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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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yok70
post Nov 11 2016, 03:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 11 2016, 03:11 AM)
Not too late.. watch AAPL. If below 110, still can get some.
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ya....waiting.... biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Nov 11 2016, 03:49 AM

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Meanwhile, took my profits in XLE for this week. It is going against the grain. Oil is actually down.
Perhaps just riding along the wave from Dow and SP500 or Trump victory.
It won't be long until reality may set in.

2.5 weeks till next OPEC meeting.. if there is no indication that OPEC will agree, more downside to come.
Hoping, something may leak out prior to that to let us know which way it will go.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 11 2016, 03:50 AM
AVFAN
post Nov 11 2016, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 11 2016, 01:26 AM)
Agree...
AAPL 110 BUY!
FB 117 BUY!
GOOG 755 BUY!

Just a little here and there and hang on to them.
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i took some GOOG at 760.

futures now trading:

AAPL 107
FB 120
GOOG 759
danmooncake
post Nov 11 2016, 11:31 PM

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Crude finally give up more.. same goes for XLE. Lucky sold all yesterday. Knew this rally couldn't last.
Furthermore, it's Friday, US bond market closed for Veteran Day. Traders taking cash home for weekend.

Been peeking over at KLCI.. what a volatile ride. Ringgit getting smashed up.
danmooncake
post Nov 12 2016, 12:13 AM

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Oh.. wow. Oil really beaten up here.
AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 12:27 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 12 2016, 12:13 AM)
Oh.. wow. Oil really beaten up here.
*
finding some support at 43.15.

if it breaks lower... 40?!


danmooncake
post Nov 12 2016, 12:53 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 12 2016, 12:27 AM)
finding some support at 43.15.

if it breaks lower... 40?!
*
I think so.. that $40 has to hold and come back up otherwise,
it will be a very deep dive to $26. The entire market could sink with it.

So far, the current price is dangling at 200ma level. It is shaky here.

zacknistelrooy
post Nov 12 2016, 02:03 AM

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QUOTE
DoubleLine Jeffrey Gundlach: Rate rise is about 80% on this move.
If the Fed does not raise rates in December, they never will raise rates again
Fiscal stimulus is easier said than done. It is possible to work.
AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 02:11 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 12 2016, 02:03 AM)

*
should be a done deal.

good news is it's almost all priced in now.

QUOTE
Investors currently see an 82 percent probability of a quarter percentage-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to pricing in federal funds futures.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...y-down-election

zacknistelrooy
post Nov 12 2016, 02:13 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 12 2016, 02:11 AM)
should be a done deal.

good news is it's almost all priced in now.
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Yes at least there won't be after shocks.

Baker Hughes oil rig count 452 vs 450 last week

Attached Image


QUOTE
Oil rig count 452 vs 450 last week. Up 2 on the week
Gas rig count 115 vs 117 last week. Down -1 on the week
Total rig count 568 vs 569 last week  Down -1.


This post has been edited by zacknistelrooy: Nov 12 2016, 02:14 AM
mikehwy
post Nov 12 2016, 02:18 AM

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wow. crude is negative now at 43.50. expwcting it to touch 42 maybe next week. just hope that market can withstand the shocks from so many quarters. itbyear end soon n fed is raising its tail soon.
looking at nflx.
AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 02:56 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 12 2016, 02:18 AM)
wow. crude is negative now at 43.50. expwcting it to touch 42 maybe next week. just hope that market can withstand the shocks from so many quarters. itbyear end soon n fed is raising its tail soon.
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if the api/eia numbers next week are bad, it should go 41-42.

otherwise, with good support at 43.1x, it may bounce around, capped at 44 until opec meet nov 30.

fed... should be hike but priced in already... won't be much of a shaker.
yok70
post Nov 12 2016, 01:44 PM

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flat....next week should see more bear bear coming? cool2.gif biggrin.gif
icemanfx
post Nov 13 2016, 04:41 PM

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How a Trump presidency will affect 15 industries

Oil drillers. Gas pipelines. Coal. Banks. Pharmaceuticals. Construction and industrial equipment. The defense industry.

Those are among the likely winners of a Donald Trump administration that could take the lid off coal and fracking regulations, begin an extensive repair of the nation’s roads and bridges, rebuild defense, repeal the Dodd-Frank financial reform act and kill the Affordable Care Act.

One big loser? Foreign trade could suffer if the president-elect follows through on his plan to renegotiate trade agreements.

“He wants to encourage U.S. companies to bring the cash home,” Loughran said. “Apple has about $200 billion in cash abroad. They pay that out in a dividend, and that would be colossal.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/mr-...omepage%2Fstory

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Nov 13 2016, 04:43 PM
wlcling
post Nov 14 2016, 11:52 AM

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Always miss the nvda run ups!
mikehwy
post Nov 14 2016, 07:19 PM

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dows in green atm. hope it sustains till the opening bell. huh, trump has good impact on businesses n usd.
but really hope that these positive soap opera will spill over to asia n make our markets green too. local markets here been bashed to unfamiliar equity prices.

zacknistelrooy
post Nov 14 2016, 07:20 PM

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QUOTE
The sell-off in global bond markets gathers pace:
US 2-year note hits 1% for first time since Jan
US 30-year note zooms above 3%


US market close to red now with this rally.

This post has been edited by zacknistelrooy: Nov 14 2016, 07:21 PM
AVFAN
post Nov 14 2016, 11:13 PM

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10 yr now 2.258% and rising.

fixed income all over the world under pressure, dropping like flies!

for emerging markets, this is a tsunami, $ fleeing, currencies smashed.

USD/RM = 4.345.




zacknistelrooy
post Nov 14 2016, 11:34 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 14 2016, 11:13 PM)
10 yr now 2.258% and rising.

fixed income all over the world under pressure, dropping like flies!

for emerging markets, this is a tsunami, $ fleeing, currencies smashed.

USD/RM = 4.345.
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2.3% will be an interesting level, so far the first real resistance.
danmooncake
post Nov 14 2016, 11:46 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 14 2016, 07:19 PM)
dows in green atm. hope it sustains till the opening bell. huh, trump has good impact on businesses n usd.
but really hope that these positive soap opera will spill over to asia n make our markets green too. local markets here been bashed to unfamiliar equity prices.
*
I find FBMKLCI attractive now at near 52 weeks low. biggrin.gif

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