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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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cherroy
post Jan 24 2016, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Jan 24 2016, 10:40 AM)
This you need to ask the speculators from other countries. Like crude oil they are saying "can reach $30" on last year, it is late by 15 days but very fast touches $27. 1st this year also another joker saying it will reach $18 this year.
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I came across some analysts said can as low as 10... whistling.gif
SUSsupersound
post Jan 24 2016, 06:23 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 24 2016, 04:59 PM)
I came across some analysts said can as low as 10...  whistling.gif
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Arabian Heavy crude are about $10 cheaper than Brent or WTI whistling.gif
So before reaching $15, Saudi will pull the mega sale brake laugh.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Jan 24 2016, 07:24 PM

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Hearsay USD/MYR could touch 4.20 by next Fri

nexona88
post Jan 24 2016, 10:26 PM

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can start to convert some when reach 4.20 level brows.gif
icemanfx
post Jan 24 2016, 11:58 PM

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QUOTE(CKKwan @ Jan 24 2016, 03:59 PM)
After 50+ years of mismanagement, even if the existing government is removed, it will take a very long time for us to recover.

Look at today, what else Malaysia has to earn forex other than O&G?

Our heavy industries vision is dead by now.

Our plantation (rubber, palm oil) are not competitive.

Our SME are all dead in favor of government policies. If you happened to see Malaysian company in overseas expo, you will see how pathetic we are.

Service industries can't compete with India / Singapore / HK.

Software industries (Cyberjaya) now is Cybargagal.

Banking industries can't compete with Singapore.

Tourism is not doing as well as Thailand / Singapore. People visit Malaysia just because they visit Thai / Sgp, or transit in KLIA2 because of cheaper flight.

Even our future hope (University grads) are all rubbish.

But how to keep foreign currency in Malaysia? I have 50K USD last month, but have to exchange 6K asap to get rid of all those old notes. The rest still kept in the bank with no interest.
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Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) Governor, Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz, said Malaysia used to be an export-led economy in the 1990s but it is no longer so.

http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/01/123589/...fforts-economic

Implying in the long term, there could only one direction for myr to move.

Nauts
post Jan 25 2016, 09:04 AM

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USD-MYR 4.2700 -0.0228 -0.53%
AVFAN
post Jan 25 2016, 10:02 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 24 2016, 11:58 PM)
Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) Governor, Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz, said Malaysia used to be an export-led economy in the 1990s but it is no longer so.

http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/01/123589/...fforts-economic

Implying in the long term, there could only one direction for myr to move.
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QUOTE
"It was driven by domestic demand for more than a decade that saved us. This is why we have five to six per cent growth, even in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. It is because even though our trade contracted, our domestic demand drove our growth," Zeti said in an interview on The CNBC Conversation conducted in Hong Kong at the Asian Financial Forum. The interview was conducted by CNBC Asia's Bernard Lo. To a question that Malaysia did not get enough exposure on its economic restructuring, Zeti said: "I believed that Malaysia, including BNM, would make every effort to do so." "But another factor is that we are a country that hasn't borrowed significantly from the international capital markets," she said.
Read More : http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/01/123589/...fforts-economic

"domestic demand" is a nice term but in this situation it simply means "consume what u have, incl via local borrowings", i.e. msian individuals and entities borrowing from each other in all forms, eat, waste and pocket it away gradually.

true, foreign borrowings not high at this time.

if what zeti described continues - no structural changes, no major investment to produce new and diff things, low production/productivity, low commodity prices, same "let's consume first"... doesn't that leave only two likely new possibilities: incr foreign borrowings or sell more national assets to get money?

short term fluctuations cause by major external factors there will always be. but the longer term direction is nothing unclear. and i find it amusing to read some still insist "rm is gross undervalued; our fundamentals are very strong".

QUOTE(Nauts @ Jan 25 2016, 09:04 AM)
USD-MYR 4.2700  -0.0228  -0.53%
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today public holiday, bnm closed.

figures will be more accurate tmrw.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jan 25 2016, 10:15 AM
Nauts
post Jan 25 2016, 10:36 AM

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USD-MYR 4.2517 -0.0411 -0.96%
MR_alien
post Jan 25 2016, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 25 2016, 10:02 AM)
today public holiday, bnm closed.

figures will be more accurate tmrw.
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BNM closed also figure on myr side
AVFAN
post Jan 25 2016, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Jan 25 2016, 10:39 AM)
BNM closed also figure on myr side
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for today, on xe.com:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=1Y

it is driven by foreign markets... crude price, rmb...

4.250 is possible, but i think will hard to be better than that.
MR_alien
post Jan 25 2016, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 25 2016, 10:46 AM)
for today, on xe.com:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=1Y

it is driven by foreign markets... crude price, rmb...

4.250 is possible, but i think will hard to be better than that.
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wait tomorrow someone engage rocket booster again laugh.gif
ILoveLalat.net
post Jan 25 2016, 02:38 PM

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4.2466 now. See this as a temporary gain on our currency unless oil continues its uptrend, about time.
Hansel
post Jan 25 2016, 03:45 PM

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I think change-over half of what we have positioned for today. Then if it drops further tmrw,... change over the rest.

Then watch for Thursday,....
garlicpesto
post Jan 25 2016, 07:48 PM

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what is the outlook for MYR? Are we that resilient towards oil prices? But then again many big players are not showing signs of cutting oil production.. Just when I was about to cut my studies abroad short, the USD seems to be recovering... $@#!!
SUSsupersound
post Jan 26 2016, 08:32 AM

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QUOTE(garlicpesto @ Jan 25 2016, 07:48 PM)
what is the outlook for MYR? Are we that resilient towards oil prices? But then again many big players are not showing signs of cutting oil production.. Just when I was about to cut my studies abroad short, the USD seems to be recovering... $@#!!
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That's why Malaysia introduced king of sin tax, GST whistling.gif
After 1 day of Viagra effect on oil price, now back to <30 whistling.gif

This post has been edited by supersound: Jan 26 2016, 08:35 AM
DjKenji
post Jan 26 2016, 01:52 PM

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exchange currency today

BUY 4.26
SELL 4.31

Tuesday 26th January 2016
AVFAN
post Jan 26 2016, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 22 2016, 09:11 PM)
yes, i am of the view today's srr cut led to improved liquidity->incr confidence->incr fx inflow->lower mgs yield, rm appr.

add oil price +7% within 24 hours has an effect too.
midf also think srr cut did boost the rm last friday.
QUOTE
MIDF Research also noted that the ringgit was the biggest gainer among Asian currencies last Friday, up 2.07% against the US dollar. This was also its biggest one-day gain against the greenback since June 21, 2010.

The ringgit was clearly buoyed by Bank Negara Malaysia’s decision to reduce the statutory reserve ratio, which we estimate will release RM6.2 billion into the banking system,” MIDF Research commented.
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/f...est-four-months



QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 25 2016, 03:45 PM)
I think change-over half of what we have positioned for today. Then if it drops further tmrw,... change over the rest.

Then watch for Thursday,....
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did u manage to get a good rate?

public holiday yesterday

today, back to 4.29.

crude <30 again.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jan 26 2016, 02:27 PM
Hansel
post Jan 26 2016, 02:42 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 26 2016, 02:25 PM)
midf also think srr cut did boost the rm last friday.
did u manage to get a good rate?

public holiday yesterday

today, back to 4.29.

crude <30 again.
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Hi AV,... managed to convert into the SGD yesterday at 2.9980. Did not convert any into the USD this time round. I feel I need to focus a bit more n the USD for now because the liquidity of the SGD in Msia is getting lower. Money-changers seemed to be hoarding the SGD, holding-on to the currency.

Edited because was informed wrongly of the rate used to exchange my funds yesterday. Corrected,...

This post has been edited by Hansel: Jan 26 2016, 02:45 PM
wjchay
post Jan 26 2016, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jan 26 2016, 03:42 PM)
Hi AV,... managed to convert into the SGD yesterday at 2.9980. Did not convert any into the USD this time round. I feel I need to focus a bit more n the USD for now because the liquidity of the SGD in Msia is getting lower. Money-changers seemed to be hoarding the SGD, holding-on to the currency.

Edited because was informed wrongly of the rate used to exchange my funds yesterday. Corrected,...
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Hi Hansel,

How did you manage to get SGD at 2.9980, can share?

I went to money changer on Sunday, only managed to change at 3.02. Today the money changer rate is 3.01.

Thanks.
nexona88
post Jan 26 2016, 03:08 PM

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How to get below 3? I see all quote above hmm.gif

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