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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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ChAOoz
post Nov 5 2025, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 5 2025, 08:54 AM)
Money been flowing into the stock market due to prolonged bullishness. Not parking their money in crypto.
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Need to see the market liquidity. Somehow feel like the market has exhausted its fund to buy the dip.
ChAOoz
post Nov 10 2025, 10:33 AM

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Consolidated accounts YTD. Was hoping to break 3 digit return this year but don't think will be possible.

Unless there is a shutdown reopening rally + santa claus rally going into year end

user posted image

FWIW trump crazy tariff year was really good for portfolio in hindsight
ChAOoz
post Nov 10 2025, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 10 2025, 11:22 AM)
Should be no problem I guess.

Today will be green with gov shut down be resolve news. Won't drag pass the Thank giving. 

Interest cut next mth.

2k tax cut for each person from tariff dividen.

Next week NVDA Q3 earning might boost the market.

Where to check this cumulative return % ?
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Under portfolio analyst section you can run the report.

For nvidia report i feel market might over priced expectation and is disappointed even with strong numbers. Factoring into the circular deal thing
ChAOoz
post Nov 10 2025, 08:07 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 10 2025, 06:45 PM)
NVDA price up is come after the earning call. Mostly.

Since it already reach 200 for this yrs, for me, target is meet.

" circular deal thing" ? Don't always just follow the general news. Think out of the box.

Bought some last week low for the earning play. If earning play disappoints, will keep it for long. It's a good buy.
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Well its always a good idea to hedge against downside risk.

Not saying nvidia is bad, just market expectation might have over run the company.
ChAOoz
post Nov 16 2025, 11:28 AM

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Another volatile week for qqq when nvidia report earning this week. Can be good or bad, its basically a coin toss now.
ChAOoz
post Nov 19 2025, 01:13 PM

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QUOTE(Barricade @ Nov 18 2025, 04:39 PM)
I hope it comes true. I have yet to close my short positions.
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I also open new short position on semicon/ai names leading into nvidia earnings.

There is market weakness now, and i believe bears will take this chance.
ChAOoz
post Nov 20 2025, 06:35 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 20 2025, 05:25 AM)
NVDA saves the day again!

No stopping it yet.  rclxms.gif
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Yup and the rising tide lifts all ai boat. Wrong call this round for my end.
ChAOoz
post Nov 21 2025, 06:28 AM

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Crazy volatility. From green to red in matter of hours.

Not even meme or penny stock but the most valuable company on earth.
ChAOoz
post Nov 21 2025, 06:53 AM

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QUOTE(ipohps3 @ Nov 21 2025, 06:45 AM)
what's the news that caused it?
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Funnily nothing. Just market feels valuation stretched
ChAOoz
post Nov 23 2025, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 23 2025, 12:10 AM)
Buy or sell? dry.gif


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This is the circular revenue double dipping i was talking about. Market start to realized it and some are feeling less confidence hence the stock going down even after top and bottom beat by nvidia
ChAOoz
post Nov 23 2025, 08:21 PM

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Using crypto movement over the weekend. I would say risk on appetite is back.

So for short term probably good to close shorts and go long instead.

In the long run still bearish due to over investment to chase the agi goal
ChAOoz
post Nov 24 2025, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 24 2025, 10:17 AM)
Inside this writing full of fake figure and misleading.

Sai lang this week.
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There is a divergent in ai training between asic and gpu going on now.

The article may contain half truth but you can see google is playing the long game. They develop the transformer that power ai learning and they have been designing tpu to run those training on since before gpt was introduce.

There is a chance that nvidia and openai might have lost sight of the ball from all the hype and caught off guard by google.
ChAOoz
post Nov 25 2025, 08:22 PM

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Loading up new put position on crwv.

This is going to be fun as amzn, meta, msft, baba all start moving to asic for ai training and inferencing after google success.
ChAOoz
post Today, 01:56 PM

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With ORCL earning concluded and Fed decision done.

Time to go holiday first, wait next earning season and we start again.

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