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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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wlcling
post Jul 29 2016, 01:00 AM

Hippidy Hoppidy
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$fb oh fb... What bad showmanship following a blowout ER
wlcling
post Nov 14 2016, 11:52 AM

Hippidy Hoppidy
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Always miss the nvda run ups!
wlcling
post Nov 14 2016, 11:50 PM

Hippidy Hoppidy
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Wow eyeing to buy tech stocks at such attractive prices- not sure if it's a good time? Got fear haha
wlcling
post Dec 6 2016, 11:28 PM

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not sure if this is of any interest to you guys

http://www.velocitysharesetns.com/wp-conte...ess-Release.pdf

wlcling
post Jun 13 2020, 02:08 PM

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Honestly don't get it but prepared to be proven wrong

user posted image

If i would to long something.. this is just it...
user posted image
wlcling
post Jun 13 2020, 03:13 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jun 13 2020, 03:08 PM)
So u r short the market? What's your target level?
*
SPX 2450 by end year
wlcling
post Jun 13 2020, 07:06 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Jun 13 2020, 06:45 PM)
I don't believe in the recovery also. Tried to short it but fail. The problem with shorting is unless you found a cheap way to take a short position of up to 2 years else you will lose your money even before you are proven right. The SQQQ is 3x leverage of nasdaq 100, so yeah pretty dangerous and decay is fast.

Right now, even with retail investors i'm guessing many fled from fixed income investment into indexing due to low interest conditions.

As such even tho the newbie speculative punters may cause rise and fall fluctuation in S&P, the broader market is supported by these fixed income indexer. It will take a very overheated market, or a very big panic situation to cause the market to crash for you to get a good profit for SQQQ at current price range.

A 10% drop in QQQ would only meant 11.57 for SQQQ, and after such a drop the possibility of a rebound back will be high as well. You better hope a bigger than 30% crash happen in this 3 months.

Also QQQ composed of very hard hitting tech counter such as the FAANG. I would not short these if possible. SDS might be safer.
*
These are very confusing times especially for seasoned investors because you know its not right but you can't ignore the momentum. The non-seasoned have it much easier,- just buy because price is getting higher and higher and they dare to buy stocks that have risen significantly! Even bankrupt companies! But i think its time for the irrationality to fade out. It has to ... sooner or later.
wlcling
post Jun 14 2020, 02:52 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 13 2020, 07:46 PM)
yes, i agree.
i think that is due to gomens getting "clever", maybe even for political reasons.
current free market capitalism is man-made, does not obey any universal laws.
mr usa can issue unlimited trillions of new $ to buy up bonds and equities that nobody wants.
the new $ need to go somewhere... even bad bankrupt biz.
so, life goes on.

the alternative is to let a lot of them fail, wipe out trillions, go into depression, start anew.
that wud be great for young people as they can start to save and buy assets at much lower prices.

but the current generation particularly the wealthy is not ready to lose their billions.
people alive today do not really think about those who will be born in 1, 10, 100 years from now.
it will collapse someday but not now.
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the feds are geniuses. The last they need is a deflationary state, so they will keep the bubble inflated at all costs.- and like it or not, they have the power to do so.

Print $$$
Distribute $$ to Wall street & Main street
Reduce interest rates. I'm sure they will go negative if they need to
Continue to downplay covid concerns
Grant unemployment benefits that are so good that people are opting to be unemployed and they don't show up in job reports. I read somewhere that 2 thirds of these groups are receiving benefits that are higher than their lost earnings. rclxub.gif

On hindsight now, all the stock market fomo was not surprising at all from how the feds played it out. And we can expect more printing, more devaluation of the US dollar, higher stock markets. But let's have a little correction for now as main street is getting too ahead of themselves, bounce, and slowly correct in the next few months to a new higher low before going to ATHs. (my bias that main street will be humbled but yet very unlikely we'll ever see March lows ever again)



wlcling
post Jun 16 2020, 12:09 PM

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Drew this yesterday afternoon just for fun, and turned out pretty accurate. It was interesting that pre-market red futures + bad news in media was causing alot of fear in trading groups and the sentiment seemed to be run at the bell!

user posted image

Seems we will not crash too soon (not sure, but some form of irrationality has muted down + fed is too strong)
wlcling
post Jun 19 2020, 09:50 AM

Hippidy Hoppidy
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Perhaps in our lifetime we will see china be the worlds reserve currency

 

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