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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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AVFAN
post Apr 28 2021, 10:08 AM

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bursa struggling... klci in and out of 1600... no good for traders.

tech... all look weak.

gloves.... second liners incl mahsing already shed 10% from high.

big 4 looks holding better.
AVFAN
post Apr 28 2021, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(Ryosuke_82 @ Apr 28 2021, 10:20 AM)
Good time to top up.
SPMX next QR report will push the price up again smile.gif
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i personally think it isn't a bad time to add spmx and TG if planning to hold for a while.

but watch for volatility as there is a major shift in the holdings of these 2, still on-going.

retailers continued selling, picked up by local funds, shortie still active.

QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Apr 28 2021, 10:17 AM)
waiting for cup & handle for glove to form? today struggle coz 2morrow public hol.
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yes, that may be.

i am bullish for the next 2-3 weeks. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Apr 28 2021, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(kinrarateoh @ Apr 28 2021, 12:16 PM)
Wow...Gtronic being shorted?  Down to 2.30.
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no, nothing.

other than the 4 gloves, there is only 1 counter shorted >1% - JAKS.
AVFAN
post Apr 29 2021, 08:38 AM

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QUOTE(izzudrecoba @ Apr 28 2021, 08:47 PM)
Jerung (EPF) keep on accumulating Gtronic shares bro. How?  doh.gif
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overall, E&E and rubber products should continue to do well.

QUOTE
In March 2021, E&E products were the major exports. They were valued at RM39.54 billion, up 47.1 per cent from a year earlier, and constituted 37.7 per cent of total exports.

Rubber products came second with a value of RM7.32 billion (7.0 per cent of total exports), surging by 210.6 per cent y-o-y.
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...l-in-march-2021

AVFAN
post Apr 30 2021, 03:04 PM

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what's up with gloves today?

quite red this morning... now, almost all green.

can't be this TG news:
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...-top-glove-ban/


AVFAN
post Apr 30 2021, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(Taikor.Taikun @ Apr 30 2021, 03:29 PM)
I entered more Kossan this morning, shortly after it begin to fall, damn! I missed the chance to collect low
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i already added spmx+TG yesterday, was just watching today.

very tricky today - some wanna sell big, some wanna buy big.

QUOTE(Ryosuke_82 @ Apr 30 2021, 04:48 PM)
Tu dia. Orang dah bg tips x nak dengar... degil pulak tu. "All in AT" pulak lol

Care+, SPMX, Adventa flying~~  thumbup.gif
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i am a bit surprised but pleased SPMX finished at 6.03 - looks like good stuff next week! biggrin.gif

TG... lots of selling at around 5.66 - someone sold big here today, but could be shortie reusing the 5 million bought back a day earlier.
AVFAN
post Apr 30 2021, 06:56 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ Apr 30 2021, 01:24 PM)
I think bomb coming. Boooooooommmmmmmmm.  laugh.gif

Just to share my opinion for my own trading decision.

Do your own due diligent for any trading/investment decision.  smile.gif
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the "bomb" will come, for sure. biggrin.gif

but it may not be a big global nuclear bomb but a regional cluster bomb - some gets fried, some may come out ok?

.. EU in recession due to lockdown.
.. USA good GDP growth, but for how long?
.. India in panic mode 400k covid cases a day, but still doing elections, religious gatherings, no fear, F it, it seems.
.. Singapore banks profit SURGE big time, nice... but... hospital staff positive despite TWO vaccinations...what happened?
.. Locally, 3788 cases today - menteris now like headless chicken... dunno whether to close schools, places of worship or bazaars or just fine RM50k each?

recovery stocks i will not touch... healthcare, think can hold la.. tongue.gif

AVFAN
post Apr 30 2021, 10:47 PM

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QUOTE(lopo90 @ Apr 30 2021, 10:22 PM)
Today, it seems like some big players were shorting supermax in the morning. Managed to enter around 5.75

Patiently waiting for TP RM 7 tongue.gif maybe add a bit more next Monday if the price is right
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that's what i thought too, at first.

but no.... only a small amount shorted for harta today:
QUOTE
5168 HARTA HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BHD 898,248  87,200
https://www.bursamalaysia.com/misc/missftp/..._2021-04-30.pdf


the info from bursa seems to allude to EPF taking profits for TG, kossan, harta - seen that for some days now.

could be some FF and/or LF selling too.

but EPF fund managers trade big time all the time, hard to say what they r doing over a longer period.


SPMX, there are wild rumors that the coming QR will be way above expectations, marvelous dividend.

let's not get carried away, we shall see then! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 1 2021, 07:46 PM

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gloves... today, TWO reports from STAR:

QUOTE
Top Glove leads the way in workers’ welfare
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...workers-welfare

What’s in store for the rubber glove sector?
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...love-the-sector

AVFAN
post May 2 2021, 08:39 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ May 2 2021, 08:32 PM)
MCO and the share price of glove companies, strong correlation.
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think so too.

MY glove counter shares are predominantly owned by MALAYSIAN entities - directors, EPF, local funds, retailers.

hence the sentiment is predominantly local.

but when it comes to actual sales, not same la... we all know that too, of course.



speaking of which, there is a viral msg going round MCO3.0 starting tmr - fake news, i think.

menteli just said NSC not had meeting yet... ramadan.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 2 2021, 09:00 PM
AVFAN
post May 2 2021, 08:46 PM

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QUOTE(Reyeskb @ May 2 2021, 03:04 PM)
Can foresee shorties will be very busy to press down the glove stock price tomorrow.
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i think the opposite will happen.

wed, there was 5 mil shares buy back for TG; fri, no short except a bit for harta.

tmr morning, we will know if there was buyback on fri.... i m expecting it.

so, we'll see data tmr, 8am or so.

this coming week, if glove sentiments up, i wud think shortie will continue to buyback.

just my guess only... they are <rm100mil in the red, small change, may keep shorting, who knows?

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 2 2021, 08:46 PM
AVFAN
post May 3 2021, 11:15 AM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ May 2 2021, 09:06 PM)
The MCO usually needs a couple of days post announcement to take effect so you may be right about it being fake news.
India strain already being on our shores was the bigger news for me, that one is really virulent.
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no mco so far.

i actually doubt they will do that as that will make the small pasars/bazaars people very angry - our politicians primarily think of votes.

BUT, it is very likely they will close all avenues of mass gatherings - schools, places of worship, celebrations... restrict dining to 3-5 people, etc.

still... things can change quickly if we get >5k cases a day.

QUOTE(Reyeskb @ May 2 2021, 03:04 PM)
Only know this is definitely bad news for recovery stocks. Not sure for glove stocks though...let's see on tomorrow morning.

Can foresee shorties will be very busy to press down the glove stock price tomorrow.
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apr 28, shortie bought back a bit of TG.

and >6mil of kossan... think buying back again today, tmr.

understandable... kossan dividend ex date on may 5.


and... the way spmx is going, it does look like some nice QR on the way.
AVFAN
post May 3 2021, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(james.6831 @ May 3 2021, 03:26 PM)
Mco pricing in… sell in may and go away pricing in.. foreign funds lari again also maybe…
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yes.

QUOTE
Date Net (Bought - Sold)
Foreign Local Inst. Local Ret.Total
03 May - - - 3.44b
30 Apr (217m) 134m 83m 4.61b
28 Apr (80m) (14m) 94m 3.86b
27 Apr (230m) 91m 138m 5.07b

AVFAN
post May 3 2021, 03:53 PM

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..

This post has been edited by AVFAN: May 3 2021, 03:55 PM
AVFAN
post May 4 2021, 10:48 AM

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jittery morning.

recovery stocks flat.

tech down.

gloves down, now up.

harta looking good - QR today.
AVFAN
post May 4 2021, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(Ryosuke_82 @ May 4 2021, 11:52 AM)
Investing is like fishing, rileks je.
My TP queued at 6.2. Once hit auto sell.
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hopefully, the harta QR will do another "kossan"! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 4 2021, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ May 4 2021, 01:43 PM)
Harta QR PAT 1.1B. Within expectation or not? tongue.gif
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the market is saying it is below expectations, at least relative to last kossan QR.

i personally dun think it is poor, esp if u read the presentation slides talking about ASP, production, capacity, shipping obstacles, etc.

in particular, they are expecting ASP to be higher in upcoming qtr alto we know it will ease off soon after that.

anyone wanna throw stones or spit on it, pls do.

but try naming some others making 49% net margin, same 33 sen or higher per share per quarter.

other than the other big 3, that is.


i await my 17.7 sen dividend - ex date 21 may, payment 9 june! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post May 4 2021, 06:42 PM

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about MCO...


QUOTE
SIX districts in Selangor will be placed under movement-control order (MCO) starting May 6, said Senior Minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob.

The six districts are Hulu Langat, Petaling, Gombak, Klang, Kuala Langat and Sepang. Kuala Lumpur remains under conditional MCO.
https://www.themalaysianinsight.com/s/313896
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2021...r-from-may-6-17

AVFAN
post May 5 2021, 08:54 AM

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yellen said "rates will rise" - that spooked tech, esp the small caps.

she later walked back on that talk but damage was already done.
AVFAN
post May 5 2021, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(izzudrecoba @ May 5 2021, 09:19 AM)
UWC drop and further drop bro  bangwall.gif
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ya, it is approaching my entry price.

will wait and see further.

small amount, not too much to worry about...

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