QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 14 2022, 05:29 PM)
the pace and quantum local banks are raising FD rates is a bit scary...
it seems to say they will rise higher, maybe much higher.
BNM may be forced to push OPR higher n faster than they like... RM now at 4.702/$ n dropping....
going 4.8, 5.0 by dec 31?!
US 10yr yield crossed 4.0% but retreated last night... it's not over, i think.
me, i will not park anything anywhere >6m for now.
the shit may yet hit the fan sometime next year...

Posted before about my kakis discussion on the question of whether BNM OPR rates and FD promo rates are possibly correlated or not at all since kakis are all seriously in it. To summarize, there is a variety of suggestions of causes, but consensus is that Malaysian OPR is irrelevant to the quantum of the highest promo rates.
Possibly any relevance is more on savings rates or even possibly the bottom FD rates. And even this is not really backed by real data as kakis focus was on comparing actual top rates against Malaysian OPR effects and other considerations of competition and budgetting for bank cashflow funding.
At this point, kakis main focus is that a lot of money is going to divert away from bank support (lousy rates) to take advantage of the raise from 60k to 100k per year voluntary contribution at EPF to replenish EPF funds. Basically those banks that do not raise their promo rates are really going to be hard hit in a funding sense especially when the business loan sector is picking up.
Another idea is that worsening exchange rates are driving out funds to non-Malaysian opportunities although the kakis know that this is somewhat different from the normal or promo FD placers, and maybe they are scratching their heads on how to measure the impact or ascribe what is the impact practically for any real pragmatic help to decision making.
This is all based on the pragmatic questions about what do you really mean by a high promo rate, especially how to place in the situation to be acceptable - seems all kiasu to lose?
This post has been edited by oldkiasu: Oct 14 2022, 08:24 PM