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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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Cubalagi
post Jan 10 2020, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Jan 10 2020, 11:59 AM)
I use Maybank too but fees don't really matter to me because im not trading stocks. Im focused on the buy and hold strategy. Stock trading is far too risky and prone to the gambling cancer.
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For buy and hold what sucks is that US stocks got witholding tax of 30%.
Cubalagi
post Jan 10 2020, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Jan 10 2020, 09:57 PM)
Sorry what do u mean by withholding tax? I thought we are not subjext to any tax
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Not Malaysian tax, but US tax on dividends paid to you .

https://ibkr.info/article/938

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 10 2020, 10:23 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 11 2020, 10:08 PM

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QUOTE(bukitbanyan @ Jan 11 2020, 08:30 PM)
So if dividend is 100usd we will be taxed at 30usd?😭
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Yes.

U can also read this (Singaporean perspective but appliicable to Malaysians too).

https://financialhorse.com/withholding-tax/
Cubalagi
post Jan 12 2020, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Jan 12 2020, 10:59 AM)
I guess not a big impact since we arent taxed on capital gains of the stock and only taxed on the dividends.
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A 5% yield becomes a 3.5% yield. Id say that's a big impact if you are a dividend income investor.

Personally, my view is only go for the growth stocks in the US. There are better dividend investments in our part of the world where there are no witholding taxes.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 12 2020, 02:34 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 15 2020, 01:17 AM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Jan 14 2020, 10:27 PM)
but cybermaster keeps talking about correction, correction, then by how much? 10% only?
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S&P500 need another 20% drop, then the Fed put will kick in.

On another note, weaken g USD vs MYR. About 3.4% since end Aug last year. Any cause of concern for you guys investing in US market?

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 15 2020, 01:19 AM
Cubalagi
post Jan 15 2020, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Jan 15 2020, 01:21 AM)
not sure when that will happen.
No war, trade deal sign.... so it's a peaceful world.
weakening USD = stock up your US dollars.

there's only USD, GBP, EUR, JPY, SGD and MYR.
since the fate of GBP and USD are uncertain, I guess we can only rely on USD or SGD.
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I will watch out for recession fears to crop up again.

If the peaceful world continues, I'm looking at USD to fall to MYR4. That's when I will start replenishing my USD.
Cubalagi
post Jan 16 2020, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Jan 15 2020, 11:45 PM)
Any idea whats a share 'reverse split'? Why do companies do it?

user posted image
user posted image
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Financially no difference.

I guess in Malaysia investors like stocks at very low price thinking that its "cheap". In US, investors don't like stocks at very low prices thinking that its "crap".
Cubalagi
post Feb 5 2020, 06:46 PM

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QUOTE(markedestiny @ Feb 5 2020, 05:37 PM)

US stocks rallies easily on every slightest news, they have PPT in place since last Sept 2019 tongue.gif

edit for clarity
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It's called the Federal Reserve
Cubalagi
post Feb 6 2020, 12:24 AM

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My thinking is that the market esp US market is underestimating this virus threat. I wouldn't go in now, in fact I'm starting to trim down my equity exposures.
Cubalagi
post Feb 7 2020, 11:57 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Feb 7 2020, 06:22 PM)
so the advice is, we should keep 60% in cash for now?
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Cash, bonds amd gold..
Cubalagi
post Feb 8 2020, 12:50 AM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Feb 8 2020, 12:02 AM)
but warren buffett advises against buying gold....
you've 10% in gold?

I only have the theory for bonds, don't have any practical experience yet. Will have to study more.
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On gold.. Yah. Back in early 2000s I listened to this theory that gold is a bad investment and I even advice other people that it was a bad investment. Regretted that. Now I know better.

I was up to 12% gold last year (due to price increase) and took profits. Now less than 5%, but starting to accumulate again with a target of bringing it to 10%.

On bonds, I prefer Treasury ETF, the safest n convinient option. The theory is simple: bad economy, Central Bank cuts interest rates, possibly to 0. Bond prices jump. Until that time (it will surely come!) just take the dividends.

I generally don't like income/dividend investing in US because of the witholding tax tho.. But since this is a US market thread then I suggest:

For US Treasury etfs: BIV (less risky) or TLT (more aggressive). Gold is of course GLD, but if u r the risk taker type a gold miner etf on top (GDX).

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Feb 8 2020, 12:53 AM
Cubalagi
post Feb 8 2020, 03:40 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 8 2020, 02:23 PM)
Invest in gold is no different from buying BTC.
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I have some BTC as well.. 😆
Cubalagi
post Feb 8 2020, 06:28 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Feb 8 2020, 05:52 PM)
IAU has lower TER.
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U are right there.
Cubalagi
post Feb 11 2020, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Feb 11 2020, 12:28 PM)
S&P500 and Nasdaq100 at record high again..... rclxub.gif
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Central Banks have found the cure for NCoV

It's craziness, Amazon has joined the trillion dollar club. It's PE is now 92. Tesla doesnt even have a PE!



Cubalagi
post Feb 13 2020, 01:53 PM

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US govt is racking up a deficit of USD97 billion a month

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/12/us-deficit-...-past-year.html

That's more than a trillion dollars deficit pa.

And the banks are buying this debts, and the Fed is buying from the banks. Basically it's money creation out of thin air.

N where do this money end up... S&P500..

Cubalagi
post Feb 13 2020, 11:55 PM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Feb 13 2020, 11:07 PM)

In the end of the day as long as Central bankers keep rescuing markets and if investors have holding power then this can continue for a bit
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Yah.. It will continue until its no longer possible n there will be 1997 like crisis but n a global scale.
Cubalagi
post Feb 24 2020, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 24 2020, 10:54 PM)
Hey guys,

It's finally here tonight.. .very good price for PUTs because the big boys are spiking the premiums because of fear.

Both SPY, DIA gone down below the 50ma but QQQ still hanging on.

Time to get some moolah!   One block at time...   biggrin.gif
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Trying to recall my options basics. If you sell a naked put, the risk is that if the stock goes lower at maturity you will have to buy at higher price, correct? So how u mitigate the risk of the stock market really crash n the premium doesn't cover?

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Feb 24 2020, 11:39 PM
Cubalagi
post Feb 25 2020, 12:22 AM

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QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Feb 25 2020, 12:16 AM)
My memory is rusty but I'll try to answer. Firstly, I'm not sure whether you meant sell or buy naked put. Because a bearish person will buy puts not sell puts. A bullish person will sell puts not buy puts.

When you write a put, you are selling the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying asset at a price. This 'right' expires on a certain date.

American options means it can be exercised before and on the expiration date. European options means it can only be exercised on the expiration date.

Let's say stock A price is $100 today. You speculate that the share is undervalued and will rise. So you write a put with strike price $100 thinking the share price will rise above $100 by the expiration date and collect a $5 premium.

If the price falls below $100 say $70 and the buyer of your put option exercises it, they sell the share to you at $100. Technically, you don't want this stupid share that you bought at $100 when the market value is only $70. So, your loss is $100-$70=$30. However, you gain the $5 premium earlier. Hence, net loss is $25 ($30-$5).

Your max gain if the option expires worthless is +$5.
Your max loss is -$95 ($100-$5). Assuming the share falls to $0 but it's unlikely.

Tldr; it's a gamble.

I believe there are several ways to protect yourself while shorting the market. One is called bear spread strategy.
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Thanks. I believe danmooncake was talking about selling naked Puts (refer to his earlier posts) . And yes, I am talking about that risk of $25 net loss, if the market really tanks.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Feb 25 2020, 12:23 AM
Cubalagi
post Feb 25 2020, 07:36 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 25 2020, 11:18 AM)


The good part about this is if it drops BELOW that strike price by expiration, you get to own at the price you willing to buy (plus premium) AND you cap your loss with the lower strike PUT price. The trade off is the credit that you receive will be reduced.

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For stocks I can cut loss, can you cut loss when u sell put options?
Cubalagi
post Feb 28 2020, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(moosset @ Feb 28 2020, 10:11 PM)
is there anything that is green now?

why even US short term treasury ETF is also red?
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Which one.. SHY is green.

BIV is green. TLT is green.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Feb 28 2020, 10:32 PM

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