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 SG Savings Bond (SSB) & Treasury Bills (T-bills), Guaranteed by Singapore Government

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SUSTOS
post Apr 3 2023, 11:30 PM

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SSBMAY23 rates announced by MAS this afternoon.

Year from issue date12345678910
Interest %3.033.033.033.033.033.033.033.163.213.21
Average return per year %3.033.033.033.033.033.033.033.043.063.07

Closing Date: 25 Apr 2023
Issue Size: $700M (unchanged)

Source: MAS official website

hwckhs on HWZ
SUSTOS
post Apr 4 2023, 10:40 AM

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Quotation of taxable book-entry Singapore Government Bonds

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


From BT 030423

SUSTOS
post Apr 4 2023, 02:49 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield3.98%4.02%
Median yield3.4%3.9%
Average yield2.79%3.46%
BTC ratio2.22.18

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-10

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-10

Both 1-month and 3-month COY still around 4%.
SUSTOS
post Apr 5 2023, 05:59 PM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Mar 26 2023, 02:58 PM)
A busy week of MAS auctions ahead.

1-month and 3-month MAS bill auction this Tuesday as usual, followed by a 15-year SGS auction and 20-year SGS mini-auction in Wednesday, and lastly 6-month T-bill auction in Thursday.

OCBC CPFIS holders still can't apply for CPF-OA investment in T-bill as the system should come online on 31st March, the day after the 6M T-bill auction result is announced.

DBS CPFIS holders should note that the online application for T-bill via CPF-OA monies end one day earlier before the cash application deadline at 12 pm.

UOB CPFIS holders need to wait till 22nd of April for the online system to be ready for T-bill application using CPF-OA monies.
*
OCBC CPFIS holders will now be able to apply for CPF-OA investment in SG T-bills as the system goes online today.

Reported from HWZ: https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/threads/...#post-146992278
SUSTOS
post Apr 6 2023, 12:24 PM

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Latest SSB rates reported in BT 040423:

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SUSTOS
post Apr 11 2023, 01:47 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield3.9%3.9%
Median yield3.7%3.84%
Average yield3.22%3.32%
BTC ratio2.082.42

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-14

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-14

Both 1-month and 3-month COY below 4%.
SUSTOS
post Apr 12 2023, 06:39 PM

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Sorry for being late. Messed up with my Bloomberg FXFA settings. laugh.gif

FXFA yield curves settings can be seen in this screenshot:

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


By the way, I bid 3.8%, based on MAS last published' data: https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

Offshore Euro Sing yields 3.55-3.61 whereas onshore last quoted 4.0085. So about right, halfway between the two.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


MAS will publish its semiannual policy review this Friday. All eyes on SGD NEER slopes and bands. smile.gif

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 12 2023, 06:40 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 13 2023, 02:54 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Apr 13 2023, 02:18 PM)
T bill cut off yield 3.75%
*
Ahya missed by 5 basis points...

% of Competitive Applications at Cut-off AllottedApproximately 45%
% of Non-Competitive Applications Allotted100%
Bid-to-Cover Ratio2.56
Cut-off Yield (Price)3.75% p.a. (98.13)
Median Yield (Price)3.65% p.a. (98.18)
Average Yield (Price)3.31% p.a. (98.35)

Source: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-18

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 13 2023, 03:27 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 14 2023, 08:00 AM

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MAS policy statement: https://www.mas.gov.sg/news/monetary-policy...atement-14apr23

QUOTE
MAS will therefore maintain the prevailing rate of appreciation of the S$NEER policy band. There will be no change to its width and the level at which it is centred. This policy stance will continue to reduce imported inflation and help curb domestic cost pressures.

SUSTOS
post Apr 15 2023, 10:16 AM

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SG Straits Times: 6-month Treasury bills still popular as investors seek ‘safe’ investments

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/6-mon...afe-investments
SUSTOS
post Apr 16 2023, 06:14 PM

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OCBC 8 month 3.88% CPF FD has been temporarily halted...

https://www.ocbc.com/personal-banking/depos...deposit-account

Soured from lzydata/HWZ.

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 16 2023, 06:15 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 18 2023, 11:22 AM

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Hurry up for CPFIS applicants!

SG 1 year T-bill auction will close at 12 pm today for DBS (OCBC is 9 pm).

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 18 2023, 02:57 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 18 2023, 02:53 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield3.82%3.8%
Median yield3.7%3.75%
Average yield3.15%3.27%
BTC ratio2.032.37

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-21

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-21

Both 1-month and 3-month COY below 4%, dropped by 10 bps from last week.
SUSTOS
post Apr 18 2023, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 18 2023, 04:30 PM)
bro TOS... the auction is weekly issit... bid too low rugi... bid too high miss out one week have to wait next round...

just thinking how it compares with rhb mca... also had a look at ibkr excess cash rates... HUF at 14%... lol...
*
yo rarely see you here in SG Treasury market thread. I remember you once told me you don't have CDP account in SG.

Auction for 6 month T-bill is done biweekly (once every 2 weeks), auction for 1 year T-bill is done quarterly (Jan, April, July, October) Today (for CPF) and tomorrow (for cash application) will be the deadline for the second 1 year T-bill issuance for this year.

You can refer to MAS's issuance calendar here: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...suance-calendar

---------------------

Comparing 6 month and 1 year rates for RHB MCA vs MAS T-bill, the rates are pretty similar, but SG T-bill is better by 20-30 basis points (and add another 5-10 basis points to adjust for rate conventions, i.e. discount rate is always lower than bond-yield equivalent which is the FD rate quote convention), so they still earn some spreads.

RHB MCA data: https://www.rhbgroup.com/treasury-rates/mul...osit/index.html

MAS T-bill data: https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx

------------------------

I have looked at RHB MCA for some time after you keep writing about it in almost every thread I read laugh.gif It's a good service in many dimensions, the biggest and most obvious issue is the MYR 20 card fee.

Another big hidden danger with RHB MCA is that your foreign currency money is part of BNM's FX reserve and is at the mercy of Malaysia's regulators. (Last time in late 90s, CLOB saga scared many Sporeans and illustrated what could happen in a crisis). But of course you may have different views on such matters, just a risk to point out.

Last thing is I don't believe in is the PIDM for foreign currencies. That is impossible for a simple reason: Malaysia can't print foreign currencies. Guaranteeing USD, EUR, SGD etc. is impossible when you cannot create the money in the first place. There is a reason why SDIC in Singapore doesn't guarantee foreign currency deposits in SG banks.

That said, if one can stomach the risks aforementioned, I think RHB MCA is a pretty good substitute for Wise and for investors moving money in/out of Malaysia. The rates and fees look reasonable.

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 18 2023, 08:23 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 18 2023, 11:37 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Apr 18 2023, 09:30 PM)
thanks bro... i do lurk around for knowledge so i dun become obsolete too fast... laugh.gif

yes i dun have cdp... just trying to understand various options and opportunity costs... now salivating over the 14% HUF interest rates...if only i charted it earlier... lol...

as for rhb mca... i think i only brought up maybe 3 times... only for specific folks... 20 card fee imho is ok... i dun sweat thess stuff unlike some ppl... the mca can hold myr so maybe pidm just for that... lol... i try find out later... imho pidm more like insurance pool lah... not printer...

anyways thanks for the info again...
*
Yes, PIDM covers foreign currency deposits, as they stated here officially: https://www.pidm.gov.my/en/how-we-protect-y...overage-for-dis

But there is one line in their 2021 (latest) annual report worth mentioning (in section 22, Financial Risk):

QUOTE
a. Foreign currency risk

PIDM is currently not materially exposed to any currency risk as most of the transactions were transacted in Ringgit Malaysia denominated currency.


Source: https://www.pidm.gov.my/pidm2022/files/71/7...e4358445798.pdf (PDF page 80/89)

Interpreted in another way, that means they do not hold lots of foreign currencies to insure against your deposit lost in case banks go belly up. They don't provide much info on insurance premiums for foreign currency deposits anyway, so hard to tell lah.


SUSTOS
post Apr 19 2023, 05:31 PM

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Deadline for 1-year T-bill bid is 9 pm tonight. Here are the Bloomberg FXFA screenshots. Offshore yields data sourced from Bloomberg London.

Onshore: 3.76-3.81 %

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Offshore: 3.43-3.52%

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I will bid 3.5% p.a., anticipating the hot demand... US debt ceiling issue will force up US rates in coming months and make the safer SG T-bills "overpriced" for some time I guess.






SUSTOS
post Apr 20 2023, 02:48 PM

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ikanbilis must be too sad until can't post auction result here. laugh.gif

As expected, this 1-year auction is damn hot. 3 times bid-to-cover ratio. COY 3.58% p.a.

% of Competitive Applications at Cut-off AllottedApproximately 64%
% of Non-Competitive Applications Allotted100%
Bid-to-Cover Ratio2.96
Cut-off Yield (Price)3.58% p.a. (96.43)
Median Yield (Price)3.5% p.a. (96.51)
Average Yield (Price)3.27% p.a. (96.739)

Source: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-25

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 20 2023, 04:07 PM
SUSTOS
post Apr 25 2023, 03:01 PM

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This week's MAS Bill auction results:

Tenure4-week12-week
Cut-off yield3.99%3.98%
Median yield3.7%3.78%
Average yield3.4%3.44%
BTC ratio1.912.13

Source:

4-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-28

12-week: https://www.mas.gov.sg/bonds-and-bills/auct...date=2023-04-28

Cooler response than last week. Both 1-month and 3-month COY just shy of 4%.

-------------------------

6 month T-bill auction tomorrow. Auction bid deadline is 9pm today (for DBS/OCBC online application). Will share with you guys the Bloomberg screenshot later this evening.

Also today is last day to apply for SSB May 2023.
SUSTOS
post Apr 25 2023, 06:59 PM

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As promised, the Bloomberg FXFA screenshots:

6M offshore yields: 3.63-3.68% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


6M onshore yield last quoted 4.12% p.a.

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I will bid 3.7% p.a. based on MAS's data (3.75% p.a.): https://eservices.mas.gov.sg/statistics/fda...ssuePrices.aspx




SUSTOS
post Apr 25 2023, 07:15 PM

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I studied Bloomberg's FXFA function in greater detail.

Since I am looking at discrepancy of FX implied yield compared to current spot yields, Bloomberg recommends manually choosing the yield curves.

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For both SGD onshore and offshore, recommended curve is SGD OIS SORA. For USD it is SOFR.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


With this new setting:

Onshore rates are 3.47-3.49% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Offshore rates are 3.63-3.69% p.a.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


At least the discrepancy is less than the previous setting. I will be using this new Bloomberg-recommended setting in my future posts. Also, in the future I will only mention the last quoted yield for the old setting here without screenshot since the last quoted yield is fixed when market is close anyway.

This post has been edited by TOS: Apr 25 2023, 07:15 PM

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