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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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AVFAN
post Jun 28 2021, 12:52 PM

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QUOTE(propertyfeature @ Jun 28 2021, 11:53 AM)
For me, I like Dialog's business model whereby they focus on building assets and tank storage (midstream) which proved to be resilient even during this pandemic times.. Only EPCC (downstream) is affected, whilst their business are not affected by the fluctuations of crude oil price & risks are well managed. 

As for growth catalysts, I believe there is a major shortage of petrochemicals to serve the South east Asia population.
(current commercial storage capacity of ~14 mil meter cube to cater for 3 bil population base)

In contrast to developed countries eg. Netherlands @ Rotterdam Port which is one of the largest petrochemical center of the world with independent storage capacity of ~30 mil meter cube to cater for 400mil population base - European counterpart

One can look into the Pengerang Deepwater Terminals & future phases in Johor.. not to mention, the geographically blessed location of Pengerang site
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i like and hv dialog too... just dunno when it will pick up given all that we know now.


anyway, if thing get worse, shut down factories, everything incl RM will be screwed deep:

QUOTE
Malaysia’s total trade expands by 48.7% y-o-y to RM170.9b in May 2021 — DOSM

Mohd Uzir also highlighted the expansion in exports was mainly driven by electrical and electronic products (RM8.1 billion), rubber products (RM3.6 billion) and Petroleum products (RM3 billion), among others.
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mala...-%E2%80%94-dosm
AVFAN
post Jun 28 2021, 04:15 PM

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PM to announce new stimulus package at 5pm
AVFAN
post Jun 29 2021, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(propertyfeature @ Jun 28 2021, 10:50 AM)
I bought some Dialog.. but, expect more red days in coming months due to prolonged FMCO & political instability.
Fortunately, majority of my investment are in USA .. not Bursa.  thumbsup.gif
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did u buy Dialog in time for the dividend?

received today... tiny one. biggrin.gif


AVFAN
post Jun 29 2021, 03:11 PM

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QUOTE(propertyfeature @ Jun 29 2021, 03:02 PM)
nope, bought mainly for capital gains haha..
do you invest in US markets too ?
My holdings & returns in US has been wonderful.. (Palantir, Stoneco, Baba)
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i have little left now, used to have a lot more.

was mainly in ETF's - XLE, XFI, QQQ...
AVFAN
post Jun 30 2021, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Jun 30 2021, 10:08 AM)
foreign selling
FF non stop selling, incl shorts, no confidence.

QUOTE
Market Participants
Date Net (Bought - Sold)
Foreign Local Inst. Local Ret.Total
30 Jun - - - 795.21m
29 Jun (56m) (44m) 100m 2.63b
28 Jun (127m) 24m 103m 2.41b
25 Jun (1m) (121m) 122m 2.56b
24 Jun (80m) (28m) 108m 3.03b
23 Jun (62m) (86m) 147m 2.78b
22 Jun (142m) 61m 81m 3.08b
21 Jun (185m) 63m 122m 2.80b
https://www.pickastock.info/MarketParticipation

AVFAN
post Jun 30 2021, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(propertyfeature @ Jun 30 2021, 01:54 PM)
could be a cover up for a more serious underlying illness
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in chinese drama, old times, it is the top tactic if an official wants to avoid a meeting with the emperor.
AVFAN
post Jun 30 2021, 05:36 PM

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QUOTE(joeblow @ Jun 30 2021, 03:50 PM)
Could be the start of something. An excuse to step down due to health reason.
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i dun think so, more like gearing up for a big fight!

if below macai behavior is such, what u think the taikor?

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2021...n-in-video-clip
AVFAN
post Jul 1 2021, 07:50 PM

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QUOTE(joeblow @ Jul 1 2021, 03:38 PM)
If Moo resigns how will market react?

1. If as per rumour H2O takes over.
2. Agong does a parliament vote and winner becomes PM (most likely Anwar).
3. Agong dissolves parliament, gets a caretaker PM (anyone but Moo or Azmin) until can have election. (unlikely to have election ASAP).

I think the market will react positively either 3 scenarios happen. Market has lost confidence in Moo and PN I think. Thoughts?

https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...p-on-the-cards/
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Our elite politicians are very predictable.

If they walk away willingly, they make sure they keep their treasure chests, nobody goes after them.

Najis cudnt becos he lost in GE.

I see continuously battles. Taxpayers, rakyat lose all, as usual.

No way moo, assmeen, hemzsa et tal will give up decades of "hard work".

AVFAN
post Jul 2 2021, 09:06 AM

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QUOTE(skty @ Jul 2 2021, 02:04 AM)
Hello. Apologies for late reply as I no longer track this thread. Saw notification of your tagging and came to see what is it about.

First and foremost, I am not sifu. Not qualified to be one.

Good to know that you have learnt a lot from my posts. I hope you have taken actions as well because knowledge is useless, applied knowledge is powerful.

Regarding your question about CA turning point, I have done my part and warned enough about 2H2021.

Below is my view, same view and I am always wrong:

In 2H2021, whoever that invest based on fundamental and have the buy and hold mentality will feel the same experience as the recent price decline of SERBADK. Warren Buffett is no exception to that as well. He knows that and he is holding tons of cash that can double his net worth when the blood is shed. Retailers do not have those kind of cash reserves, so be careful of your capital. 4Q2022 will be the time for value investing to shine again. I am excited to see what WB will do in 4Q2022.

Pay attention to what the rich and wealthy society is doing. This time round, divorce has been used as the smoke bomb to preserve wealth. Their net worth will double up again when the crisis is over.

Pay attention to how the repo market is doing. Things are getting real bad with bunch of PHD working in the government trying to outsmart the free market. No one can fight against the free market, not even US government.

Pay attention to the rate of China's disposing the US bonds. I hope they know what to do, and do it fast. If not they are going to be hurt real bad. Bonds are the trigger for all upcoming dooms.

I have been mentioning there will be a melt-up. I believe it has started. With that believe, I have entered to participate in the anticipated melt-up. Those whom God wishes to destroy, he first makes mad. I will enter into shorting mindset after the melt-up.

Those are my 2 cents. Wish you good luck in all your doings and stay safe.

Signing off from this thread. Peace.
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if not mistaken, u r referring to US market, which is very agreeable.

the diff with bursa is it is now continuously hammered all round even now.

so... perhaps, it means bursa will then be in double jeopardy when US marts melt down?! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 2 2021, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 2 2021, 09:18 AM)
bursa macam going to break 1500 lol.
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pm continued diarrhea, bursa follow.
AVFAN
post Jul 2 2021, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Jul 2 2021, 10:34 AM)
Sitting at home does makes someone feel itch to touch2 abit of stock market

Damn, Bursa it's like middle of nowhere now
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get ready yr warchest! biggrin.gif

waiting for moo to make next move - either he surrender or make final assault.

if do nothing but diarrhea, bursa will just follow...


AVFAN
post Jul 2 2021, 11:11 AM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Jul 2 2021, 10:51 AM)
I think the only way for now is downwards. That's the reason why I'm keeping my war chest for now. Most probably the war chest will be reserved for foreign market. I'm still hopeful of Malaysia market but not at the current state. He's leaving or not, damaged is done.
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that can only be true... the unabated exit of FF attests to that completely.

the risk is if it goes on like this for another few months, the damage may be irreversible.

but politicians dun care, do they?
AVFAN
post Jul 6 2021, 12:18 PM

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QUOTE(propertyfeature @ Jun 29 2021, 03:02 PM)

opec+ failed agreement, crude spike.

local O&G cacat...! laugh.gif

ok, dialog up 4 sen. biggrin.gif


QUOTE(Taikor.Taikun @ Jul 1 2021, 05:47 PM)


commodity prices continue to rise, incl AL.

Press metal bounce back, 5.05, nice. thumbsup.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 6 2021, 12:33 PM

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QUOTE(Taikor.Taikun @ Jul 6 2021, 12:28 PM)
Mi Tech hit 3.7 yesterday. Nice profit for those bought at 3.1.

I will still hold commodities for the time being. Waiting for few factors to clear: PM status, change or wait recovery? Lifting of state of emergency n resumption of parliament
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commodities, i will hold.

gomen, i see little or no change... same old people, same old methods or do same old nothing.

"insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expect different results."
AVFAN
post Jul 6 2021, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(jianwei90 @ Jul 6 2021, 02:25 PM)
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/581911.. why glove so bad luck this year now even MITI say they not allowed to operate..
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gloves non essential... then hospital gowns, face shields too?!

anyway, heard "many" workers in port klang positive.

maybe shut down the port, nothing gets shipped out anyway?! tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 6 2021, 03:47 PM

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7654...

and delta and lambda haven't struck hard yet.... shi...

AVFAN
post Jul 6 2021, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(BliitzkrieG @ Jul 6 2021, 04:28 PM)
I've been observing RSS on glove stocks for the past few weeks

for today, before the number of cases was announced short position on spmx was at 1,100,000+
right after then when it was increased to 1,804,500

TG - 7,400
Harta 24,300
Kossan - 49,300

been trying very hard to push spmx down. EPF have been buying whenever there is high RSS. Nothing for now recently

maybe today rss is quite high (almost double than that of yesterday close to 1mill) due to technical rebound from oversold position
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yes, i notice too - SPMX is now the prime target at >2.3%.

think we r in for a long rss war + a very long covid war! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 9 2021, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(Taikor.Taikun @ Jul 8 2021, 12:01 PM)
Read that AG, MPs n politicians at PM’s house. Gov collapsing soon? Bursa gonna fall until friday?
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that meet was probably about how to dig in, plan next offensive.

i really dun see any change coming, will be same old people doing same old things with same old noise. biggrin.gif

malaysia is not known to be brave in change or doing things differently.

but may offer some stability in that sense albeit more people getting sick and dying.

QUOTE(greyPJ @ Jul 8 2021, 10:07 PM)
today is too late to sell, should have sold when the downtrend started.

today is shopping time.
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if u had bought at lows yesterday, now is profit taking time. thumbsup.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 9 2021, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Jul 9 2021, 01:16 PM)
yes yes hahaha i bought some d&o at 4.78, enough for fish head curry and boba tea today. smile.gif
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nice!

i also traded some harta, TG, profited.

now waiting see what happens to the UWC. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jul 15 2021, 09:50 AM

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bursa is finally green today.

nobody's happy?! laugh.gif

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