Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

30 Pages < 1 2 3 4 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

views
     
ChAOoz
post Feb 26 2020, 09:52 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Wah, FAANG getting pummeled. Happinest for the year was shortlived lol
ChAOoz
post Feb 27 2020, 05:19 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 27 2020, 10:56 AM)
Don't say so fast...the big bears are lurking around the corner.  The FAANG boys are issuing
early earnings warning this quarter. Once the HFT machines take over... there could be more than 1000 pts drop.  sweat.gif

Well, at least short term, I need the market to hold up here (SPY 305-310) till Friday (expiration), it will be perfect.  biggrin.gif
*
Popularity of passive fund and High frequency trading is a recipe for disaster. Just don't know when or what will trigger it.
ChAOoz
post Mar 4 2020, 12:25 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Cut rate market sell off hahaa. Tumultuous time we live in now.
ChAOoz
post Mar 9 2020, 09:21 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 9 2020, 09:18 PM)
Rising oil prices is a sign of economic boom (demand increase due to more activity).

Falling means the other way around. Right now price slump due to drop in economic activity because of Coronavirus and oversupply.

Companies impacted the most from drop in oil prices should be O&G as well as banks.
*
Basically Saudis and Russian taking this chance to kill off shale oil producer, they can't do it last round but i think they will try again, even harder this round.

Restoring the balance to the oil world. That is my take on this rclxs0.gif
ChAOoz
post Mar 9 2020, 10:57 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 9 2020, 10:42 PM)
it just happened out of....can't use the word "nothing", but isn't anything that serious. Or did i miss anything?  laugh.gif
*
Due to such a long bull run. Market is easily spooked. Everyone wanna maintain their nice record.
ChAOoz
post Mar 11 2020, 01:00 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
If we ignore the noises, overall its trending downwards on a mid term horizon. Later like bursa, a slow death.
ChAOoz
post Mar 11 2020, 09:33 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Still expensive. Only when US implement austerity will i be convince.

Trump just messed up the recovery valuation with his over zealous need to stimulate the stock market.
ChAOoz
post Mar 12 2020, 09:07 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Tonight again. Halting of flight from Euro is bad i guess, send market into panic.
ChAOoz
post Mar 13 2020, 12:25 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
I believe now is Dec 18 level ? Or slightly lower.

Btw IBM crater. Turn around story gone, should have sold it when new CEO hype is there. Inaction is also an issue sometime.
ChAOoz
post Mar 13 2020, 09:20 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Fed action cannot save also.

All the bears are out in full force, i think many have hibernated for a long period.
ChAOoz
post Mar 13 2020, 09:34 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(moosset @ Mar 13 2020, 09:33 AM)
so is it time to enter or too early?
*
Seemed like there are sign of liquidity issue. Too much leverage going on in corporate america i guess.
ChAOoz
post Mar 16 2020, 09:25 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Roubini aka Dr Doom is pretty on point this round.

Fed did exactly what needs to be done, as i think they have data sources pointing to a possible credit crunch. Q1 global recession is more or less confirm now as well.
ChAOoz
post Mar 16 2020, 01:20 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 16 2020, 10:45 AM)
i never hear him "predicted" the cronovirus outbreak could hurt the market before the outbbreak.
i never hear him "predicted" saudi would trigger oil war with Russia (and US) before it happened.
i never even hear him "predicted" there will be a trade war between US and China before it happened.

this bear market was not triggered by credit crunch.

Conclusion: Dr Doom is useless.  biggrin.gif
*
Ok la need give him credit. He was saying 30 - 40% global equity drop when the virus was just in China

https://www.spiegel.de/international/busine...=article_inline
ChAOoz
post Mar 17 2020, 09:59 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 17 2020, 01:02 AM)
No. Malaysian stocks would have recovered too since US stocks recovered.

Right now buying cheap US equities is like no difference because I'm paying more to convert. The higher conversation rate already offset most of the drop in US equities.
*
This is the dilemma I'm facing as well. Before even deploy already around +-5% capital loss on currency conversion as compared to a month ago.
ChAOoz
post Mar 19 2020, 02:44 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
This will be ugly. How low will it go, i have no idea. Some said 13k for dow.

But everything is super speed lately, the drop, the recovery, the fed action. It feel so surreal, has been quite sometime i stayed up to watch the market like a football match.
ChAOoz
post Mar 20 2020, 09:36 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Regulatory fillings show buffet is buying now. Is this a signal to dip our toes in ?
ChAOoz
post Mar 20 2020, 11:05 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(moosset @ Mar 20 2020, 10:57 AM)
what did he buy?
*
Delta Air

But not just him, a few are also dipping in to test water now as of the day before selloff

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...s-of-a-lifetime

ChAOoz
post Mar 20 2020, 11:05 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(moosset @ Mar 20 2020, 10:57 AM)
what did he buy?
*
-deleted

double post


This post has been edited by ChAOoz: Mar 20 2020, 11:05 AM
ChAOoz
post Mar 20 2020, 11:20 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Well to go or not to go, depending on yourself and the valuation you have in mind.

I have been going in consistently from the drop since this week as it seemed the sharp sell-off and pull back is due to highly leverage hedge fund.

As fed seemed to be cushioning them with liquidity, i expect market to normalized soon.
ChAOoz
post Mar 20 2020, 11:39 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,501 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 20 2020, 11:25 AM)
if true, most likely very early selective buying.
last night, it was evident the major tech stocks were very active, some bargain hunting there.

just reading... i get a sense that markets may make a soft but short rebound.
only to go gradually lower in the next few months when the fallout everywhere becomes clear.

.. trump says he may intervene in saudi-russia oil price war.
.. china NOT lowering loan rates anymore.
.. $ climb stopped.
.. asian bourses clawed back this morning, incl shanghai..?

buy after considering all kinds of risks.
maybe good opportunities to trade! tongue.gif
*
Human trial for vaccine already started. My take is trump will fast track everything due to his re-election campaign.

From the speed that fed and US treasury secretary is making, I don't expect this thing to drag out long. The response this round was WAYYY faster than 08.

30 Pages < 1 2 3 4 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.3970sec    0.76    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 15th December 2025 - 09:26 AM