QUOTE(vergil90 @ Jul 22 2009, 02:06 PM)
Agree with you for this, but i have a few points here:
1. if i am the investor of the 20% sure i will invest lower than market price.
2. The 65mil deal is RPT.
3. The 65mil deal with return just a mere 5.6% will drag down the DPU (after consideration of the 20% private investment, which used to fund to purchase the 65mil)
The EPU will be lower to 14.4 from currently 16sen, which is a negative factor with me.
If i am Axis Reit management, why don't i take advantage with current low interest environment to get a let say get a 4% loan to fund the purchase, although will raise the gearing may be up to maximum 50%, but the additional DPU sure will drive up the price more than the currently RM 1.76 NAV and issue the private placement at least at this price in the nearest term and not dilute the earning like this way.
Just my 2 cents.
Anyway, just dispose a quarter and hold another 3 quarter hopefully like what u say the private placement will higher.
I am very satisfied with their previous track record, but now
(if amanah saham or related party is the investor of the 20%, u think u can get higher and bargain with GLC/related party for higher price? This depends how good the management are,

)
Yup, your concern is perfectly reasonable especially on RPT side.
Even the CEO has said, some DPU will be diluted due to private placement.
For taking loan or private placemenet, they need to go for private placement because there are 9 to 10 properties in the pipeline which they intend to inject into Axreit. Without private placement to raise capital for the acquisition, they won't able to do it.
At higher borrowing or gearing, if something happen on financial market, refinancing could be very problematic which has brought down a lot of overseas high gearing reit in recent financial crisis. So we can't say which one is definite good (taking more loan or private placement or new unit issuance)
They need to expand and diversify their portfolio which is a positive factor. For reit, size matter in term of attracting instituitional investors as well as liquidity issue which are the 2 important factor to lure instituitional investors besides quality of properties and yield.
At 1.7x, based on NAV, it is fully valued. Now the price is supported based on yield factor.