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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Mar 7 2017, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(podracerx1 @ Mar 7 2017, 10:29 PM)
The burst of activity has helped drive U.S. oil output up at a faster rate than during the last surge, with an average 125,000 barrels a day added since September. Now exploration and production spending in the U.S. and Canada is on track to climb four times more than the worldwide average this year.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...t-shale-country

opec could soon under price pressure.
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that is good.

may those with technology, capital and efficiency win.

and may we have low petrol prices for another decade.

however bullish the hedge funds, iea and opec might behave. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 8 2017, 09:57 AM

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oil... will be interesting tonight to watch eia data.


QUOTE
11:43 a.m. Today - By Myra P. Saefong
API data show a jump of nearly 12 million barrels in U.S. crude supplies: sourcesThe American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported a whopping climb of 11.6 million barrels in U.S. crude supplies for the week ended March 3, according to sources. Analysts polled by S&P Global Platts forecast a rise of 1.6 million barrels for the week.

...

Fund managers doubled their net long positions in Brent, WTI and options to 951 million barrels between the start of November and Feb. 21, betting OPEC's output cuts would lift prices.

But that bullish sentiment has wavered with Russia's lackluster participation in the cuts, rising U.S. shale output and signs OPEC countries began increasing crude exports in February.

AVFAN
post Mar 8 2017, 11:35 PM

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BREAKING: Oil prices hold losses as data shows US crude stockpiles rise by 8.2 million barrels

AVFAN
post Mar 8 2017, 11:51 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 8 2017, 11:43 PM)
Back to mid point again 52.50. Kinda difficult to trade lately.
Going to hold here and wait again.
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$ index rising to 102 again.

rate hike almost sure on mar 15.

shale output/inv rising.

yet funds are long at record levels.

a big fall may be in the making...
AVFAN
post Mar 9 2017, 02:31 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 9 2017, 01:04 AM)
Wow... that's was a quick sell off after EIA report. 51.50.

Come back down to 50.xx again, Ill be back in. rclxms.gif
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50.98. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 9 2017, 01:48 AM)
come on bear bear, come out play lah!  biggrin.gif
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only oil bears.

nasdaq running away... goog about to make new high!
AVFAN
post Mar 9 2017, 09:42 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 9 2017, 05:52 AM)
Had to bail with small loss. Don't like this at all.  dry.gif
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dwt/uwt had a 17% swing last night!

very hard to get in/out correctly.

i had sold dwt way too early.

then went uwt a bit too early as well.

now, will see if it crude can recover 1-2% tonight.

since opec fellas now singing again... biggrin.gif


AVFAN
post Mar 9 2017, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Mar 9 2017, 10:07 PM)
Bear market coming? bye.gif

Plan to sell my remaining stocks innocent.gif
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the bear gurus have been singing this song for a couple of years now.

technically, it's due for some correction; p/e's are high, no doubt.

but the macro economics e.g. employment are good.

throw in fed rate hikes, trump "plans", who knows?


oil is definitely looking like bear for a couple more years.

nasdaq looks solid.
AVFAN
post Mar 10 2017, 01:37 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Mar 10 2017, 12:31 AM)
crude finally breaks 50 and below. short or longer term correction, or is it just a happy knee jerk for shorters? i still feel that 50 is the ceiling for next few months even though the US data r favourable. with Trump sitting weirdly in white house, just cant see the direction at all.
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the oil story tonight is same as last night - down down, all the way.

oil bulls offloading the long contracts, shorts coming in.

still more to go, i think.

8% in 2 days is painful.

i made a wrong move last night, lucky to cut loss earlier. biggrin.gif


AVFAN
post Mar 10 2017, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 10 2017, 02:05 AM)
For bulls: I think all it may take is just another OPEC mumble about additional cuts
For bears: Shale drillers or Rig counts increase again, inventory continues to build.
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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 10 2017, 02:39 AM)
45-46 seems highly possible.  hmm.gif
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will be very touchy...

50 may well become the new ceiling, not floor anymore.
AVFAN
post Mar 10 2017, 10:45 PM

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good jobs report.

$ steady, 95% chance fed rte hike on mar 15.

crude continues to tumble... opec needs to sing n dance again. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 11 2017, 01:57 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 11 2017, 12:33 AM)
unstoppable bull so far....
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Crude diarrhea also unstoppable...
AVFAN
post Mar 14 2017, 10:43 PM

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dow can fall 800 pts and still at >20,000.

mo sweat. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 14 2017, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 14 2017, 10:05 PM)
Another -2% for Oil.

New range in the works: 45-49
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us stocks rising.

now opec stocks also rising?!


Oil prices hit fresh three and a half-month lows on Tuesday, giving up gains after OPEC said oil inventories had continued to rise despite the start of a global deal to cut supply.

OPEC also raised its forecast of production in 2017 from outside the group, suggesting complications in the effort to clear a supply glut.

AVFAN
post Mar 14 2017, 11:27 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 14 2017, 11:23 PM)
It is quite bearish. Last week 3 major indicators all pointing to highest inventory numbers - API, EIA and Rigs count also increased

OPEC to meet in about a week, right? Maybe, we'll get a better indication to see if their members adhere to the agreement for cuts or they're also pumping like crazy.
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even saudi may not be cutting anymore! biggrin.gif

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/energy-et...4?siteid=yhoof2
AVFAN
post Mar 15 2017, 10:51 PM

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3am.

Traders widely expect the Fed to raise interest rates Wednesday. The Federal Open Market Committee is set to release its meeting statement at 2 p.m., ET. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m.
AVFAN
post Mar 15 2017, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 15 2017, 11:17 PM)
The govt numbers probably indicate 3% but we all know the real numbers are higher.
You can kinda see and observe it from the everyday stuff that you purchase.
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if u examine the basket of goods n services for cpi, it is correct, 2-3% only.

that basket is good for rural-ultra rural.

urban-suburban, just X3.

thought everybody knew? biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 16 2017, 02:55 AM

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QUOTE
Fed Raises Benchmark Rate as Inflation Approaches 2% Target
Policy makers still project three total rate hikes for 2017
FOMC sticks with ‘gradual’ plan for removing accommodation


stocks rally, $ index drops!
AVFAN
post Mar 16 2017, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 16 2017, 04:23 AM)
Nice rally for crude too, settled for 48.75... but we're still in 45-50. Need another leg up to get back to 51-55 range.
Hopefully, OPEC members won't derail this.
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this oil thingy is scary.

last night, close 48.75.

today, asian and european traders rammed it up to 49.60 or +1.74%.

why, what reason... i hv no idea. biggrin.gif

minutes before nymex open, it dived.

now 48.75, again.

have seen this so many times... esp european traders... tend to push high, then dump before closing... never seen them dump and then buy at the end.

if not careful, very easy to get caught... dangerous game... laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 16 2017, 09:39 PM
AVFAN
post Mar 18 2017, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 18 2017, 03:37 AM)
it's really unbelievable that the bulls still able to avoid a meaningful correction after this long.  laugh.gif
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yes, i am surprised.

felt very nervous... sold everything incl GOOG.

now wait and see if it will correct or keep riding high.



just keeping some dwt, see what happens at next oil stocks count.

with rig count still rising, i cannot believe stocks can go down. tongue.gif




AVFAN
post Mar 20 2017, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 19 2017, 06:42 AM)
wow you are aggressive.
i only sold 20% stocks, now waiting for correction to pick them back.  biggrin.gif
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well, i i dont hv many counters, a just a few "volatile ones". biggrin.gif


oil... bigger rout coming?

Bullish Bets on Crude Cut by Most Ever as Price Falls Below $50
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-falls-below-50

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