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 Bond kaki lai, DRB HICOM bond coming

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BWassup
post Sep 5 2024, 02:30 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 5 2024, 01:41 PM)
now AUD down may be is good time to accumulate first?

i told my RM to buy at 2.92,
but  AUD FD rate only 4.4%
compared to your  4.8% there in Australia?
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HLB RM reckons AUD current exchange rate is viable for investments in AUD
BWassup
post Sep 5 2024, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 5 2024, 10:14 PM)
I bought some today 2.92
going down would buy more and keep

revenge buy becos that day i kena 3.1556
when bought the 2 bonds, both lelong at AUD96.80 and AUD98
luckily bond prices  up above PAR already...

park in Austr FD 3 month 4.4%
interest calculation based on 360days,
Austr 1 year so short meh? not 365days
..
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2.9205 so good rate. CIMB doesn't charge a loading when we buy foreign currency?
BWassup
post Sep 12 2024, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 12 2024, 01:25 PM)
MARC Ratings has assigned a preliminary rating of AIS to Tropicana Corporation Berhad’s proposed RM1.5 billion Islamic Medium-Term Notes (IMTN) (Sukuk Wakalah) and concurrently affirmed its ratings of AIS on the RM1.5 billion IMTN (Sukuk Wakalah) and A-IS on the RM2.0 billion Perpetual Sukuk. The outlook on all ratings is stable.

Proceeds from the initial drawdown of RM350 million under the new programme will be largely utilised to redeem the first tranche of its Perpetual Sukuk of RM248 million on the first call date on September 25, 2024. Further issuances under the new programme over the next three years would be to redeem the remaining two Perpetual Sukuk tranches and refinance the outstanding notes under the existing Sukuk Wakalah, which currently has an outstanding of RM745.5 million (end-2023: RM855.5 million).

https://www.marconline.com.my/press/60538900469806
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yay yay rclxms.gif rclxms.gif

Maybe can switch over to the next two to be called?

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 12 2024, 03:51 PM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 09:26 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 13 2024, 12:29 AM)
bro you happy too fast or not?
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I haven't read the announcements in pdf in detail. I'm travelling and having problem with pdf app.

When is the last day we need to advise our decision (to whom?). I have one lot via cimb, so just instruct them?

Yeah, FSM decision for all their investors is not that convincing. In the 1st place, why are they not asking for individual vote?

It is a bummer, this strong arm tactic by Tropicana. And why such short notice? If I recall reading, they are required to give one month notice if not making a call?

Also wonder why individual investors not allowed to take their money if they want to even if 75% agree to convert to new Sukuk?

Whether it's a good option or not is not the issue. Personally I just want my money back now. What they are proposing despite announcing the new sukuk issuance and use of funds and large asset sales just looks contradictory to me, and doesn't show confidence. And it's only for RM248m.

That's why I do not want any more Malaysian perpetuals. Ever.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 13 2024, 09:35 AM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 09:39 AM)
Has this ever happened before in Malaysian history? It's a switch-a-roo. We got played!

At the end of the day, Tropicana will get the headlines that it redeemed Tranch 1 of the perpetuals, but only because they forced everyone onto a 4-year IMTN.
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And getting a much cheaper rate than penalty rate for not redeeming, without spectre of failing to call?

But all still depends on institutional vote to gather the 75%.

Looks like they don't intend to redeem no matter what the outcome of the EGM?

I.e. if rejected, will result in penalty rate. That might force them to quickly redeem it from their land sale funds. Or renegotiate a better deal than the proposed conversion, which is not that attractive for a less attractive and more opaque company like Tropicana. Otherwise it will jeopardise their SUKUK program, and the other sukuk issue.

Will vote to reject it. IMO, nothing to lose, more to gain.


This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 13 2024, 10:46 AM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 13 2024, 12:28 AM)
how come  now like not willing to redeem all 248 million.......

want to retain all our money and
add more selling the new exchange sukok..

looks like  FSM is going to say yes for all of us,
are you going to  say No to FSM?
FSm dapat something kah from tropicana?
so what are the possible scenarios now?

1) Take the offer no redemption money ,  get the new sukok and RM625 consent fee

2) Offer rejected, again we dont get back the redemption money
   we carry on with the old Bond getting 9% with its inherrent higher risk

i believe  quite alot would take the exchange even though coupon rate only 6.25%, less risky mah 4 yrs maturity.
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I think accepting a lower coupon for 4 years is more risky, given Tropicana's relatively weak financials and corporate governance. The mini consent fee is ridiculous, compared with penalty rate of +2%

We have already been on tenterhooks past 3 years or so, why want to endure another 4 years. For sure you can't exit without a loss in the secondary market. And no guarantee they will be able redeem even with fixed maturity.

FSM analysis and decision is very disappointing.

Investors need to force their hand with Tropicana.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 13 2024, 11:01 AM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 10:59 AM)
They don't say they will redeem if they lose the EGM, but logically they would cause otherwise they are subject to a higher rate. The thing is, there are provisions for them to defer the coupon payments.

I still think they won't go to that extent, it will be viewed as a credit negative event. So once they get their liquidity in order, they should redeem by March or Sep 2025.

I just wrote in to FSM to demand a reason as to why they are voting YES. They should ask individual bondholders to vote and take the majority decision.

All in all, you learn a new thing every day. We are but small fish in a big pond. The high and mighty have crafty ways to escape things that us little men have no avenue for!
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They did say if don't reach 75% acceptance, to continue with existing perpetuity.

Redeem September 2025? Any particular reason for taking so long? Their property sales should come in soon. And new sukuk possible.

* FSM is unprofessional. I also wonder why.....

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 13 2024, 11:08 AM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 11:13 AM)
Only way is a few FSM bondholders of the Tropicana 7.00% sukuk get together. Individually, we may not be able to do much of anything.
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Sorry you're talking about fsm vote. How big is FSM holding?

Only institutional investors have any influence on the vote.

Think foreign institutions will not like this last minute proposal. They have stricter mandates and any sign of "wayang" proposals like this will not be looked upon kindly.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 13 2024, 11:21 AM
BWassup
post Sep 13 2024, 07:44 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 05:44 PM)
The original perpetual is also a SENIOR SECURED. No difference.

Tropicana can defer the coupon indefinitely, but they won't be able to do a lot of things in the mean time with regards to dividend or other capital raising.
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Yeah. They will also be in a difficult position with banks as well (e.g. potential cross default clauses), depending on specific facility restrictions. Both bonds are secured by the same properties, so no difference there.



BWassup
post Sep 14 2024, 01:19 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 14 2024, 09:15 AM)
this is a win win situation

at least we help reduce its mad 12% interest loan
taken from the bank when
Tropicana was literally begging
at the mercy of the bankers
to fullfil its obligation to pay out that matured bond.

this new sukok is  just not the same
it is a notch higher in ranking
no nonsense clause can let Tropicana refuse to pay and still say no default
even has obligation for Tropicana to  get ready
standby money to redeem it back in 4 years
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Imo, the 6.25%% to help them out of their liquidity issue is fairly tame. For a true debt restructuring, the terms would be more onerous on the company. They are also "lucky" that rates have come off a bit of late.

But, of course, we can't compare directly. Just saying...

I think the commercial properties pledged are also not prime ones.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 14 2024, 01:19 PM
BWassup
post Sep 14 2024, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 11:45 PM)
Obviously the call on the 5th year is optional, it already is a PERPETUAL bond. But the incentive to redeem it is there, due to the step-up penalty.

Even if they choose not to redeem, the way I see it, I rather stick with the perpetual bond and earn the higher interest. It jumps to 9% in Y6, then 10% in Y7, increasing 1% each year until it caps out at 15%. Either that, or just hand me the principal back.

Now Tropicana could also then choose to defer payment of the higher interest, but that will be to their detriment. They will not be able to pay dividends nor perform any capital transactions. It will be viewed as credit negative by the rating agency and the banks who loan them.

The switch-a-roo to the 6.25% 4-yr bond seems far too convenient for Tropicana at the expense of sukuk holders. It is unprecedented in the Malaysian environment, such a binding Exchange Offer has simply never happened!

By the way, you are wrong that there is more protection - the original 7.00% sukuk was also a senior secured sukuk. There is no changes in that regard.
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Question re: 9% step up in year 6.

If the proposal is approved, will the 6.25% coupon be backdated to 26 September? Or will it accrue at 9% until the new sukuk is issued?

BWassup
post Sep 14 2024, 03:17 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 13 2024, 11:45 PM)
Obviously the call on the 5th year is optional, it already is a PERPETUAL bond. But the incentive to redeem it is there, due to the step-up penalty.

Even if they choose not to redeem, the way I see it, I rather stick with the perpetual bond and earn the higher interest. It jumps to 9% in Y6, then 10% in Y7, increasing 1% each year until it caps out at 15%. Either that, or just hand me the principal back.

Now Tropicana could also then choose to defer payment of the higher interest, but that will be to their detriment. They will not be able to pay dividends nor perform any capital transactions. It will be viewed as credit negative by the rating agency and the banks who loan them.

The switch-a-roo to the 6.25% 4-yr bond seems far too convenient for Tropicana at the expense of sukuk holders. It is unprecedented in the Malaysian environment, such a binding Exchange Offer has simply never happened!

By the way, you are wrong that there is more protection - the original 7.00% sukuk was also a senior secured sukuk. There is no changes in that regard.
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If Tropicana's proposal is approved, at what rate will the bond accrue from 26 September 2024 until the issuance date of the new sukuk?
BWassup
post Sep 14 2024, 09:54 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 14 2024, 07:36 PM)
can see your disappointment
expectation for windfall cash 25.9.24 is gone.
think again 
may be not gone at all.

take the new sukok and sell
get back same RM250k, no?
plus some extras also...

if continue with the  old Perpetual bond
lagi susah to sell methinks..
you see it as Tropicana win we lose
sure angry lah

to me is ok Tropicana win lah
did i lose?.. i think no
compared to those who abandoned ship
sold at RM99 i think we are better off.

for those who bought lelong at RM93.50 or so,
the profit of some 17% return remains
got redemption no redemption sama tu!
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Yeah, what you say is logical. I did load up some this year, that's already good gains.

If some are looking to buy more, and others want their money back, the secondary market will be quite lively once the new sukuk is issued. FSM1 will gain as one of the main intermediaries. That's one reason why they are voting for the exchange! 😆

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 14 2024, 10:44 PM
BWassup
post Sep 16 2024, 10:52 PM

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Re: Tropicana 7% Bond Exchange proposal.

The existing Sukuk has a Security Cover requirement of 2.0x, whereas the new Sukuk 's Security Cover is stated at 1.5x (Exchange Offer Memo Sect. 2.2), unless I misread it.

Is the weakening of the security cover acceptable to you guys? hmm.gif
BWassup
post Sep 17 2024, 08:24 AM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Sep 17 2024, 03:27 AM)
No the exiting perpetual also has a security cover of 1.5x. It had a security cover of 2.0x initially when it was unrated, which subsequently lowered to 1.5x when it got rated.
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Thanks for the clarification smile.gif


BWassup
post Sep 20 2024, 05:21 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 16 2024, 03:41 PM)
i am going to buy. i think no problem for you to sell at PAR
or even higher if demand++

next few days CIMB RM going to bring consent form for you to sign
you ask her can sell  new sukok at what price...

FSM voting for exchange is meant for our good..
becos old or new sukok, FSM fees sama saja...
redemption only is different to FSM then takda untung
tu old  bond cannot sell lah.. sure rugi.
last was RM98.50.

Even though we bought RM93.50 only
i rather exchange to new sukok then only sell
new MTN dont know yet....
but i doubt bankers would sell to me at RM100
sure more than that.

so may be you guys can sell above RM100.
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Went to see my CIMB RM today, and signed the exchange forms.

He said the Bank only had a meeting yesterday on this matter, had not yet informed their clients (despite the deadline in 2 days time!). Better not wait for them, just contact your RM asap if you wish to inform your election.

He has the same view as you, that the new fixed term sukuk can trade above par upon issuance, due to demand for new papers, and also it being a paper with fixed maturity.

The new fixed term sukuk ranks above the perps.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Sep 20 2024, 06:03 PM
BWassup
post Sep 20 2024, 10:20 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Sep 20 2024, 09:17 PM)
Yeah my RM let me sign today also...

just heard  a forumner got his dividend 6.6%
from another Tranche of Tropicana Bond

i was just wondering..... if our purchase of Perpetual 7.0% at RM93.50 early this yr
was profitable......why not we also go whack the Perpetual 6.6% also...

I think  its T&C is almost the same like our Perpetual 7.0%
in 2 years time the same thing is going to happen and
we can get back at RM100 or even more
with the exchange sukok.

good idea?
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Was told by RM that the new 1.5bn sukuk is all for MTN so, yeah, the same thing may happen to this bond in 2 years time.

Are there sellers if you wish to buy? Maybe from FSM only? laugh.gif
BWassup
post Oct 9 2024, 11:15 PM

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Anyone knows what happened at the Tropicana EGM yesterday? There is no announcement in Bursa today.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Oct 9 2024, 11:16 PM
BWassup
post Oct 10 2024, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(BWassup @ Oct 9 2024, 11:15 PM)
Anyone knows what happened at the Tropicana EGM yesterday? There is no announcement in Bursa today.
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CIMB RM confirmed that the resolution was not passed. Thot they would have secured 75% before the EGM. Even CIMB RM indicated as well.

This is not the result Tropicana wanted.

So will Tropicana be under pressure to pay off those who opted out, in order to maintain their credit standing? And those who opted in will likely have to hold for 4 more years, if there is no market demand for the bonds. blink.gif

This post has been edited by BWassup: Oct 10 2024, 10:51 AM
BWassup
post Oct 10 2024, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 10 2024, 12:44 PM)
73% voted for exchange, Tropicana no pressure let them exchange lor

Another 27% redeem no problem I think
Scared Tropicana angry don't redeem and punish pulak...
Defer copoun...
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No reason to punish RM67.4m bondholders, it is their right not to opt in. Tropicana is more at risk for all their future financing, if they choose to defer the 9% penalty rate in March. Market perception more negative.

This post has been edited by BWassup: Oct 10 2024, 05:30 PM

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