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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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bbgoat
post Mar 22 2016, 06:35 PM

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Kind of make my heart pumping ................. drool.gif

Should I buy at current level of 3.99 rate ? Will I regret if it goes up later on. bangwall.gif Have been buying at 3.96 and as high as 4.45 level ! hmm.gif

This post has been edited by bbgoat: Mar 22 2016, 06:36 PM
bbgoat
post Mar 22 2016, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 22 2016, 06:45 PM)
1.00 USD  =  3.99800 MYR brows.gif
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Go to 3.80 level ? Really surprised with this movement to <4 !! rclxms.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 22 2016, 08:30 PM

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QUOTE(katijar @ Mar 22 2016, 08:20 PM)
3.5 soon..? Tq PM!
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Remember it was about 3.0 3 years ago. biggrin.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 30 2016, 03:32 PM

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Now I see RM going back to near early Aug 2015 level, that time that I bought USD. Very tempting to me now. Whether to buy now or wait till coming August ? Guess will be hard to say which way to go. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by bbgoat: Mar 30 2016, 03:33 PM
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post Mar 30 2016, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 03:35 PM)
Wa, now 3.9395
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Last year Aug I bought TT at 3.96 level at 3 cents premium. biggrin.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 30 2016, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 03:38 PM)
Ya, now at 11-8-15 level. My customers will start asking for lower price. cry.gif  rclxms.gif
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Different analyst quoting differently. Some still say by year end 4.2 level. Some quote 3.5, 3.8. rclxub.gif To me, not sure if should buy now or wait till Aug ? hmm.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 30 2016, 06:03 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 03:46 PM)
I am no expert but I like to use MYR/THB=10 as a yardstick.
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Haha, why ? You go there often ? Near to Penang. Just a joke. Anyway, almost 10% down for RM vs THB. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 30 2016, 04:00 PM)
I suggest not to listen to all these 'predictions' too much,... for one, it gives me headache,... just execute any actions that you wished,...
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Ya, I am contemplating as Jan 2016 even bought at RM4.45 level !! So now at the RM3.96 level is so tempting ! thumbup.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 30 2016, 07:04 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 06:25 PM)
Never been to Thailand. As a yardstick becos among ASEAN neighbors they are most similar to us economic status wise. Apart from crisis periods, MYR/THB=10 most of the time just like MYR/TWD~9.5.
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Actually MYR/TWD was about 10 also years ago. biggrin.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 31 2016, 08:52 AM)
Super bullish or typo:

A technical analyst said that the rally could be sustainable in the near term and expected the ringgit to reverse to its long-term mean trendline with an immediate target of 3.1600 to the US dollar.

from:
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ive-on-ringgit/
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I would be VERY happy at 3.5, not to mention 3.8 level. If 3.16, wow !! Lots of difference for those that need to buy big amount of USD ! Have to think of buying before any reversal happens ! rclxms.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 01:06 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 12:59 PM)
3.15 level is too good to be true leh  cool2.gif

3.50 is more likely the "true valuation"  dry.gif
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I do think so. Saw from some where saying RM true value at 3.5. But the so called analyst has wild fluctuations. One even say will go to 4.2 level just few days ago. Anyway between 3.5 to 3.8, I can live with it. rclxms.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 01:33 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 01:17 PM)
but the biggest problem is now.

after MYR got so weak. our goods & services price went up. now would those retailers reduce the price after MYR get stronger? I don't think so. damage has been done  bangwall.gif
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Typically they are fast to raise price but slow to reduce it after exchange rate comes down. Anyway RM wise really has to see if it stabilize to certain level. biggrin.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 31 2016, 01:35 PM)
got up no down for retail. one thing is previous customers might feel cheated if price goes down tongue.gif this is for big items la.
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Will be interesting to see how car prices will change. They raised it saying RM drops vs USD, if RM goes up in value, how will that be. hmm.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 31 2016, 01:42 PM)
car prices i assume u mean new  ones. another factor on that is the collapsing used and recon market.
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Ya, I meant new cars. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 01:48 PM)
not slow, but no reduce price  bangwall.gif
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Hahaha ! tongue.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 06:20 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 31 2016, 05:46 PM)
if the kid is in usa, 4.4->3.9 = 12%.

let's say total spend is usd150K.

diff is rm75k, a lot of money!
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For 4 years, can be USD 200k or more ! Depends on U and location also. Anyway, a lot of saving for parents. rclxms.gif

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 05:55 PM)
wohoo  rclxm9.gif

3.80 coming soon  sweat.gif
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 06:14 PM)
few weeks back not many people expect myr to reach even 3.95 , but now see it broke 3.90 & moving towards 3.85  thumbsup.gif
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My concern is by Aug will it stabilize or retreat. That is when I need the USD. biggrin.gif Have even bought USD 26k at 4.45 in January ! doh.gif

This post has been edited by bbgoat: Mar 31 2016, 06:21 PM
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 06:25 PM)
wah u bought at peak rate wor  cry.gif  u expect to go beyond 4.50 eh  dry.gif
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Not able to control the timing as it is needed at THAT time. cry.gif Watched for about a week and have to buy it on that day and TT out. At that time, rumours about RM breaching 5 level !! doh.gif

Have to bite the bullet and count as cost of education ! tongue.gif
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 07:05 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 31 2016, 06:40 PM)
very costly lesson indeed  cry.gif

"rumours about RM breaching 5 level"? I know who said that  dry.gif  btw that fellow mia so long  bye.gif
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Very hard for a layman to gauge the market. Even if I buy now and keep, will it be coming down further ? Very hard to say. biggrin.gif

Remember in fx there are BIG timers who also lose out BIG time !! For a small timer, difficult to time the market. biggrin.gif

QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 31 2016, 06:42 PM)
yup. .it went to a good cause la. nothing more important than family. they will repay you more than whatever the forex difference rclxms.gif
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That was the consolation point ! thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by bbgoat: Mar 31 2016, 07:05 PM
bbgoat
post Mar 31 2016, 08:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 31 2016, 07:23 PM)
hmm... 4.45 is painful.

anyway, i am sure u r following the dollar index.
$ falls, rm rise, crude rise (or is it?), gold rise, stocks?... etc...

one needs to be hedged one way or another to mitigate as much risk as possible.
like i always said, it is not good to keep fx under the mattress.

if fx is put to good use, it can come out good enough.

well, for a child's education, there is no value u can put to it! biggrin.gif
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For the education purpose, have to bite the bullet when the time comes. It was tough but at that time, you never know which way it will go. Last Aug I bought at 3.96. One week later, it went up and up. I was happy thinking I was lucky. BUT before that it was 3.6, 3.7, 3.8 .................

Anyway, difficult to time the market. Even now, should I buy and keep ? Has been thinking of doing DCA. But dislike the complication involved. So just sit tight and when the time comes, just TT over. biggrin.gif
bbgoat
post Apr 1 2016, 07:56 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 1 2016, 12:55 PM)
convert some into USD @ 3.9100 blush.gif
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Cash or into banks foreign currency account ? hmm.gif
bbgoat
post Apr 1 2016, 08:32 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Apr 1 2016, 08:28 PM)
i hear today touched 3.86 briefly
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http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=12h
bbgoat
post Apr 1 2016, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 1 2016, 09:53 PM)
money changer  dry.gif
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Holding USD cash ! So u are expecting better return than at least FD ? hmm.gif

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