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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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AVFAN
post May 18 2021, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ May 18 2021, 03:10 PM)
CA show me oil will have a turning point 3rd week of May (small turning point) and final week of June (the big one).

Hopefully you guys can benefit by starting to strategies your position in O&G like I did with gold.

I did highlight gold and silver last month based on CA.
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it looks like the world is now short of everything... semiconductors, iron ore, containers, food, vaccines...

perhaps this is the final tell tale sign - too much cash chasing a shortage of essential goods = hyperinflation looming...?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 18 2021, 03:25 PM
AVFAN
post May 18 2021, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 18 2021, 03:46 PM)
Well shorties are professionals. They have unlimited resources, bullet, media coverage etc (just assuming tongue.gif)

current short has increased, almost two fold from this afternoon.

TG - 1,219,600
Spmx - 53,200
Harta - 345,400
Kossan - 0

kept pressing it against the current buy volume. doesnt wanna let it go >1% biggrin.gif
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TG - that's 14% of vol; harta 11%.

the dog does not wanna let go of the bone! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post May 19 2021, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(frank0725 @ May 19 2021, 03:12 PM)
6xxx daily cases. fast run
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yet to peak... likely 8,000 a day.

full lockdown coming.

stay home, dun get sick.

if u do, no hospital to go to now.
AVFAN
post May 19 2021, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 18 2021, 03:46 PM)

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what are the glove shorts so far today?! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post May 19 2021, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 19 2021, 04:30 PM)
current short for TG 1,921,700. it was only less 1mill before 230pm.
increased by 400k units compared to yesterday  biggrin.gif
harta 522,300
spmx 31,600
kossan - 0
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thanks for info!

4 gloves shorts paper gain now close to zero.
AVFAN
post May 19 2021, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ May 19 2021, 09:20 PM)
I see crypto bloodbath today.
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crypto is probably the king of "stuck at penthouse".

then again, everyone knows what goes up at lightning speed comes down same.

if one likes salted fish, one can stand the thirst.
AVFAN
post May 20 2021, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 20 2021, 09:51 AM)
quite aggressive short in the morning first 30 mins
TG - 313,700
Harta - 117,500
Spmx -81,600

Been shorting averagely 1.8m on TG on daily basis recently.

Guess all current funds flow into oversold tech for the time being. nasdaq huge rebound yesterday
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thanks for info.

at this rate, TG will be >3.2% very soon.

harta should hold well today, last day cum dividend.


AVFAN
post May 20 2021, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 20 2021, 03:22 PM)
each time when TG is about to go green, then it got pressed again

current short on TG - 1,037,600
harta - 467,400
spmx - 98,400
kossan - 0
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thanks.

10% vol or so, the usual.

shortie can no longer cause too big a fall, just stopping the rising momentum when it occurs.

i wait for the day they start to buy back rm3.26bil - for a month?! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post May 20 2021, 03:41 PM

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QUOTE(Duckies @ May 20 2021, 03:31 PM)
Gov says gonna decide if they are gonna implement full MCO tomorrow. Bursa crash incoming?
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there will no big diff from now.

same now + close all schools, hotels, resorts, worship places, pasars and bazaars.

which they should have done before raya.

construction, factories, plantations will go on as usual.

gomen no money to give free money to the poor, no money to give free food to a few million illegals.


can already figure which bursa counters will fall big...
AVFAN
post May 20 2021, 07:22 PM

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AA/AAZ will fly tmr...

QUOTE
AirAsia X posts record quarterly loss, eighth in a row
AVIATION

The airline, an affiliate of AirAsia Group Bhd, on Thursday reported a net loss of RM5.67bil billion in January-March, more than 10 times the loss of RM549.7mil seen in the same period last year.
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...eighth-in-a-row

AVFAN
post May 21 2021, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ May 21 2021, 03:07 PM)
Baited the hook and the line has been cast.
Now sit and wait for matches.

Darn thing looks to have stabilized.
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things should sink a bit further:

QUOTE
Covid-19: 6,493 cases for 498,795 total, S'gor still with most cases at 2,163
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2021...t-cases-at-2163

Free Covid-19 testing detects high positive rate in 6 S’gor constituencies
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/575534


selangor should see some hard shutdowns in a lot more places.
AVFAN
post May 21 2021, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(EBBattlefield @ May 21 2021, 03:16 PM)
2000 case in selangor, 50% from voluntary testing.
quite a lot of asymptomatic cases it seems
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this is the scary part.

i have never taken a test... so, i dunno!

imagine 5% asymp... going to schools, worships places, offices, then eat in aircond places, sit in aircond buses, trains...

well, not sick, must be ok.... but in reality, has infected many others.

and now, many have been "vaccinated", sure feel confident, less precautions - can jalan jalan everywhere..?

this virus is sly and cunning, is not going away just like that.
AVFAN
post May 21 2021, 03:23 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ May 21 2021, 03:20 PM)
I'm of the opinion that this drop is the current pricing in of the hard MCO and the high cases.
How much more it has to drop, of course, can be a source of debate. I waited for the afternoon session to see how things would develop, looks to have stabilized a bit. That said, no guarantee that it won't waterfall at closing.

Already rolled the dice but of course, still have unallocated funds sitting in the bank as backup.
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waterfall if putrajaya announces some real hard unexpected moves.

short of that, i agree... much is priced in - for now.
AVFAN
post May 21 2021, 03:41 PM

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must be NSC meeting slowly commencing, slow slow.

there will be no announcement until 9pm - moo wants to speak.

AVFAN
post May 21 2021, 07:04 PM

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QUOTE(matrix88 @ May 21 2021, 06:54 PM)
means fxxx up la, all market US and regional all up up up, we down almost all red.
opportunity gone.
if US down tonight, monday we kena again?
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QUOTE(james.6831 @ May 21 2021, 06:57 PM)
Better to move your money to US markets haha thats wat i did… no mood to invest in bursa edy la hari hari merah… all goreng goreng action only now
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USD is now 4.15.
SGD 3.11

u can figure out the rest as to what investors foreign or domestic think of our bdoor hotshots.
AVFAN
post May 24 2021, 09:29 AM

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some big players are seriously preparing for a coming bond market crash - interest rates forced to go up, bond prices dive.

reminds me of "the big short".

QUOTE
Michael Burry’s SHOCKING Position REVEALED | Hyper-Inflation Prep
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81bM_ZUqpG4

AVFAN
post May 24 2021, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(gordonchin @ May 20 2021, 06:04 PM)
UWC being dumped heavy lately. Share price running ahead of earnings? Or growth story not as convincing.
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UWC some recovery today.

tech stocks will continue to see volatility as nasdaq swings up and down with the threat of rising int rates.

QUOTE(joeblow @ May 23 2021, 07:38 PM)
With daily cases over 6k, a mco that people think will not resolve the problem, slow vaccination progress, businesses slowly dying if not already dead, why would folks still think market will go up? Is it because last week's market priced in worse mco measures? How about the fact that our economy is real bad now?

One accounting firm I know, many of their business customers have many tax refunds pending from LHDN. Prepaid xxx but last year's profit tanked.

I wonder if the govt has the means to refund... Much like the gst refund. Not sure when life will be back to normal and can fly again... How AirAsia can survive without govt backing seriously a miracle.
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i doubt that many people see overall bursa on rising trend.

more like some take the position that certain counters are worth a punt in the short term... possibly based on coming profits, projects, what not.
AVFAN
post May 25 2021, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 25 2021, 02:08 PM)
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mr-d...ew-say-analysts

What say you?

MrDIY to replace Supermax ? Spmx currently has the lowest market capitalisation now. Can shorties still short spmx if they were to be delisted from klci main?

on a side note, current RSS :-
TopGlove - 349,100
Harta - 566,300
Spmx -53,900
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i think so... superman has been kryptonited.

rss... for TG, there is short and buyback at same time everyday now... holding at 3.0x%... maybe shortie can't borrow more.

harta, very much at it still.
AVFAN
post May 25 2021, 03:36 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 25 2021, 03:28 PM)
sad to see such stock and company with good earning to go down to the drain like that. Can see why Stanley Thai DGAF anyway tongue.gif
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supermax future lies in their UK+US projects which they hyped up quite a bit.

if they fail to complete on time or make any money, these will haunt them very badly.
AVFAN
post May 25 2021, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 25 2021, 04:02 PM)
Among the big 4, Spmx has the lowest PE of 3.63. Yea no one see glove FA anymore cos of "market is forward looking". But at times like that with lots of uncertainties and severity of msia covid cases. I'll still continue to trade on 2nd tier glove stocks - covid cases and lockdown sentiment driven now (instead of investing).

Update :-
Harta's RSS has double up to 946,500
others maintain + a bit
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harta... that much is obvious today... the way the selling lots go.

good also... see how low they press, maybe buy a bit. laugh.gif

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