If so, how do the top 1% Investor function?
loss money but lesser percentage?
Does buy and hold valid in Malaysia market?dividend stocks?

Tq for the reply, bro and Happy New Year to you too,....

Yes, I understand exactly what you wrote,... and you are right too in your assumptions and in your points.

I have been watching some counters in The SGX, hoping for them to drop more for me to scoop up, but NO, they did not drop, BUT rose gradually instead,... I have to watch everyday,... it is indeed tiring,...

I can, of course, do a 'Good Till Cancelled' queue, but I am keeping my funds inside interest-earning accounts to maximise my passive income. I am not able to earn this interest if these funds are put up as queues awaiting strikes.

Hence, have to watch everyday, and like you said in one of your posts above, if I feel strongly that it is a bottom, I must buy - this is what I practise.

At the same time, I keep reading the news and updating myself with core subscriptions in order not to miss any news,... to detect for any changes in fundamentals towards a ctr that I am watching.

That's right, this has been proven during the previous recession.  Based on what I have read and gathered, I would think that we may be already at the early phase of recession.  This is still very much debatable as opinions are split on this.

true.... that's why when we take those report or review.
A said this months. B said that months. C said another month....

combine it and got time frame. couple with indices.... perhaps we can see the directions. now all market booming. last time recession also having obvious uptrend before free fall.

What I have heard so far on the timing of the next recession ...

Asian guru ... between month x 2018 and month y 2019 (can't remember the months now, no need to plan your action down to the day/week/month). 

Ray Dalio  ... a couple of years (in his recent interview in Bloomberg). He is one of the best fund managers. 

Blackrock ... something along the not-now line 

Allan Greenspan ... later (in his recent interview n Bloomberg) 

Warren Buffet  ...  ( i forgot what he said  now, he gave a vague and smart answer, leaving it to you to guess). 

Best not to just listen and follow. Listen, learn, analyse etc etc. 

All the best!

Not dominating in terms of Msia's export but the other 4 major trading partners (Spore, China, Japan & Thailand) will have their shares of direct trades with the USA. So, if these countries suffer due to the USA, that will affect Msia indirectly. So I think USA will have a bigger impact in Msia than just the export % (ie direct and indirect).

I may be wrong ....

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentar...-delong-2019-01

What Will Cause the Next US Recession?
Jan 7, 2019 J. BRADFORD DELONG

For those interested to read.

Citi and jP Morgan miss earnings but stocks still rocketing up..

What if it's done.
Market will rise?

I think if trump is impeached, good for long term but bad for short term. Market does not like uncertainty

how confident about the coming crash?

It has been two months of “happy new year” for U.S.-stock fund investors.

Thanks to the surprisingly strong start to 2019 for U.S. stocks, stock funds are shaking off last year’s slide, which had pushed the average diversified U.S.-stock fund to a decline of 7.7% for the year. It has all turned around: Such funds posted a return of 3.7% for February and were up nearly 13% for the first two months of this year, according to Thomson Reuters Lipper data.

Meaning 2019 = 2017

2020 = 2018

Fed will be no hike this year. In fact there's signal to reduce in q4.

There is a debt bubble globally. Because of low interest rates, there is a lof debt out there n the world. Some thing can prick this bubble say Trade War.?

Yeah. We hear a lot about China's corporate debt, because media wants to paint the opposite side as vulnerable.

But European and US corporate debt is also in pretty bad shape. Fed just talked about it recently, plus CDOs/CLOs are back.

In other words, it's the sentiments (not economic fundamentals) that are hit badly. And the negativity and uncertainty leads to a overall slowdown in economic activities, like what we experienced for past one year in Malaysia.

I'm going to stay invested as well. There's no economic crisis, World War 3 or banking meltdown to justify the dumping of quality stocks. Things could turn around suddenly with a tweet from the fickle Tariff Man.

Yeah. We hear a lot about China's corporate debt, because media wants to paint the opposite side as vulnerable.

But European and US corporate debt is also in pretty bad shape. Fed just talked about it recently, plus CDOs/CLOs are back.

So many experienced and proven investors has express their view that the valuation is extremely high and what the world did after 08 - massive global QE is unprecedented and by logic is not sustainable. This create the effect of massive increase in Asset Value as compared to yield. Which create this super big gap between rich and poor as rich get richer, cause the rich hold a lot of Assets which are now highly valued.

However many that have this view like Charlie Munger still has their feet in the water, because they just don't know when the music will stop or how this new QE and printing money dynamic will play out. And of all low yield item, stock is still the best place to be optimistic about i guess.

But then we just beat out the 90s - 00s dot com bubble bull run. So if history repeat itself there is a possibility we get wiped out 50 - 70% of our portfolio value especially on hot stock like the FANG gang. That is a scary possibility haha.