hmmmm the foce of weed is strong with TS - weed everyday smoke he must
The maths behind Sports Toto 4D, and other lotteries etc
The maths behind Sports Toto 4D, and other lotteries etc
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Apr 6 2017, 04:46 PM
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279 posts Joined: Jul 2009 From: Subang Jaya SS15 |
hmmmm the foce of weed is strong with TS - weed everyday smoke he must
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Apr 6 2017, 04:49 PM
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964 posts Joined: Sep 2010 |
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Apr 6 2017, 04:49 PM
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877 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Kuching |
interesting
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Apr 6 2017, 04:57 PM
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198 posts Joined: Jun 2012 |
QUOTE(kelvinlym @ Apr 6 2017, 04:40 PM) ALL lottery games are negative value. If positive then there will not be any of these games on offer. People will find out and exploit it. *side story not related - Take blackjack for example, remember the MIT guys who counted cards. They were working with about 1 or 2% positive value. But they could identify when it's positive, so they bet big when value is positive. In short, positive value games in lottery are non existent. That's the reason I rarely play these kinda games. Only once in awhile like the Eurojackpot when the pot goes up to max and trickles down to the lower levels. i remember a few years ago during cheltenham festival there was a placepot available to bet on all horses to win on that day. no one won and the prize money just keep roll over until next day, at some point the pot went up to millions and i figured out i can just bet on all combinations and guarantee a win. However i realise do not have enough money to place on all combination because even at 1 pound per line i would need 7 grand + to cover all... in the end i realise my calculation was wrong because there was multiple winners and the pot was split to many people so its still not + EV interest experience for those interesting in betting tho This post has been edited by GnomeMage: Apr 6 2017, 05:01 PM |
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Apr 6 2017, 05:16 PM
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27 posts Joined: Feb 2014 From: Somewhere in the pacific, or indian ocean |
just dun play
easy peasy |
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Apr 6 2017, 07:09 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#66
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1,152 posts Joined: Jun 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
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Apr 6 2017, 07:10 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#67
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1,152 posts Joined: Jun 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
QUOTE(GnomeMage @ Apr 6 2017, 09:57 AM) *side story not related - Yeah, that's the problem with all games. In the end the house always wins.i remember a few years ago during cheltenham festival there was a placepot available to bet on all horses to win on that day. no one won and the prize money just keep roll over until next day, at some point the pot went up to millions and i figured out i can just bet on all combinations and guarantee a win. However i realise do not have enough money to place on all combination because even at 1 pound per line i would need 7 grand + to cover all... in the end i realise my calculation was wrong because there was multiple winners and the pot was split to many people so its still not + EV interest experience for those interesting in betting tho |
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Apr 6 2017, 08:04 PM
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1 posts Joined: Jul 2016 |
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Apr 6 2017, 08:29 PM
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92 posts Joined: Nov 2016 |
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Apr 6 2017, 09:40 PM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#70
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Apr 9 2017, 05:59 PM
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597 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
Although TS' computation shows that punters are getting better chance by betting on BIG iPerm, but punters will tend to win less if using this strategy
e.g. if you are going to bet RM1 BIG on number 1234, instead of betting straight, you top up RM23 to go for BIG iPerm 1234, if 1234 comes out on first : payout 2520 - 23 = 2497 vs. 2500 which is lesser winning by 3 second : payout 1008 - 23 = 985 vs. 1000 which is lesser winning by 15 third : payout 504 - 23 = 481 vs. 500 which is lesser winning by 19 special : payout 192 - 23 = 169 vs. 180 which is lesser winning by 11 consolation : payout 72 - 23 = 49 vs. 60 which is lesser winning by 11 |
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Apr 9 2017, 06:10 PM
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695 posts Joined: Jan 2008 |
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Apr 9 2017, 09:16 PM
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92 posts Joined: Nov 2016 |
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Apr 9 2017, 11:22 PM
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Apr 9 2017, 11:36 PM
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Apr 10 2017, 07:32 AM
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Apr 10 2017, 07:40 AM
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61 posts Joined: Oct 2015 |
Why ppl buy black number?
1. Convenient over phone, SMS, runner, no need long queue 2. Higher payout 3. Result not rigged because they have no control |
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Apr 10 2017, 07:42 AM
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Apr 10 2017, 09:10 AM
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Apr 10 2017, 09:14 AM
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