talking about flexibility and easy n convienance due to the hot wheather and climate changing.

6) China man company always is very stingy (when comes to $$). Just Formality for showing investor that the company is improving and changing but altitude and bad habits does not change overnight or even does change at all internally. Character of each person does not change and is born with it. 360 degree change is off the books.

7) Economy dampens after the election and interest on borrowing will burden the whole group for another 10 years again. Too heavy an investment is indirectly not good for the group when a recession returns worldwide and interest rates rise. history will indeed repeat again. All interest borrowing will increase and alot of hidden possibilities is bound to flop up soon.

8) No such thing is sure win and taking alot of risk were bound to in any investment. Greed will be the beginning of a down fall for any investor.

9) Always Mainland is more safety than island (Maybe tsunami will occur in island due to climate change)

10) Group with too huge of a diversity is not good sign for the company. alot of $$ involve and the return will take years/decades to recover. Difficult to manage and  alot of transparency behind. Gambling tax will increase from time to time.

just my 2 cents opinion
*
1. Direct compare Sands with Genting sentosa is flawed. Both of them target different market segment. Entertainment and fun wise, Genting sentosa offers unbeatable experience (from the paper) compare to Sands.

2. Travel to sentosa is actually not inflexible. In fact, many singaporean and malaysian travel to sentosa just to have fun.

3. With the entertainment, Genting can secure customer for longer stay and ensure the children having fun in theme park and Adults spending their time either at theme park or casino. (They gain money as long as customer in their site)

4. Genting is rapidly expanding. I think Genting should cool down their investment before expanding again. Recent years, they've been rapidly expanding into UK, Macau, Singapore. All these investment cost billions and huge financing cost. Luckily Genting have the cash cow such as asiatic, genting to finance their rapid expanding.

5. Theme park alone is subject to seasons to generate revenue. However, having casino and theme park makes a preety good combination to draw attention of tourist as well as the local (singaporean) to take some rest. Furthermore, the HK disneyland do not seems to have good feedback. From what respondent respond, the HK disneyland actually resemble the one in Florida 20 years ago, and this resultant Low attendance and unable to cover their huge operating cost.

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Mar 2 2008, 11:42 PM
alivecmh
post Mar 2 2008, 11:49 PM

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How about HDisplay. It's 4Q financial result is better than previous quarter result. But most of the Director disposed the share ? Will it be like Gamude, plunge suddenly and then recover slowly ? I feel like to buy this one at 0.20, assuming it drop 30%+ when market open biggrin.gif
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 09:13 AM

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alright guys, just to report in
i sold all (yes i mean ALL) hk cw
my hands are clear now
lost few thousands...oh well

not buying anymore hk cw
keeping my funds and pour them into PBBANK whenever the price is right smile.gif
a6meister
post Mar 3 2008, 09:27 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:13 AM)
alright guys, just to report in
i sold all (yes i mean ALL) hk cw
my hands are clear now
lost few thousands...oh well

not buying anymore hk cw
keeping my funds and pour them into PBBANK whenever the price is right smile.gif
*
sad to hear that.

anywhere, today, as expected, another bad day, just see how bad it goes.
skiddtrader
post Mar 3 2008, 09:28 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:13 AM)
alright guys, just to report in
i sold all (yes i mean ALL) hk cw
my hands are clear now
lost few thousands...oh well

not buying anymore hk cw
keeping my funds and pour them into PBBANK whenever the price is right smile.gif
*
Sad to hear that pana. I guess you have to bite the bullet somehow, rather than losing every penny once it expires.

Aim for PBBANK, if it drops it should be a good deal.

Edit: I hope the market crashes, no offence to stock holders, because I want to shop ^^

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Mar 3 2008, 09:33 AM
verbatim
post Mar 3 2008, 09:34 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:13 AM)
alright guys, just to report in
i sold all (yes i mean ALL) hk cw
my hands are clear now
lost few thousands...oh well

not buying anymore hk cw
keeping my funds and pour them into PBBANK whenever the price is right smile.gif
*
Sorry for you.. But this is the reason why i cleared my portfolio to 0 two weeks ago.. Mart gonna be bumpy. US market is making it worse. The problem is people know that BN wil not retain the same victory they attained in 2004. it could be really worse like 1999. There are talks of Terengganu and Kedah falling into opposiion hands. Indians' votes are split and biased to opposition. That gonna be another factor at those seats which was won with slim margin in the last GE. So, many funds be it local or foreign are not risking their $$$.

This post has been edited by verbatim: Mar 3 2008, 10:54 AM
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 09:34 AM

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yah i should have cut loss earlier...well.

something happened on my surroundings lately, i become very emotional and depressed. i don't want to carry another "burden" (referring to hkcw) with me, so decided to sell and not looking back anymore.

other counters sitting in my portfolio are "safe" counter, which i am less worried in. well, time is the essense.

p/s: sorry if i mumble too much...smile.gif
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post Mar 3 2008, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:34 AM)
yah i should have cut loss earlier...well.

something happened on my surroundings lately, i become very emotional and depressed. i don't want to carry another "burden" (referring to hkcw) with me, so decided to sell and not looking back anymore.

other counters sitting in my portfolio are "safe" counter, which i am less worried in. well, time is the essense.

p/s: sorry if i mumble too much...smile.gif
*
Don't worry...things will be better soon. Time to shop!


Added on March 3, 2008, 9:46 amDJ might drop further...nt rushing to shop yet though...still monitoring.....

This post has been edited by kinwawa: Mar 3 2008, 09:46 AM
skiddtrader
post Mar 3 2008, 09:50 AM

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Yeah DJIA futures -96 and European futures doesn't look good too.
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:34 AM)
yah i should have cut loss earlier...well.

something happened on my surroundings lately, i become very emotional and depressed. i don't want to carry another "burden" (referring to hkcw) with me, so decided to sell and not looking back anymore.

other counters sitting in my portfolio are "safe" counter, which i am less worried in. well, time is the essense.

p/s: sorry if i mumble too much...smile.gif
*
oh... what happened to your surroundings that makes you so sad? ohmy.gif
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 10:13 AM)
oh... what happened to your surroundings that makes you so sad? ohmy.gif
*
some personal problem.

anyway, GENTING is coming to 6.50 soon, where is our cherroy? biggrin.gif
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 10:15 AM)
some personal problem.

anyway, GENTING is coming to 6.50 soon, where is our cherroy? biggrin.gif
*
me same too on top of the lousy market.
Genting may go lower than 6.50?
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post Mar 3 2008, 10:51 AM

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What happen to CPO today????

CPO up almost RM300 to RM4141/tonne, its rocking up like no body's business.

But all red chili.

Somemore DJ futures is very RED. This whole week is chilli week.
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 10:57 AM

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can skip to watch the market for the coming week

unless you have the intention to do some shopping...
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 10:59 AM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 10:51 AM)
What happen to CPO today????

CPO up almost RM300 to RM4141/tonne, its rocking up like no body's business.

But all red chili.

Somemore DJ futures is very RED. This whole week is chilli week.
*
CPO & share price seem not to be co-related anymore, this could be a CPO bubble waiting to pop. Maybe manipulated by the traders to fool us.
ankw
post Mar 3 2008, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(keith_hjinhoh @ Mar 2 2008, 11:17 PM)
1. Direct compare Sands with Genting sentosa is flawed. Both of them target different market segment. Entertainment and fun wise, Genting sentosa offers unbeatable experience (from the paper) compare to Sands.

2. Travel to sentosa is actually not inflexible. In fact, many singaporean and malaysian travel to sentosa just to have fun.

3. With the entertainment, Genting can secure customer for longer stay and ensure the children having fun in theme park and Adults spending their time either at theme park or casino. (They gain money as long as customer in their site)

4. Genting is rapidly expanding. I think Genting should cool down their investment before expanding again. Recent years, they've been rapidly expanding into UK, Macau, Singapore. All these investment cost billions and huge financing cost. Luckily Genting have the cash cow such as asiatic, genting to finance their rapid expanding.

5. Theme park alone is subject to seasons to generate revenue. However, having casino and theme park makes a preety good combination to draw attention of tourist as well as the local (singaporean) to take some rest. Furthermore, the HK disneyland do not seems to have good feedback. From what respondent respond, the HK disneyland actually resemble the one in Florida 20 years ago, and this resultant Low attendance and unable to cover their huge operating cost.
*
Sentosa might have alot of discrepancy like providing transport(bus,taxi,car or cable car etc) in and out 24 hours for tourist as they wish. alot of tourist depends on mrt, public transport etc and driving a car is expensive in SG. SG is discouraging Singaporean from gambling by enforcing SG120 for entering the casino with no refund back per visit etc. Majority of adults dont enter the casino when they bring their kids around, troublesome and their kids need to be taken care off. Another disadvantage for themepark is only target on kids and very expensive due to currency exchange rate , the percentage for adults is minimum. Only casino the percentage is greater for adults, as long as they bring their kids around,its a burden to them and is avoiding the adults from going to the casino for sure.


Added on March 3, 2008, 11:19 am
QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 10:18 AM)
me same too on top of the lousy market.
Genting may go lower than 6.50?
*
the last big drop genting lowest were RM6.20

This post has been edited by ankw: Mar 3 2008, 11:19 AM
chinkw1
post Mar 3 2008, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 10:59 AM)
CPO & share price seem not to be co-related anymore, this could be a CPO bubble waiting to pop. Maybe manipulated by the traders to fool us.
*
CPO 4155.0 +305.0 , palm oil is going up high
Early Jan its only 3000, now above 4000 oledi.

Inflation rate is high toooooooo
TScherroy
post Mar 3 2008, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 10:15 AM)
anyway, GENTING is coming to 6.50 soon, where is our cherroy? biggrin.gif
*
Hi, roger, roger. nod.gif

Not yet 6.50, unless have another round of sell-off.
Not meant to be long term holding either, aim for short term trading for the 6.50, like last time out.

Market is quite calm and quiet although with significant drop.


Added on March 3, 2008, 11:44 amCPO might in the bubbling process, that's why plantation stocks won't follow the trend of CPO.
I might be wrong, but for sure the huge plunge on USD will only make the world-side inflation become worsen. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 3 2008, 11:44 AM
chinkw1
post Mar 3 2008, 11:54 AM

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DJ future is very RED.

Wonder whether DJ will go below 12000 or not leh?
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 12:02 PM

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Anyone can explain why TWS Plant is still up despite share buy back at RM 3.78 ? still blur blur ?

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 3 2008, 12:02 PM
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 12:05 PM

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uh oh...LIONDIV price kena hentam sweat.gif
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 12:19 PM

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DJ MARKET TALK: CS Keeps Asian Palm Oil Sector At Overweight - 2008-03-03 02:00:00.0



0200 GMT [Dow Jones] Credit Suisse keeps Asian palm oil sector at Overweight despite recent global palm oil conference concluding with mixed messages. Notes speakers highlighted risk of record prices crimping demand from food and fuel sectors and that biodiesel capacities are money-losing without subsidies, with most operating at less than 20% capacity utilization. "We continue to be positive on vegetable oil prices, including palm oil. Nevertheless, there is growing risk of a short-term technical correction as speculators have pushed up palm oil futures to record prices. Any sharp weakening in stock prices is an opportunity to accumulate more palm oil stocks." Says bullish stance based on belief U.S. fight for acreage between corn and oilseeds will intensify; China snowstorms to aggravate supply shortage amid talk China is buying heavily in futures market; weak USD will continue to enhance importers purchasing power. Palm-oil stocks rated Outperform include IOI Corp. (1961.KU), Sime Darby (4197.KU), Astra Agro (AALI.JK), London Sumatra (LSIP.JK), Indofood Agri (5JS.SG), Sampoerna (SGRO.JK). Rates Wilmar (F34.SG) at Neutral. (LES)



jiaenn83
post Mar 3 2008, 12:21 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 12:05 PM)
uh oh...LIONDIV price kena hentam sweat.gif
*
shit..im holding LIONDIV and LIONIND...gosh....
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 12:24 PM

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QUOTE(jiaenn83 @ Mar 3 2008, 12:21 PM)
shit..im holding LIONDIV and LIONIND...gosh....
*
short term wise, the price will go nowhere
let's see how it will perform in the next quarter
chinkw1
post Mar 3 2008, 01:55 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 12:24 PM)
short term wise, the price will go nowhere
let's see how it will perform in the next quarter
*
Once DJ drop below 12000, it will be very intersting oledi.
DJ futures now is -100+ points oledi. Seems like tonite DJ may drop below 12000, ho sei laiw

This post has been edited by chinkw1: Mar 3 2008, 02:48 PM
alchemisT
post Mar 3 2008, 02:50 PM

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Hey,
Anyone know the reason behind KNM's suspension?
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 02:57 PM

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KNM...

QUOTE
The Board of Directors of KNM wishes to announce that Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad ("Bursa Securities") has approved the Company's request for suspension of one (1) day of the Company's securities on the Main Board of Bursa Securities from 9.00 a.m. on 3 March 2008 to 5.00 p.m. on 3 March 2008 pending a material announcement by the Company relating to a material foreign acquisition for a purchase consideration of Euro 350.0 million. The request for suspension was made under subparagraph 3.1 (b) of Practice Note 2/2001 on requests for Suspension of the Listing Requirements of Bursa Securities


good news ya?
TScherroy
post Mar 3 2008, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 02:57 PM)
KNM...
good news ya?
*
Too early to tell without details and target of acquisition.
kinwawa
post Mar 3 2008, 03:47 PM

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BJTOTO back on my radar....hehehhehe
alivecmh
post Mar 3 2008, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE
Pursuant to Rule 8.15(1) of the MMLR, a listed company must ensure that at
least 25% of its total listed shares are in the hands of a minimum of 1,000
public shareholders holding not less than 100 shares each ("Required Public
Shareholding Spread").

Accordingly, the Company does not comply with the Required Public Shareholding
Spread as the total number of H-Displays shares are held in the hands of only
725 public shareholders holding not less than 100 shares each.
Is this the reason why the share holder of HDisplay started to dispose the share in huge quantity just to comply with the rule ?

QUOTE
H-Displays had on 31 December 2007 announced that it had entered into a
conditional share sale agreement with Dalux Technology Company Limited and Ke
Li Zhi and Chris Or Shui Bun for the proposed acquisition of 90% equity
interest in Smart Good Enterprises Limited ("Proposed Acquisition"). The
Proposed Acquisition provides an opportunity for the H-Displays group of
companies to expand its business activities to the fast growing China market.
Therefore, the Proposed Acquisition may potentially enhance the value of the
Company, its profile and hence the liquidity of its shares.


It this turn out to be true, do you think this will be another "GPACKET" :-p
TScherroy
post Mar 3 2008, 04:02 PM

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FCPO now above 4250 level liao sweat.gif
This is become crazy now, everday goes up RM100-200 sweat.gif

Btw, FKLI for spot month (March) now trading below 1300 level already. A huge 30+ points discount.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 3 2008, 04:06 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 04:03 PM

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DJ MARKET TALK: KLCI Off Lows; Tipped To Stay In 1330-1338 Range

03/03/2008 07:42:00 AM



0742 GMT [Dow Jones] KLCI down 1.5% at 1336.51 with decliners trouncing gainers 614 to 111 in thin volume of 370.9 million shares. Although off intraday low of 1329.45, dealers say any recovery in share prices will be met by profit-taking. KLCI tipped to stay in 1330-1338 range for rest of day. "The decline in regional markets and retreat in U.S. stocks Friday triggered this selldown. We have breached a critical support level at 1338 (neckline of bearish Head & Shoulders formation). Any recovery in share price will face resistance at 1344 (today's gap-down)," he adds. Among decliners, Gamuda (5398.KU) down 4.1% at MYR3.78, Genting (3182.KU) down 2.9% at MYR6.65 and Tenaga (5347.KU) down 1.7% at MYR8.90. On upside, Boustead (2771.KU) +7.4% at MYR5.35 on better-than-expected dividends, LPF (5851.KU) +1.6% at MYR3.84 on takeover report and Sarawak Oil Palms (5126.KU) +0.8% at MYR6 on better-than-expected results.(VGB)



alchemisT
post Mar 3 2008, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 02:57 PM)
KNM...
good news ya?
*
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 3 2008, 03:22 PM)
Too early to tell without details and target of acquisition.
*
YeaP, that is why we wanna know what's behind.
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 3 2008, 03:47 PM)
BJTOTO back on my radar....hehehhehe
*
thanks for reminding, added into My Favourite biggrin.gif

i am hoping to buy BJTOTO below RM 5.00
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post Mar 3 2008, 04:12 PM

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03-03-2008: Global Trader impacts Bursa
by Jose Barrock & Tamimi Omar

KUALA LUMPUR: The fall from grace of UK-registered financial institution, Global Trader Europe Ltd, has had a far-reaching impact on certain Malaysian stocks and sparked off investigations of possible manipulation of these counters, sources said.

The heavy selldown of these stocks is said to have caused the authorities to start investigation on possible manipulation. Towards this end, several brokers have been quizzed by the authorities.

Shareholders of the affected companies are said to have pledged their shares to Global Trader's office in Bangkok. Following the liquidity crunch faced by its parent company in the UK, the administrators scrutinised the accounts of its clients, especially in its Bangkok branch. It sold the pledged shares and other assets of accounts that had a margin shortfall.

This in turn triggered a massive forced selling of the stocks that were pledged. Companies affected are said to have included H-Displays (MSC) Bhd, Ygl Convergence Bhd, My EG Services Bhd, Reliance Pacific Bhd, Aturmaju Resources Bhd, Liqua Health Corp Bhd, Cymao Holdings Bhd and Axis Incorporation Bhd.


Added on March 3, 2008, 4:17 pm
QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 04:08 PM)
thanks for reminding, added into My Favourite biggrin.gif

i am hoping to buy BJTOTO below RM 5.00
*
lately i'm monitoring PBBANK, BJTOTO n AMWAY.....will buy when the time n price is right

btw...today DIALOG dropped a lot..hmm.....wat's happening ar......considering buying some also....

This post has been edited by kinwawa: Mar 3 2008, 04:17 PM
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 3 2008, 04:02 PM)
FCPO now above 4250 level liao  sweat.gif
This is become crazy now, everday goes up RM100-200  sweat.gif

Btw, FKLI for spot month (March) now trading below 1300 level already. A huge 30+ points discount.
*
woah...if CPO price retreats, I think our KLCI will lose about 50 points, may drag down other non-related industries too.

The best is stay around that level.
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 04:26 PM)
woah...if CPO price retreats, I think our KLCI will lose about 50 points, may drag down other non-related industries too.

The best is stay around that level.
*
eeww that would be scary sweat.gif

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post Mar 3 2008, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 04:26 PM)
woah...if CPO price retreats, I think our KLCI will lose about 50 points, may drag down other non-related industries too.

The best is stay around that level.
*
I prefer that CPO retreat and KLCI goes down rather than inflation sky-rocketing.

If CPO stay at current level, lot of products price will need to be increased, ranging from cooking oil, foods, daily usage products. <-- it is more harm than your plantation stocks goes down.
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post Mar 3 2008, 04:55 PM

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The data i attain is wrong is it on CPO ??
My data shows today, CPO up by 10%, a whooping +393 to 4243.0. 10% up in a single day. Sure or not???? Can someone verify this pls.

OMG, imagine how much things will increase in price after GE.
Ya true. IF CPO price retreat, i think klse will down easily to below 1300 instantly.
Now klse still not so hurt bcoz our plantation counters only decline a bit only. but when cpo free fall, imagine IOI, KLK, SIME free fall...

This post has been edited by chinkw1: Mar 3 2008, 04:56 PM
kinwawa
post Mar 3 2008, 04:59 PM

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maybe when CPO dropped...plantation drop...then it's time for O&G counters to push up KLCI again! hehehehe

btw.....i prefer inflation to go lower thus i also hope CPO price will go down also.....v have to take into account the whole community leh
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 04:03 PM)
DJ MARKET TALK: KLCI Off Lows; Tipped To Stay In 1330-1338 Range

03/03/2008 07:42:00 AM


wow so accurate, KLCI closed at 1330 (-26 points)

inside my watchlist,
BJTOTO has come to 5.00 while PBBANK has come to 10.30, ah ha! rolleyes.gif
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post Mar 3 2008, 05:07 PM

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Summary of today:

1. CPO up +11% in a single day, the highest one day gain in history.
2. KLCI down 27.
3. OIL at 102/barrel
4. DJ future -111 points.

This whole week will be red hot chilli week.

After GE, lets keep our fingers crossed.
okk
post Mar 3 2008, 05:08 PM

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OK, market closed at 1330, a very strong breach of the support level of 1350, and even beat 1340. Let's see tomorrow, if this continues. One more bad news from Dow Jones tonite, I am very sure KLCI will head to 1300.
kinwawa
post Mar 3 2008, 05:14 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:07 PM)
wow so accurate, KLCI closed at 1330 (-26 points)

inside my watchlist,
BJTOTO has come to 5.00 while PBBANK has come to 10.30, ah ha!  rolleyes.gif
*
yes! pana...if tomolo drop somemore i will pick up some!
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 05:15 PM

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our CI has been suffering ever since parliment dissolve, isn't, sigh!

and the irony part is, this is probably just the starting of the game!
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post Mar 3 2008, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(okk @ Mar 3 2008, 05:08 PM)
OK, market closed at 1330, a very strong breach of the support level of 1350, and even beat 1340. Let's see tomorrow, if this continues. One more bad news from Dow Jones tonite, I am very sure KLCI will head to 1300.
*
This is quite normal in the week b4 GE, as foreign fund are uncertain on GE result.
Next week after GE, the doubt is cleared from the air, and they will pour in $ like Niagara FALL.

I think CPO will hit 4500 by next week.

Next week also, petrol will increase price, cooking gas, cooking oil, sabun, shampoo, cosmetics etc....up price.
If our investment gain in klse is higher than price hike, its OK no problem.

CPO now +405, higher than half hour ago

This post has been edited by chinkw1: Mar 3 2008, 05:18 PM
panasonic88
post Mar 3 2008, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 3 2008, 05:14 PM)
yes! pana...if tomolo drop somemore i will pick up some!
*
you pick up what?
you looks like having unlimited bullets ya laugh.gif
okk
post Mar 3 2008, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:16 PM)
This is quite normal in the week b4 GE, as foreign fund are uncertain on GE result.
Next week after GE, the doubt is cleared from the air, and they will pour in $ like Niagara FALL.

I think CPO will hit 4500 by next week.

Next week also, petrol will increase price, cooking gas, cooking oil, sabun, shampoo, cosmetics etc....up price.
If our investment gain in klse is higher than price hike, its OK no problem.

CPO now +405, higher than half hour ago
*
I doubt GE is the only factor here....just do not HOPE that things will really get better after GE, it's this mindset that has cause a lot of investment losses to investors, just my 2 cents..
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post Mar 3 2008, 05:21 PM

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QUOTE(okk @ Mar 3 2008, 06:08 PM)
OK, market closed at 1330, a very strong breach of the support level of 1350, and even beat 1340. Let's see tomorrow, if this continues. One more bad news from Dow Jones tonite, I am very sure KLCI will head to 1300.
*
Hi OkK,

The market sentiment reminds me of Asia Currency Crisis.

One bad news after another. More are coming out sooner or later.

I see no reason why CI should head towards 1500pts.

Unless foreign funds pump in money heavily after the election, quite unlikely. Correct me if i am wrong.





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post Mar 3 2008, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:16 PM)
you pick up what?
you looks like having unlimited bullets ya laugh.gif
*
aiyah....as u told me last time....headache to choose ma...so if both drop then buy both half-half lo tongue.gif hehehhehehee

as i said earlier.....i pickup in 100 units by 100 units one leh....sikit sikit lama lama menjadi bukit ma hehehehe
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post Mar 3 2008, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:21 PM)
Hi OkK,

The market sentiment reminds me of Asia Currency Crisis.

One bad news after another. More are coming out sooner or later.

I see no reason why CI should head towards 1500pts.

Unless foreign funds pump in money heavily after the election, quite unlikely. Correct me if i am wrong.
*
True also.
Bear is coming.
The only BULL i see now is O&G and CPO related. Others no clue in their futures.
okk
post Mar 3 2008, 05:28 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:21 PM)
Hi OkK,

The market sentiment reminds me of Asia Currency Crisis.

One bad news after another. More are coming out sooner or later.

I see no reason why CI should head towards 1500pts.

Unless foreign funds pump in money heavily after the election, quite unlikely. Correct me if i am wrong.
*
My opinion is look at what is happening now and analyze based on that. Looking forward to something which might or might not happen is baseless speculation. For example, hoping that foreign fund will come in after GE, this is a baseless hope (well, it might be true in the end though) because there is no data supporting it. We as retail investors, should only invest based on what you see now, because we do not have the chance to be the 'insider'. Instead of guessing around, we should stop to guess.
People might said with this style, I might miss the boat if the market really go up after election, well, for me, if the market is on the run, it will last more than 1 day or 2 days, there is no point to risk so much just trying to catch a bottom, which you might not even know....

Just my 2 cents again.

This post has been edited by okk: Mar 3 2008, 05:29 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 06:25 PM)
True also.
Bear is coming.
The only BULL i see now is O&G and CPO related. Others no clue in their futures.
*
I read a report that many plantations might not benefit from the high current prices bcos they odeli locked in 80% profit at CPO price RM 3,000+. Could be wrong anyway.

Personally I feel O & G is a good bet if prices are coming down a lot, if at big discount to the actual value of companies.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 3 2008, 07:47 PM
okk
post Mar 3 2008, 05:39 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:30 PM)
I read a report that many plantations might not benefit from the high current prices bcos they odeli locked in 80% profit at CPO price RM 3,000++.  Could be wrong anyway.
*
On top of that, a lot of palm oil processing companies have already closed shops or almost dying because the raw material price is too high now, their profit margin becomes so small that they can't sustain their business.
So when the CPO is too high as of now, it won't last because all the processing companies will die off, which means there is no one taking the raw materials from palm oil companies like IOI, ASIATIC, etc....so based on my opinion, CPO price will not last long because it's aredi at critical level...
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post Mar 3 2008, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:30 PM)
I read a report that many plantations might not benefit from the high current prices bcos they odeli locked in 80% profit at CPO price RM 3,000++.  Could be wrong anyway.

*
Yes, at Rm3000+, it is already extremely profitability for them. They would rather hedge rather seeing price goes down afterwards. It is always wise to hedge some portion as you won't know how future will be especially it is already in the high profitibility level.

QUOTE(okk @ Mar 3 2008, 05:28 PM)
For example, hoping that foreign fund will come in after GE, this is a baseless hope (well, it might be true in the end though) because there is no data supporting it. We as retail investors, should only invest based on what you see now, because we do not have the chance to be the 'insider'. Instead of guessing around, we should stop to guess.
*
Yup, this is baseless hope. That's why previous before GE, I already said don't put too high hope of GE alone.

Stock market is about future potential earning return. If future earning won't be improving, then there is not much reason for people to buy the share at higher price so stock market won't go up. On the other hand, if future is robust and earning is going to improve then return rate would be handsome then share price will go up because people eager to have them.
So better take the economy clue and business environment situation to determine where the stock market will go rather than hope this, hope that (No offence, it is natural so for people hope share price shoot up after they had bought). Stock market is not about 50 chance goes up or 50 chance goes down one, it is a leading indicator how economy will perform in next 6 months or 1 years time.

QUOTE(okk @ Mar 3 2008, 05:39 PM)
On top of that, a lot of palm oil processing companies have already closed shops or almost dying because the raw material price is too high now, their profit margin becomes so small that they can't sustain their business.
So when the CPO is too high as of now, it won't last because all the processing companies will die off, which means there is no one taking the raw materials from palm oil companies like IOI, ASIATIC, etc....so based on my opinion, CPO price will not last long because it's aredi at critical level...
*
IOI does have downstream industry like palm oil refining etc as well.


Added on March 3, 2008, 5:56 pm
QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 04:55 PM)
The data i attain is wrong is it on CPO ??
My data shows today, CPO up by 10%, a whooping +393 to 4243.0. 10% up in a single day. Sure or not???? Can someone verify this pls.

OMG, imagine how much things will increase in price after GE. 
Ya true. IF CPO price retreat, i think klse will down easily to below 1300 instantly.
Now klse still not so hurt bcoz our plantation counters only decline a bit only. but when cpo free fall, imagine IOI, KLK, SIME free fall...
*
The last price may be right, but +393 might not, might be using Thursday close price liao.
Today up a whooping more than Rm300 to close at 4308, look at the volume! More than 10k, it just show massive speculation is in place.

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/website/bm/ma...derivatives.jsp

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 3 2008, 05:56 PM
sinclairZX81
post Mar 3 2008, 06:09 PM

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I'm staying at the sidelines now, cheap may become cheaper. sweat.gif
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(sinclairZX81 @ Mar 3 2008, 07:09 PM)
I'm staying at the sidelines now, cheap may become cheaper.  sweat.gif
*
Yes, bottom could be quite far away. Not asking you to buy at bottom, but expect more downside risks .

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 3 2008, 06:19 PM
TScherroy
post Mar 3 2008, 06:17 PM

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QUOTE(sinclairZX81 @ Mar 3 2008, 06:09 PM)
I'm staying at the sidelines now, cheap may become cheaper.  sweat.gif
*
Then cheaper become cheapest. icon_idea.gif brows.gif

I don't think currently level of stock price can be considered dirt cheap (yet). Something like don't need to rush for it.

It is more like fairly value, not too cheap, not too expensive (in general as some stocks may be expensive already and some stocks become quite cheap)

Just my opinion only, not necessay right.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 3 2008, 06:17 PM
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 05:21 PM)
Hi OkK,

The market sentiment reminds me of Asia Currency Crisis.

One bad news after another. More are coming out sooner or later.

I see no reason why CI should head towards 1500pts.

Unless foreign funds pump in money heavily after the election, quite unlikely. Correct me if i am wrong.
*
though I may sound mean, I don't mind another similar currency crisis thing, as I hope those expensive condos drop their value to reasonable levels! nod.gif
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 08:12 PM

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I see a lot of " cash cows " in this forum.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 3 2008, 08:25 PM
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 08:12 PM)
I see a lot of " cash cows " in this forum.
*
eh...? How come?
SKY 1809
post Mar 3 2008, 08:30 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 09:27 PM)
eh...? How come?
*
Many see opportunity to buy when market falls into attractive level.

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post Mar 3 2008, 08:33 PM

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Watlaueh..... PLS CORRECT ME IF I M WRONG OR EYE SIGHT IS BLURRR ON BELOW DATA.

CPO today close at 4330.0 +480.0 a super whooping quantum... what happen to palm oil

Last Friday its only 3850.

This post has been edited by chinkw1: Mar 3 2008, 08:35 PM
SUSDavid83
post Mar 3 2008, 08:34 PM

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KLCI in bearish zone

MAIN BOARD

THE KL Composite Index (KLCI) ended moderately lower on continued selling and weakness in most of the main index-linked stocks and settled at a 15-week low.

The KLCI initially edged higher in early trading and struggled for most of the sessions and finally lost its bottom influenced by late declines in the US and Asian markets.

The index fell from a week's high of 1,382.90 to a low of 1,354.79 points and settled the week moderately lower at 1,357.40, down 12.08 points or 0.88% from the week before.

Most of the top 10 index-linked stocks closed the week in the negative territory.

Maybank, Sime Darby, Telekom, Public Bank, Genting, MISC, Petronas Gas, DiGi.Com and Plus Expressways finished sharply lower and removed a combined 19.17 points from the KLCI.

Volume for the week fell slightly to 1.222 billion from 1.261 billion shares a week earlier.

The daily average volume declined to 224.5 million from 252.2 million shares.

The candlestick chart closed the week on a bearish note. There were five black candles in the past five days, and the steady downward pattern is considered negative for the short-term trend.

We have seen some downward pressure in the past two weeks, and this negative development is expected to continue.

The daily candlestick chart is indicating an immediate overhead barrier at the 1,360-1,370 levels.

A vital chart support now stands at 1,350-1,330. In the event of a successful break below these support levels, the index is expected to trend lower and test its six-month lows at about 1,300-1,280.

The daily technical indicators remained neutral to slightly negative at Friday's close and called for further downward selling pressure this week.

The daily stochastic triggered the buy signal on Feb 26 and managed to remain slightly positive for the immediate-term trend at Friday's close. The oscillators per cent K and D ended higher and out of the bearish extended-move zones at 30.75% and 29.59% respectively.

The daily Money Flow Index (MFI) recovered marginally and closed higher at 37.82 points. Analysis of the MFI indicates moderate accumulation occurred last week.

The main trend-tracker, the 3- and 7-week exponentially smoothed moving-average price lines (ESA-lines), expanded its negative divergence on Friday and showed the main trend would stay bearish for the immediate term.

The short-term trend-tracker, the 3- and 7-day ESA-lines, settled the week in bearish divergence and suggested the index would come under more bearish pressure this week.

The 5-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) settled the week lower near the oversold zones at 20.72 points. Analysis of the RSI shows the index is slightly oversold.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...33&sec=business
sharesa
post Mar 3 2008, 08:40 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 08:33 PM)
Watlaueh..... PLS CORRECT ME IF I M WRONG OR EYE SIGHT IS BLURRR ON BELOW DATA.

CPO today close at 4330.0  +480.0 a super whooping quantum... what happen to palm oil

Last Friday its only 3850.
*
so, whats your strategy for now? Buy more plantation or clear them?


Added on March 3, 2008, 8:47 pm1 month ago, analysts believe KLCI will end past 1600,
today in the news, they say expect around 1330, apa-lah doh.gif

This post has been edited by sharesa: Mar 3 2008, 08:47 PM
chinkw1
post Mar 3 2008, 08:53 PM

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QUOTE(sharesa @ Mar 3 2008, 08:40 PM)
so, whats your strategy for now? Buy more plantation or clear them?


Added on March 3, 2008, 8:47 pm1 month ago, analysts believe KLCI will end past 1600,
today in the news, they say expect around 1330, apa-lah doh.gif
*
A month ago, analyst says klci will up till 1600 and CPO will undergo correction back to 2500. Today a month later, klci is down to 1330 and CPO is rocketing to 4330. If we flip the analysts comments by 180degrees, we will be super rich.
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post Mar 3 2008, 09:00 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:53 PM)
A month ago, analyst says klci will up till 1600 and CPO will undergo correction back to 2500. Today a month later, klci is down to 1330 and CPO is rocketing to 4330. If we flip the analysts comments by 180degrees, we will be super rich.
*
You sounded like Super Rich now. Must have bought a lot of palm oil future contracts. biggrin.gif


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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 3 2008, 09:00 PM)
You sounded like Super Rich now. Must have bought a lot of palm oil future contracts. biggrin.gif
*
unfortunately, i not brave enuff lor, so end up being poor till now.

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post Mar 3 2008, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 10:19 PM)
unfortunately, i not brave enuff lor, so end up being poor till now.
*
I think you have good "vision" , able to see things far away.

okk
post Mar 3 2008, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 3 2008, 08:53 PM)
A month ago, analyst says klci will up till 1600 and CPO will undergo correction back to 2500. Today a month later, klci is down to 1330 and CPO is rocketing to 4330. If we flip the analysts comments by 180degrees, we will be super rich.
*
Never trust analyst, even once...
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post Mar 3 2008, 10:30 PM

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DJIA starts the day with:

12,242.37 -24.02 -0.20%
mych
post Mar 4 2008, 12:03 AM

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Malaysian Stocks to Slide on `Post-Election Blues' (Update1)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...r=world_indices


Malaysian Stocks to Slide on `Post-Election Blues' (Update1)

By Chan Tien Hin

March 3 (Bloomberg) -- Malaysian stocks this year will not recover from a selloff in the past two months because inflation will accelerate and crimp consumer spending after elections later this week, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets said.

Loong Chee Wei, a strategist at CLSA, cut his rating on Malaysia to ``neutral'' from ``overweight,'' saying the nation's Kuala Lumpur Composite Index may fall to 1,320 by year-end, from an earlier target of 1,560, he wrote in a report Feb. 29. The benchmark stock index, down 12 percent from a Jan. 11 record, lost 1.8 percent to 1,333.23 as of 12:30 p.m. local time.

``Post-election, inflationary pressures from cuts in fuel and electricity subsidies will hold back private consumption growth,'' he wrote in the report titled ``Post-Election Blues.'' ``We expect a further correction in the market post-election as concerns of an economic slowdown mount.''

Investors should sell developer SP Setia Bhd. and No. 2 lender Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings Bhd., both of which are vulnerable to an economic slowdown, he wrote. They should also sell power utility Tenaga Nasional Bhd., whose profits will be hurt by rising commodity prices.

Investors should buy plantation company Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd. and ``high-yield, domestic-oriented stocks'' such as betting companies and automakers, the analyst said.

`Inflationary Pressures'

Barisan Nasional, the ruling coalition, has been in power since Malaysia gained independence in 1957 and aims to win a two- thirds majority in the March 8 election. The government has boosted spending on new infrastructure and will use money from retirement funds to buoy home ownership. It has also stepped up projects under a 200 billion ringgit ($62.5 billion), five-year development plan and created special investment zones.

``Post-election, we believe the government will have to introduce measures to compensate for the fall in tax revenue and increase in spending,'' said Loong. ``We expect the government to cut electricity and fuel subsidies. The resulting inflationary pressures will have an adverse impact on private consumption growth.''

Malaysia's government last raised retail gasoline and diesel prices by as much as 23 percent in February 2006, causing inflation to surge to a seven-year high.

``Reduce exposure now as the correction could overshoot our KLCI target on the downside and revisit in the fourth quarter,'' said Loong. ``Stay defensive.''

CLSA's top sells include AMMB Holdings Bhd., Malaysia's fifth-largest lender, and transport-related companies such as Malaysian Airline System Bhd. and MISC Bhd. Its top buys include Digi.Com Bhd., Public Bank Bhd. Resorts World Bhd. and UMW Holdings Bhd.

Malaysia's stock index surged 32 percent last year, the biggest annual gain since 1999, and rallied to a record on Jan. 11. Its market value touched a record $343.8 billion on Jan. 13. Since then, $32 billion of the measure's market value have been wiped out through to March 2, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

To contact the reporter on this story: Chan Tien Hin in Kuala Lumpur at thchan@bloomberg.net .

Last Updated: March 3, 2008 01:28 EST

keith_hjinhoh
post Mar 4 2008, 01:36 AM

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QUOTE(ankw @ Mar 3 2008, 11:18 AM)
Sentosa might have alot of discrepancy like providing transport(bus,taxi,car or cable car etc) in and out 24 hours for tourist as they wish. alot of tourist depends on mrt, public transport etc and driving a car is expensive in SG. SG is discouraging Singaporean from gambling by enforcing SG120 for entering the casino with no refund back per visit etc. Majority of adults dont enter the casino when they bring their kids around, troublesome and their kids need to be taken care off. Another disadvantage for themepark is only target on kids and very expensive due to currency exchange rate , the percentage for adults is minimum. Only casino the percentage is greater for adults, as long as they bring their kids around,its a burden to them and is avoiding the adults from going to the casino for sure.


Added on March 3, 2008, 11:19 am

the last big drop genting lowest were RM6.20
*
I've never been to Sentosa, however, I doubt the transport is as weak as you described. Singapore is plan to develop sentosa as tourist attraction, the first problem to be solved would be public transport. From sentosa websites, it seems there's a lot of transport able to travel to sentosa and not as describe as you did.

http://www.sentosa.com.sg/useful_info/getting_to.html

If Malaysian and Singaporean are the same, then i think they will bring their kids to theme park while the adults themself enjoy in the casino, as this is what they practise in Malaysia Genting. I often refer kids to teenage around 12-20.

Singapore got not much tourist attraction and places for recreation, so, i think Genting Sentosa will create a buzz for at least for 10-15 years.

Strategic partnership with Universal Studio makes them the only Universal Studio operator within the SEA region.

With the high level of living standard in singapore, i have no doubt about their ability to spend when having holiday.

If price is right, I recommend a buy on Genting.

The only drawback about Genting atm is their ability to sourced for finance. Genting at the moment got 2 cash cows. That's Genting Malaysia and Asiatic to funds their investment. However, recently, Genting grow rapidly by acquisition and large investment, this badly affects the company capital structure and increase gearing rapidly. This also translated into higher interest charges and may affects the company profit in the next few years. ROI for Genting sentosa only starts after 3 years of development at 2010.

QUOTE
A central player within the emerging multi-billion dollar Sentosa-HarbourFront leisure destination, Sentosa is poised to become the premier resort island in Asia.  

The resort island has already made its mark on the international scene by clinching several awards and accolades. Even as Sentosa implements its programme of rejuvenation and refreshment, it remains strongly committed to providing consistent quality and service excellence.

By 2010 when its S$12-billion ten-year strategic masterplan is completed ahead of schedule, the island will bring Singapore closer to the realization of the country's Tourism 2015 target of attracting 17 million tourists and generating S$30 billion in revenue. Sentosa will also have more than 10,000 residents living in 2,500 luxurious Sentosa Cove homes. By then, a projected workforce of about 16,000 will be committed to provide unique and memorable experiences to our guests.

The Sentosa offering will be enhanced and strengthened with the addition of South East Asia's first Universal Studios theme park built within the S$5.75-billion Resorts World at Sentosa development. Sentosa expects to make more than S$3 billion in revenues with this mega development as well as progressive developments in our services, accommodations, events and attractions.


QUOTE
If the Government decides to give the casino resort the go-ahead, the successful investor will get a 30-year gaming licence with a 10-year exclusivity period.



Added on March 4, 2008, 2:11 amhttp://www.asiabuilders.com/asiabuilders/2007/ABnews_single.aspx?rec_code=27912

Work on new Sentosa bridge begins

WORK started yesterday on a new bridge linking Sentosa to the mainland.

Developer of the island's casino resort, Resorts World at Sentosa (RWS) said that the new vehicular bridge will ease traffic for the anticipated 15 million visitors expected at the resort when it opens in early 2010.

The three-lane 710m bridge will be built parallel to the current Sentosa bridge, which currently has four lanes. When completed, the two bridges will be merged. Lanes and traffic directions are being finalised.

RWS awarded the bridge building contract, worth more than $80 million, to McConnell Dowell, an Australian-based engineering and construction company.

The work involves widening lanes at the Harbourfront end of the current Causeway, and the construction of the parallel new bridge from Sentosa.

McConnell Dowell's project director, Mr David Christodoulou said: 'The marrying of the structures into one cohesive roadway is the precise reason why this project is so exciting.'

To help alleviate congestion near the Telok Blangah junction, the existing admission booths will be relocated within the island along Gateway Avenue by Sentosa Leisure Group.

By April, Gateway Avenue will be diverted to make way for the development of RWS. From the vehicular bridge, drivers will then coast along Gateway Avenue, before the road fans out into seven lanes to expedite island admission.

Sentosa Leisure Group's Executive Director for Special Projects, Planning & Development, Low Tien Sio, added: 'Set to take on up to four times more traffic when it opens, the new vehicular bridge will not only facilitate travel to RWS, but also drive traffic smoothly to Sentosa's popular destinations and give our Cove residents a welcome ride home.'

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Mar 4 2008, 02:11 AM
aretla
post Mar 4 2008, 09:23 AM

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PBBank still droping huh..
PANA..mind to share wat ur next target price?
chinkw1
post Mar 4 2008, 09:24 AM

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I just realise that IJMplnt and Asiatic are going up so much for the past 2 weeks. These two may be the next generation of plantations.

IOI and KLK not much movement lately, maybe tired oledi

panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(aretla @ Mar 4 2008, 09:23 AM)
PBBank still droping huh..
PANA..mind to share wat ur next target price?
*
RM 10.30 - 10.00 - 9.80
will only shop on next week or the week after, no rush.

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post Mar 4 2008, 09:52 AM

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CPO rally fails to halt KLCI slide

PETALING JAYA: The relentless rally in crude palm oil (CPO) price yesterday failed to lend support to Bursa Malaysia-listed stocks, with the KL Composite Index (KLCI) sliding nearly 2% in tandem with the sharp losses in the regional bourses.

The KLCI sank 26.8 points to 1,330.6 points - a new low since the start of 2008 - as the stale bulls locked in whatever profits left in their portfolios.

"Sentiment has turned cautious amid growing concerns over the US economy. No one wants to catch the falling knife now," UOB-OSK Asset Management Sdn Bhd chief executive officer Lim Suet Ling said.

Lim said most institutional investors, including foreign fund managers, were staying on the sidelines for the dust to settle before taking any fresh positions.

Among the worst hit regional markets were Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore.

The Nikkei 225 tumbled 610.8 points, or 4.5%, to 12,992.2, the Hang Seng Index plunged 746.7 points, or 3%, to 23,584.9 while the Straits Times Index slipped nearly 100 points, or 3.3%, to 2,926.5.

Lim said the key regional markets of Hong Kong and Singapore were trading at a slight discount to Malaysia; hence, foreign money tended to flow to these markets.

Nonetheless, Malaysia's diversified economy and the strong commodity prices would appeal to investors after a healthy consolidation in the local bourse, she added.

Dealers said the upcoming general election had somewhat deterred buying interest in the local bourse ahead of polling day on Saturday, given that the likelihood of a landslide victory for the ruling party was not high.

The three-month CPO futures contracts shot up RM325 to a fresh high of RM4,330 per tonne. The climb in price of the commodity, however, did not spill over to the plantation stocks.

Sime Darby Bhd skidded 50 sen to RM11.10, IOI Corp Bhd lost 20 sen to RM7.85 while KL Kepong Bhd was unchanged at RM11.80.

Other heavyweights also fell, with Genting Bhd down 25 sen to RM6.60, the lowest since March last year; Malayan Banking Bhd shed 15 sen to a five-month low of RM8.95 and Public Bank Bhd lost 20 sen to RM10.30.

Last Friday, the US Commerce Department said US consumer spending, the key economic driver, rose 0.4% in January. However, there was stagnant growth for the second consecutive month after adjustment for inflation.

"The latest numbers confirmed the view that many Americans have tightened their belt as a result of the drop in job creation, which has affected consumer confidence," said an economist.

"And worse is inflation, which is also taking a toll on consumer spending," he added.

Rising inflation, which has exceeded the US Federal Reserve's comfort zone of 1% to 2%, has compounded the economic problems caused by the sub-prime mortgage crisis.

"The problem now is no one actually knows how bad the US subprime (crisis) is as more financial groups are making hefty provisions, plus the slew of weak economic data," said a head of equity research.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...08&sec=business

Fabrication
post Mar 4 2008, 10:30 AM

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i just bought 100 lot of UEM builder yesterday @ 3.28... thinking to contra.. now 3.34

any opinion?
aretla
post Mar 4 2008, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(Fabrication @ Mar 4 2008, 10:30 AM)
i just bought 100 lot of UEM builder yesterday @ 3.28... thinking to contra.. now 3.34

any opinion?
*
rm32800???!! shocking.gif
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 10:36 AM

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QUOTE(Fabrication @ Mar 4 2008, 10:30 AM)
i just bought 100 lot of UEM builder yesterday @ 3.28... thinking to contra.. now 3.34

any opinion?
*
should be UEMWRLD, UEM Builder price never been so high up before.
Fabrication
post Mar 4 2008, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 4 2008, 10:36 AM)
should be UEMWRLD, UEM Builder price never been so high up before.
*
ops..
yup.. UEM world


This post has been edited by Fabrication: Mar 4 2008, 11:16 AM
sinclairZX81
post Mar 4 2008, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(Fabrication @ Mar 4 2008, 10:30 AM)
i just bought 100 lot of UEM builder yesterday @ 3.28... thinking to contra.. now 3.34

any opinion?
*
Bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. icon_idea.gif
Fabrication
post Mar 4 2008, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(sinclairZX81 @ Mar 4 2008, 11:18 AM)
Bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.  icon_idea.gif
*
sorry... my english is weak.. couldn't understand...
TScherroy
post Mar 4 2008, 11:34 AM

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Genting now is 6.50/6.55 liao brows.gif after 5-6 months of patient time.

CPO currently down more than Rm150 after early morning rise more than Rm100. A huge more than Rm250 turn around in hour time.

CPO is highly and overly speculate already.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 4 2008, 11:39 AM
chinkw1
post Mar 4 2008, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(Fabrication @ Mar 4 2008, 11:22 AM)
sorry... my english is weak.. couldn't understand...
*
suppose to be:

One bird in hand is better than two in the bush
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 4 2008, 11:34 AM)
Genting now is 6.50/6.55 liao  brows.gif after 5-6 months of patient time.

CPO currently down more than Rm150 after early morning rise more than Rm100. A huge more than Rm250 turn around in hour time.

CPO is highly and overly speculate already.
*
queue edy ka? whistling.gif
a6meister
post Mar 4 2008, 12:01 PM

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seems like i am not the only eyeing genting here.
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 12:19 PM

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apparently when i talk to my friend yesterday
he is also eyeing for GENTING at 6.50...
chinkw1
post Mar 4 2008, 12:27 PM

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CPO undergo correction.


sharesa
post Mar 4 2008, 12:31 PM

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QUOTE(chinkw1 @ Mar 4 2008, 12:27 PM)
CPO undergo correction.
*
high time
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 12:32 PM

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ahh i see someone bought 100 lot of GENTING at 6.50, is that you cherroy? biggrin.gif
aretla
post Mar 4 2008, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 4 2008, 12:32 PM)
ahh i see someone bought 100 lot of GENTING at 6.50, is that you cherroy? biggrin.gif
*
wah.. so rich~~
TScherroy
post Mar 4 2008, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 4 2008, 12:32 PM)
ahh i see someone bought 100 lot of GENTING at 6.50, is that you cherroy? biggrin.gif
*
That one is a sell transaction, not buy loh.

I usually trade with the volume of multiple of 1000...one. tongue.gif
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 4 2008, 01:30 PM
dreams_achiever
post Mar 4 2008, 01:33 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 4 2008, 01:29 PM)
That one is a sell transaction, not buy loh.

I usually trade with the volume of multiple of 1000...one.  tongue.gif
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
A selling, then there must be have B buying that shares..hehe tongue.gif

TScherroy
post Mar 4 2008, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(dreams_achiever @ Mar 4 2008, 01:33 PM)
A selling, then there must be have B buying that shares..hehe tongue.gif
*
For the particular transaction (100 lots done at Rm6.50)
What I meant is the people whom want to buy can't control how much being done. You can be in the buy queue, but the amount of matched is determined how front is your queue. This transaction is done with seller intends to sell, buyer just wait/queue being 'thrown' at them.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 4 2008, 01:39 PM
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 4 2008, 01:29 PM)
That one is a sell transaction, not buy loh.

I usually trade with the volume of multiple of 1000...one.  tongue.gif
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
eh yah kah? i see wrongly huh...

should be 130 lot (not 100 lot), at 12.29pm
TScherroy
post Mar 4 2008, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Mar 4 2008, 01:39 PM)
eh yah kah? i see wrongly huh...

should be 130 lot (not 100 lot), at 12.29pm
*
100 only. Total done for the morning section at Rm6.50 is only 110 lots, another 10 lots done earlier one.
panasonic88
post Mar 4 2008, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 4 2008, 01:38 PM)
For the particular transaction (100 lots done at Rm6.50)
What I meant is the people whom want to buy can't control how much being done. You can be in the buy queue, but the amount of matched is determined how front is your queue. This transaction is done with seller intends to sell, buyer just wait/queue being 'thrown' at them.
*
ahh this is right
if they forsee U.S market would slump/rise on the next day
some online investors would start to key in their buy/sell price at night
so that they get to queue at front...

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