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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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AVFAN
post Jun 20 2020, 06:43 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jun 20 2020, 06:27 PM)
Another national service?

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2020...ectricity-bills

Good for rakyat, bad for shareholders? 🤔
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unclear where the money is coming from... likely part of some new debt which will be in tens/hundreds of billions anyway... for taxpayers, enjoy...

but will it affect TNB share price? hmm.gif

QUOTE
Shamsul said the total Electric Prihatin Aid package of RM2. 2 billion will be financed by the Kumpulan Wang Industri Elektrik (KWIE) fund, the finance ministry and TNB.
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...rm77-and-below/

AVFAN
post Jun 21 2020, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 21 2020, 11:55 AM)
Dow Jones -385 tomorrow red sea
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No la... that is dow futures at fri closing.

It will resume tmr morning... positive or negative, we will see.

Dow lost 208 fri.
AVFAN
post Jun 22 2020, 09:28 PM

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this report is quite negative, may further dampen bursa sentiments... invest/trade with caution.

QUOTE
Economic downturn will be worse than expected
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...-than-expected/

AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(james.6831 @ Jun 23 2020, 10:08 AM)
is tat the fastest u turn orwat...down and up 400pts in mere minutes?
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perhaps another white house fella just said, "no, it is not over". biggrin.gif

looking at nikkei, little damage as yet.

no surprise if futures turn green this afternoon.
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jun 23 2020, 08:53 AM)
Ya.. Very bleak forecasts there for the economy by the writers:
Gdp: - 7.5%
Inflation : - 2.5%
Budget Deficit: - 9%
Horrible numbers
Can see that they are also worried about the longer term prospects for the economy, esp due to the fall in investments.
Let see next month if BNM cut interest rates further.
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i see merit in all the points mentioned by the writers, esp the fall in investments.

foreign and domestic, this has been going on for some years now.. plus continuous huge gomen spending w/o investment value.

but i disagree on the inflation.... i dun think deflation will happen here; inflation will continue except for big tickets - houses, cars, office rents.

the scenario painted doesn't bode well for bursa at all.... except gloves if demand stays.


AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(wayton @ Jun 23 2020, 11:13 AM)
Some house price are dropping due to oversupply, many discount and rebate around.
Ron95 price last time over Rm2, now RM 1.59
Office rent won't go up with many office space cannot rent out with many banner for rent for sale.
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yep, u got those right.

BUT... even with "low" petrol prices, dun expect chicken and roti to come down in price.

if fact, they will keep rising... becos a lot of items like chicken feed, flour are all imported... and RM is always weakening.
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 11:21 AM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 23 2020, 11:10 AM)
11:07am
topglove who dumped 1.5m shares?? laugh.gif
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wait until this afternoon... we might see more selling.

market is jittery... weak forecast + dow futures thunderbolts zapping up n down.
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 23 2020, 03:15 PM)
this tg keep hovering around 1548-1550 enough to cover trading fee ka?
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i think it's good... consolidating for next leg up.

same with supermx... 738.

we'll see what happens nearer closing...
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(Xp3rT @ Jun 23 2020, 04:26 PM)
yup seems like consolidating for next wave
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topglove looks good enuf. cheers.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 23 2020, 11:55 PM

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IDSS (shorts) is supposed to resume on 1 July, but do we think it will be extended since bursa is still so dem weak?! biggrin.gif


also, glove players... be informed TOPGLOV-C57 call warrant is maturing next Tue, 30 June.

anyone here has some idea how this will affect the mother and other glove counters?
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 09:30 AM

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other than gloves, there isn't anything exciting on bursa, is there?!

gomen stuck with politics; economy incl bursa on "random walk". laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Jun 24 2020, 09:32 AM)
All go south...
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gloves all green.
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 10:42 AM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jun 24 2020, 10:36 AM)
If short, the hardest hit will be.... gloves?
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do not think shorting will always bring price down.

it works both ways.

if a counter is strong, shorts will eventually need to cover, lose their butts and push price even higher.

best example is tesla in nasdaq - people have been shorting since it was $600... now it is 1,001.
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jun 24 2020, 10:49 AM)
Well, in your own opinions, once the short happens, which will go up... and which will go down?
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that, i do not know bursa well enough.

perhaps the "shorters" can comment.


AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 02:04 PM

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for those interested in glove industry, topglove:
https://research.sginvestors.io/2020/06/mal...2020-06-24.html
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 04:18 PM

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poor sentiments...

dow futures - 2xx... due to:

QUOTE
European markets lower as surge in coronavirus cases spooks investors
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/24/european-ma...irus-cases.html

There’s a wave of selling estimated to be in the billions that’s about to hit the stock market
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/23/theres-a-wa...ock-market.html


AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 05:06 PM

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KLCI closed 1502.

nice. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 05:51 PM

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at this time, EU, dow futures are crimson.

zombie kangaroo market!

will see tmr morning.

gudluk to all.



AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 09:32 PM

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QUOTE(bronkos @ Jun 24 2020, 08:48 PM)
QUOTE
He pointed to the tech sector as the sector that might be the most resilient during the current economic uncertainty, given the fact that there is still a lot of technology adoption that companies need to embrace.

Meanwhile, MIDF group managing director Datuk Charon Wardini Mokhzani highlighted that prolonged liquidity in the financial market may also worsen wealth inequality.

"The people with money are just getting richer because if we have the money to put into the market and invest in assets, we are the only ones who will be making more and more. And that money was originally supposed to help the guy with no money, but for some reason, that money ended up in the market.

"Unfortunately, it does mean that the rich get richer, which again, in the long run, is not sustainable," he added.


this article is right but is taking it wholesale from on a USA/EU context.
i dun think it applies here.
here, which tech sector is so great? which tech cos. are now flying?
gomen is not giving free billions to GLCs, are they?
where got money?!
but if gomen starts borrowing or raise taxes to bail out the GLCs or cronies, that will be true.
so far, when gomen here gives out free money, many people do use it to pay bills, buy food.

in USA/EU, they have issued trillions of new $/Euros to buy back bonds, incl individual co. bonds.
they are big enough to keep printing new money w/o immediate major consequences.
that is, cos. that are supposed to go bust are now saved, they now have new cash to put back into stock markets or do whatever they want.
surely, this does not benefit the common man.
but the idea is that if big biz survives, the little employees survive too - can't argue with that.
but true - in those places.. RICH GET RICHER, POOR GETS POORER.
until it burst and collapses totally.
that day may be 10, 20, 100 years away, though.
but when it comes, u can be sure there will be WW3 becos W "solves" all debt problems.

AVFAN
post Jun 24 2020, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(bronkos @ Jun 24 2020, 09:37 PM)
Pretty sure he's talking about local stock market situation.

However mentioning tech without going into details is also confusing.

I mean how many outstanding tech firms do we have in malaysia.
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local where got hi-tech champions that make billions in profits?

maybe he was imagining "flying car"?! tongue.gif

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