Ask Smurf.


Mine one is the simple one. Might not be good.

9 -> 10 -> 11 = Good.

9 -> 11 -> 13 = Sibeh good

11 -> 10 -> 9 = Gostan = No Good

11 -> 9 -> 7 = Mati katak

You sure you want to sign up?

simplicity is the best policy.
there's not much info out there on the data driven analysis for a noob investor.
need sifu ajar

Perhaps this book could be helpful :

Oh wait, this is Trader's Corner.

Back to chart shall we

Sifu Sifu here Sifu sifu there soon becomes garbage forum lah.

We share opinion ok la

Wei...traders cannot use comparison data 101 meh?

Traders must trade all the time meh? Once a year, cannot meh?

Charts? Use charts but do not let charts use us la.

Please post more charts for the benefits of fellow forummers

and to trigger more and more discussion

This post has been edited by Smurfs: Mar 28 2019, 11:52 AM

very lazy mode la...

... panjang or pendek ?

panjang please.

Bingo!

Few stuff...

1. Market was way too pricey.... since end 2017. ( Bull market , yes?)

2. Donald Dumb came. LOL!

I laughed at how ppl say he's business minded. But was he really a good businessman? No one remember how his chain of casinos nearly collapsed during previous housing crisis? Utang too panjang? LOL!

3. Self inflected wounds to the world economy. Thanks Dumb Dumb! Trade wars easy to win? Or easy to sakit? LOL!

Guess what? Who is feeling the hurt eh?

4. but then it can be considered a stroke of genius, he literally ended the dangers of an over heating global economy. The excess has to be rinsed and washed. Strong survive and win. The weak? Bungkus loh..... the painful truth, no?

5. That puts the end to the itchy Fed fingers. Rates too high, also can die one. And yes, the bond already lead the way, a few months back.
and now, perhaps a cut, maybe? ie.... the rescue plan was already in motion....

6. ... and the main band aid.... the self inflected wounds ...well..it's not impossible ... but it can addressed if those buggers sit and workout a deal..... well, isn't this in motion already?

and minyak.....

those cowboy... are they ever gonna reduce their pumping?

if no.... then... ?

Their margins are still pretty low and someones going to get careless and when that happens, the environmental impact is very severe. The whole shale industry could collapse and the immediate supply vacuum could see USD100-150 oil again. Usually in most cost cutting exercises, the first reductions will be in margins of safety eg the latest episode with Boeing.

"Their margins are still pretty low and someones going to COULD get careless and when that happens, the environmental impact is very severe."

That might be a possibility (ie I would never say that it would never happen) but then, if I have to factor in possibilities then I would be silly not to factor in the possibility of China's shale oil, which might really start to boom, for example, as highlighted : https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Morga...Shale-Boom.html - yes, despite that production will pale in comparison to them cowboy's production but then China is China and China is huge and I would not write of its future potential, as for example https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/massiv...in-north-china/

Anyway, I try to see things as it is, and at this moment, I don't see them cowboys reducing their production which means the stockpile inventory shall always be a systematic problem that isn't going anywhere soon. Which means, oil prices has a cap, probably around 55-65 in the near future. Currently, it's in my flawed opinion that some quarters are just over reaching and reacting crazily as oil prices rebounds the past couple of months. Everybody loves a rally, who doesn't?

Btw... wow... your first ever posting in Lowyat. I guess I am honored.

Lurk over here once awhile but I do find the discourse here intellectually stimulating unlike some of the rubbish over at I3Investor.

Lurker ah?

Just kidding la. Lowyat forum la. Everyone deserves the right to voice their opinions.

Well said

Q1 2019 has ended. only ~130 companies in KLSE actually posted profit growth for last 2 consecutive quarters

Hello ! and looking forward for your



This post has been edited by Smurfs: Mar 31 2019, 09:49 PM

So how’s the market? Public Bank on sale now.

Looks like OPR gonna cut rate based on market trading

Export theme dead fish come alive?

Trading discussions.

Tech - over saturated, fierce competition from China will drown local player

Oil and gas - neither here or there, many company still have big debt to settle

Furniture - slightly positive, still 2 more quarter to judge?

Gloves - positive, but many company still selling at a premium price

Plastic theme - I think this is better among all the above, stable oil price, low resin cost

Timber/fiberboard - many counter are trading a huge discount, value trap or big opportunity?



This post has been edited by spring onion: Apr 1 2019, 11:49 PM