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AVFAN
post Jul 17 2020, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 17 2020, 12:25 PM)
Had some time. Read Kenanga's TopGun report...
credit suisse one lagi teruk...! biggrin.gif
https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/56015.jsp

the new TP is RM37, the highest one yet!

16/07/2020 21.74 37.00 +15.26 (70.19%) BUY CREDIT SUISSE
04/06/2020 14.32 23.00 +8.68 (60.61%) BUY CREDIT SUISSE
https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptg/7113.jsp

but u must give credit... since the rm23 they gave on june 4 was the highest at that time and was realized since july 13.
so, rm37 given on july 16... can say maybe slightly possible la...! tongue.gif



AVFAN
post Jul 21 2020, 09:46 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 21 2020, 09:36 AM)
See? See? U see why many of us see him as a ******** ?  (well, chose your pick! tongue.gifwhistling.gif
*
da man is just talking, can't stop him! biggrin.gif

must not take him too seriously.
AVFAN
post Jul 29 2020, 08:24 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 28 2020, 11:58 PM)
Anyway, if you think average down works for you, then stick to what you believe in.
*
if a stock keeps going down, for years.... averaging down = throwing good money to chase bad money.

for very short term, possible it will work.

i prefer to average up!

still, whether avg up or down, that's good only within a certain time frame, beyond which i say better to sell for profit or take loss.
AVFAN
post Jul 31 2020, 06:27 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 31 2020, 09:35 AM)
this time, TP should be correct!

QUOTE
Research house expects zero share price for AirAsia X

A RESEARCH house has cut the Target Price (TP) for AirAsia X Berhad’s (AAX) share to zero after the long-haul budget carrier recorded its biggest ever quarterly net loss.

CGS-CIMB Equities Research, in maintaining a reduced rating on the stock, said in a note today that the airline group’s net liability position prompted the cut of the target price from 7 sen to zero.
https://www.themalaysianinsight.com/s/264052

AVFAN
post Aug 1 2020, 11:03 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 1 2020, 10:24 AM)
anyway... like half bola.... give chance sikit to AAX la.... half sen TP lo...

laugh.gif
*
cimb reported that there is virtually no chance to secure any more funding...so, zero la. biggrin.gif
https://www.malaysia-chronicle.com/?p=192132
AVFAN
post Aug 1 2020, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 1 2020, 11:13 AM)
This from the link you just shared...
Ouuuch!!
Half bola la u....  dun be so mean... tongue.gif
*
grave situation indeed.

even global airlines, IATA are now saying no hope until 2024.

how is AAX, AA going to last 4 more years?

and the thought of MAS give u the shivers...

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/busine...pected-12970756

AVFAN
post Aug 4 2020, 06:53 PM

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boon taikor,

here's something to irritate u...! biggrin.gif

QUOTE
Now I believe Affin Hwang Capital Research analyst Mr Ng Chi Hoong’s Rm 100 as Top Glove’s target price.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/koonyewyi...oon_Yew_Yin.jsp

AVFAN
post Aug 6 2020, 06:40 PM

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calling boon taikor! biggrin.gif

i like to ask u a favor... to take a fresh look at superman.

my read:

daily candles... do u call today's candle a hanging man? it closed on a high note.

the rsi is high but not excessive.

there is still 2 more days b4 the QR results are out.

i have to make a decision tmr morning... to keep it until QR out or sell some/all of it. tongue.gif

i am betting on their PAT at circa rm200mil.

so, i am not expecting rm30, 35 in price.

but wud not like to miss out if it can get to 26, 28.

after that, it can sink to 20, 15... never mind. tongue.gif


what do u think?

TQVM, i owe u one. notworthy.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 6 2020, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 6 2020, 07:44 PM)
Hangman candle but the shadow is a little short and without the volume it's usually not conclusive ....

However ....  the point you should 'consider' is the past 3 days trading ....

1. stock rammed up on the 4th ... just b4 the earnings...
2. but the next 2 days.... the declining volume is a worry... 
3. that it finished closed to its highest price on much lower volume ..... this one is the worry... where all the kaki? some traders do take this as a cue to sell for a profit. It's one old classical sell signal.

having said all these ....
take my comments with huge dose of garam...
cos end of the day, my style of trading totally different from yours.... (as it is, I know I definitely cannot trade like you do ... laugh.gif)
and the other most important thing (if you do like Reminiscences book) you should realise you should always trust your own ..... biggrin.gif

anyway... good luck la....
*
ok, thanks for comments.

does me give something to chew on.

will see how it goes tmr morning.

TQ again!
AVFAN
post Aug 7 2020, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 7 2020, 04:54 PM)
24.44 was the high ...  hmm.gif  hmm.gif  hmm.gif
why laaa ....
*
i dumped all in the morning, with profit.

was i lucky or what?! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 7 2020, 06:41 PM

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Brilliant write up, do read in full. I esp like the ending punchline: biggrin.gif

QUOTE
The Bursa Bull Market - Prognosis & Ramifications - SalvadorDali

There are a lot of positives on the current market. The only bad mothers are those who do not have a position and is willing a correction. Of course the exuberance caused many silly counters to sillier prices. Let it be, its part of a bull market. There will be excesses. All our accounts have margin limits. No one will die this round unless you borrow from Ah Long.
https://klse.i3investor.com/m/blog/kianweia...alvadorDali.jsp

AVFAN
post Aug 8 2020, 10:19 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 8 2020, 09:53 AM)
'Since June' ???

LOL! You stalking me also?  rolleyes.gif

Ok.... final time reply..... ELEK  icon_rolleyes.gif
ps ... I don't share what I trade la ... cos ...

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
rotan... well, it is required sometimes. laugh.gif


seriously, if i can pick yr brain a bit... under what circumstances may u consider returning to trade the glove counter(s) again?

spmx QR monday... then kossan which is likely to be much like harta, i believe... TG in mid sep?

with these done with, things may start to "normalize" - wild expectations removed, better sense prevails?

but maybe not before some serious volatility... which may offer a chance to go in big?


AVFAN
post Aug 8 2020, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(anakMY @ Aug 8 2020, 12:48 PM)
Even genting can produce vaccine , mahsing turn to make PPE, and all goreng up. Really don’t know what to say
*
the mahsing pisang goreng has stalled, think will crumble next week.


this ho wah thingy... oooo... absurd!

$1mil investment to test a polio vaccine on covid19... thought this was already tested by some other(s)??
and $1mil? billions have been poured into some other candidates already!
u gotta be a freak to start chasing the stock! tongue.gif

QUOTE
Naturally, in the current euphoric stock market, HWGB’s share price spiked up following the news. The company said it is investing US$1mil (RM4.19mil) into E-MO Biology Inc (EBI) which will undertake phase four clinical trials of the poliomyelitis virus vaccine for Covid-19.

HWGB says this will entitle it to 40% of profits from the commercialised vaccine and that it will have exclusive rights for the production and sale of the vaccine in South-East Asia. HWGB says that EBI has submitted an application to the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to conduct phase four clinical
trials for the vaccine.
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...039s-latest-bet


AVFAN
post Aug 8 2020, 07:25 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 8 2020, 05:44 PM)
Gold fish ain't no cute la laugh.gif
*
how about these two?

adventa, careplus.

ok, ok... u may hate them... but pls take a look... for learning sake. biggrin.gif

i looked at their daily candlesticks...

the signs were clear on thu to dump, no?

rsi, vol, reversal signs....

like to read yr comments, TQ. notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 8 2020, 07:26 PM
AVFAN
post Aug 9 2020, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 9 2020, 10:06 AM)
most of the time... I don't really search for the reason on what caused the stock to collapse ....

oh yes, the key here was same with Harta ..
the stock retreated after hitting new high on low volume ..

incidents like these signals that the market doesn't agree or want to participate in the rally despite the stock registering new historical highs..
perhaps they feel the stock had gone up too fast already...
perhaps they feel edgy since the QR report will be released soon...
when it hit ... that 24.44 (choi! choi! not lucky number) in the morning...
it was done on low volumes...
and when one peeped at TopGun trading, it was as if the lalat were having a ball... hardly any trading

and actually on the whole ....
if you look below ...

the under 200,000 vol .....
those are real low volume days when you consider the fact the stock had been on a boom ...
and the frequency of it happening is getting more...

which points to pretty much the same ...
stock is moving higher but the volume is lacking...

this looks to me what they call week price action....
coincidentally, stuff like this is what I look for to exit my trade... week price action when the stock is at its peak....just one of the signals that suggest to me ... PERHAPS it is time that I may consider if I want to exit the trade for a profit or not....

however, this is not a 100% thingy....
there are times it fails...
it has happened b4 .....
*
yes, yes.... volume, volume!!

actually the daily vol for the big4 have definitely reduced over the last week.

support for higher prices has become flimsy for sure.

since bursa is still at record vol, it must have gone to the others - primarily penny stocks, i suppose.

the big4 have basically achieved all there is to achieve.

except maybe topgun... has a bit more room to get to 30?

(and i say that becos i have some. laugh.gif )

thereafter... same fate as the rest?

thanks for comments, appreciate it. thumbsup.gif
AVFAN
post Aug 9 2020, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 9 2020, 10:23 AM)
Adventa? No lah.... I refuse to look at the stock. tongue.gif
plus... that aspion issue with TopGun....  rolleyes.gif  shakehead.gif
ok charts...

I use them a lot but it has come to a point where I make sure that I am not influenced by the charts to trade the stock...
as you know...
charts are charts...
they can be manipulated....
so if I trade .... there must exist other compelling reason for me to gamble on the stock...
I make sure I don't bet just because the chart suggests so.

make sense ah?

That's me la....

anyway, for me careplus is actually pretty straight forward ...

what do you see here?

Me?

1. Clear, clear sign of a climax top happening soon....
2. How many consecutive gap up was there? Is it 4 or 5? (anything more than 2 ... ahem... better jaga already)
3. The last gap up on the 4th.... Gap up strongly but then ... stock turned weaker....  *****
4. and if you were using bollinger bands... what do you see? over extended?

so many ways the stock is saying it wanna fart.... soon ...  sweat.gif

but yea .... point 3 was the nail.....

and what has happened .... it's not a surprise at all...

my 3 sen la....

icon_rolleyes.gif
*
bolded - makes all the sense!

carepls... difficult not to see it coming.

the thing is there are many more like that.

and those multi huge gap ups... they wun be if shorting is allowed, wud they?

i dun touch these at all... was just looking at closing prices and then the charts.

i get the shivers. sweat.gif

thanks for comments again.


p/s... i may post a bit more about gloves here as the other thread is getting crowded, rojak like.

more peaceful here. thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Aug 9 2020, 11:09 AM
AVFAN
post Aug 9 2020, 07:03 PM

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QUOTE(wts6819 @ Aug 9 2020, 06:50 PM)
Agreed on bold part. I believe should able to push till 30 based on current sentiment and investor into it. More than that should be too optimistic.
*
i have always targeted 30... at best 33... not 46 or 110. laugh.gif

i think it will come in the next 2 weeks.

after that... QR, etc.... dun have enuf data yet.
AVFAN
post Aug 10 2020, 01:49 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 10 2020, 12:26 PM)
aiyooo... don't put it like that la... it's just a simple old sign that suggests that one 'should' take profit... hence it's not really a top prediction.
*
maybe not so straight forward?!

carepls... today noon... a very strong hammer wor...!

maybe it will close v green!?


AVFAN
post Aug 10 2020, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(adren1 @ Aug 10 2020, 05:06 PM)
any sifu here use Rakuten? can help me a bit? I'm new to the website.
*
ask at right place:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4293611/+1200
AVFAN
post Aug 10 2020, 05:27 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 10 2020, 02:02 PM)
Have yet to see Carepls today laugh.gif tongue.gif

see that pt 3 again
well, if one had taken profit on that day.... it should be around > 5.50.
and of course today is a brand new day... ( hardly watched the market this morning ... cleaning some spider webs ... laugh.gif )
a new day is a new day lo...
a whole new story... biggrin.gif

anyway those sold a couple of days ago....
what is sold is sold ....

laugh.gif
*
biggrin.gif

half day goo, end of day... no!

continues to fall.... 4 red candles in a row.



superman... later.

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