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 Fundsupermart.com v14, Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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dasecret
post Jul 21 2016, 09:47 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jul 21 2016, 07:09 PM)
not MUCH cheaper lar, just cheaper
Note - there is even cheaper than U for Life leh, Pub Mut (your unloved) has Group Life policy (underwritten by AIA) & also Hospitalization policy (by LonPac) only for Pub Mutters tongue.gif They are useful for SOME stuff heeheh
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Lol. I too obvious hor. They also offer free term life for selected funds right. Up to 60 years old I think
A bit weird for asset management company to be useful for insurance product

QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 21 2016, 09:36 PM)
FSM thread turns into insurance talk now?

So we create a separate dedicated thread on that?
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Please do. I'm a lousy thread starter so I dare not do the honor
dasecret
post Jul 21 2016, 09:51 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jul 21 2016, 06:59 PM)
Asian markets have been on a rally for the past 2 weeks or more? Just after I sold off more than 1/2 of my Ponzi 2 unit trust.

Do you find this always happen after you have sold off your unit trusts?
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I think it's psychological. I keep track of funds using that spreadsheet in post 1, so the sold funds fund price get updated too. Some divested funds r doing better. Some is worse than when I sold.

So glad I sold pheim Islamic asia end of last year. N switched affin select opportunity to ponzi1.0

I started selling amasia pacific income. Now it's on steroid, so I stopped selling pulak
dasecret
post Jul 25 2016, 10:28 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Jul 25 2016, 10:21 AM)
Kim Yee punya balls are nicer lar sleep.gif
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Errr.... his method involves buying 10% into Amprecious metal wor....

I'll stick to my not so exotic method la.... 6.9% IRR is good enough for me sweat.gif At least my lowest point this year is still >3%
dasecret
post Jul 25 2016, 08:58 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Jul 25 2016, 08:47 PM)
It was an under-performer for almost a year!

Xuzen
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But when equity rally, RHB Asian income fund won't run as fast. Any plan to switch to an asia PAC eq fund? My Ponzi 1.0's IRR exceeded Asian income fund jor
dasecret
post Jul 26 2016, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(em0kia @ Jul 26 2016, 01:59 AM)
Guys, I am planning my portfolio to be like this. Please let me know if its contradicting.

Equity:
1. Affin Hwang Select Asia (Ex Japan) Quantum Fund - 5%
2. ESI Global Leaders MY Fund - 10%
3. Arbedeen Islamic World Equity Fund - 15%
4. CIMB Titans - 10%
5. KGF - 10%
6. ESI Small Cap - 10%

Bond:
1. RHB Asian Total Return Fund - 10%
2. ESI Bond Fund - 10%
3. RHB Smart Balanced Fund - 10%

I am a young guy, having enough emergency fund and can park money for long term. But at the same time, I also fear losing too much money as I learn only a freash grad pay (2k +)
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Since so many are encouraging you to go higher on equity, I thought I should advocate otherwise. Actually that's what I personally do too... >30% cash; and no, I'm not in my 50s tongue.gif

Instead of just telling you what I think, I'd show you how it looks in the portfolio simulator. Portfolio 2 is what I would go for personally as I do not like global leaders MY fund and I felt that your developed nation exposure is too high. So I've equal weighted the regions equity - Asia 20%; World 20% and Msia 20%; Pure bond funds 15% each and smart balance stay at 10%
Attached Image

Attached Image
note that the portfolio volatility is lower and the 1 year return is higher, of course, 1 could argue that the 3 years returns is higher, but that's the past performance. You should try it out with 100% equity and see how it goes and if you are willing to take the kind of volatility
dasecret
post Jul 26 2016, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(em0kia @ Jul 26 2016, 12:51 PM)
Wow wow, thanks for the explanation! One thing that puzzled me is the geographical diversification. Is investing in a malaysia-focused fund and asia fund consider geographical diversification?

And actually i am thinking of putting more focus on Malaysia only because involving different currency will make things complicated, hence for a non-financial background, I prefer to take things slow and master Malaysia fund first before going global. Is this a good choice?
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Wah, a lot of comments in the past few hours. I think it's ok either way. But if I were to start a new portfolio, this is what I would do. Set out the geographical segments/category allocation; choose 1 or max 2 funds in each segment; put in using regular savings plan method over 6-12 months

Not all people would agree with me, but I do have quite a bit of foreign funds. Some argue that Msian asset management companies don't know how to invest overseas so msian funds would do better. The arguments do have some merits, if you see the factsheet most foreign funds underperform benchmark. So this is rather personal. At this point in time Msia equity looks more attractive than developed markets

QUOTE(em0kia @ Jul 26 2016, 01:30 PM)
And also, looking back at Global Leaders MY Fund, they are investing in companies like Microsoft, Amazon and Nvidia which i think is going to be very valuable in time to come. May I know, what makes you dislike MY fund? For me i chose that because I believe that everything will be digitalize in the future  hmm.gif
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Use FSM chartcentre to find your fund for each segment
Attached Image
Attached Image

This is 3 years fund return chart. The 3 funds are highly correlated. So maybe the question is, why do you need so many? Coming from someone who regretted having too many funds in the portfolio tongue.gif

QUOTE(em0kia @ Jul 26 2016, 02:00 PM)
And guys, i am just wondering right, how sure is it that any mutual fund, if purchase and park money inside for long term, guarantees a return? I heard a lot of ppl say that if you invest for long term, mutual fund surely earn money. But i wonder is it possible that one also make constant losses in long term?
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QUOTE(adele123 @ Jul 26 2016, 02:07 PM)
Just because equity didn't behave in the past 2 years, doesn't mean we should punish them biggrin.gif

seriously... i'm not a bond fund person... but the very sad truth is my best performing fund is my RHB asian total return fund. double digit IRR... my equity funds while have recovered alot but still at single digit return.
in the long run... equity beats cash.
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Nothing in life is guaranteed, although arguably the chances of you making big losses is low.
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/fundi...orst_Funds.svdo
The 10 year worst performers are mostly positive. But would you be happy if you ended up with one of those funds and it is worse off than FD returns?

dasecret
post Jul 26 2016, 03:59 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jul 26 2016, 03:48 PM)
Not all foreign funds are managed by Malaysian fund managers. Sometimes, local fund houses simply buy funds managed by foreign fund managers.

From my own observation of having invested in Bursa for years, Malaysian market tends to be less volatile.
When other markets go up a lot, KL market goes up a little; when other markets drop a lot, KL market drops a little.

The world markets have been pretty weak in the last 2 years (except US market), so it wouldn't be surprised that KL market performs better. But wait til the bull returns.
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Erm, I know about feeder funds, I have quite a few too.... care to point out which feeder funds outperform its benchmark? Most of the time they track the benchmark or underperform; but Msian investors would have gotten a higher returns on foreign funds due to ringgit weakening.

Like I say, I do have quite a bit of foreign funds as I feel the need to diversify; and I'm willing to pay in the form of lower returns compared to say EI small cap fund.
But I'm also saying ETFs are popular overseas for a reason; mutual funds usually don't outperform the index unlike the case in Malaysia
dasecret
post Jul 29 2016, 05:10 PM

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hmm... the spam that everyone got, and I DONT HAVE one? hmm.gif

*Not that I wanted it la*

dasecret
post Aug 1 2016, 02:45 PM

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The announcement is not formally out yet, but I noticed the list of EPF approved funds are already updated on EPF website

http://www.kwsp.gov.my/portal/en/web/kwsp/...vestment-scheme

Surprises?
Ponzi 2.0 is not on the list - http://www.kwsp.gov.my/portal/documents/10...sh_29072016.pdf
My personal fav RHB Asian Income also not on the list while the useless GEYF is on the list mad.gif - http://www.kwsp.gov.my/portal/documents/10...sh_29072016.pdf
Affin Hwang and Kenanga doesn't have additional funds on the list
dasecret
post Aug 1 2016, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 1 2016, 04:40 PM)
thumbup.gif CIMB Principal Global Titans in the list
EIS GEMS elek.. doh.gif

Thanks for sharing - was exactly what i asked FSM over weekend email (they responded dunno yet) notworthy.gif
time to move some EPF cash to Global Titans.. waaaay too heavy in MY equities (% wise)  sweat.gif
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U r welcome... I was just curious what funds would make the list as Public Mutual publicize for weeks the funds that made it to the new list. Global Titans haven't done well since beginning of this year.. need some time to look see first before adding on to it

What's considered 'way too heavy'?

QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 1 2016, 05:30 PM)
What did i miss? Global Titans and GEYF on approved EPF list??? blink.gif apa sedang terjadi
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U've been too busy on the trading threads la.... EPF now removed the 30% overseas exposure limit and hence a bunch of funds now are EPF approved.

From what I see, Public Mutual is the biggest gainer, a lot of the "better" performing funds are now back to the EPF approved list; nothing really exciting for the other fundhouse
dasecret
post Aug 2 2016, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 2 2016, 03:18 PM)
Aussie cuts rates again. RHB Asian Total Return should see some gains brows.gif
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Still holding a big chunk? I actually sold 1/3 and took profit. I prefer RHB Asian Income more than ATR actually; or Affin Hwang Select Bond for the same class. But FSM no longer sells Affin Hwang Select Bond
dasecret
post Aug 2 2016, 09:22 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 2 2016, 09:14 PM)
holding since Mid Jan...no top up or changes....
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Quick question - why did you decide to go for cimb small cap? Actually the portfolio is very high on Malaysia small cap and you would probably be better off if you just stuck to EI small cap
dasecret
post Aug 3 2016, 10:28 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 2 2016, 09:42 PM)

for diversification on FHs not so much of portfolio diversification....
just imagine if I had just place all into CIMB small cap...die-lah.
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But then if you only chose 1, very unlikely to choose CIMB small cap right? Kenanga Growth Fund and EI Small cap 10 year return is so much higher compared to CIMB small cap, in fact, all durations also better than CIMB small cap

No offense, just trying to say sometimes fundhouse diversification may not work... there was a term for it right? to describe over diversification
dasecret
post Aug 3 2016, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 3 2016, 01:30 PM)
What? A Balanced fund being recommended this month? doh.gif

https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...gust-2016--7343
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To be fair, this balanced fund is not bad
So I use portfolio simulator to compare portfolio 1 (50% EI bond & 50% EI small cap) with portfolio 2 (100% Smart balanced); this is the 10 years return
Attached Image

Volatility is higher, behaving more like an equity fund, but the returns is actually higher for 10 year annualised. The more recent returns are not as great, but for those who want to buy and forget about it for the next 10 years, it's really not a bad choice; self rebalanced somemore
dasecret
post Aug 3 2016, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 3 2016, 02:32 PM)
When u do your own "balanced" portfolio, u save sales charge on the bond portion. This is not taken into account.
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Buying from FSM for 50% bond fund you saved say 1% for the portfolio, over 10 years annualised return would be 0.1%? quite immaterial wor

You know I've subscribed to your idea in the past, until quite recently I realise, actually there's a different perspective to this
dasecret
post Aug 3 2016, 11:15 PM

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QUOTE(vincabby @ Aug 3 2016, 10:42 PM)
is there anything out there that can measure out my funds' total volatility? not sure what mine is right now or knowing if i can accept it.
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FSM has the tool to calculate portfolio volatility. Try it
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/portf...tPortfolio.svdo

Morningstar register free account can do funds correlation. But in USD terms. For ringgit terms fund correlation so far we've only seen lukenn do it for the lucky few

dasecret
post Aug 4 2016, 08:58 AM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Aug 4 2016, 12:03 AM)
Assuming there are two small cap funds, A and B.

Top 5 stocks of A: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Top 5 stocks of B: 5, 6, 7, 8, 9

Fund A bought stock 5 at 1.00;
Fund B bought stock 5 at 1.50;
Current price: 1.40

Question: Is owning 2 small cap funds a bad idea?

P/S The term diworseification was coined by Peter Lynch. It refers to scenarios whereby a company diversifies into segments it has no advantage, e.g. plantation firm enters into banking. Nothing to do with UTF portfolio.
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I obviously do not read enough financial literature to be able to quote famous people tongue.gif
On your POV/argument, there are some merits, but in the basic economic theory, we learn that we have limited resources and therefore the idea is to deploy it to the area where we would gain the most (was it utility?)

So in this instance, you may get some advantages from having 2 small cap funds that may compliment each other a bit in terms of cushioning the fluctuation, but largely they would move in the same direction because they invest in the same market.

Based on what we've seen; the sharpe ratio is significantly more superior for EI small cap compared to CIMB small cap. So if you invest in these 2 funds equally instead of putting 100% in EI small cap, back test would show that you make a lot less. Of course no one can predict the future, but using historical data as a guide, the possibility of CIMB small cap performing at par or overperforming EI small cap is somewhat remote.

Then the question is, does the cost (lower returns) outweigh the benefit (fund house diversification)?
To me, the answer is no, not when both funds are in the same segment.

Diversification across different segment is a totally different topic though. Because the funds in each segment does not move in the same direction, in fact, some move in opposite direction. Then going back to the same cost benefit analysis, the cost is still lower returns, but the benefit is significantly lower portfolio volatility. The answer to me is, yes, it's worth the potentially lower returns, because the portfolio would be a lot more stable
dasecret
post Aug 4 2016, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 4 2016, 10:27 AM)
er.. academic BS coming:
Lower correlation may not equate to lower returns.
There's a very nice BUT long youtube video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rTBEZSL7-4
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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Aug 4 2016, 02:55 PM)
To cut a long story short:-

1. Diworsification applies for unit trust investments. If you are going to buy 4 different unit trusts from 4 different fund houses which are investing in the same market, it is akin to putting a gun to your head and pulling the trigger.

2. There are three ways to diversify: (1) across assets, (2) across the capital markets, and (3) across time (read the book entitled "The Elements of Investing" by Burton Malkiel).

This will improve our chances of long-term investing success.

3. From my own experience, the theory of investing is simple but the practise is difficult.
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rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif
So many good comments come out of the discussion
TQ sifus
dasecret
post Aug 5 2016, 02:31 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 5 2016, 02:21 PM)
While I just thinking to top up, but pulled back after realising that I've been deploying a lot of cash into my stocks investments for the past 2 months sweat.gif

It's still one of the better funds to have exposure to Developed Markets...no? unsure.gif
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Becos crystal ball say so wor cool2.gif
Anyway I'm keeping mine, just not topping up
dasecret
post Aug 5 2016, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Aug 5 2016, 02:38 PM)
Aberdeen Islamic World still sucks LOL

So to me Global Titans is still the better one tongue.gif
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Past 6-12 months Aberdeen exceeded GTF, even EI Global Leaders also exceeded GTF... I guess this is the argument on fund house diversification comes in lor

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