QUOTE(Hansel @ Dec 3 2016, 12:50 PM)
To yr first para, I am aware of it, but today, BNM is not seeing it this way anymore. They are in desperation mode (I think you said this too earlier) to stem the 'freefall' of the MYR. They need to solve the immediate problem first.
To yr second para,... O don't think foreigners holding too much of the Msian sovereign bonds is the ONLY reason for the MYR to die slowly. Deterring Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) is the last thing that I would want to worry about now. I think the gov't and BNM too agree with me on this. I would prefer to hold my MYR value now first, for good or for bad reasons,...
desperation it is.
what is the objective here?
overriding objective must be to boost the RM, and urgently.
other effects and consequences seems parked aside for now.
won't use monetary policy tools - opr, srr.
won't use fiscal measures either - no change in tax rates, little change in budget spending.
so, there u go - use "force", i.e. cap controls.
if this measure does not work well, we may see new and/or alleviated forms of cap control.
we should watch how trade and current account balances start to evolve from now on with those new measures on exporters and FX.
while msia's position is no as bad as that in turkey, there are stark similarities - borrow, consume, construction.
QUOTE
In its heyday, years before the 2009 global financial crisis as well as in the ensuing years, when the United States and Europe pursued liquidity expansion to battle the crisis, Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) enjoyed abundant inflows of foreign capital, with an annual average of nearly $38 billion for the past 14 years.
Those resources, however, were used mostly toward domestic demand, financing consumer loans and sectors that bring in no foreign exchange gains, such as construction.
Read more:
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/...l#ixzz4RkTOg1gd