not sure, only russia knows.
i am just following pointers...

1. like two three months drop of usage of cruise missiles.
2. the news of India MIGHT sell Brahmos cruise missiles to russia.

russia might be getting smarter and stockpile to launch an overwhelming strike in one night but...

For weeks, Ukrainian officials pushed their counterparts in the United States and Europe to draft language that offered a timeline and clear path toward membership. The communiqué allies released Tuesday fell short of that, stating instead that “we will be in a position to extend an invitation to Ukraine when allies agree and conditions are met.”

That line proved a deep disappointment for Kyiv, which raged behind the scenes as the U.S. and Germany resisted pressure to offer Ukraine concrete pledges. It was particularly upset at the vague reference to conditions, seeing it as a potential arbitrary roadblock to membership.

Ukraine’s leadership reached out to Washington and Berlin to make its displeasure felt, ending in Zelenskyy firing off an irritated tweet on Tuesday referring to the confidential draft text as “unprecedented and absurd.”

“It seems there is no readiness neither to invite Ukraine to NATO nor to make it a member of the Alliance,” the president fumed to his 7.3 million followers.

Even some of Kyiv’s closest friends within NATO were taken aback, seeing the blunt social media criticism from Ukraine’s president as unhelpful and unwarranted during the sensitive diplomatic negotiations.

“We take the tweet as an unfortunate expression of frustration,” said a senior diplomat from Northern Europe.

According to American political scientist John Mearsheimer, the Ukraine war could have been avoided if the West had abandoned the idea of Ukraine joining NATO from the start.
He tells The Bottom Line host Steve Clemons that the West is happy to support a frozen conflict that weakens Russia, but not NATO membership for Ukraine and direct involvement in the war.

Perhaps this John Mearsheimer is a hardcore Putins ass licker 

I'm saying it's all shit until proven otherwise. If i can back up the facts i provide, it's not shit.
Speculation and opinion is all shit because anyone can say whatever they like including yourself.

debunk on the agreement they signed on mar 2022. dont waste time repeating the same thing

Is this blackmail? Because it sure sounds like blackmail