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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Jan 7 2017, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 7 2017, 11:55 AM)
Crude hits the $54 mark, XLE hits $76. I'm out in cash for the weekend.

Dow almost got to 20k but if it can't make it before Jan 20th, I think I'm going to be extremely bearish.
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about same thinking. biggrin.gif

i cashed out uwt and goog 1/3.

hope dow will ram past 20k before u-turn around jan 20. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jan 10 2017, 02:26 AM

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goog looks like wanting to make new high!

crude... if it can't hold at this level, good chance it will return to 50.

opec will then look pretty bad... tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jan 11 2017, 10:22 PM

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let's see how markets will gyrate with trumps press conference at midnight:

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/watch-...nce-six-months/
AVFAN
post Jan 11 2017, 11:46 PM

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BREAKING: US crude inventories rise by 4.1 million barrels, EIA says


crude took a dive and now +1.5%. rclxub.gif

dow about to hit 20k, maybe timed when trump start to speak! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jan 12 2017, 12:33 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jan 12 2017, 12:16 AM)
dows gonna hitting 20k, it is a reality now !!!
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dow may go RED! blink.gif
AVFAN
post Jan 12 2017, 01:50 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Jan 12 2017, 01:15 AM)
ya. but recovering quite well it seems. hope it keeps going up.
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dow was up 100, then went red briefly when trump took a shot at the pharma sector.

crude... reports of saudi cuts was stronger than stocks build.

looking very nervous...
AVFAN
post Jan 12 2017, 11:16 PM

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trump press conference was a disappointment, i agree.

but why dow went +100 then and now -160 is the nature of markets, i guess. biggrin.gif

$ index fell <101, still falling.

even bullish oil had to retreat.

start of the rout?

AVFAN
post Jan 14 2017, 01:23 AM

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crude isn't looking all that good.

the $ is weak, index lost 2.5% in last 10 days.

when it rises again, pressure on crude price.

and we'll see rig count in the next hr...
AVFAN
post Jan 20 2017, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Jan 20 2017, 12:15 AM)
Crude Oil inventories rose 2.35M barrels
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looks like going for 50 again.

no concrete evidence of promised opec cuts, still all talk only.

while usa rig counts keeps rising.

didn't short enough last night. tongue.gif


broader market... seems going nowhere, no catalyst...
AVFAN
post Jan 21 2017, 12:26 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 21 2017, 12:11 AM)
Watch out, Oil up 2% despite bearish news..
Still holding here. Probably will wait till next week to play.

Trump taking oath tonight..  biggrin.gif
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trump oath feel good factor.

weak $.

opec "r u cutting or not" meeting over weekend.

rig count later tonight.

hard to see what's next...!

AVFAN
post Jan 21 2017, 02:06 AM

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hmm...

BREAKING: Oil prices hold gains as US rig count rises by 29, posting 11th increase in 12 weeks

AVFAN
post Jan 23 2017, 10:24 PM

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WTI net-long position rises to highest since June 2014: CFTC

OPEC and Friends Agree on Way to Monitor Oil Cut to End Glut

Saudi Arabia, Algeria and Kuwait have already made deeper cuts than required, while Russia has been able to reduce supply faster than



but wti is down 1.6%.

will opec & friends cut harder and faster still as north america rig count rises?



AVFAN
post Jan 24 2017, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jan 24 2017, 10:44 PM)
so bullish....still....fascinating.  biggrin.gif
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u mean crude?

i think it is nervous... 52, 53, 52, 53... biggrin.gif

whole market is like in a daze, nothing moving much for days now.

only GOOG is moving up!


AVFAN
post Jan 25 2017, 09:42 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 25 2017, 01:44 AM)
Very tight range movement... indeed!

if gets close to 50... buy
if gets close to 55.. sell

But, market hardly give you the chance sometimes.
Just have to put orders in 1-2% below the current target relative price.
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API data show weekly rise of 2.9 million barrels in U.S. crude supplies: sourcesThe American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported an increase of 2.9 million barrels in U.S. crude supplies for the week ended Jan. 20, according to sources. Analysts polled by S&P Global Platts forecast a climb of 1.9 million barrels. The API data also showed a rise of roughly 4.9 million barrels in gasoline supplies and a climb of 2 million barrels in distillates, sources said.


maybe some major movement tonight!
AVFAN
post Jan 25 2017, 10:37 PM

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DOW 20,000.
AVFAN
post Jan 26 2017, 02:37 AM

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Goog 830... hooray...!!
AVFAN
post Jan 26 2017, 03:06 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jan 26 2017, 02:57 AM)
1000 coming... biggrin.gif
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that IS the target! laugh.gif


oil... so strange... buildup... price down, up, down...

as if whatever happens it will hang around 52-53. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jan 27 2017, 02:59 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 27 2017, 02:50 AM)
It looks like there is almost a 4-points spread from 50 to 54 actionable trade. We're 7 weeks into this range now.
The sellers are jumping in 54-55 here, hampering it from going higher.
As it gets into the 50.xx zone, just BUY and upper 53.xx zone, SELL'em to lock in profits.

Let say if 50 floor fell if US decides to flood the market with shale again short term,
I think the lower sub-floor at 44-45 should hold and buyers still step back in.

For the next 4 weeks outlook, I think the bulls are still in control here.
I am thinking of selling some OTM puts around here and play this waiting game for next month.
If we turn south, I get to own some oil stocks when it is down at the 44-45 zone and just wait for OPEC cuts to take effect.

Anyone else seeing this play?  hmm.gif
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i am just playing dwt/uwt! laugh.gif

it's quite alright, really... uwt when 52.5, dwt when 54.

tight range, small play...
AVFAN
post Jan 28 2017, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 27 2017, 04:31 AM)
Talking about DWT/UWT... both started at $25 two months ago when oil is at $50,
Now, oil has gained 6%, DWT lost more than 10%, UWT gains only 4%.

If continues same range ($50-$55) for next 2 more months, both will eventual go below their initial $25 price.  sweat.gif
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decay... not that one is holding either for long periods... hit n run, negligible effect.



crude -2%, <53.

rig count likely up again later.

when it gets to near 52, can go uwt again! tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jan 28 2017, 01:21 AM
AVFAN
post Jan 30 2017, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 30 2017, 10:20 PM)
Just wondering guys, what's the cheapest platform to trade American stocks from Malaysia? I am looking online, the Malaysian options are too expensive ($25 per trade), while the American options seem to require $2,000+ minimum account balance.

Maybe I am missing something. I would like there to be $10 fees per trade, and zero requirement of account balance.
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pls read post #2.

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