QUOTE(howszat @ Nov 28 2016, 10:51 PM)
You brought up "100%". Let's not bring up "100%" again, because no one is ever that certain, and since we are in agreement. Besides being meaningless and pointless in any type of debate.
Technically, opinion and recommendation convey two different meanings.
Opinion is personal. To recommend, you need to have a basis for your recommendation.
Your recommendation could be based on Algozen (that's a TM, right spelling?), or anything else you prefer, but at least people know where you are coming from, and can decide for themselves.
Yes, I agree that opinion and recommendation is different. But my post actually had both:-
1) Opinion: Rate hike next month, might not be a good idea to hold on to bonds. (Of course I had simplified everything into rate hike, my mistake). This, was my basis for my recommendation.
2) Recommendation: Well, I said I'd rather put my money somewhere else for the time being. This would actually double up as my recommendation, because if people ask me what they should do with their (Malaysian) bond funds, I would tell them exactly the same thing: Put your money somewhere else for now. I gave recommendation because I was under the impression the asker had asked what others are doing with their bond funds and hence, implying that he would like some recommendations.
Several pages earlier, I have mentioned that I would wait until reversal happens, before I would put more in MY bond funds because the downtrend was apparent. The downtrend is still happening now although its getting smaller. This can be approximated by the size of fund outflow from Malaysia (shrunk last week compared to week before that), because foreign selling is the cause of declining bond prices. I have had this opinion since then, and I'm still holding onto it right now. So if you ask me when is the right time to enter again, I would say lookout for foreign outflow trend. If it reverses, then it might be good time to buy.