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 ICAP, traded price higher than NAV

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firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 10:29 AM)

In fact many companies gave that much IF one was to buy in 2008/09!  Twas the point.....
So for that ICAP to be pointed out to give 30% CAGR from 2008 to 2010 is NO BIG DEAL...

Many PM miners did that......

i didnt strike ONE miner but more than that....only NOT in Msia.
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By writing this sentence, you need to think carefully what the hell you are going to talk ICAP in ICAP thread?

Are you contradicting yourself ?
OR
Are you jealous about ICAP performance ?
OR
Are you trolling here and express your anger ?

It is not like discussion.
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 11:44 AM)
i am not jealous of ICAP. My investemnet returns are higher than ICAP without paying for the management fees!    biggrin.gif

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Congratulation!
Your stock investment return is better than ICAP, but it still cannot be considered as success.

My definition of success is consistency.
You need to get very good return for a prolonged period e.g. compound return of 15% p.a. for over 10 years

No matter what the stock condition, bloom time, doom time, downturn, crash and etc, and if you are able to maintain at an average of xx% compound growth p.a. for over xx years, then you are success.

For me, my benchmark of return is an average compound growth of 15% for over 10 years.
It you can achieve that, then ICAP is irrelevant to you anymore!

BTW, if u can get a compound growth of 15% in your stock investment for a prolonged period, then u are also considered as one of the most successful investors in the world.

Here is compound return of 15% p.a. for 11 years with initial capital of RM 100,000

Year 0 RM 100,000
Year 1 RM 115,000
Year 2 RM 132,250
Year 3 RM 152,088
Year 4 RM 174,900
Year 5 RM 201,135
Year 6 RM 231,306
Year 7 RM 266,000
Year 8 RM 305,902
Year 9 RM 351,787
Year 10 RM 404,555
Year 11 RM 465,239

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 24 2012, 02:02 PM
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 24 2012, 02:05 PM)
Excuse me but do you think icapital is a success?
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My definition of success is 15% compound growth for over 10 years.
And Icap performance now is compound growth of 18% and now it is 7th year listed in KLSE.
I should say ICAP performance is still within its path.

I may not know whether ICAP can achieve that or not, even TTB. But I m very confidence and delighted of what he has done till now, dude.

firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 02:29 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 02:05 PM)
Yes...consistency of returns is the word.......ICAP is only 7 years old......with a CAGR of 12.84%.....it has not seen a full economic cycle yet.....

Even your illustration is only 11 years...........thats not long

As for me....i have been investing since 1989....since the Tiananmen Massacre when i bought my first stock.
HSBC at HKD4.........
Why 15%?  Its just a number............
One day i maybe happy with just 10% CAGR.....
Life is not just about numbers but quality......
So the numbers may change

AND i will still consider that success.......So in essence Suceess is subjective
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Every one will has his/her own definition of success in investment.
I had emphasized that it is my own definition.

Of course, Ali Bapa will be his own definition of success in investment @ 3% p.a.
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 02:29 PM)
ICAP price is not compounding at 18%. Its 12.84%....you should not base that on NAV but mkt price.

You cant liquidate ICAP for 18% presently
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Now, I know why someone here talk to u like that!
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 02:30 PM)
So have you been Sucessful?  biggrin.gif
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For stock investment, I rely on ICAP, I can't do it myself!
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 02:40 PM)
Yess....all my investmnets can be liquidated when ever AND

REAL returns are based on the ability to do that..........can you?  biggrin.gif


Added on August 24, 2012, 2:43 pm
ic....that explains why you bought the fund....good thing you didnt buy his other two funds!

International Value Fund
1 July 2009............31 Jul 2012...............% Change

A$1.000................A$1.0052...................0.52%
International Global Fund
6 July 2007............31 July 2012..............%Change


US$1000.000...........US$1035.72...............  3.57%


Added on August 24, 2012, 2:45 pmi suppose in the IVF one still gain from the AUD rise....BUT for the IGB.........USD has been down since
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Of course, I can liquidate anytime with cost @ RM 1.15, haha, better than your performance lor!, dude!

firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 03:10 PM)
Whats a FM? 

How do you know it wont give 'long' term investors problem?  What IF the manager kicks the
poverbial bucket? Lotsa risks........


Added on August 24, 2012, 3:12 pm
How do you know about MY performance? 

Aaahhh you bought at RM1.15.....thats even less returns...

You wanna have clue about my performance, read my sig....  brows.gif
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No interest about your investment.
It is only a keyboard warrior boosing about his investment return.

Win or lose, what finally you get, keyboard warrior? whistling.gif
firee818
post Aug 24 2012, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 24 2012, 04:09 PM)
You guys have a REAL funny way of expressin yerselves and contradicting in the next breath!    biggrin.gif
i dont need to get anything.........i have enough......    biggrin.gif
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I better stop this, waste my time to reply to u

U can write anything boosing about your return and it is up to readers to believe it or not!

Good luck, keyboard warrior!

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 24 2012, 04:36 PM
firee818
post Aug 25 2012, 08:17 AM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Aug 24 2012, 04:35 PM)
firee818 you know what is day-dreaming, or will you trust the word post by any Tom, d*** or Harry from the cyberworld. Must be someone still having his fantacy at the lala land laugh.gif
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kinwing,
u have a good write up for icap.
Had visited your blog and read your post on 5th AGM for ICAP.

Keep it up! rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: Aug 25 2012, 10:20 AM
firee818
post Nov 8 2012, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Nov 8 2012, 10:27 AM)
The fund manager Capital Dynamics' formal reply to Laxey Partner.
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In this world, it always exist some people who like to take the advantages of other people.

Laxey, which handle Terra Catalyst Fund is underperforming and now it claims that it can push up ICAP market price to it s NTA, this is the funniest joke I had ever heard.

This post has been edited by firee818: Nov 8 2012, 12:10 PM
firee818
post Nov 9 2012, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(praveenmarkandu @ Nov 9 2012, 09:34 AM)
BFM just had an interview with TTB. Very awkward. A bit painful to listen to.
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Mind share some info...
Thanks.
firee818
post Nov 9 2012, 01:40 PM

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Appointment of directions need to pass an ordinary resolution. i.e at least 50% vote by persons(by hand) or by number of shares.

In the case of AGM, chairman play an important role in determining whether the voting is countbased on the number of shareholders presented at AGM or by number of shareholding presented at the AGM.

For ICAP, the chairman is YM Tunku Tan Sri Dato' Seri Ahmad Bin Tunku Yahaya who belong to Capital Dynamic side.
YM Tunku has 2.492% of share + 0.50% from Capital Dynamic = 3% shareholding.

On the other hand, Laxey and others (assume collabration) hold around 15% of shares.

So, YM Tunku may opt for vote by hand at the coming AGM.

NO sure the other hidden shareholders belong to which camp...

A tough fight tomorrow, but either way is going to boost up the share price in the SHORT-TERM.
Long-term investor is going to take the risk for any hostile takeover/controlling.

firee818
post Nov 9 2012, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Nov 9 2012, 01:51 PM)
I think will vote by poll.
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Assume the hall of the AGM (at Mandarin Oriental Kuala Lumpur) will have seats for 900 shareholders.

If the election is by poll, the controlling party just limit the number of shareholders who wish to attempt the AGM by 900 shareholders.

If this is the case, then the Laxey members may have objection for this issue since they are the largest shareholders...


This post has been edited by firee818: Nov 9 2012, 02:32 PM
firee818
post Nov 9 2012, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Nov 9 2012, 02:29 PM)
Yes I never missed a single AGM of ICAP. I am working and staying in KL, to me attending AGM in KL is not a problem to me. How about? Where you from by the way?
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I m from Sarawak.

On 6/11/2012, I received the latest news from Capital Dynamic regarding the directors thingy and noted from the letter that the latest date to send the proxy to the secretarial office is 8/11/2012 9.00am.

I wish to courier my proxy on 7/11/2012 but was told that the any courier documents was only done for the night flight ..

firee818
post Nov 12 2012, 08:33 AM

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If TTB wants to maintain the integrity in managing ICAP by owning non or small ownership in ICAP, then ICAP may be facing more challenging in future.

There are pros and cons for the managing person(s) to own the company shares. But once the company becomes a cash rich cow or NTA is greater than its market price, then it has a possibility of take over by the certain groups.

Assume Laxey Partner continues to buy in a nearby future due to market price is below NTA and up to a point where Laxey Partner controlling over 50% of ownership, then a situation will be awkward where the control of co is in one party whereas the TTB is managing the company as he has the support from the substantial number of minority shareholders since the resolution of AGM is control by chairman who determine the election is by poll.
firee818
post Nov 17 2012, 10:54 AM

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QUOTE(kinwing @ Nov 16 2012, 02:23 PM)
No, it's your concern about the exorbitant fees but I am looking at a bigger amount in long run which is well over to cover the fees by many times. So it's mutual opinion not only we are sheeple but you too.

If you are judging the fund base on the lower return happen these recent years and ignoring the out-performance that, so you are ignorance about fund management and have no idea what is Global Investment Performance Standard (GIPS) on how to judge a fund's performance base on their return since inception.

From a fund management point of view, we always look at the return since inception. While fund might perform well, it will always face trough period some other time and its performance may not up to market. However, it will eventually pick up base on the how consistent of the fund manager. As I have mentioned before, if ICAP has performed 50% better than you in the previous years, it will always be better than you even if you are outperfomring ICAP by 3% every year in the next 10 years. So it's you not getting it.

You also try to belittle the performance of ICAP base on share price, not its NAV is another joke. By the way, you are also so unintelligent to assume that investors will buy at ICAP at a very high price and eventually hold the share until today so they are making bad return in terms of share price, but you never consider if I am buying at discount and wait till I can get back NAV in 8 years later, I'll get a return that would even better than the return of CAGR 18% by the fund manager. No wonder you can't make money from simple investment like ICAP. HAHA:D, I just want to laugh at your  face.
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Very well written.
I like the way u express.
Keep it up!

TTB is recommanding dual listing of ICAP to narrow down the gap between its market price and its NTA.
BTW, it is a norm for closed-end funds to trade below NTA.

I noted that the recent trade volume for ICAP is greater than previous, it is good signal indeed!
firee818
post Nov 19 2012, 09:00 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 18 2012, 03:29 PM)
I have a rookie or newbie investor ask me, I find interesting, below summarise the conversation.

A: what is a ABC closed ended fund
I : Blar blar explain and tell fund is investing in value stock, or undervalued stocks, which can reap good profit over the long term.

A: (Seem understand what I explained), so now the fund holding large amount of cash, the reason?
I : Yes, some fund manager does hold cash for their strategic and marking viewing. As it may wait opportunity to buy as the manager may not that bullish and slight bearish about the market

A: There is a stock traded below its NAV around 20-30%, is it considered undervalued?
I: Yes, by definition, and in theory.

A: The stock is a closed ended fund, so wise to buy below 20-30% of its NAV?
I: It is a bargain.

A: The stock is performing well or having sterling performance since inception, and traded at discount, and the stock is ABC fund itself, so since ABC holding plenty of cash, why not ABC bought its own share, as it is a undervalued stock that traded below 20-30%? Isn't it fund can make even more money and objective is to buy undervalued stock?
Also isn't it ABC fund/stock itself had magnificent performance and perform well? 
So isn't it, it is a good target to invest by the fund?

I: ........
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Manager of ABC: The managers of the closed ended funds always have an option to purchase of its own shares or to invest in other counters. However, the managers can option not to purchase own shares:-

a). To invest in other counters during downturn periods. In doing so, the co needs substantial amount  of reserve/cash to standby. If an rich cow close ended fund buys in own shares, it will limit its capability during the downturn periods. In doing so, the prediction/view of the future is very importance. Obviously, in this case, the manager of ABC feels that the market is going to do correction very soon.

b). If  ABC close end fund buys in own shares and it happens that the gap between its share price and NTA cannot be closed, then no only ABC cannot have substantial amout of fund to invest in other counters during downturn periods and its cash level will also be exhausted. Noted that the CI index is at the peak in Malaysian history. So, if the market is collapsing now (including ABC share price), then it cannot do anymore investment. The manager of the ABC fund cannot control the market sentiment including the ABC share price, so the best way is to wait for the better timing. REMEMBER to remain patient at the moment especially during this uncertain period. The TIMING and PATIENT are the most important criteria  in any share investment.

At the moment, they may have some laughing stocks to comment/rookie/mock on the ABC share price. Just remain patient and stay calm. We aim for long-term investment and this is our objective.
BTW, ABC close fund is not suitable for any short-term investors.



This post has been edited by firee818: Nov 19 2012, 09:04 AM
firee818
post Nov 19 2012, 02:13 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 19 2012, 11:21 AM)
What A had asked is not about buying back to close the gap between NAV and share price.
What A had asked is investing in ABC fund itself.
Since ABC fund is a good long term investment, isn't it a good investment target by ABC fund itself, since it has a big discount of 20-30%. <--- this is the issue A had asked.
I cannot answer this, because as a fund, you look for good stock to invest, right? So why excluded ABC stock then?
Also it is merely another investment target, A had not asked to dump all the cash into it, just a portion like ordinary investment target.

As last part, the statement is viewing ABC fund is a long term investment and a good long term investment, and not suit for short term investors, isn't it suit to the ABC fund to invest in ABC share price? <----- this is key question asked by A, that I am speechless to answer to him as a experienced investors.
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Indeed, the manager of ABC has considered to purchase its own shares if the difference between its market price and NTA by 40% of its NTA. i.e. if NTA=RM 3.00, then the target price is about RM 1.80.

Don't ask me to prove where the source from, I just noticed somewhere in an article.



QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 19 2012, 11:21 AM)
So as mentioned above, if CI is peak now, and may collapse based on the above posted opinion or,
isn't it ordinary investor should avoid ABC share now as well?
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No one can predict the future including the manager of ABC.
While it is worth to invest some counters which is below its NTA, the potential investors themselves should also consider their surrounding enviroment.
There is no guarantee profit for any investment.
The manager of ABC also can't guarantee the future performance of ABC.
For investment, you need to judge yourself, you need to take the risk yourself, no one is forcing u to buy.

A simple methodlogy for invest ABC.
If u trust ABC manager, then go and buy.
If u don't trust ABC manger, then leave this counter, avoid this counter.

For investment in ABC, the manager of ABC urged u to look for long-term.
If u trust ABC manager and u buy in this counter. If later on its price collapse, u need not to worry because u trust ABC manager. Maybe one day the price may recover and even over the price u had bought in. So, why u worried so much if u are looking for long-term?

It is so funny and not logic if u invest(mean long-term) in ABC and yet u don't trust ABC manager. Come on, you always have a choice!

Again, I would like to emphasize, if u are so worry about short-term ABC share price performance (e.g. share price collapse), then just leave this counter.

This post has been edited by firee818: Nov 19 2012, 02:39 PM
firee818
post Nov 19 2012, 03:48 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 19 2012, 03:24 PM)
A just needs asking some question that only make clear of his mind only.

Just like A had asked if confidence about the ABC stock, and the stock NAV may achieve double or triple from now, isn't it a good and bargain investment target? including, ABC fund itself.

If ABC fund may achieve and become NAV RM10.00 in 8 years or 10 years from RM3.00, so isn't it investing in ABC stock is indeed a good target to have?
So ABC fund itself should consider it, right? Why ABC fund not considered it?
Why need to wait 40% discount to the NAV?
A discount of 20% + potential (may) future good appreciation/performance from Rm3.00 to Rm10.00, is not good enough for ABC fund consideration? Not many stocks out there may have such a good performance.

The above some simple summarised questions are those I still scratching my head to answer to A.
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As I already mentioned, the timing to buy/sell any shares is very impt. The manager of ABC feels that the market is going to do correction (don't ask me to prove this) very soon. Indeed, the ABC has stopped purchase shares for a year already.
It is wiser to buy at the lower price during market correction.

Today 19/11/2012, price at RM 2.40
The manager think that the market is going to do correction, so let say 3 months later, the price
goes down to RM 1.50(assume below NTA 40%) , is it wiser to buy at that price???????

Whatever it is, if u buy ABC, u need to trust its management.
If u not satisfy with its performance, u can always doing investment at your own. No one can stop you and you performance may even exceed the ABC performance. smile.gif

This post has been edited by firee818: Nov 19 2012, 04:23 PM

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