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prophetjul
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Nov 18 2016, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 18 2016, 11:03 AM) like i said (or joke), do some major shopping now! looking at the prices of the restaurant and grocery store last 2 days, some prices have already been revised up. 100% imported stuff even with zero gst like aussie beef already up 15%. a lot more to come. Yeah noticed that as well. Lots of daily essential items have gone up.
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prophetjul
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Nov 18 2016, 11:56 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 18 2016, 11:36 AM) in the baht crisis of 1997, it wasn't just the liquid assets but the hard ones too - buildings, land, factories, whole biz. it was after the crisis that many MNC's in emerging markets no longer want to own buildings and land but just rent. this time, here... may be more stable - less of that plus china is likely to hold on to what it paid for recently or going to pay. ASX... not sure if i read correctly..?.. in one recent bloomberg report, it cited even bumis are now selling - to cope with rising cost of living and debt. do google... i am selling as well.
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prophetjul
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Nov 18 2016, 11:57 AM
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QUOTE(Chrono-Trigger @ Nov 18 2016, 11:45 AM) well economically Malaysia is doing OK But there is just a crisis of CONFIDENCE QUOTE QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 18 2016, 10:49 AM) the $ is ALWAYS driving all other currencies - biggest open economy, world trade denomination.
YEN never had the ambition to exert more influence.
EURO and RMB were supposed to take over some influence from $ but there was Grexit, Brexit, China not ready.
all the rest are small fry. the "defence" seen now is only tactical and limited in effect.
if anything to draw from the thai baht collapse in 1997, it is impt not to let confidence erode some more as to spark private/foreigner selling of assets and intensified capital flight.
and that can only be achieved by the world seeing good governance, honesty and integrity.
now, that is not forthcoming, is it?! Not coming any time soon, is it?
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prophetjul
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Nov 18 2016, 11:58 AM
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QUOTE(Chrono-Trigger @ Nov 18 2016, 11:56 AM) relax guys things will settle after donald trump took office... it's just uncertainty... That's just general market......the MYR is a different story
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prophetjul
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Nov 18 2016, 02:51 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 18 2016, 02:14 PM) some of our brightest politicians will say, "not the worst, we are better than mexico and south africa la...  "It's not our fault. Global economy is down."
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prophetjul
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Nov 22 2016, 08:40 AM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 21 2016, 05:09 PM) Bnm could officially ignore ndf. However, foreign investors couldn't ignore the margin between ndf and onshore rate. If margin widen or high for extended period may prompt them to exit mgs for safety pastures. If there is a mass exit, i could see BNM implementing currncy controls formally.
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prophetjul
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Nov 22 2016, 08:41 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 21 2016, 06:43 PM) if this is true, PARIAH in the making.  BOILH land. What do you expect?
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prophetjul
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Nov 22 2016, 09:15 AM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 22 2016, 08:59 AM) Increase and the local economy wil shrivel.
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prophetjul
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Nov 22 2016, 12:45 PM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 22 2016, 12:25 PM) Most if not all property investors have gold and silver mountains backing; interest increment won't be enough to cover a family dimsum or wanton mee lunch. Further, kangkong land economy is resilient. 25 or 50 basis points increment will be hardly felt. It's moe of business costs. Increase even 25 poits, the cascading effects on goods is great. The whole supply chain will experience the added costs and this will be passed to the consumers. Consumers are already stretched in their consumption costs as it is. Never mind the gomen's inflation numbers of 1.5%. This is reality. Jobless rate is increasing. Vicicous circle? Consumers cut back on their consumption. Businesses are affectd. Rents decline. And so on......
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prophetjul
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Nov 22 2016, 02:32 PM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 22 2016, 01:40 PM) Bnm last cut of 25 basis points was hardly felt by the market. Similarly, for 25 basis points increase. Cut is different from increases. A cut may not be passed to consumers.
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prophetjul
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Nov 23 2016, 09:13 AM
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4.427............bottomless abysss
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prophetjul
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Nov 25 2016, 03:14 PM
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Predicting absolutes is nonsense soothsaying.
Predicting trends is different.
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prophetjul
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Nov 30 2016, 08:51 AM
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QUOTE(limeuu @ Nov 29 2016, 09:41 PM) A fair bit at 50% i started out investing overseas assets in 2002. My current net worth in foriegn currencies is only 30% thus far
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prophetjul
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Nov 30 2016, 02:38 PM
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QUOTE(aspartame @ Nov 30 2016, 11:29 AM) So, with 70% still in RM and 30% overseas, I am curious whether you hope RM strengthen or weaken?  Do you hope for RM to strengthen to convert more but your existing foreign portfolio paper gains shrink in RM terms OR you prefer RM to weaken further and never look back so that your 30% foreign investment will have substantial paper gain and possibly permanent forex gain if RM never appreciate again?  i think as a fair guess, MYR will never appreciate aginst the SGD in the long term. With the type of cultural and brains that we have, there is no way we are ever going to beat SG at economic/wealth management This post has been edited by prophetjul: Nov 30 2016, 04:11 PM
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prophetjul
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Nov 30 2016, 04:54 PM
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http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016...itions-in-glcs/KUALA LUMPUR: A Wanita Umno delegate has questioned the Government for appointing non-Malays in top positions in government-linked companies (GLCs). “When top positions are filled by other races, the effect is that opportunities for contractors, consultants and lawyers are all given to them (their community),” Hamidah Arshad (pic) from the Bagan division said in her debate at the 70th Umno general assembly Wednesday. Hamidah said there are other qualified Malay professionals who could have easily filled the positions. “GLCs belong to us, but why are we giving them (top positions) away to other races? Who will help our own race? Whose fault is this? It’s ours,” she said.That's the reason why MYR will reach 5 to the USD fast!
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prophetjul
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Dec 1 2016, 11:08 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 10:45 AM) same old, same old... rising $, weak RMB, low oil price... all external, can't control, not too bad. oil price up 8%. RM still 4.46x. looks like oil price has become moot! why some are saying RM is strengthening??  Just shows how much CONfidence the debtors have in the Ringgit
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prophetjul
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Dec 1 2016, 11:54 AM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 1 2016, 11:25 AM) The current 10 yrs MGS yield of 4.35% is simply irresistible for foreigners Yeah BUT, are they biting?
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prophetjul
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Dec 2 2016, 08:52 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 08:06 PM) analysts and forecasters do what they do for a job or an income. that's just what it is - predictions, nothing more. that guy, he's the owner of his own firm, said this 6 and 9 months ago: No Name?? No shame, this ANALyst
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prophetjul
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Dec 2 2016, 11:24 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 2 2016, 09:14 AM) that will take some special clandestine skill, doesn't it?! anyway, speculation is this bank has given up becos "can buy, cannot sell". THIS is very worrying...........Ringgit may become a pariah currency with the Western developed nations
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prophetjul
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Dec 2 2016, 05:43 PM
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QUOTE(bbgoat @ Dec 2 2016, 05:39 PM) To do that have to open foreign currency account. Also terminate FD, no dough. Now really looking at investing in some foreign currencies including foreign retail bonds. Planning now for early Jan actions.  Why Jan?
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