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 USD/MYR and SGD/MYR

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TruboXL
post May 5 2025, 01:17 PM

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fed meeting soon
SUSipohps3
post May 5 2025, 01:18 PM

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QUOTE(Barricade @ May 5 2025, 09:44 AM)
USD plummeting again....
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just as Trump intended?
Wedchar2912
post May 5 2025, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(TruboXL @ May 5 2025, 01:17 PM)
fed meeting soon
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hike or cut?

hike to give some upward pressure to USA...
but cut is what the King wants....
nexona88
post May 5 2025, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(ipohps3 @ May 5 2025, 01:18 PM)
just as Trump intended?
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Hmmm...

He trying to manipulate the market again...

Like what he did previously....

Going soft on China by slapping lower rates???? Later of the year????
MBCH
post May 5 2025, 07:33 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ May 5 2025, 01:09 PM)
Lets see if MYR can breach 4.12

user posted image
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Waiting for 4 - 3.80 why?

Expecting FED to cut rates and BNM will hold the %3 + Trump need weaker USD + Malaysia unlikely to hit 2025 GDP growth target of %4.5-5.5

Wedchar2912
post May 5 2025, 08:23 PM

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QUOTE(MBCH @ May 5 2025, 07:33 PM)
Waiting for 4 - 3.80 why?

Expecting FED to cut rates and BNM will hold the %3 + Trump need weaker USD + Malaysia unlikely to hit 2025 GDP growth target of %4.5-5.5
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really? your view is BNM will hold OPR fixed while FED cuts rates?

i would think BNM will follow Fed in cutting rates actually.
MBCH
post May 6 2025, 02:59 AM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ May 5 2025, 08:23 PM)
really? your view is BNM will hold OPR fixed while FED cuts rates?

i would think BNM will follow Fed in cutting rates actually.
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I think the growth will hit the target of 4.4 4.5% and honestly the inflation could drop below the official 2-3% range if economic activity keeps slowing and commodity prices stay soft over the next few months.

But unless we see a sharp GDP decline that really hits domestic demand and the job market BNM still has other economic tools it can use and interest rates aren’t the only option
jasontoh
post May 6 2025, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ May 5 2025, 08:23 PM)
really? your view is BNM will hold OPR fixed while FED cuts rates?

i would think BNM will follow Fed in cutting rates actually.
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Based on the current movement, I would think Fed cutting while BNM holding the rates.
newtunes
post May 6 2025, 02:07 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ May 6 2025, 11:31 AM)
Based on the current movement, I would think Fed cutting while BNM holding the rates.
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Fed is widely expected to hold rate for this week meeting, and only make a cut move on next meeting if economy activities slow down.
Inflation impact from tariff cause a lot of uncertainty.

This is the most consensus out there from what I read.

hondaracer
post May 17 2025, 02:10 PM

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Will the ringgit strengthen next week? Moody downgrade us...
lawrencesha
post May 17 2025, 02:14 PM

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Syok sendiri...
Hansel
post May 17 2025, 03:55 PM

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QUOTE(newtunes @ May 6 2025, 02:07 PM)
Fed is widely expected to hold rate for this week meeting, and only make a cut move on next meeting if economy activities slow down.
Inflation impact from tariff cause a lot of uncertainty.

This is the most consensus out there from what I read.
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I have a feeling,... Mr Powell prefers to hold the rate as long as he can, just to 'defy POTUS'. biggrin.gif

The more POTUS presses, the more reluctant will Fed Chair wants to cut,.......
boyboycute
post May 21 2025, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(MBCH @ May 5 2025, 07:33 PM)
Waiting for 4 - 3.80 why?

Expecting FED to cut rates and BNM will hold the %3 + Trump need weaker USD + Malaysia unlikely to hit 2025 GDP growth target of %4.5-5.5
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Inflation in Malaysia is going up . That'll make up for the nominal GDP growth figure
hondaracer
post May 22 2025, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ May 17 2025, 03:55 PM)
I have a feeling,... Mr Powell prefers to hold the rate as long as he can, just to 'defy POTUS'.  biggrin.gif

The more POTUS presses, the more reluctant will Fed Chair wants to cut,.......
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Strangely 😂😂😂... i feel it....
MBCH
post Jun 3 2025, 02:14 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ May 17 2025, 03:55 PM)
I have a feeling,... Mr Powell prefers to hold the rate as long as he can, just to 'defy POTUS'.  biggrin.gif

The more POTUS presses, the more reluctant will Fed Chair wants to cut,.......
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Anything’s possible, but my forecast still stands: BNM held the rate at 3% as I predicted, and the Fed will cut i have no doubt.

And for those still shouting about inflation. Hahaha relax. The latest uptick is just 0.1% (2.0% vs 1.9%).
That’s peanuts. 😉

Analysts today talking about 4.10 but i maintain 4.0 to 3.80 ( mid-term)

Remember actually US need weak USD

This post has been edited by MBCH: Jun 3 2025, 02:16 AM
Cubalagi
post Jul 1 2025, 10:48 AM

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USD dropping like rock again.

USDMYR now 4.19. A 6.3% drop year to date.




Wedchar2912
post Jul 1 2025, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jul 1 2025, 10:48 AM)
USD dropping like rock again.

USDMYR now 4.19. A 6.3% drop year to date.
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headache...
should be damn happy cos my networth in usd is up like 15%....
but in myr terms, it is only up like 8%.... sweat.gif

stupid King T....

vmad.gif
MGM
post Jul 1 2025, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jul 1 2025, 02:56 PM)
headache...
should be damn happy cos my networth in usd is up like 15%....
but in myr terms, it is only up like 8%.... sweat.gif

stupid King T....

vmad.gif
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U all in USD assets?
Wedchar2912
post Jul 1 2025, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Jul 1 2025, 04:32 PM)
U all in USD assets?
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On top of my head, usd and hkd denom investment should be around 60%? Maybe 55?
jasontoh
post Jul 1 2025, 04:57 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jul 1 2025, 02:56 PM)
headache...
should be damn happy cos my networth in usd is up like 15%....
but in myr terms, it is only up like 8%.... sweat.gif

stupid King T....

vmad.gif
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But USD not drop 50%, right?

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