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 ICAP, traded price higher than NAV

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kinwing
post Apr 15 2011, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(the snowball @ Apr 1 2011, 11:10 AM)
Who do you think is the one that is making the buy and call decision? ICapital staff turnover is very high, do you want some inexperience ppl to make those decision? You trust a fresh grad with a buy and sell call? The final decision to buy and sell remains with TTB, not anyone else.

If it is really manage by different group of staff independent of TTB major say, you will be looking into portfolio overlap between the two newsletter, why did ICap newsletter and ICap fund management has so much overlap in portfolio?

No matter how you see it, there is a question of conflict of interest.
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Now I know where Snowball comes from commenting CD brows.gif till the job thread.
kinwing
post May 13 2011, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 11 2011, 08:59 PM)
What is the main purpose for Icap to have subscription fee based weekly newsletters? hmm.gif
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The weekly magazine 'ICAP' is not belonged to icapital.ibz Berhad, instead it is under the fund management company, i.e. Capital Dynamics, who is the fund manager of icapital.biz Berhad.

I think the main reason of collecting fees for the weekly magazine by Capital Dynamics is to sustain the operation of the magazine since the magazine does not contain any advertisement, except for the advertisements for its own funds icapital.biz, ICAP Global Fund and ICAP Value Fund.

This post has been edited by kinwing: May 13 2011, 06:09 PM
kinwing
post May 13 2011, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(firee818 @ May 13 2011, 08:03 PM)
One way for Mr Tan to improve the market price of ICAP is to purchase its own shares. ICAP's issue capital = 140 million. 10% buy back would required 14,000,000 x 2.24 = RM 31,360,000.00.

ICAP has cash in hand amounting to RM 100,000,000 which is sufficient to buy entire 10% own shares without borrowing. Hope Mr. Tan take into this into consideration in next AGM.
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Tan had already mentioned unless the discount is very deep like 40% to 50%, or else he won't consider to execute share repurchase. Anyway, i think if discount go up to 30% already can consider to share buy back loh, just a way giving out dividends to shareholders.
kinwing
post May 27 2011, 08:57 AM

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QUOTE(firee818 @ May 27 2011, 05:53 AM)
NAV reached the highest since listing at 2.78 while share price at 2.24. Therefore, today Icap will go up. smile.gif
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It should not go up, I have not bought enough sweat.gif
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 6 2012, 11:37 AM)
Yes, I knew, but the question is possible or "do-able"?

We can talk long, day and night, but it this route is not viable or do-able (be it from regulation set, shareholders issue, from SC pov), all discussion just merely for "syiok ourself" only.  smile.gif


Added on August 6, 2012, 11:41 amJust like A listed company NAV is Rm5.00 or net cash RM3.00 or whatever, while share price just Rm1.50, with no debt and profitable.

We can talk about take over the company at Rm2.00, then liquidate the asset, sound a good strategy, but if there is a single major shareholder controlling >50%, it is impossible the major shareholders will let go at cheap.

So for a closed ended fund, it is possible if >50% of the closed ended fund shareholder demand a resolution to liquidate the fund, and get the money nearly to its NAV?

This is one of several keys discussion or previously query that I raised.
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It's possible to liquidate the fund, but not so soon as ICAP has just recently extended its tenure. Maybe by end of 2020, ICAP may seek the shareholders to extend another term for the fund. However, by then Tan Teng Boo should be quite old already, so it would be possible shareholders may elect not to extend the fund.

By the way, the single largest shareholding of ICAP can only up to 20%, it is stated in its prospectus and memorandum article of association.
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(praveenmarkandu @ Aug 6 2012, 12:01 PM)
if the company needs to liquidate for some reason... wouldnt it normally take a haircut to the market price of its assets?
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I do not think so as ICAP's assets are all short term assets and thus they are quite liquid to realise without having a hair-cut. Even if there would be a bear market to realise its investment portfolios, ICAP can always wait for the market to recover since it's investment objective is for long-term capital appreciation.
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 07:58 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Aug 6 2012, 02:41 PM)
For I-cap to delist and have capital repayment, first the 4 directors( TTB friendly) must propose it and then vote in EGM. The vote by shareholders require >51% passing before they can have capital repayment.

Also TTB will lose out ~RM 5 million/year in fees if the fund delist, so I think he will fight all the way if such proposal is even mentioned.  laugh.gif

At best case it that I-cap will start to give out dividend (~3%) if pressured by shareholders.  wink.gif
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I will dead fighting to oppose for the distribution of dividend tongue.gif .
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 6 2012, 10:13 PM)
Even giving out dividend, it may be merely 3-4%. (3-4% is considered high dividend already).

And 1.5% of the 3-4%, just a small sum difference only. If a fund is 300 million, (3% of 300 million mean 9 million. 1.5% of 9 million is only 135k only)

But with the consistency of pay out of dividend (from the dividend received from the fund),
it may change drastically investors confidence and willingness to own the fund, hence may be better pricing for the closed ended fund.
I knew, market price doesn't affect the manager fee, as better market pricing or worst pricing, do not alter the NAV,
but confidence on the fund by investors is invaluable, and open up more opportunity to set up another closed end fund which can attract more investors,
eventually manager can earn more and better off with managing 2 funds or even more.

What's the point of telling an investor, that his/her fund value has increased in paper, yet did not receive any dividend, nor capital appreciation (as there is always discount of market price vs its NAV, current situation).

As minority has only 2 source to earn or make a profit
1. Dividend
2. Capital appreciation through market price.

So if 1) is not available
then only left 2).
If 2) is mis-pricing due to lack of willingness of buyer in the market.

Then what a minority investors can do?
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Who care about how the market sentiment on ICAP and how the market rate ICAP? Its investment objective has been stated very clearly that it's a value investing fund and the investment objective is for long term capital appreciation. Indeed we should have exploit the discount by buying more ICAP shares instead of trying to improve its share price.

Whoever who bought ICAP without realising its core value investing, I am sorry to say it's your own mistake so you have to swallow it, either by realise your lose or continue to keep the shares until end of its tenure. Whereby me would like to wait for another 8 years, and at that time when ICAP's NAV raise up to RM10, I will be glad to liquidate ICAP with my investment appreciated by 10 times at that moment.

Remember that the funds not only holding by those who may need dividend in short term, but also who don't need cash and instead want to invest cash for capital appreciation. Why should ICAP returns cash through dividend to me and that would harm the growth of NAV in long run? I will definitely oppose the idea of distributing dividend.


kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 08:09 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Aug 6 2012, 10:52 PM)
Fully agreed.  nod.gif
I wish can hear small investors shout out loud in the AGM.
Anyone here attended their AGM before? Did any investor shout out for dividend there? Please share share.  notworthy.gif
btw, I finally sold all my Icap today because the paper profit has been too little after holding it for so long. I think 99% able to buyback at lower price if no dividend declared in future. Its price has been on 22-27% discount on NAV in past 2 years, today it's about 23%, so i guess it's already at the high side. Can buy back when it hits 27% range. Besides, F&N and Padini has been surged to sky high now, so there is high possibility of its NAV dropping down in near future. Anynow, i still think TTB is a great investor. So Icap is still one of the most defensive stock to buy and keep long term (to keep at least 5 years and above). But for myself, I only want to keep for 5 years if it pays dividend yield of at least 3%.  nod.gif
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Yeah it's your call to sell so be it. I'm gladly I can continue to buy NAV at a discount of 20%, and with the kind of speed that NAV is growing at a CAGR of more than 18%, I'd be able to realise my investment at RM10 to RM12 in another 8 years at a cost of 20% cheaper, so my investment return would be at a CAGR of 20% in 2020.
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 08:26 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 7 2012, 08:25 AM)
Thanks gark for the wrteup!  thumbup.gif

That TTB is a cunning bloke....fees based on NAV means no pressure to improve shareholder value.
If its based on market value, then the onus is on him...


Added on August 7, 2012, 8:27 am

Methinks he is trying to create a mini Berkshire here. BH has never given dividends.
Its all in the share price.
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"Grow NAV means no pressure to improve shareholder value" - this is a good joke I would like to LOL biggrin.gif

"BH has never given dividends. Its all in the share price." - because Warrent Buffet and Tan Teng Boo believe dividend irrelavancy theory. Moreover, BH does not distribute dividend is to enjoy the time value of tax deferred.

kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 08:39 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 7 2012, 09:58 AM)
Maybe why they dont have confidence is
One is using this to enlarge his wealth by fleecing in fees while the other is its just his hobby!   biggrin.gif
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It is highly speculative to say "One is using this to enlarge his wealth by fleecing in fees". So could I say you are a SOB because I think you are so fcuked up in your mind or you are a gay/bi-sex because I think you speak like one?

When Warren Buffet first setup his fund management partnerships, he charged fees even more gao like hedge fund, and worse Warren Buffet asked his partners to shut up from keep asking him what was the components and performance of his investment portfolio.

This post has been edited by kinwing: Aug 21 2012, 08:40 PM
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 09:15 PM

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QUOTE(yhtan @ Aug 7 2012, 11:42 AM)
that's the flaw for ICAP, no matter bull or bear market, he still earn that fee doh.gif
actually it should be the percentage on how much wealth he created for the shareholder.

Basically my suggestion is:-
year 2008 NAV is RM1, year 2009 NAV is RM1.50
His management fee should be calculated on RM0.50 which he earn for the shareholder, let say RM0.05 (10%) would be his management fee, and to protect his interest during bear market, a mininum of RM500k is guarantee management fee.

I would say this is the best practice for this kind of closed end fund.
How much TTB took from Icap and WB took from BK? whistling.gif
percentage wise i would say he took more than WB
True enough  thumbup.gif
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You are slapping on your own face. On one side you want to cap the management fees by suggesting only compensate the fund manager on the appreciation, but the other side want to give a minimum RM500k guarantee management fee. So how about if TTB passed away in a freak accident (possible being assasinated since I observed alot basher against TTB here), and the successor so scroll up that the fund's NAV is going down every year till RM10 mil, so would you like to reward the FM at a 'minimum of RM500k' yearly?

Normally hedge fund will do that to get their compensation not only on the AUM by charging a lower management fees (0.5% to 1%) than the conventional (i.e. 1.5%), but they also charge 20% on the appreciation part instead of 10%, so what you think "this is the best practice for this kind of closed end fund" is your own illusion because no FM will do that. Why not you setup your own fund with this kidn of fee structure and if your fund is really that good, I will for sure support your idea with my own $:thumbs: .

Anyway you should buy 1 lot ICAP shares so to attend the AGM and raise your suggestion in the AGM instead of cowardly hiding here to bad mouth someone at the back, hope you won't be the laugh stock if TTB whacked your ass gaogao with his own twisted argument and hope you will well prepared to argue with him, and I will be waiting to watch good shows in the AGM coming soon icon_rolleyes.gif .

"i would say he took more than WB" - True, I agree with you. But how many WB in this world? There is only one WB and I strongly disagree TTB is a match to WB even though he self-proclaimed ICAP was performing better than BH. Having said so, ICAP keep on its promise by doubling the NAV in 5 years and I am happy with that to reward the fund manager with the agreed rate? If those who does not agree, why not raise this in the 1st AGM to request for a lower fees or just avoid this counter at all in the beginning? Why now play like a prophet to teach how a FM to charge his fees when you are seeing this coming? Why not raise this issue in the beginning? In a chinese proverb, we called this the 'canon after the horse (马后炮)', showing that when one is trying to play a prophecy role but the fact is you can’t change it, so there’s no use bringing it up.

This post has been edited by kinwing: Aug 21 2012, 09:19 PM
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Aug 7 2012, 11:51 AM)
That is the same for all unit trust as well right? But everyone also buy... tongue.gif
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Yes 'same' for all unit trusts but with different performance, please read between the line.
kinwing
post Aug 21 2012, 10:49 PM

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QUOTE(yhtan @ Aug 7 2012, 12:23 PM)
do u know what ride TTB currently owned? laugh.gif

That's why i still reluctant to invest in unit trust, no matter lose or gain also has to pay them money, i don't feel comfortable with that.
Of course there is some outstanding fund, maybe 1 out of 10, or lesser sweat.gif
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I can smell of jealousy about TTB is driving a good car and not somebody else.

TTB is not a saint which match to what Adam Smith mentioned that "... in Wealth of Nations, how the public got what they needed, and it wasn't usually through 'public service'. It was by appealing to the selfish interests of producers of food, clothing and shelter. i.e., by offering money in return.”...it's OK to be selfish and going after your self-interest which in turn maximise the welfare of the whole society. So ICAP does increase its NAV since inception at a CAGR of 18%, which beat the benchmark, and TTB gets his rewards as agreed, it's a win-win situation, why someone now so eye-sore?

So TTB could be self-interest of promoting his fund so he can drive porche, beemer or lotus, so what? He exchanges this with his performance for the fund. If anyone does not think so, why not I give you RM10 and you come to my home to wash my car for 2 hours?
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 08:53 AM

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QUOTE(Gizaman @ Aug 21 2012, 11:58 PM)
Appreciate if you could tell me where to find the info on the tenure. How is it extended? What happens at the end of the tenure and it is not extended?
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Read ICAP's prospectus section 4.4 - life of the company which stated that "...Accordingly, the Articles of Association of icapital.biz contain provisions to the effect that at the annual general meeting to be held in the fifteenth (15th) year after the Company is listed on Bursa Securities and the Company has not been wound up, the Board shall, at the general meeting to be convened in the fifth (5th) year following the date of the annual general meeting provided the Company has not been wound up and subject to the SC Guidelines-CEF and any law then in force, propose an ordinary resolution that icapital.biz shall continue as a closed-end fund for a further period of five (5) years following the date of such general meeting..."
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 08:58 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 22 2012, 08:18 AM)
Oiiiii.......we are discussin a FUND here.....so whats wrong with discussin about fees?

So now you have to resort to ad homnien?  Do that in IGNORE.......
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No, you are not discussing about fees, you are stepping on TTB by showing you are something, but I have a different opinion from yours. Instead of fighting back with a reasonable argument, you are labelling others who do not sagree with you, so be it.

I am a homnien so what? I can claim you are a troll as well. Yeah, just IGNORE you either, LOL tongue.gif
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 09:09 AM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ Aug 22 2012, 12:01 AM)
PS: kinwing, you have vested interest in ICAP? and here's a long shot: are you TTB tongue.gif ?
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Yes I have interest in ICAP since its listing in October 2005 and am still accumulating it.

No I am not TTB tongue.gif .
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 09:10 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 22 2012, 08:36 AM)
Personally, i'd be happy if i executed (a) to (d)
Reason?
If i bought even at 30% discount of NAV
AND the NAV keeps growing at 18%pa CAGR for 10 years till 2020
AND even if the market price still is still 30% discounted of NAV (ie. being equal discount % since the time i bought in)
it still means my returns is 18%pa
[attachmentid=3010469]

I'd buy that for a dollar drool.gif - 18% CAGR wor..

BTW, what flame war?  rclxub.gif Slightly heated bouncing of ideas / ideologies & thoughts only mar, usually happens when ideologies or methodologies collides sweat.gif
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If you buy at discount, you are earning more than 18% CAGR, indeed you are doing better than TTB laugh.gif .
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 17 2012, 09:51 AM)
Personally, i'm waiting for more "discount" tongue.gif - remember, it may be a looooooooong value trap
+ KLCI has been hitting new highs SEVERAL TIMES this month (irrational?)
+ gawd knows what will happen on GE (NAV may plummet?).
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Maybe or maybe not more discount, as ICAP is now holding 1/3 of its NAV in cash, which represents close to RM1 cash per share or 43% of its share price, so by right there is no more room for ICAP' price to drop more.

Having said so, since there is so many naive investors who are locked by 'mental accounting' mindset that 'one bird in hand is better than 2 in the bush' and requested a CEF to distribute cash back and so easily panic and affected by market sentiment, it is not surpurised ICAP price may drop if benchmark drops.

But I am more concern on the NAV, as long it does not drop more than the KLCI index (and I believe ICAP won't because it is holding close to RM140 million cash) then ICAP would be doing fine.
kinwing
post Aug 22 2012, 09:25 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Aug 17 2012, 07:12 PM)
when CI bottom and everyone fears that time, and if ICAP got above 26%(past few years discount range is 22%-27%) discount to NAV, then i'll start accumulate it.  biggrin.gif
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Yeah, you are making a value call thumbup.gif , just take advantage as much as you could from those who sell nod.gif .

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