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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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HereToLearn
post Dec 31 2020, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(AhBoy~~ @ Dec 31 2020, 12:45 PM)
recovery and market boom theme next year no?  devil.gif

Happy new year  biggrin.gif
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recovery and market boom theme next year no? Yes, but not for property.
Too many supplies

Happy new year rclxm9.gif cheers.gif
Steponlego
post Dec 31 2020, 04:22 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Dec 31 2020, 10:27 AM)
Here in lowyat.

MOST IMPORTANTLY, avoid all the FB property gurus. They only have interest for themselves

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never a big fan of property guru on FB. gut feelings tells me that they're all part of a big circle jerk responsible keeping the property prices as they are now.
Syie9^_^
post Dec 31 2020, 04:24 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Dec 30 2020, 03:19 AM)
Believe many poorperly flippers took excess cash from loan moratorium and bought gloves share, and many are below water.
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glove? if they were smart they got in bitcoin, today take profit. rclxms.gif Still better than Gloves. laugh.gif


ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Dec 31 2020, 01:59 PM)
recovery and market boom theme next year no? Yes, but not for property.
Too many supplies

Happy new year  rclxm9.gif  cheers.gif
*
Oversupply have cause the rental market to not only stagnant but start to go downward. Look like market correction to me. What u think
HereToLearn
post Jan 3 2021, 09:31 PM

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QUOTE(ahkit123 @ Jan 3 2021, 05:04 PM)
Oversupply have cause the rental market to not only stagnant but start to go downward. Look like market correction to me. What u think
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Agreed, because oversupply has turned flippers into landlords, which then increases the rental competition due to increase in rental supply.

When rental rate drops, property prices will follow. Rental price indirectly is the leading indicator of the property prices, because when investors cannot flip, the only thing that dictates whether properties are good buys is the rental. With such a low rental yield, no savvy investors would buy at this price unless if one could find properties that can give them 5-6% net rental yield after taking into account all the furnishing, wear and tear, and miscellaneous fees (stamp duty, lawyer, maintenance fee, MOT, agent fees, quit rent tax, rental income tax etc)

At current yield, there are only 2 type of buyers
- Amateurs (possibly tricked by properrty 'gurus')
- Own stay buyers (possibly starting a family or a second holiday home)
torres09
post Jan 3 2021, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Dec 30 2020, 01:29 AM)
crash is coming... DSL will be 400k to 500k many houses will be below 1 Million
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May I know which area?
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 09:36 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 10:31 PM)
Agreed, because oversupply has turned flippers into landlords, which then increases the rental competition due to increase in rental supply.

When rental rate drops, property prices will follow. Rental price indirectly is the leading indicator of the property prices, because when investors cannot flip, the only thing that dictates whether  properties are good buys is the rental. With such a low rental yield, no savvy investors would buy at this price unless if one could find properties that can give them 5-6% net rental yield after taking into account all the furnishing, wear and tear, and miscellaneous fees (stamp duty, lawyer, maintenance fee, MOT, agent fees, quit rent tax, rental income tax etc)

At current yield, there are only 2 type of buyers
- Amateurs (possibly tricked by properrty 'gurus')
- Own stay buyers (possibly starting a family or a second holiday home)
*
Ya, the gurus now in lelong market.... The units come out from there also starts to rent cheap... Holding powers come to test
HereToLearn
post Jan 3 2021, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(ahkit123 @ Jan 3 2021, 09:36 PM)
Ya, the gurus now in lelong market.... The units come out from there also starts to rent cheap... Holding powers come to test
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Exactly, all the previous buyers jialat, cause these new auction players spoil the rental market.

Rental price war, all previous property investors who are on loan are now burning cash even if they manage to rent.

When there are stock counters out there are offering STABLE 5-6% dividend yield, there's really no need to catch this falling knife, especially when the rental yields are still low. I am seeing quite a lot of the 'cheaper' auction units transacted at gross rental yield are 4-5% (not inclusive the miscellaneous fees), but to me it is still illogical because the net rental yield would only be 3-4%, which is still far far away from what the stable high dividend counters can offer. Cant imagine those those that are transacted more 'expensively'.

waghyu
post Jan 3 2021, 09:53 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 09:31 PM)
Agreed, because oversupply has turned flippers into landlords, which then increases the rental competition due to increase in rental supply.

When rental rate drops, property prices will follow. Rental price indirectly is the leading indicator of the property prices, because when investors cannot flip, the only thing that dictates whether  properties are good buys is the rental. With such a low rental yield, no savvy investors would buy at this price unless if one could find properties that can give them 5-6% net rental yield after taking into account all the furnishing, wear and tear, and miscellaneous fees (stamp duty, lawyer, maintenance fee, MOT, agent fees, quit rent tax, rental income tax etc)

At current yield, there are only 2 type of buyers
- Amateurs (possibly tricked by properrty 'gurus')
- Own stay buyers (possibly starting a family or a second holiday home)
*
Net rental may be even negative.
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 10:49 PM)
Exactly, all the previous buyers jialat, cause these new auction players spoil the rental market.

Rental price war, all previous property investors who are on loan are now burning cash even if they manage to rent.

When there are stock counters out there are offering STABLE 5-6% dividend yield, there's really no need to catch this falling knife, especially when the rental yields are still low. I am seeing quite a lot of the 'cheaper' auction units transacted at gross rental yield are 4-5% (not inclusive the miscellaneous fees), but to me it is still illogical because the net rental yield would only be 3-4%, which is still far far away from what the stable high dividend counters can offer. Cant imagine those those that are transacted more 'expensively'.
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The 10% down concept still manage to bring in unassuming investors willing to play at 3-4% promises
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Jan 3 2021, 10:53 PM)
Net rental may be even negative.
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Will be negative for very long time
waghyu
post Jan 3 2021, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(ahkit123 @ Jan 3 2021, 09:58 PM)
Will be negative for very long time
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True, because many bought at heavily inflated price. But now demand and rental go down and broaden gap of yield down to negative zones. Only owners knows this.
HereToLearn
post Jan 3 2021, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Jan 3 2021, 10:03 PM)
True, because many bought at heavily inflated price. But now demand and rental go down and broaden gap of yield down to negative zones. Only owners knows this.
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My father unit in ara damansara depreciated 6 digits rclxub.gif, luckily his loan amount was not big, yield wise still +ve, but it is a joke investment.
SUSipohps3
post Jan 3 2021, 10:07 PM

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so now is best time to buy property for own stay? a young lad here which knows nothing about the property market. 😅
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 10:07 PM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Jan 3 2021, 11:03 PM)
True, because many bought at heavily inflated price. But now demand and rental go down and broaden gap of yield down to negative zones. Only owners knows this.
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Talk to a few uncles.... Biting tongues now but i guess many still holding on

This post has been edited by ahkit123: Jan 3 2021, 10:09 PM
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 11:06 PM)
My father unit in ara damansara depreciated 6 digits rclxub.gif, luckily his loan amount was not big, yield wise still +ve, but it is a joke investment.
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Wow, drop 100k
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(ipohps3 @ Jan 3 2021, 11:07 PM)
so now is best time to buy property for own stay? a young lad here which knows nothing about the property market. 😅
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Yes, 2021 will be corrected pricing
waghyu
post Jan 3 2021, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 10:06 PM)
My father unit in ara damansara depreciated 6 digits rclxub.gif, luckily his loan amount was not big, yield wise still +ve, but it is a joke investment.
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If compare to partial loan maybe opportunity losses not big but assuming those maximizing financing on asset purchased vs yield this group loss the most.

QUOTE(ahkit123 @ Jan 3 2021, 10:07 PM)
Talk to a few uncles.... Biting tongues now but i guess many still holding on
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Probably the best yield is to keep cash and invest else for higher net growth.
SUSNicklly
post Jan 3 2021, 10:11 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 3 2021, 10:06 PM)
My father unit in ara damansara depreciated 6 digits rclxub.gif, luckily his loan amount was not big, yield wise still +ve, but it is a joke investment.
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paper loss is not realized loss biggrin.gif
ahkit123
post Jan 3 2021, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(jibbycoco @ Jan 3 2021, 11:11 PM)
This project is gaining traction at the moment. Sunway property should be fine, just that the entry price is a bit higher. Heard that Sunway Belfield is doing quite well.
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Ya, as said before, for own stay is ok. If want to buy for investment, better buy unit trust

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