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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Jan 31 2017, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 31 2017, 11:03 AM)
As for Oil.. since we're still above $50, we're still in upper range ($50-$55) game play.
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Oil is nervous....

Opec talk, Opec cut, more Opec talk.

Then north america put more rigs to work, incr output.

Last few weeks rig count incr will invariably incr stocks soon enough.

Question is if opec will abandon their cuts and when. biggrin.gif

I am betting that will happen before mid year.
AVFAN
post Feb 1 2017, 10:54 PM

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we got eia data 11.30pm, fed decision at 3am.

AVFAN
post Feb 8 2017, 11:42 PM

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the shale boys are back.

but wti is holding around 52.

BREAKING: Oil prices extend losses as US crude inventories rise by 13.8 million barrels, far more than expected

AVFAN
post Feb 11 2017, 02:12 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 11 2017, 01:41 AM)
how far could this bull run goes? wondering... biggrin.gif
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can... can go higher.

small addition, wti will go up again.

BREAKING: Oil holds gains as Baker Hughes reports US drillers added 8 rigs in latest week
AVFAN
post Feb 15 2017, 02:31 AM

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Fed is rather hawkish... rate hike in june n dec, so say the market.

$ rising again.... keep buying us stocks!

Oil... will continue to be jittery, rangebound.
AVFAN
post Feb 15 2017, 11:45 PM

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the battle continues... opec cuts vs shale oil...


Oil prices extend losses as US crude stockpiles rise by 9.5 million barrels, above expectations

AVFAN
post Feb 17 2017, 01:18 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 17 2017, 12:06 AM)
ooh.... the bears are gathering tonight.
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Only oil is down... us shale exported 1 mil bbls a day in the last 7 days.
Opec cuts may not last...

Goog is still marching on! rclxms.gif
AVFAN
post Feb 18 2017, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 18 2017, 02:31 AM)
For some reasons, sometimes commodity like Oil/Gold are leading indicators where stocks will move.
Oil down, gold up, then dollar also moving. Money shifting around by the big boys. Stocks moved up too high, they
will decide pull some off the table. You know, it's a like a wave.. when you see this, you can kinda predict what will happen
next. The only thing difficult to predict it how long it will last.
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i m nervous.

dow and S&P are showing signs of fatigue.

nasdaq is still running up but will fall hard if and when it falls.

bonds prices rising again, gotta watch this one.


AVFAN
post Feb 22 2017, 02:24 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 22 2017, 12:21 AM)
the bull is strong. everything related to "economic bullishness" may move up non-stop, inclusive oil. And for the same reason, gold, bearish.
just don't know how long can this bull run go.  hmm.gif
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the higher it goes, the more nervous i get. laugh.gif

crude looks set to break out... 55 will clear it to go higher still.
AVFAN
post Feb 22 2017, 09:43 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 22 2017, 04:49 AM)
I'll wait till it breaks out before committing any money.
Don't wait to get trap here at 54-55.

Or cannot break out again, maybe one more time to roll back down to 50-51 area.  devil.gif
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righto! biggrin.gif

so, i sold all uwt last night, see what happens in the next 2 days with api/eia stocks data.

the fact is longs are now at all time record high, physical ivcentories are still very high too.

high risk point risky... if and when the longs start to liquidate at some trigger...
AVFAN
post Feb 23 2017, 09:54 AM

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crude not about to go too far down yet!


Crude inventories fell by 884,000 barrels in the week to Feb. 17 to 512.7 million, compared with analysts' expectations for an increase of 3.5 million barrels, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Wednesday. [API/S]

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub were down by 1.7 million barrels and U.S. crude imports fell last week by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) to 7.398 million bpd, according to the API.

AVFAN
post Feb 23 2017, 11:08 AM

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QUOTE(ILoveLalat.net @ Feb 23 2017, 10:54 AM)
Not sure if it is a good place to mention here. TDAmeritrade Asia ask for a foreign tax identification number in the W8-BEN form, but I do not have any tax number as of now.

Can I just leave it blank first then submit the application?
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better ask here:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3396549/+480#top
AVFAN
post Feb 24 2017, 10:42 PM

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crude back to 54.

opec cut.. shale oil incr... stocks up, stocks down...rig count incr... bulls long some more...

rinse and repeat. laugh.gif


i think i will find a chance to short again this session. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Feb 28 2017, 03:05 PM

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tue night 9pm (local 10am wed), trumps speaks.

financial markets waiting on this - tax reforms, china... mexican wall, border tax...

if he fails convince, we might see a mighty correction. tongue.gif

AVFAN
post Mar 1 2017, 04:09 PM

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trump's speech... i hear more promise (like before) than action.

$ rising as bets on now for fed rate hike in march.

dow future +50.

oil bulls still pushing higher but strong $ caps.

we'll see what EIA says tonight.

11:44 a.m. Feb. 28, 2017 - By Myra P. Saefong
The American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported a climb of 2.5 million barrels in U.S. crude supplies for the week ended Feb. 24, according to sources. Analysts polled by S&P Global Platts forecast a rise of 2.1 million barrels for the week. The API data also showed a rise of 1.8 million barrels in gasoline supplies and a decline of 3.7 million barrels in distillates, sources said.





AVFAN
post Mar 1 2017, 11:34 PM

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trump rally continues.

dow >21k. rclxms.gif



oil...

BREAKING: US crude inventories rise by 1.5 million barrels, EIA says
AVFAN
post Mar 2 2017, 02:33 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Mar 2 2017, 01:27 AM)
indices are hitting records and records at high speed...his was quite unexpected not long ago when we hoped dows to hit 20k !!! very impressive post Trump effects..wow
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he still hasn't actually done anything yet, only promises and plans.

if he does cut corporate tax rate, us cos. will surely make more profits.

and if he does slap a border tax on certain imports, some cos. will return to usa.

overall, $ will likely continue to flow back to usa in the foreseeable future.




AVFAN
post Mar 4 2017, 12:15 AM

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dow taking a breather.

yellen speaks at 2am... more hawkish on (march) rate hike?



oil.. russia cut stalled, rally halted.

we'll see rig count later... should be up.. again.

this kind of tight band movement is actually quite good for trading... small play, small profit... ok! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 4 2017, 12:40 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 4 2017, 12:27 AM)
Been difficult trying to trade the range of 50..55 here for Oil because oil services sector been under performing
the actual crude price while the general market been up and up after been juiced up by Trump.

Gotta to wait and see what's the next move after Fed meeting.  hmm.gif
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oil services.. tough... slow but trending down.

oil futures, ome day long, next day short, can do small play...
AVFAN
post Mar 4 2017, 02:30 AM

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rig count still rising; march rate hike probably.

opec will need to cut some more but that will be difficult.

or will they all abandon plan and start cheating?! laugh.gif

oil sector likely to stay subdued, continue to trend lower.

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