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 USD/MYR v4

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prophetjul
post Jul 14 2016, 08:43 AM

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i don't get this.

Cut rates and MYR goes north?
prophetjul
post Jul 15 2016, 08:35 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jul 15 2016, 01:26 AM)


China also using the money to buy gold. Dunno why they hoard so much gold is anyone guess... perhaps they
know something bad is about to happen.  devil.gif
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That's because their gold holdings as a % of their reserves is extremely low compared with developed nations


prophetjul
post Sep 27 2016, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 27 2016, 09:04 AM)
Instead of appreciate, it depreciate to 4.141x now
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MYR is a bag of shite reflective of the nation we are in.
prophetjul
post Oct 28 2016, 09:12 AM

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1 USD =4.20055MYR
prophetjul
post Nov 8 2016, 08:58 AM

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Looks like MYR : SGD at 4 is sooner rather than later
prophetjul
post Nov 10 2016, 10:28 AM

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MYR is still slipping on the slope............. crap of a currency
prophetjul
post Nov 10 2016, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 10 2016, 11:32 AM)
many currencies got battered too since the oil slide.

BUT... the RM is one continues to slide down when others recovered a good bit.

e.g. brazilian peso, south african rand - they were among the worst but have recovered a lot in last year.
the trouble with our situation here is not unlike everything else with some entrenched mentality over the decades: to improve, no need to do much; just wayang and wait for others to do worse, u come out better.

education ranking - "we are still better than @#$".
illicit money outflows - "we are only no. 5, not #1".
xmbd theft - "others before us also did same, also stole".
currency - wait for usa or uk to f up, their currencies fall, hooray, RM will strengthen.

the stark facts laid bare:

.. oil price down.
.. unabated leakage and wastage in big civil service.
.. massive losses in xmbd and the likes.
.. little real productive investment made in last few years. (china new cash won't come so soon, so easy.)
.. some lost hope, going away; others expect more free money; yet others continue to steal with approval.
.. energy, resources and time spent in cabinet, parliament, poliz, courts on race-religion politicking, punishing those who don't kneel.

so, who is left working to produce something of value to sell or export?

a currency like that can strengthen?!

4.30 anytime now with fed hike looming.

2017 may see 4.50.

come 2020, m may get to see 5.0 - n's gift to him.
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You said it all there.

Crappy education system producing crappy grads. Poor aptitude AND attitute.
Crappy transparency systems. Corruption aplenty draining more monies out.
Crappy Que sera sera attitude. Waiting for hnadouts from goemn all the time. Gomen waiting for hnadouts from Petronas.
No Vision. All short term flip flops.

The biggest problem for Msia is CORRUPtion.

i see SGD:MYR at 4 sooner than later. We will see it before we ssee 2.9

prophetjul
post Nov 11 2016, 05:41 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 11 2016, 03:53 PM)
"This is effectively an unofficial capital control. Foreign bond holders can't even convert ringgit to foreign currency after selling bonds," the source added.

This may unsettle farang bond holders, not a good sign or practice.
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Desparation calls for desparate measures
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 08:50 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 11 2016, 05:59 PM)
Could it be possible that after capital controls are uplifted, the RM will strengthen instead ???
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Stranger things have happened before.........
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 08:55 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 14 2016, 08:37 AM)
Dollar on high as US yields rise, Asia shares mixed
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/d...ia-shares-mixed
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Hi wil,

Silly question here. When yields rise, does that mean bonds are being dumped?

If bonds are being dumped, why do we hear that money is flowing bacvk into USD? What USD asset classes if not predominantly bonds? confused.gif confused.gif
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 09:00 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Nov 14 2016, 08:57 AM)
Money are flowing back into US stocks like construction sector.
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Is it just stocks?
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 11:41 AM

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Here's why the ringgit is crashing
By Kang Wan Chern / theedgemarkets.com.sg | November 12, 2016 : 3:55 PM MYT
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Translated by Google Translator:
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SINGAPORE (Nov 12): The Malaysian ringgit has been one of the worst performing currencies in Asia since Donald Trump won the recent US election. Having spoken to several economists, currency strategists and traders for their views, here are a couple of possible reasons why.

Higher US treasury yields
Suddenly, US government bonds, the safest investments in the world, don't seem so appealing anymore with someone who's so far behaved like a lunatic now at the country's helm. To compensate for this, yields, or the return you get from buying these bonds, have become much higher. So, foreign investors are pulling their money out of high yield bonds such as those issued by Malaysia, and directing the funds into the US. It is this outflow of funds that is causing the ringgit to crash.

Uncertainty over trade
Najib Razak recently received some help when he sold distressed 1Mdb assets to the Chinese. The Malaysian PM recently also visited his counterpart Xi Jinping in Beijing to seal further investments by the Chinese in Malaysia. But because China is now seen as one of the biggest losers from Trump's anti-trade ideals, Malaysia's close ties with the country isn't something investors are very optimistic about, so they could be dumping the ringgit for safer bets, like the Singapore dollar. During his campaigns, Trump had repeatedly vowed to bring factory jobs outsourced to the Chinese back to the US, which could roil the fragile progress China has been making in reforming its economy. Also, with the future of the TPP now on the rocks, the prospect of more expensive trade isn't helping the currency.

Will it get worse?
Probably, if and when the Fed raises its interest rates, which will cause the USD to rise. Also, don't forget that the ECB is expected to stop its QE in March, which will make the EUR more attractive. Another reason is Malaysia's level of debt, which is close to 55% of its GDP, or some RM630 billion ($204 billion). A third of the country's debts are held by foreigners in the bond market, the highest among all the ASEAN countries. Any sudden pull of money out of the country could be disastrous for the currency.

Will it get better?
Never say never, especially after Malaysia's closer relationship with China, which has a history of behaving unpredictably to protect its position in the market. Higher oil prices may also lift the ringgit. Remember, OPEC is due to meet later this month to discuss possible production cuts to balance supply against demand, which will support the price of oil, at least, over the short term. Meanwhile, oil stocks are already rising because Trump is seen as having no regard for climate change at all, and likely to be supportive of more drilling.
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 14 2016, 12:28 PM)
this is from a blogger, his views, speculation even.

still, it touches on some critical issues, incl "will bnm cut or rates rates?"

i think BNM will do nothing - always the best option, won't get blamed. biggrin.gif

what happens then?
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Malaysia is badly caught between the rock and the deep blue sea.......BADLY.
The signs of BAD management.
prophetjul
post Nov 14 2016, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Nov 14 2016, 12:48 PM)
it's actually between a rock and a hard place....or the devil and the deep blue sea...but the point is taken.... lol
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Something like that.....but you get the gist. laugh.gif
prophetjul
post Nov 17 2016, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(knight @ Nov 17 2016, 04:02 AM)
With such downfall of the ringgit, It's seems like Ringgit seems not getting any better. So what you guys did for your savings? Do you put it in foreign currency account?
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Invested overseas in USD, SGD and AUD denominated currencies many many moons ago.
prophetjul
post Nov 18 2016, 08:58 AM

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http://smr.theedgemarkets.com/article/fore...ffca1e-87346249

"There's a massive back and forth going on between banks and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) now," said a banker at a foreign bank in Malaysia that deals in foreign currency transactions. "This is a type of indirect capital control ... I see a flood of people exiting Malaysia."
prophetjul
post Nov 18 2016, 09:03 AM

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QUOTE(limeuu @ Nov 18 2016, 08:32 AM)
Isn't this a bit late?.... especially if you know you have foreign currency needs way in advance?....

I hedged children's education needs 5 years ahead, during my time....
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Wow!

You are good! Full hedging?
prophetjul
post Nov 18 2016, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 18 2016, 09:10 AM)
Bro,...the prb here is that in future, nobody would want to lend to Msia anymore, after this fiasco. Nobody would dare to buy Msian MGS anymore, and the yield has to be very, very high for these banks to absorb the risks. NO more cheap loans for Msia,...
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Yeah. Hyperinflation scenario coming soon to Malaysia.
prophetjul
post Nov 18 2016, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 18 2016, 09:25 AM)
Even so, bro,... why must we throw away whatever value we have attained in our natural currency, the Ringgit ? This is how I feel,... even though I have multiple currency investments and holdings abroad !
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That, bro, is the noble thinking. However, our leaders do not think like so.
They are more concerned with their political positions than the nation's jeopardies.
prophetjul
post Nov 18 2016, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ Nov 18 2016, 09:52 AM)
It is never too late. I have already set aside a sum for the education need. So long as it is not breached, I do not have much concern. Except coughing out more dough and less dough for retirement.  biggrin.gif

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Same here.......coughing* mad.gif

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