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 ICAP, traded price higher than NAV

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firee818
post Oct 17 2010, 08:15 AM

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Well, 5th anniversary listing of ICAP since 19/10/2005.

For these 5 years ICAP has shown an impressive result of approximately 20% compound interest p. a. One of the top fund in Boleh Land.

Detail as follow:-

Listing on 19/10/2005 NAV = RM 0.99
Today 17/10/2010 NAV = RM 2.45

http://www.icapital.biz/english/

TTB really not disappointing ICAP's shareonwers. whistling.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: Oct 17 2010, 08:21 AM
firee818
post Mar 31 2011, 06:40 PM

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Hi,

Icap break the highest NTA record of 2.66 to 2.68 while KLSE still behind its top at 1580 at Jan 2011.

Buy in Icap if u trust me. whistling.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: Mar 31 2011, 06:42 PM
firee818
post Apr 2 2011, 06:04 PM

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Suggest Topic description need change to:

ICAP, market price traded below NAV.

1/4/2010 Market price = RM 2.18
NAV = RM 2.68


firee818
post May 11 2011, 06:29 PM

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Buy in ICAP 5 lots @ RM2.25.
Show bullist trend
Huge discount from NAV

Market price RM 2.25
NAV RM 2.73
Nearly 20% discount.

Or else u miss the boat.
firee818
post May 13 2011, 08:03 PM

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One way for Mr Tan to improve the market price of ICAP is to purchase its own shares. ICAP's issue capital = 140 million. 10% buy back would required 14,000,000 x 2.24 = RM 31,360,000.00.

ICAP has cash in hand amounting to RM 100,000,000 which is sufficient to buy entire 10% own shares without borrowing. Hope Mr. Tan take into this into consideration in next AGM.
firee818
post May 14 2011, 12:42 PM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ May 13 2011, 08:06 PM)
Tan had already mentioned unless the discount is very deep like 40% to 50%, or else he won't consider to execute share repurchase. Anyway, i think if discount go up to 30% already can consider to share buy back loh, just a way giving out dividends to shareholders.
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If ICAP fall below its NAV by 40%, I will withdraw my ASW and buy in more. Think that Padini cost RM 0.28, now trading at RM 1.13 with almost 20,000 lots in ICAP's hand, it is worth to let Mr. Tan to manage my fund.


Added on May 14, 2011, 12:51 pm
QUOTE(HJebat @ May 13 2011, 09:03 PM)
Did you guys bought ICAP shares during the 2008 crisis?
My average entry price was RM1.55.
Is it wise to add my position at the current price of RM2+? hmm.gif
Ooo...thanks for your infos.
I have to rephrase my question : What is the main purpose for Capital Dynamics to have a weekly newsletter?
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Hi HJebat,

I bought ICAP way back to year 2006 after 1 year it listing. I m not apply for ICAP listing nor buying after its listing. The main purpose for me to buy after one year is to see the ICAP's performance. My 1st purchase was at the price of RM 1.15, then accumalating over the years, now I m holding quite a few but I m not bother to calculate my average price since I m holding for long-term. My last purchase was 5 lots @ RM 2.25. Will accumulating in future when I have surplus fund.

BTW, I don't bother what Composite Index is moving nor looking at overbuy or oversales. My intention is looking for long-term investment. Till now TTB still not disappointing me.
Maybe this is what Mr. Tan describe as ICAP's shareowner as I just buy/accumulating but never sell till now. smile.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: May 14 2011, 12:57 PM
firee818
post May 15 2011, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 14 2011, 08:25 PM)
Hi fire818,
I share almost a similar strategy with you :
1. long term investment
2. buy & hold

But i can't help but wonder why you left out the price factor? hmm.gif
As for me,  although i know i'm going to keep my ICAP for a loooooooong period of time, but i need to measure its performance against other type of investment available to me. Else i wouldn't know how ICAP's capital appreciation fare. So, i always make a comparison between ICAP' price with EPF & ASW's dividend (i'm holding ASW too *high 5* tongue.gif ). Currently, based on my RM1.55 price, EPF & ASW are biting the dust rclxms.gif

If the gap between your average entry price & ICAP share price is small, then wouldn't it be better for you to just add position in ASW? An investment with an almost sure 6-7% dividend rate. Wait for another slump, then accumulate ICAP again like no tomorrow...hehe...
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Second that.

1). My fund actually divide into two:-

a). Majority at ASW. But, you know ASW is quite hard to buy and another thing is that, in fact I felt that ASW fund's is weird. Have some concern about the operation of ASW.
Let me share with you about ASW, how can a fund maintain at RM 1.00 if KLSE collapse e.g. to 250 points like that in year 1998. If KLSE maintain 250 points for a few year, will ASW's still maintain at RM1.00?????(it is not a gurantee fund but a fixed price fund)..... Maybe I still can't understand the operation of ASW:stars:

b). My view on ICAP is at price of RM 2.XX is still consider as low given the excellent performance of about 20% compound interest from it listing till now. Look at American best fund managed by world 2nd richest man, now the share is stand at US 100,000 per lot. Though we cannot compare orange with apple.

If Parkson wake up, I m sure ICAP NAV easily break though RM 3.00
ICAP holds Parkson 9,000 lots cost RM 2.60 now stand at RM 5.60


This post has been edited by firee818: May 15 2011, 11:48 AM
firee818
post May 27 2011, 05:53 AM

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NAV reached the highest since listing at 2.78 while share price at 2.24. Therefore, today Icap will go up. smile.gif


Added on May 27, 2011, 5:56 am
QUOTE(HJebat @ May 16 2011, 11:40 PM)
I share the same concern with you.

Can't figure out how the fund maintain its price at RM1.00.

Did you ask this question in the ASW thread?
*
Nobody knows the answer, only gomen know. They are genius that can create these unique fund and can only found in Bolehland. smile.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: May 27 2011, 05:58 AM
firee818
post May 28 2011, 06:06 AM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 27 2011, 09:28 PM)
For me, as long as... :
1. ASW has the backing of the gahmen
2. pay consistent 6-7% dividend
3. RM1.00 fixed price is intact
...then it is worth investing.

If the dividend is higher than FD rate & sufficient to cover inflation rate, i will not redeem my units.
But i'll be very wary if PR wins in the next GE laugh.gif
*
Not need to worry this, take it easy, PR still need rakyat to support them. Rest assured that they will not do any harm to PNB fund holders. smile.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: May 28 2011, 06:07 AM
firee818
post May 29 2011, 08:46 AM

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There is nothing right or wrong, my opinion is:-

1) "Conservative person" - is the person who sell shares during bad economy and buy in stable fund stock e.g. ASB, ASW and etc

2) " Investing person" - is the person who buy shares during bad economy and sell stable fund stock e.g. ASB, ASW and etc

"Conservative person" may consists of 90% and the remaining 10% are "Investing person". Good example are Warren Buffet, TTB (ICAP's Boss) and Mnet. This explain why only 10% of person can make profit from stock market.

My 2 cents only! smile.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: May 29 2011, 12:21 PM
firee818
post Jun 10 2011, 07:31 PM

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Hi, Parkson has up for 3 consecutive days and stand at RM5.96 with 30,000 lots(small). The resistance is at RM 6.00. If cross-over this resistance, then Parkson may has a bullist trend. Watch out!
firee818
post Aug 18 2012, 01:38 PM

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delete

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 18 2012, 01:46 PM
firee818
post Aug 22 2012, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Aug 21 2012, 07:54 PM)
It's possible to liquidate the fund, but not so soon as ICAP has just recently extended its tenure. Maybe by end of 2020, ICAP may seek the shareholders to extend another term for the fund. However, by then Tan Teng Boo should be quite old already, so it would be possible shareholders may elect not to extend the fund.

By the way, the single largest shareholding of ICAP can only up to 20%, it is stated in its prospectus and memorandum article of association.
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QUOTE(kinwing @ Aug 22 2012, 09:39 AM)
Daily volume will be more severe if the 2 institute funds are accumulating ICAP shares. So far they have accumulated close to 13% of the paid-up shares. As far to what I know, these 2 funds has been trying to approach TTB for the discussion of liquidating ICAP but they have been ignored, maybe TTB just dislike these 'vultures' who are trying to close TTB's platform of helping other investors to grow their wealth or just that TTB not willing to give up ICAP which makes him rich brows.gif .

Anyway, dont worry, just wait till 2020, NAV may go up to RM10 to RM12, then you will get back the value after liquidating instead from the market. Or worse, you may get back RM3.01 today if ICAP passed the resolution to liquidate the fund which proposed by the 2 institute funds.
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Hi, kinwing,

The max shareholding per investor is 20%.
What if they are 3 separate investors with total collecting over 50% and they collaborate, will they have controlling interest of the co?
If that happen, will TTB/Capital Dynamics have overruling power over them?
I m quite concern over this, as I don't wish ICAP to be control by other parties...

As far as I known, ICAP is a public company limited by shares and is incorporated under the Companies Act 1965 in Malaysia.

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 22 2012, 03:15 PM
firee818
post Aug 23 2012, 08:17 AM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Aug 22 2012, 04:16 PM)
There is no right or wrong in investment. Different people will have different investment objectives and tenure. So you may need more cash on hand in short term and I may not.

However, ICAP has already stated clearly in its investment mandate clearly that its investment objective is to grow shareholders' value via capital appreciation in long run. And this implies that only those who agrees to the investment philosophy of value investing should invest into this fund and may prepare to hold this shares until the day of its liquidation in year 15. In addition, no dividend should be distributed as this will defeat the purpose of setting up the fund which is to grow our capital in long run. Please imagine that without cash/capital, how on earth the fund can grow our wealth? If you need cash, you should not have invested in ICAP to begin with but to other dividend counters. Why not you admit that you have just made a wrong decision by putting your capital into a wrong fund with a mismatch investment objecitve?

So now it's your call that you want to cash out before the liquidation of the fund in year 15, so obviously you are making a wrong investment decision in the beginning. It is your fault and should not try to persuade the fund to give dividend just to cover the consequence you are facing because of your wrong investment decison at the cost of other long term investors.
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Make sense, for ordinary investors, they can't make 18% cumulative growth p.a., so the reservation of cash(instead of dividend) in ICAP to let uncle Tan to manage is wiser than to invest themselves.

Investors always have a choice, if they don't satisfy with the ICAP performance, they can sell the shares and invest themselves. Investment is about long-term.

With around 18% cumulative growth, ICAP is still considered as one of the best fund in the world. Not to forget ICAP still has substantial bullet of around RM 120 million cash to invest in case of stock crash.

Interesting part is that the issuing capital of ICAP is RM140 million, but it has RM120 million cash, in other word, almost all the IPO fund from the public is now reserve in the bank to standby for investment.

This performance also coincidence with the TTB's simulate investment portfolio return.

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 23 2012, 08:35 AM
firee818
post Aug 23 2012, 08:53 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 23 2012, 08:41 AM)
Where did you get this info? 18% CAGR?

http://www.icapital.biz/berhad/en_berhad.asp?id=3&sub=1

According to my calculation

started in Oct2005 to 2012, RM1 to RM2.33      the CAGR is 12.8%.

Anyone?
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My brother, we use NAV (net asset value= RM3.04) for calculating the cumulative growth.
Here is a simple calculation,

ICAP listed on Oct 2005.

So, calculate in 18% cumulatively,

Oct 2005 RM 1.00
Oct 2006 RM 1.18
Oct 2007 RM 1.39
Oct 2008 RM 1.64
Oct 2009 RM 1.94
Oct 2010 RM 2.29
Oct 2011 RM 2.70
Aug 2012 RM 3.04 <----We are here, my brother
Oct 2012 RM 3.19

The value you used is market value, it cannot be used as a computation as it is affected by market/people sentiment.
firee818
post Aug 23 2012, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 23 2012, 08:58 AM)
I see........BUT NAV is useless to minor holder unless the fund liquidates.....

For an investor, i will only look at the present mkt value.

i have a fund of precious metals trading at approx 50% of NAV......   sad.gif


Added on August 23, 2012, 9:01 amBTW your prices at Oct 07 and Oct 08 are wrong..........BIG plunge during these times
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For investment to be successful, chairman/the ownership of the co/Managing Director(the person who control this co) is the primary factor to be considered on.

If this/these person(s) is/are honest, then the money in the co will be managed to the benefit of all the shareholders(TTB called them share owners). He/She/They will distribute all the funds in the company to all the shareholders at a suitable time.

Do u trust TTB?
If no, then ICAP is not your cup of tea.

BTW, initially when ICAP first applied for IPO , the co(ICAP) has NOTHING but it sells TTB's investment philosophy only and Bursa Malaysia approved ICAP listing because Bursa Malaysia 'trusts" TTB.

The computation I used is based on average and NOT solely for particular years.

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 23 2012, 10:47 AM
firee818
post Aug 23 2012, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(Gizaman @ Aug 23 2012, 09:26 AM)
I think TTB is lucky to have launched ICAP just before the bull run in 2005. Whether he can replicate the success going forward is unknown. Talking about historical performance, cumulative growth of 18% in 7 years is very different from 30 years. My bet is that he has only a very slim chance to do it. He isn't doing very well in his international funds the last I looked.
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I bet u haven't seen his simulate investment portfolios return in section C of his published Newspaper which give average cumulative return of about 15% p.a. starting from Year 1990 (till now 22 years).

To look his international funds performance are unfair taking into consideration that he bought substantial amount of shares before the market crashed at Year 2008/2009 (International Fund started at Year 2007/2008). Again, it is the short sight view of most of the investors' opinion.

Investment is about long term capital appreciation.

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 23 2012, 02:39 PM
firee818
post Aug 23 2012, 02:36 PM

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QUOTE(Angel On Fire @ Aug 23 2012, 02:18 PM)
I don't  subscribe to his newsletter. Is there any way to find out what stocks TTB holds in his Malaysian and international funds?
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It is called simulate investment portfolio (not stimulate investment portfolio). His simulate investment portfolio is to buy stock on paper as though it is real investment. If u subscribe to his newspaper u will know the simulated counters he bought.

The only way to get the stocks he bought by his funds (ICAP, ICGF and ICIVF) are through buying of these funds and found in their Annual Reports accordingly.

For ICAP, I can share with u as at 22nd June 2011:-
Boustead bhd
F&N
Integrax
MSC
Padini
Parkson
Petronas Dagangan
PIE
Suria Capital
Tong Herr

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 23 2012, 03:03 PM
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 09:18 AM)
You are contradicting because here you mention the present cash and liquidating. On the other hand you mentioned to cherroy about
holding for the next 15 years for a bumper ICAP harvest, no? 
So what values do you 'see' in ICAP companies?

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I don't think kinwing is contradicting.

He will accept if ICAP liquidates now and if he can get back the return almost equal to the value of NAV i.e. RM3.04(which mean he will get about 18% compound growth).

OR

He will also accept if ICAP liquidates in 8 years later (15 year life start from Year 2005) and get back his investment @ around 18% compound growth (assume ICAP can do so).

His aim is to get xx% compound growth and he is achieving it in either way, that is what he meant.

QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 09:18 AM)
TWAS Just to shew you yer 20% CAGR in 3 years bought in 2008 is NO BIG DEAL................cyber or NOT.......
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Some companies can do so, but only a few....if you can strike one, that is your ability/luck...

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 24 2012, 10:29 AM
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 10:29 AM)
The points are that

a) Buying in 2008/2009
b) 3 years

In fact many companies gave that much IF one was to buy in 2008/09!  Twas the point.....
So for that ICAP to be pointed out to give 30% CAGR from 2008 to 2010 is NO BIG DEAL...

Many PM miners did that......

i didnt strike ONE miner but more than that....only NOT in Msia.
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You have good analyse on miners, that is your ability.
You have good timing on entry point.

So, right now, you have to make decision...
You want to realize the profit now OR you are waiting for better timing to exit.

I have found out, it is more easy to buy, i.e. buy when stock crash. e.g. Year 2008 stock crash, KLSE index = 800 points.
But, it is difficult to determine the exit point.
So, now I put forward a critical question to you:-
Is it the best time to exit now, take into consideration that Dow Jones is at 13100 (Year 2008 =8000 points) and KLSE index = 1650 points.

You want to sell now or later? Which ones is more favorable?

BTW, if stock crash tomorrow and you haven't sold, then you can't get 20% CAGR for Twas/your mining co.

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 24 2012, 11:22 AM

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