Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

11 Pages « < 4 5 6 7 8 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

views
     
cherroy
post Jun 12 2020, 10:09 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 11 2020, 06:54 PM)
user posted image
*
Something is not right for your computer.

Even open a number of window at once, normally for those feed won't consume more than 2~3Gb ram.

A 8GB hog on ram is overkill.

You should try out another computer to compare the.
cherroy
post Jun 15 2020, 02:14 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


The market "wake up" from V shape recovery dream.
cherroy
post Jun 15 2020, 03:38 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(bmwcaddy @ Jun 15 2020, 03:30 PM)
Source? I thought US market havent open ?
*
DJ futures is traded electronic worldwide, 24 hours 5 trading days per week.
cherroy
post Jun 16 2020, 09:34 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(daidragon12 @ Jun 15 2020, 11:29 PM)
Looking at recent TP by analysts, mostly give RM13 to tenaga. The downside pretty limited too
*
TP can change overnight...

Last year many have TP for gloves stock at RM4-5, cited high PE, put sell recommendation.
But now all turn, some even set TP at Rm25, and put buy recommendation.

Situation can change dramatically nowadays, and view by analysts can change overnight as well.

Another previous eg.
O&G stock, target price was RM2.xx, many buy recommendation, cited billion of long term contract etc, but oil price crash, slash TP to Rm1.xx, then situation worsen with massive writedown slash to RM0.6x, then RM0.4x now price only RM 0.2x.

Today eg.
Have a sleep and wake up overnight, from last night super bear, now all turn bullish. biggrin.gif

Even if TP reached, they may revise upward to a higher price. whistling.gif

Buy or sell based on TP is not a good reference.
Instead it is more important to read how they derive the TP, due to whatever kind of reason or info etc. because of yield? Cash position? improve revenue or earning?
By then make your own decision based on the info, instead blindly believe the TP.

TP is just like a moving goal post, can shift to match the ball (market). whistling.gif
cherroy
post Jun 22 2020, 12:26 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


Market volume is dropping fast could signal the end of first phase of recovery rally.
cherroy
post Jun 23 2020, 09:32 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jun 23 2020, 08:53 AM)
Ya.. Very bleak forecasts there for the economy by the writers:

Gdp: - 7.5%

Inflation : - 2.5%

Budget Deficit: - 9%

Horrible numbers

Can see that they are also worried about the longer term prospects for the economy, esp due to the fall in investments.

Let see next month if BNM cut interest rates further.
*
The bleak situation is worldwide, not limited to Malaysia only. GDP for UK April alone was -20%, this shows how severe the impact of the lockdown.

Due to massive QE, stock market has given a wrong sense to the real economy. If merely look at stock market, it is like nothing had happened.

When market up, analysts up their TP, and rosy forecast (just like current gloves TP)
When doom and gloom, then you see lot of gloomy report and forecast.

The lockdown is unprecedented event, which never happened before.
There is simply no historical data nor any kind of modeling to forecast it.

But often, when everyone is super doom and gloom time, then market or economy spring back slowly and quietly. This had happened aftermath 1998, 2008.
Vice versa, when everyone is super optimism time, market crashing down hard.
This I can confirm always will a repeating and cyclical event.




cherroy
post Jun 23 2020, 09:47 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 23 2020, 09:44 AM)
dj future drop
25,567.5 -385.5    -1.49%

no wonder la  laugh.gif
my watchlist all in red also
*
Because of this news.
QUOTE
MARKETS
Dow futures down nearly 400 points after Peter Navarro says China trade deal is ‘over’


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/22/stock-marke...close-news.html

This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 23 2020, 09:47 AM
cherroy
post Jun 23 2020, 10:24 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


LOL, pity those sell DJ futures at -400.

QUOTE
Stock futures recover after Peter Navarro clarifies that U.S.-China trade deal is not over

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/22/stock-marke...close-news.html
cherroy
post Jun 26 2020, 03:26 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


Huh, so fast change of tone on gloves sector? whistling.gif
cherroy
post Jun 29 2020, 03:04 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Jun 29 2020, 12:00 PM)
Tomorrow is 30th June. Meaning the last date of extension for QR ending 31st March.

Wonder how many bad reports will flood the market again.
*
Majority already released. Only left a few.

Market anticipated bad QR already, the market is looking at whether near future showing improvement or not.
cherroy
post Jun 29 2020, 05:57 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Jun 29 2020, 05:28 PM)
Not just gloves alone contributing to KLCI jump. Very unique day indeed. I guess good to upload it here for posterity
user posted image
*
The KLCI components have been revised. Airport and AMMB are replaced by TM and KLCC already.


cherroy
post Jun 30 2020, 04:10 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 30 2020, 03:52 PM)
-50 futures is nothing.

-500, u start to sweat. biggrin.gif

really, many "experts" expect dow to go for a 8-10% correction soon.

bursa has little foreign funds, may suffer less if that happens...??
*
Foreign funds are net seller for sometimes already.

The more foreign funds participant, the more closely the local market follows DJ movement.

So up less, down may also less.

DJ has support on the downside, as there may be second round stimulus coming as well as any downfall may induce unlimited bond purchase by Fed again.

The Bear has problem to win against the Fed. Whenever we see bear want to sneak out, the door being slammed by Fed.
cherroy
post Jul 11 2020, 03:11 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


Don't quite understand the reason to revise the down limit from 30% to 15% on KLCI components, while up limit remains unchanged.

KLCI components are all big cap, it is rare to see them move big magnitude each day generally, except recent 2 gloves stocks which are bullish based on fundamental, still they move within 10% range daily even with high volume.

Also, why only targeting KLCI components?

cherroy
post Jul 13 2020, 02:23 PM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(MasterConfucion @ Jul 13 2020, 12:23 PM)
shouldn’t we focus on facemask stock than glove? facemask used whole world and by everyone. how many normal ppl use glove lol
*
Glove stock share price shoot up, because ASP for gloves shooting up that resulted significant incremental profit to the company bottom line.

Mask from acute shortage, now become ample supply, and mask price already dropped a lot from the peak. Not a good place to be.
Also, mask is easier to manufacture compared to glove. So new supply can easily emerge.

So the key for the glove bull to continue is the ASP for gloves

If the ASP stay elevated, the glove stock price can stay at elevated level.
While if ASP starts to turn, then probably glove stock price also may peak.


cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 09:35 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(jvcpcv55 @ Jul 13 2020, 09:56 PM)
Why the Supermax-HB up so much?

Put warrant not call warrant o..

RM5 - (0.35x20) = -RM2

these crazy investors
buy this put warrant if u think spmx is LESS than RM 5 end of February 2021.
*
I guess there are some retailers become irrational.
Just because of the got the name in front, then straight away buy.

Remind me, decades ago that bond price went over RM1.00 or above its par value due to similar bull frenzy.

It is crazy to buy put warrant when mother share is going up.
Put warrant should go in reverse with the mother share.

It indicates the fever is high on gloves.
And some becomes irrational.
Buy mothershare due to good profit ahead, at least ok
Buy Put warrant that has exercise price of RM5.00, when the mothershare is RM16~17, and going up? This is irrational.

Please read this info.
The HB exercise price for the put warrant is RM5.00.
It means
if the mothershare doesn't drop below RM5.00 when matures (feb 2021), the HB doesn't have any value. It means if buy and hold HB until it matures, and mothershare doesn't drop to Rm5 below, entire money invested in HB will evaporate.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 14 2020, 09:42 AM
cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 09:45 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jul 14 2020, 09:40 AM)
So meaning.... unless TG falls to RM 5 before Feb 2021, might as well spend the money go cheong?

BTW, I want to buy some call warrants for Harta.... so if the exercise price is RM 12, so long the share remains above RM 12 at maturity, I earn money?
*
It is supermx-HB, the exercise price is RM5.00.
An european style Put warrant, an opposite cousin of call warrant.

Yes, if the settlement price when matures is above exercise price, then the issuing investment bank will pay you money back, aka the difference between exercise price and settlement price.

But you need to count properly, as you need to pay for price of the call warrant you bought, as normally, it is traded at a premium.
cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 09:53 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jul 14 2020, 09:50 AM)
Well, the call warrants I am buying are around 60 cents for 1000 units (think that's 10 lots?). And maturity is end of year with exercise price of RM 12. So, if I buy lets say 1000 units, and during maturity the mother share is RM 15, means I untung RM 3 per unit?
*
You need to check the ratio of exercise as well, whether it is 10:1, or 20:1. etc.

Normally or most call warrant exercise ratio won't be 1:1.
The above answer is right, if the exercise ratio is 1:1

cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 10:11 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jul 14 2020, 10:04 AM)
What happens if exercise ratio is 10:1 or 20:1? Meaning 10 times or 20 times of the usual share of 1000?
*
If the settlement price is 15, and exercise price is 12. Value left 3.
Exercise ratio if 10:1, means 10 CW convert to 1 share, your final value left is 0.30. (3/10)

eg. abc-CW, exercise price Rm12, ratio 10:1, you buy at RM0.30

Your total "cost" in mind should be RM12 + 0.30 x (10) = Rm15.



cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 11:12 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


Topglove-HA.

Exercise price RM12.
Exercise ratio for HA-50:1
Current market price HA 0.20. x 50 = RM10.

Means those bought HA expect topglove to trade below RM2 on Feb 2021.

Crazy..
cherroy
post Jul 14 2020, 11:22 AM

20k VIP Club
Group Icon
Staff
25,802 posts

Joined: Jan 2003
From: Penang


QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Jul 14 2020, 11:18 AM)
The irrationality in the market is overwhelming now. Bull is super bullish, the bear is super bearish
*
Some more almost 60 mil traded volume in the market right now, and highly active.

Means there will be money burn.
Crazy.


11 Pages « < 4 5 6 7 8 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0663sec    0.46    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 26th November 2025 - 11:06 PM