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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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bbgoat
post Mar 30 2016, 07:04 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 06:25 PM)
Never been to Thailand. As a yardstick becos among ASEAN neighbors they are most similar to us economic status wise. Apart from crisis periods, MYR/THB=10 most of the time just like MYR/TWD~9.5.
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Actually MYR/TWD was about 10 also years ago. biggrin.gif
@secret@
post Mar 30 2016, 07:11 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 30 2016, 03:53 PM)
YES, same here,.... you invest in the Australian Stock Exchange ??
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nah,I don't ! haha
i'm a damn small ikan bilis/student in KL. I can hardly have a proper portfolio in the Malaysian market.
Anyway, I really like how you interpret the market and I have been following your posts closely for all the insights. Too lazy to do my research now, just enjoy absorbing all the sifu's opinions. hahaha

QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 30 2016, 04:00 PM)
I suggest not to listen to all these 'predictions' too much,... for one, it gives me headache,... just execute any actions that you wished,...
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EXACTLY. I wanted to TT out some cash when USD was around RM3.2x and I listened to those bullshit predictions saying MYR could climb to RM2.9 vmad.gif
and now look at where i ended up.

So i come out with my conclusion which is despite all the fundamental facts, investor sentimental play rather important role. Investors look out for a safe haven to pump in money. So, I'm transferring out my cash to my SG account as well, piling up to buy funds. (faith in Msia gov too low) sweat.gif

MGM
post Mar 30 2016, 07:13 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 30 2016, 06:43 PM)
last 5 years, possible.

i dunno about klci vs sti.

but last 2 years, my sg reits gave 24% roi, i.e. 12% p.a. incl ex rate gain.

my reits... i doubt anywhere close.
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Congrats, rclxms.gif . But individual REITS of respective countries are hard to compare. Any ETFs for REITS?
AVFAN
post Mar 30 2016, 07:20 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 07:13 PM)
Congrats,  rclxms.gif . But individual REITS of respective countries are hard to compare. Any ETFs for REITS?
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right, individual reits vary a lot.

i was referring to the basket i have.

some not so good, some excellent.

sgx etf's for reits... not that i know of.

in general, etf's are unpopular in bursa or sgx.

but many biggies in nyse. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 30 2016, 07:20 PM
MGM
post Mar 30 2016, 07:28 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 30 2016, 04:26 PM)
as kelvin said. besides, sg gov has begun selling retail bonds to public, sign of desperation. also sg new biz startups are a record lows. sgx is one of the worst performing mkts. the cooling measures on prop are hitting developers so hard they are chewing on bones. speculators in tht market r crying. overly strong sgd hit tourism badly. but devaluing sgd will cause indo and malaysia depositors to flee as interest rates are so low. low interest rates means there is little room for the central bank to manuver when things go south. sticking with the strong sgd, orchard smaller malls are every bit as empty as our kv new ones. mrt system is hit with incident after incident. need i continue?
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Today news, another two bite the dust:

http://business.asiaone.com/news/rough-pat...es-outlets-here

http://business.asiaone.com/news/al-futtai...re-stores-spore
Hansel
post Mar 30 2016, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(@secret@ @ Mar 30 2016, 07:11 PM)
nah,I don't ! haha
i'm a damn small ikan bilis/student in KL. I can hardly have a proper portfolio in the Malaysian market.
Anyway, I really like how you interpret the market and I have been following your posts closely for all the insights. Too lazy to do my research now, just enjoy absorbing all the sifu's opinions. hahaha
EXACTLY. I wanted to TT out some cash when USD was around RM3.2x and I listened to those bullshit predictions saying MYR could climb to RM2.9  vmad.gif
and now look at where i ended up.

So i come out with my conclusion which is despite all the fundamental facts, investor sentimental play rather important role. Investors look out for a safe haven to pump in money. So, I'm transferring out my cash to my SG account as well, piling up to buy funds. (faith in Msia gov too low)  sweat.gif
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I'll answer you first,... rclxms.gif a good start there you have,... I presumed you are still studying,...

If you have an account with DBS, you can start to invest into the STI ETF. You just subscribe via the ATM,... no need to open a brokerage account, no need to have a CDP Account. Start somewhere, my young friend,... REad any news that you can about SG stocks.

A good source would be The Business Times, cost you $1.20 an edition. You don't have to buy everyday,...

thumbup.gif

Hansel
post Mar 30 2016, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 05:36 PM)
I have just done a  quick comparison for last 5 years.
Hansel if u compare the performance of the same asset class of Malaysia & Singapore of FD, KLCI-ETF vs STI-ETF, and CPF/EPF, u will find that at the end of the day,even with the gain in SGD, returns is only slightly better or at par.
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OKay,... tq for the infos,... for myself, I'm quite happy though with my basket of SG REITs and Stocks. Happy with the performance, and happy with the currency gain over the last ten years of my investing era.
@secret@
post Mar 30 2016, 08:08 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 30 2016, 07:57 PM)
I'll answer you first,... rclxms.gif a good start there you have,... I presumed you are still studying,...

If you have an account with DBS, you can start to invest into the STI ETF. You just subscribe via the ATM,... no need to open a brokerage account, no need to have a CDP Account. Start somewhere, my young friend,... REad any news that you can about SG stocks.

A good source would be The Business Times, cost you $1.20 an edition. You don't have to buy everyday,...

thumbup.gif
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yeah, still studying.
i do have an account with DBS. damn, i didn't know that.
It looks like i can subscribe it over the internet. Let me look into the info and their product offering
HAHA

thanks for the tips sifu.

This post has been edited by @secret@: Mar 30 2016, 08:15 PM
Hansel
post Mar 30 2016, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(@secret@ @ Mar 30 2016, 08:08 PM)
yeah, still studying.
i do have an account with DBS. damn, i didn't know that.
It looks like i can subscribe it over the internet. Let me look into the info and their product offering
HAHA

thanks for the tips sifu.
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I see, can be done too over the internet ?? Never tried before,... rclxms.gif good discovery there if can be so. Would think that there are some rules about being required to be in Sgp itself to be eligible to buy the ETFs,...

If you are a Malaysian by nationality, I would advise you to try opening a brokerage account and a CDP Account as soon as you are able to, and you are qualified to,... somehow, I'm getting the idea that the Gov't and the MAS are tightening down on opening of accounts by foreign nationals in Sgp...

Good luck,.. bro,.. thumbup.gif
HarpArtist
post Mar 30 2016, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 07:28 PM)
these are just small fries...i cant find the article but there are malls where basically the only shops open are owned by the mall, and some where the tenants are rent free and still making a loss.

i have a friend doing biz there...holding several mil usd worth of prop in sg...among them a penthouse which has declined in value by nearly 20% from when he purchased as at few months ago when i asked.

i also asked him to invest in malaysia prop or stock and expand his biz here at that month, as i predicted what goes down must come back up. he was understandably reluctant due to our bad reputation. he is regreting it very much at the moment because opening his biz here now suddenly is costing that much more as his sgd + usd investments are more and more bogged down.
MGM
post Mar 30 2016, 09:49 PM

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At the current exchange rate Malaysia is a must buy for property assets.
Iskandar region itself would be bring in tens of billion per year from oversea, strengthening MYR?

http://www.chinapress.com.my/20160329/%E8%...8C%A2%E5%AD%98/

This post has been edited by MGM: Mar 31 2016, 08:07 AM


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alber7
post Mar 30 2016, 11:28 PM

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QUOTE(A|bert @ Mar 25 2016, 11:29 AM)
Refer back to my post on 22 March in post above. Now we are on important level. But i expect not much movement today. But the current price level won't stay for very long. High volatility is coming ahead.
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Heading to 3.80x


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garlicpesto
post Mar 31 2016, 12:49 AM

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damn i had some extra usd that was changed at the 4.2 rate.. gonna rugi besar d... should i panic and exchange it now? what happened to the interest rate hikes!! sad.gif
Ramjade
post Mar 31 2016, 06:43 AM

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QUOTE(garlicpesto @ Mar 31 2016, 12:49 AM)
damn i had some extra usd that was changed at the 4.2 rate.. gonna rugi besar d... should i panic and exchange it now? what happened to the interest rate hikes!! sad.gif
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The year is still young. Just hold. It will go back to 4.3 A matter of time.
MGM
post Mar 31 2016, 08:20 AM

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Lots of noises here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...l-eclipses-1mdb
X.E.D
post Mar 31 2016, 08:21 AM

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From: Llanfair­pwllgwyngyll­gogery­ch


QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 31 2016, 06:43 AM)
The year is still young. Just hold. It will go back to 4.3 A matter of time.
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If you're targeting 4.3/4.4 then you're going to be holding for a while.

That rate was a combination of multiple events even discounting the sentiment surrounding Fed rates: commodities crash (and the unpredictability surrounding oil), 1MDB and troubled assets in limbo, a more volatile political situation, and a sudden drop in investor confidence because of the relative stability of MY markets hitherto.


MGM
post Mar 31 2016, 08:52 AM

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Super bullish or typo:

A technical analyst said that the rally could be sustainable in the near term and expected the ringgit to reverse to its long-term mean trendline with an immediate target of 3.1600 to the US dollar.

from:
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ive-on-ringgit/
nexona88
post Mar 31 2016, 12:29 PM

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From: REality
30 Mar 2016 04:20 UTC - 31 Mar 2016 04:26 UTC
USD/MYR close: 3.91930 low: 3.90615 high: 3.95355

well MYR reach 3.90 level sooner than I expected blush.gif

Ramjade
post Mar 31 2016, 12:45 PM

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Guys any idea about cimb travel currency? I see that their spread is not there? Eg USD/MYR buy and sell at 4.02.
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 31 2016, 08:52 AM)
Super bullish or typo:

A technical analyst said that the rally could be sustainable in the near term and expected the ringgit to reverse to its long-term mean trendline with an immediate target of 3.1600 to the US dollar.

from:
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ive-on-ringgit/
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I would be VERY happy at 3.5, not to mention 3.8 level. If 3.16, wow !! Lots of difference for those that need to buy big amount of USD ! Have to think of buying before any reversal happens ! rclxms.gif

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