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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Feb 26 2021, 02:10 PM)
It's ridiculous to pay high sales charges to those banker, which most likely won't monitor and manage for you. Unless you got like high 6 figure amount. Hehe..

For FSM, there's portfolio managed by their professional team. of course with a fee. Forgotten how much but given that, I assume you are new in UT, so imo it's better to let the pro do their things while you slowly learn

Bear in mind, it will take 2, 3 years to have stable growing gain
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But then ah, those sales charge nowadays are like 2.5%, actually, not exorbitant if we consider how much the potential returns are, and the less needs of active monitoring + stress, yes?
Oh yeah, and I have invested in UTs before, just back in those many years ago, didnt have pleasant experience. The ones I have lately, better than before, so I'm alright with them.
So as to being new to investing on my own in FSM...I think, considering how I suck in stocks, probably will reconsider this platform, haha

What do other forumers here think as well on the sales charge, btw?

QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 26 2021, 02:41 PM)
Sorry, I have no experience with MotleyFool.
Live to fight another day! smile.gif
We need true grit to survive this investment game.  console.gif

Over the years, I have seen so many forumers come and go in this forum. Presumably, some became millionaires and left the forum. Others suffered  losses and stopped investing/trading in the stock market forever or for years.
I have shared mine before.

To repeat:

1.  Stashaway
2.  FSM One Malaysia
3.  FSM One Singapore
4.  PRS
5.  SSPN
6.  EPF (self contribution)
7.  ASM

Other investments which I tried and failed

1.  Funding Societies (this is P2P)
2.  Fundaztic (this is P2P)
3.  HelloGold
Can a small fish grow and become a shark?  smile.gif
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Thanks for re-sharing, Uncle...hmm, PRS, how is it working for you? It is those very safe type, yes?

QUOTE(skty @ Feb 26 2021, 02:55 PM)
many losing money because they mixed advice up. They mixed trading advise into their investment journey or they mixed investment advise into their trading journey.

be clear with what you want to do.
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*nods* I totally agree.

QUOTE(chocomatte @ Feb 26 2021, 03:47 PM)
You can take a look at bursa built in ETFs (including commodity/china/us etc), the advantage (sort of?) is that you do not have to open another account eg. FSM/Local IB. Just google klse etf and you'll find more info
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Thanks for your reply.

QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 26 2021, 04:32 PM)
To answer your question, there’s no cut loss in my book (sorry uncle van 😭), the only reasons I’ll sell a stock are when the company starts making lesser and lesser money, so their profit graph should look like a descending pattern for a prolonged period, so you know the diminishing profit might eventually snowball into a calamity. I thought that was an obvious one. Next, thinning of profit margin should raise concern too as the company may be losing its competitive edge. Rising debt, decreasing free cash flow, decreasing EPS, DPS, excessive ESOS, all these will raise a red flag to me and warrant a deeper scrutiny. The management team matters just as much. You see why many people still betting on Air Asia even it’s obvious that they will take years to recover their losses (touch wood, even then their risk of bankruptcy remains)? Air Asia, Tony Fernandez, nuff said. I dare to say if it were another Air Line managed by other Tom Dick and Harry the company share price would probably be <30c, for example.

In case if it weren’t obvious enough, I’ve been talking about business, not the share price. If the company does well, the share price will take care of itself. No companies without solid fundamentals will be able to withstand the test of time.

I reckon the piece of mind I get despite sitting on paper losses stem from the fact that I have an ok active income with high saving rate, thanks to my frugal lifestyle. So your life commitment plays a huge role in determining how you react to those temporary losses too.
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But...what if your stock goes to 50-70% of loss when you one day log in and see its performance after 1 year, lol...still won't cut ma? And just for discussion sake, what if these companies have solid fundamentals, but just happen to be under some curse of Bursa, so it keeps sliding.

Also, thanks for the 'jia you' earlier, forgot to tell you how much that keeps my spirit up...it's been a long day for me!

pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(BoonieTan @ Feb 27 2021, 07:37 AM)
I miss this meeting as well. But I suppose Rakuten will make a summary post in its Telegram channel next Monday.
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I haven't used Telegram, is it a good app for information sharing like these?

QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Feb 27 2021, 10:08 AM)
Yup I agree that despite paying annual fee and sales charges, if pick the right UT, the annualised return is like 10%
But
Sales charge is like commission for the agent/banker and those that do research/monitoring are the fund houses/managers.
So I do mind paying high sales charges to those agent/banker but I don't mind paying annual management fee to the fund house/manager

For FSM it's a tier system, from 1.75% to 0.5% and there's another platform, EUT afaik theirs is flat at 1.25% but I never use it so not much comments. Tho I do recommend if you plan to have 6 digit and long term DCA, fsm will better choice since at 250k the sales charges is 1.25% and if you subscribe to their insurance, it's 1%.

Being new is ok, for every new investment tool we start from 0. Also depends on what and why you want to invest in UT

For me, fsm is a way for me to diversify to china and Asia market.
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Understand what you mean, at least fees are given to those who do the work, not just middlemen. Maybe I'm still dependent on banks for now.

Probably will try minimum funds for FSM. Just to spread out investment portfolio. Btw, don't have 6-digit, lol

QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Feb 27 2021, 01:58 PM)
First of all, you need to find out why does it go down “50-70%”, if it’s due to sentiment manipulation, it’s noise. It won’t matter in 5 years, much less 10. Do you have a 10 years investment horizon? smile.gif
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I can do 10-year. I'm thinking now, in my course of cutting loss on silly stocks, those capital salvaged should be allocated to steadier counters like the blue chips. Have less daily involvement this year with Bursa, still active, but less itchy hands unless I know what I'm doing.

I still have gloves, and won't diminish them all, but reduce holdings and balance keep for years. This is my thought as of Sat afternoon, lol...weekend is for me to re-think things through.
pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 27 2021, 12:53 AM)
PRS works in the same way as unit trusts. But PRS has zero sales fees.

PRS is also divided into Account A and Account B like EPF.

But I believe  investors cannot take out the money until retirement age, i.e. 60 years old except for Account B with a 8% tax penalty on the withdrawal amount. There are different types of PRS as well, low risk, medium risk and high risk.

The returns have been good. More than 10% per annum for the Principal PRS Plus Asia Pacific Ex Japan Equity - Class C which I have.

You get diversification across different countries for your stocks since this is an Asia Pacific unit trust. Lower risk than investing in an individual stock in Bursa.

Besides being an additional retirement pot, the PRS is also income tax deductible. You will be able to deduct up to RM3,000 from your taxable income, which will count towards your final tax payable. Earnings generated by the PRS funds will also be exempted from tax charges.

What more can we ask for?    rclxms.gif

P/S : Of course, PRS is not capital guaranteed. We cannot ask for the moon!  rolleyes.gif
        So, we also need to choose the type of PRS that we are going to invest in carefully.
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Zero sales fee, and your returns are decent too, sounds good already. Thanks for sharing your fund here.

QUOTE(LoTek @ Feb 27 2021, 05:18 AM)
PRS, like EPF, for now is tax deductable. If you're at the high tax brackets the tax savings alone is <20% before taking the fund performance into account. That's certainly worth being "not liquid". Also it is possible to withdraw PRS account B like EPF, or to withdraw for no reason which is subject to 8% penalty.
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Please don't whack my brain for asking, but how does this tax deductible of RM3000 contributes <20% in tax savings yea?
pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(Randomization @ Feb 27 2021, 03:07 PM)
I think he meant <20% of that 3000 deduction. Still a good saving regardless.
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Ohhh...thanks! And you guys reply so quick here, lol

Random question for everyone...does the high frequency of staying home changes anything to your lifestyle now? Do you enjoy being at home more now, cuz less hectic, more time for self, or still can't wait till the days you can go everywhere?


pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(Randomization @ Feb 27 2021, 03:48 PM)
Personally, I'm an introvert so it is fine for me. No need to think of excuses to skip gathering that I do not want to join.
The only thing I miss is travelling.

If you ask me, the most affected one are those younger gen that hangs out a lot. I can see that they having hard time staying in.
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You just described me, lol...so glad I can turn down on invites that I don't want to be part of too, haha... staying home is a peace for me generally.

QUOTE(LoTek @ Feb 27 2021, 04:00 PM)
I'm also an introvert, even though I'm sure you all will refer to me as a youngster (20s). Staying at home when not working is 2nd nature to me. However my business has been badly affected by covid, until now, my property portfolio is aimed at expats and university students (which both have left) and to make matters worse, my parents have lost their part time jobs, so I've basically been living off savings and investing (and the scraps of my business) for the last year.
Oh and my fiance is a foreigner, we were thinking of making it official last year, now I haven't seen her for a year.

Sorry for being off topic.
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Thanks for sharing how it's like for you. Besides the financial part, it'd take it that it's very trying when you don't get to meet your significant other.
Feels like it's a big test to those who are in LDR. This pandemic will either make the heart grows fonder with absence, or jeopardize it.

QUOTE(statikinetic @ Feb 27 2021, 04:45 PM)
Don't enjoy being stuck at home this much. I enjoy being at home and all, but too much of it means less time for other areas.
Miss the adhoc coffee sessions I have with my friends from other companies and industries. Might be little bits of information here and there, but once you don't have it you realize how important it all can be added up.
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Yes, no more random coffee sessions... probably the only thing I missed from this situation. The only useful information sharing is this forum, no toxic talks, but good, decent replies from everyone, with different views. You have no idea how much I appreciate being part of the community here.

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Feb 27 2021, 05:03 PM)
your coffee session sounds so atas tongue.gif
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You are back, lol...hi, Boon3, where have you been...don't give up on us, don't keep quiet, haha
pinksapphire
post Feb 27 2021, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Feb 27 2021, 04:33 PM)
1. Public mutual have sales charges for their PRS fund. But their annual charges is just slightly less than that those who do not charge sales charges

2. It depends on your income tax bracket
If your annual salary is 60k or below, your savings should not be more than 11 percent

If your salary is dew hundred K, you may save more than 20 percent
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I will take a serious look into PRS this year. Sounds very feasible to explore in view of the manageable risk factors.


QUOTE(Boon3 @ Feb 27 2021, 05:02 PM)
There's a danger with time. Yea, time can be the darling of a wonderful biz but time can also hurt a 'good' business stuck in a rot ....

I do had a 'life' example shared here a couple of years ago ... but to avoid biasness to the stock...

let's say we a stock, which was a proven investment success story, paying over 5% dividend yield and unfortunately, after we bought it, the stock started falling and falling.
That was in 2014.
Stock till today, still pays good dividend, over 4% based on current prices.

now .... which would have been a better choice?

1. Sell and admit we made a mistake and bought a 'good' stock but at a terrible price. (potong la !)

2. Hold from 2014 till today?  (8 years investment horizon wo)
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This is my thought too when I asked on the earlier scenario. Thanks for laying it out clearer than I could.

pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(gapipig @ Mar 1 2021, 12:16 PM)
Thanks for the insight. Hopefully, my judgment based on the growing QR reports is a good call.
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Stellar QRs seem to mean little in Bursa in my very limited experience in stocks so far, lol

QUOTE(gapipig @ Mar 1 2021, 12:20 PM)
I'm a bit of both. I can hold long term until there's profit, I'm in no rush to cut loss if it goes red. But if it goes green next week and the profit is nice, I'll let it go.
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If you can let go by next week if got profit, then you're not investing already.

This post has been edited by pinksapphire: Mar 1 2021, 12:23 PM
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 01:12 PM

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QUOTE(joeblow @ Mar 1 2021, 01:07 PM)
Over the weekend Astro News got 2 clips on Gloves stock. Now they are still on average (top 4) up around 200% pre pandemic, and there's real fear the vaccine is working thus resulting in lower demand for gloves next year. Also more supply is coming and if demand doesn't go up, the top 4 gloves can lower price to eliminate competition. One of the analyst is still bullish though he mentioned has to take note of the entry price. I guess lots of moms and pops watch Astro News...
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Thanks for the summary of this news. I heard about it as well in brief. Enough to tank the gloves today.
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 03:00 PM

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Is anyone still getting Thong Guan for long term investment? The price has been sliding, not sure if good to add more, hmm
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Mar 1 2021, 12:52 PM)
I cannot be any more happier today holy smoke
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Next time must follow whatever you go for liao...you're the one with MPI, yes?
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Mar 1 2021, 03:03 PM)
Man feel good finally sold few lots of MPI. About time lets gooooo
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Lol, you posted just when I asked you about MPI above.

About time meaning it's going to retrace or?
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Mar 1 2021, 03:02 PM)
Hahaha, sell only la if you are scared. Hold cash is actually not bad now, Local funds selling for 2-3 months straight ady
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I've never thought conserving cash would be the most right thing to do until this year, lol...felt like invest in anything also very risky these days.

QUOTE(skulless @ Mar 1 2021, 03:02 PM)
Does fundamental still plays a major part in Bursa? More like sentiment these days, just look at Dataprp lol. Fundamentally gloves stock are very profitable still but drop like crazy today.
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Main sentiment than fundamentals, if I may say.
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Mar 1 2021, 03:45 PM)
Depends on how low your stomach is willing to go for glove holders.
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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Mar 1 2021, 03:52 PM)
Waiting for a rebound which may not materialise to decide on the next action.

Worst case, cut half. Other half, let it rot there for years.
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I'm doing this. Cut half or all over this few days for some hopeless gloves, and leave the rest to rot for years and hopefully they'll recover. Current loss already ah ma also cannot recognise, may as well.


QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Mar 1 2021, 03:54 PM)
I think anyone who is still holding gloves should not sell today. As we all know, last week was Bursa' busiest earnings season and most funds are doing some rebalancing last week and today. So chances are, you might be selling at the bottom if things go wrong. But if you do want to cut loss, make sure your money is parked in a good place. Opportunity cost is very real.
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Thanks for this reminder, today double digit % drop on them, holding on still, don't wanna panic and do it wrong (although most may think it's stupid of me, haha)

QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Mar 1 2021, 03:56 PM)
I believe a technical rebound is near. I think Mr Market knows RSI super low, etc. But that's where the market movers are not giving in.

The loss of opportunity to buy other stocks is real too.  hmm.gif  Imagine if the banks drop 10-20% & I can't buy. (although I still have PBB)
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Who knows, maybe those opportunity costs areas will also drop further. Grass always greener on the other side, lol
pinksapphire
post Mar 1 2021, 04:56 PM

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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Mar 1 2021, 04:37 PM)
Very sensible of you.

From your reply, I think you're an expereinced investor ady.

I agree that there will be more goreng kaki nxt time, coz if they buy profitable glove company oso lose money, might as well buy lapsap goreng stocks if can earn money.
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My thoughts exactly, lol

QUOTE(statikinetic @ Mar 1 2021, 04:44 PM)
Let's talk about it next week and see how it goes Weds first.
I also felt the same way when it happened.
I have no plans to budge and will continue sitting.
Not a case of diamond hands or anything, but still need more time to see if my earlier calculations and forecasts were correct. Possibly end 2021.

If gloves drop all the way to RM 1, I"ll have a great story to tell at the coffee shop about losing most of my principle investment in something.
There is always a first time for everything. biggrin.gif
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Sorry, guys, why Wed ya? I must have missed out on something.

And I thought you don't have any gloves? I'm getting senile.
pinksapphire
post Mar 2 2021, 12:46 PM

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Anyone foreseeing any trends when MCO comes to its deadline of March 4th? ...or semua factored in cuz people expect it to get extended, lol
pinksapphire
post Mar 2 2021, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(CSW1990 @ Mar 2 2021, 10:15 AM)
anyone still holding glove stock?
used to think about hold them for long term after get trap (TG at 7.4, SPMX at 8.9, LKL 0.9) but now feel relief i cut loss last week. Since plan to hold long term i dumped to US Cruise stock and bitcoin instead..
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QUOTE(Reyeskb @ Mar 2 2021, 02:10 PM)
I am still holding TG at mid floor of 6 after average down several times  sad.gif
Btw, what happen to LKL as it has dropped from 0.80 to 0.425 recently?
It suppose not a goreng stock, right?
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QUOTE(Brico @ Mar 2 2021, 02:29 PM)
I have Kossan , TG and Super.  All stuck at Penthouse ,TG is the worst at more than 40% .
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I've cut off most of the apparent hopeless 2nd liners. I'm sure they'll go back up once I sell, haha...5 digits loss, but...I feel the same as you, I feel relieved. Maybe cuz I don't want to be holding on to something that exudes desolation. I mean, we always say they'll rebound...how low can they go, etc. But fact is, they may just go lower and lower until you can't take it. Make a decision, wanna keep - then don't check on your gloves for the next 1 year. Or else, prepare for sleepless nights.
I'm still keeping TG, Smax though...and my average prices are same like you guys.

As for LKL, can someone tell me too what happened? I can't seem to find the answer to the drastic 20% drop yesterday. I kept cuz I thought it's an one-off thing, manatau it went menjunam, damn. Is it just a bad luck that stocks I have are like this doh.gif

This post has been edited by pinksapphire: Mar 2 2021, 02:37 PM
pinksapphire
post Mar 2 2021, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(YH1234 @ Mar 2 2021, 03:49 PM)
1 truth
2 hope

2 is always less painful.
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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Mar 2 2021, 03:51 PM)
I think this is the dilemma many gloveholders are facing now.  unsure.gif

I'm hate the feeling of 1, and seeing paper losses incurred so much in so short a time, cutting feels wrong.

Might as well be forced to be a long term investor, since I don't nid the money urgently.
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I faced the truth this week. Damn pain. Although feels wrong, but still do it anyway cuz worse may be worserrr

And concurrently doing 2, the hope, may time heal us all, lol...
pinksapphire
post Mar 2 2021, 11:50 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Mar 2 2021, 06:39 PM)
share this 3 sure go up stock:

1. the one you sold
2. the one other people bought
3. the one in your watchlist you didnt buy.
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Lol, thanks for the laughs
pinksapphire
post Mar 3 2021, 11:05 AM

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Such is my luck, after sell off my gloves, they all rise so much today, lol...come, stab me, haha
pinksapphire
post Mar 3 2021, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Mar 3 2021, 11:42 AM)
Good morning folks.

Glove stocks rebounded strongly for the morning session. Up from +5% to +10%. Supemax is up +10.22%.

2 possibilities:

1.  This is a dead cat bounce OR

2.  All the margin players, contra players and weak players been flushed out these few days. I assume that margin calls for Supermax and the other glove stocks would have been triggered these few days thus leading to further blood baths.

Therefore, once the slaughter is done, this leaves the survivors, glove holders with cash and those coming "to pick up the dead chicken". Mega discount for glove stocks.

I don't know the answer.

Let's enjoy the ride for now.  smile.gif

P/S:

Yesterday I sold off the following trading stocks:

Adventa +3.96%
Kenanga +1.13%
MESB      +4.38%
Timecom  -1.01%
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Uncle, if dead cat bounce, then how long does a trend like this normally last? Half a day, like this morning?

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