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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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Ramjade
post Dec 2 2015, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(justaregularjoe @ Dec 2 2015, 10:21 AM)
real value is dropping these days by the bombs
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You talking about RM or USD dropping?
Ramjade
post Dec 3 2015, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 3 2015, 10:49 PM)
rm4.15 is becoming reality soon  blush.gif
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Shhh. Don't say anything. Last time we say RM4.10, straight away go up
Ramjade
post Dec 3 2015, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 3 2015, 11:15 PM)
Did u capitalize?
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I don't do forex or hold US notes. What I did was quickly do my online US shopping. rclxms.gif biggrin.gif
Ramjade
post Dec 4 2015, 08:29 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 4 2015, 08:11 AM)
3 Dec 2015 00:00 UTC - 4 Dec 2015 00:07 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.20497 low:4.20400 high:4.26002

Gonna break 4.20 resistance soon...
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I am betting it will run out of steam soon as seen previously. sad.gif
Ramjade
post Dec 4 2015, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Dec 4 2015, 08:49 AM)
ringgit-to-halt-decline-in-2016-say-forex-experts

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...y-forex-experts

Lets say USD/MYR ding-dong around ~4.40 for the next couple of years, better to keep MYR in FD than USD?
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If that's the case, better but usd when it's 4.1 and sell when it's 4.4. (talking about cash). Can make a gain of about 6% each time. If it happen 2x/year, one gains 12% just by doing that
Ramjade
post Dec 4 2015, 09:38 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 4 2015, 09:31 AM)
Past trend is not an indicative of future trend  brows.gif
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Usd-rm hovering around 4.4-4.1
Ramjade
post Dec 4 2015, 05:26 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 4 2015, 04:57 PM)
1.00 USD  =  4.21496 MYR  yawn.gif  yawn.gif
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Told you don't shout. tongue.gif sad.gif
Ramjade
post Dec 4 2015, 05:58 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 4 2015, 05:54 PM)
cry.gif  cry.gif
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Well we have to accept the fact that myr ran out of steam. There's no strong factor to push the RM. Unless people start questioning US debts again. whistling.gif
Ramjade
post Dec 5 2015, 12:25 PM

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Just for info, I hang out in some international forums, even Canadian are complaining of the strong USD. Even they are looking whether US will increase rates.

So by increasing the rates > USD will increase > USD become too expensive > less demands > bad for economy?

I am still thinking and hoping US will just maintained. How many times they cry wolf already.
Ramjade
post Dec 5 2015, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 5 2015, 12:33 PM)
Finally Janet remove procrastination from the dictionary  brows.gif
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If still cry wolf how?
Ramjade
post Dec 5 2015, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 5 2015, 01:40 PM)
canadian $ is whacked big time like aud and rm - because the canadian economy is commodity based too - oil, minerals with little else to export.

usd is strong and "expensive" because of the confidence it commands as the #1 currency, with no near #2. the euro is next big but is in worse shape than usd.

there is a massive problem brewing - years of easing and cheap debt, i.e. near zero interest rates. this is good to keep the broader economy going but many sectors are suffering - junk bonds, high leverage biz and... pension funds and insurance cos. that rely on fixed income. if a couple of these big ones fail, it will roil markets and threaten the economy, like the lehman collapse in 2008. the longer they "cry wolf", the less time than they have to normalize rates in time so as not to risk some major failure and meltdown that will spread to rest of the globe.

it is not a easy job for yellen and fed. still, the job nos. can't get better, inflation will not go much higher. it is almost certain rate will be hiked on dec 16. question is if it will be 25bps and what comments follow.
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What do you mean by less time to normalise rates?
Ramjade
post Dec 5 2015, 01:54 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 5 2015, 01:47 PM)
it is a huge economy. they don't raise rates piecemeal as and when they like.

there is a plan to go from A to B to C to D within X years or Y months, i.e. targets.

google bloomberg, cnbc... there are many articles with charts and dots that explain what the fed targets are.
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Normalise rates = increasing rates?

So if they increase rates, USD sure will go up and MYR sure will drop right? Will the effect be permanent (remain high) like few years or just a few days like what happen to MYR strengthening power (increase and decrease quickly)?
Ramjade
post Dec 5 2015, 02:03 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 5 2015, 01:59 PM)
US people earn USD, whether it rises or drop against other currency, it doesn't matter when the goods is quoted in USD.
An Iphone cost $549, will still cost $549, whether the USD is at RM3.30 or RM4.20.

But for in term of pricing RM, it is not the same case.
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The thing is not only us are feeling the strength of the USD. Even Canadian people. And that forum was a computer forum.
Ramjade
post Dec 7 2015, 08:03 AM

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QUOTE(chengcheng @ Dec 7 2015, 07:27 AM)
Why? What's happening?
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Today, rm will most likely drop like a stone. Hence "interesting"
Ramjade
post Dec 7 2015, 08:27 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 7 2015, 08:24 AM)
Your confidence level seems very high  brows.gif
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When the facts are presented, we cannot run away unless got invisible hands at play which I hope are there.
Ramjade
post Dec 15 2015, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Dec 15 2015, 09:04 AM)
so now is time to change MYR to usd to hedge against MYR and USD?
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I guess now is a bit late. Should have change when it dropped below 4.2 the other day.
Ramjade
post Dec 15 2015, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 15 2015, 04:18 PM)
1.00 USD  =  4.31346 MYR  whistling.gif
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Go! Go! Go!
Ramjade
post Dec 17 2015, 07:35 AM

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Did the MYR tanked further?
Ramjade
post Dec 17 2015, 08:56 AM

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QUOTE(star_bucks @ Dec 17 2015, 08:47 AM)
apparently no?
it's 4.3105 now.
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Good. Just hope it won't go down further
Ramjade
post Dec 28 2015, 11:36 PM

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QUOTE(Quantopian @ Dec 28 2015, 11:33 PM)
I am quite reluctant to post the analysis so I have taken it down because who knows our institutional client might come in here and find the info we sell them is given here for free word for word.  Basically USDMYR is going much higher on a yearly basis. This will be my last post

PS: That projection is still in effect.
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Please la. Even XE also have this kind of chart FOC. doh.gif
USD-MYR chart

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Dec 28 2015, 11:36 PM

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