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squarepilot
post Jun 18 2020, 07:44 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jun 17 2020, 09:51 AM)
Gave it another thought this morning.

Betting on dark horses, the second or the third liner, on the average it really, really never pays as well as the top players.
Top stocks in any given sector is top is given the top rating because it outperforms, in terms of share price movement.
Firstly, now we are in this to WIN money right?
right?
Yes, I know, this is a TRADER thread and I am a trader ....
BUT..................
does it really matter? We are IN the market to win money and for me, it doesn't matter if one is investing or trading, most important for me, is that we can adapt the best strategy that helps me win money consistently in the long run.

Now the reason to be in the glove sector was mentioned CASUALLY in the following posting #2123..
please do READ that....
now if one is ok and assessed all the necessary RISKS that the SPECULATION that glove markers will once again soar,  like it did during the SARS and one had realised that the top stock in the sector SOARED, then what's left is to choose which stock.

My principle, one sector, only one stock. That's what suits me. Whack it all.  Doesn't matter if one says I'm putting all the eggs in one basket. YES, normally that's not the wise thing to do BUT if one had assess the risk properly, why not? All I need to know is when to know I am bloody WRONG, admit it, and cut my loss. Most important, I must know where and when my exit strategy. The risk is all the same.

So choosing the stock. I must not be lazy. Open the situpid charts and check. Exercise my fingers. Which one outperform the most during the SARS era?

Again it points out to TOP GLOVE and SUPERMAX.

One of these two..... easy pick. I asked myself which one did I dislike the least... lol...
Now looking at the current result...
TOP GLOVE how many baggers?
SUPERMAX how many baggers?
aren't they big, big winners?

Look at Kossan... yes, it has performed well but has it even doubled its price yet?

So once again, the results show.....
ps...in the next few years, if another pandemic strikes, would I consider Kossan? Sorry answer is no. It's a second liner... and second liner usually comes in second.
Just applying the basic law of average.....
*
Ahhh.. I see. Good write up👍
squarepilot
post Sep 2 2020, 10:59 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 2 2020, 10:03 AM)
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Maybank, Public Bank, CIMB, HL, RHB takes up almost a whopping 25 - 30% of KLCI index weightage

no matter how government also will support geh
squarepilot
post Sep 2 2020, 11:17 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 2 2020, 11:08 AM)
Why need to think like this?  rolleyes.gif

Do you know that such assumption is so risky?

PBBank fell from 25++ to ______
CIMB fell from 5++ to __________
Maybank fell from 10++ to __________

ahem...... see the point?

If one had assumed that govt will support.... why had these 3 banks fell so much, so hard lately? where was the support?
*
i would ASSUME that KLCI will be supported at 1200-1400 pts, with the exception of market crash globally

There is no point for them to support the market when it is trading at 1600-1800

from the past history government and EPF have been played a part in stabilizing the market. of cause with the exception of Maybank during 08-09, and also on 97-98 when malaysia had the very first panic recession

Speculation at it's best smile.gif

I'm just sharing what i see and observe from the past

This post has been edited by squarepilot: Sep 2 2020, 11:18 AM
squarepilot
post Sep 3 2020, 12:08 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Sep 3 2020, 11:38 AM)
Wah you fast. I feel this will be the next catalyst. A long term weakening of USD seemed inevitable.

Need go do some hunting, see who benefit from this shift. Last time it's always the other way around.
*
give you info

homeritz

homeritz import leather from US and export their finished goods to euro, asians and other places

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 2 2020, 01:41 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
sweat.gif sweat.gif never thought so much about it


This post has been edited by squarepilot: Sep 3 2020, 12:11 PM
squarepilot
post Sep 3 2020, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 3 2020, 11:36 AM)
Chart of the day ....

puke.gif

user posted image

user posted image
Seriously .....  puke.gif  puke.gif  puke.gif
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how would you interpret?

Straight line suport? or lower low line?

RM10? i think RM10 is a great physiological support. and again. i'm no chartist
squarepilot
post Sep 9 2020, 06:45 PM

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QUOTE(Steph lee @ Sep 9 2020, 06:17 PM)
is it advisable to trade stock price below 10 cent?
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short answer? Not advisable unless you understand the risk
squarepilot
post Sep 14 2020, 10:01 PM

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QUOTE(ry8128 @ Sep 14 2020, 09:38 PM)
Buybacks will not and will never ever able to stage a wild comebacks. Its so obvious the whole thing is staged and a very well planned show.
*
chart - candle stick on Thursday and Friday shows a technical rebound

fundamental - everyone is expecting a bump in coming quarter QR

sentimental - LWC and co share buyback, and appear in TV to calm investor

when all 3 is ticked, what could go wrong on monday? laugh.gif
squarepilot
post Sep 15 2020, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(ry8128 @ Sep 14 2020, 10:03 PM)
Sry, i dun get wat u mean. I thought today is already end of monday?
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The 3 signals appeared on Friday
A well informed trader would have taken notice and will trade before the closing market

Me? Biting the dust 😂
squarepilot
post Oct 3 2020, 01:41 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 2 2020, 11:39 AM)
Update....

user posted image

rolleyes.gif  rolleyes.gif  rolleyes.gif
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UWC is a hard stock to trade!
squarepilot
post Oct 8 2020, 12:09 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 6 2020, 09:28 AM)
rolleyes.gif

user posted image

that's the thing about stock market.... what some are good at, u might find it hard....

console.gif
*
UWC shows Cup pattern. interesting to see what's coming next

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 7 2020, 03:38 PM)
the market is making the same bet.... see? see?

laugh.gif

user posted image
me? show me the profits first la.....  laugh.gif
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based on my past experience (quoting UWC and Penta), the price of stocks usually runs faster than it's QR result

This post has been edited by squarepilot: Oct 8 2020, 12:15 AM
squarepilot
post Oct 8 2020, 08:48 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 8 2020, 08:35 AM)
laugh.gif that's NOT a CUP pattern ........ sometimes our eyes tend to see what we want to see .....  whistling.gif
*
mind to elaborate? hmm.gif

and also helpful to share why you do not prefer oil palm stocks smile.gif

This post has been edited by squarepilot: Oct 8 2020, 09:09 AM
squarepilot
post Oct 17 2020, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 15 2020, 08:51 AM)
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i see i see. but company fundamentals are equally important to gauge and confirm the cup and handle.

any tom dick and harry can manipulate to make a random low volume trading stock looks cup and handle
squarepilot
post Oct 25 2020, 08:17 PM

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want to ask

stocks movement reflect fundamental,

or

fundamental reflects stocks movement?

how they can go hand in hand?

The more i study about stock market, the more confuse am i
squarepilot
post Oct 26 2020, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 26 2020, 09:15 AM)
What's that to be confuse?

It's actually very simple....

All shares can be fried.

There end. Habis cerita....  laugh.gif
thumbsup.gif
*
So what matters most is the art of speculation?
MR DIY also can goreng up to 1.80
squarepilot
post Oct 30 2020, 12:50 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 29 2020, 06:34 PM)
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well. i have know few older folks prefer reits because of (probable) sustainable payout and gives higher returns compared to bank

however this Covid was not anticipated 5 years back.

Understand your point talking in a trader points of view

but for retirees and pensioner. its a different school of thought

This post has been edited by squarepilot: Oct 30 2020, 12:51 PM
squarepilot
post Nov 1 2020, 10:18 AM

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Premium Reits biggrin.gif
user posted image

Industrial Reits smile.gif
user posted image

The not so good ones console.gif
user posted image
squarepilot
post Nov 1 2020, 11:40 AM

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Ok. this looks interesting. testing support level

user posted image
squarepilot
post Nov 1 2020, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 1 2020, 01:22 PM)
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It's now always rain and storm in IGB reits. when Covid issues is resolved, it will go back to it's glorious day nod.gif
well unless they inject mid valley JB into IGB reits, that will create another different story

so.. assuming we as trader, we look at support.

what support does IGB Reits have
psychological support - checked
share price is at support level

fanboy support - checked
Do you think uncle aunty, UT fund and their mother (IGBB) reduce stake in IGB? yes but not much

On the reason why i do support elderly opinion of investing in Reits
- FD gives much lower returns than Reits
- Reits have income payout policy
- Reits are inflation best friend

then comes to trading Reits, advisable? good to go?
No rclxs0.gif

but if you ask me where do i put my spare money for retirement? keep in it bank? No. Reits is a better option
trade my retirement money in growth stocks? No. It's too risky until i master some of sure win technique in trading

but that's just me. I was once a very passive investor (buy KLCI Component stocks). but i'm venturing into mid to long term trading. and while i'm learning it. might as well park some money in Reits?
squarepilot
post Nov 1 2020, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 1 2020, 04:56 PM)
Okay....

your main reason(s) to buy is ....

1. C19 will be resolved..... one day.  (what if the one day is far longer than you expected? time is the enemy of a struggling biz too)
2. it pays more than FD. ( LOL! ... EPF pays more. tongue.gif .... but what's the use cause DPU is declining... and as long as it declines .. the stock will get hammered)

well...... you already stated your strong opinion on it ..... all I can and will say..... is best luck.

Mark this post down.... Bookmark it .....

comeback next year... same time..... see if the decision to buy around 1.67 (1.60 la) is a wise move or not...

thumbsup.gif
*
laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

1 year too short for this kind of investment. if you ask me, 3-5 years is about right. Reits are slow...

1 year time frame, do trading better lah biggrin.gif
Me too also starting something on trading... pick up some skill first

i'm not sure whether it's just me or many who do like this too

If i have 100k of cash equivalent asset. I will segregate only 30% max on trading, while 70% is on more stable investment like FD, Reits, Infra.

i can't comprehend on how would one put 100% into trading without considering safety factor
squarepilot
post Nov 2 2020, 12:01 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 1 2020, 06:44 PM)
One year to assess your current reasoning la. doh.gif

Or if you want, you can come back 5 years later.
If right, good lo.
If wrong.. these 5 years.. cannot claim back 1. laugh.gif
*
hardly go burst i guess? biggrin.gif
diversification is the key word i guess for investment
i would predict another downward trend of MYR
besides Reits, any other method to hedge on?

user posted image

user posted image

This post has been edited by squarepilot: Nov 2 2020, 12:01 AM

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