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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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topearn
post Sep 29 2015, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 29 2015, 09:55 PM)
Nope
Bot from Treasury Dept at Banks
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All banks quote the same rate ? If not, which bank U use ? Rate better than money changers ?

dreamer101
post Sep 29 2015, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(Roger89 @ Sep 29 2015, 10:20 PM)
Is it almost time to take profit on the usd related foreign reserves?
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Roger89,

What makes you think that MYR will not drop even more?? In fact, the likelihood of MYR stop dropping over the next 3 months is very slim.

Dreamer
topearn
post Sep 29 2015, 10:34 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 29 2015, 05:19 PM)
Just lock in at 4.4525 today
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Midvalley's My Money Master rate lower at 4.45 -

http://moneymaster.com.my/

SUSsupersound
post Sep 29 2015, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 29 2015, 09:10 PM)
user posted image

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/en/content/s...foreign%20selli

MYS has taken over the sick man of Asia.

Disclaimer: If any photoshop is by the publisher.
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Think it the bright way, at least we are number 1 now(where nobody want to do so), we are winner thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
nexona88
post Sep 29 2015, 10:43 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 29 2015, 09:10 PM)
user posted image

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/en/content/s...foreign%20selli

MYS has taken over the sick man of Asia.

Disclaimer: If any photoshop is by the publisher.
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cry.gif sad.gif
SUSsupersound
post Sep 29 2015, 10:45 PM

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http://www.chinapress.com.my/node/659011
Good news for tomorrow, we will test all time high of rm4.5 = USD1, rm5.20 = 1Euro, rm3.30 = SGD1.

This post has been edited by supersound: Sep 30 2015, 03:03 PM
Roger89
post Sep 29 2015, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 29 2015, 10:33 PM)
Roger89,

What makes you think that MYR will not drop even more??  In fact, the likelihood of MYR stop dropping over the next 3 months is very slim.

Dreamer
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I'm thinking the MYR may reach a temporary low this week. As for when and how soon it will breach 4.7 i dunno. Maybe pretty soon.

The USD rally against MYR have been a year now. I could be wrong. In this environment, what is oversold can become really oversold.
TSwil-i-am
post Sep 29 2015, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(topearn @ Sep 29 2015, 10:30 PM)
All banks quote the same rate ? If not, which bank U use ? Rate better than money changers ?
*
Banks have different rate
Rate depends on whether u buy TT or OD
dreamer101
post Sep 29 2015, 11:11 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 28 2015, 10:10 PM)
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/31/asian-lng-p...pply-jumps.html
<< Asian liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices could fall a further 25 percent in coming months as new supply, falling demand and weaker oil prices put it on par with iron ore and coal as the worst performing commodity of recent years. >>

Folks,

Malaysia is a big natural gas exporter.  In the near term, Asian natural gas price will drop as US start exporting natural gas.  So, it will get a lot worse..

Dreamer
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QUOTE(Roger89 @ Sep 29 2015, 10:54 PM)
I'm thinking the MYR may reach a temporary low this week. As for when and how soon it will breach 4.7 i dunno. Maybe pretty soon.

The USD rally against MYR have been a year now. I could be wrong. In this environment, what is oversold can become really oversold.
*
Roger89,

You are forgetting the FUNDAMENTAL. Read above. The rally is fueled by oil and gas price drop. The worst is yet to come..

Dreamer
Roger89
post Sep 29 2015, 11:20 PM

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^ thank you. Just hold on tight.
topearn
post Sep 29 2015, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Sep 29 2015, 10:45 PM)
http://www.chinapress.com.my/node/659011
Good news for tomorrow, we will test all time high of rm4 = USD1, rm5.20 = 1Euro, rm3.30 = SGD1.
*
What all time high of RM4=USD1 ? It's already RM4.45 to USD1.
nexona88
post Sep 29 2015, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(topearn @ Sep 29 2015, 11:24 PM)
What all time high of RM4=USD1 ? It's already RM4.45 to USD1.
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maybe typo tongue.gif blush.gif

should be RM5=USD1 rolleyes.gif
dreamer101
post Sep 30 2015, 12:56 AM

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QUOTE(Roger89 @ Sep 29 2015, 11:20 PM)
^ thank you. Just hold on tight.
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Roger89,

<<Just hold on tight.>>

??? If I am you and I have more cash in RM, I would exchange more RM to USD. Hold on tight is NOT what I would do.

Dreamer


AVFAN
post Sep 30 2015, 01:34 AM

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4.5, 4.7, 5.0....

what are the major up and coming factors that will determine the value of the rm?

beside usa fed rate hike timing and oil/gas prices, i can think of:

.. rm11 billion bonds maturing tmrw

.. oct 23 budget 2016 tabling

.. oct parliament
QUOTE
No confidence vote against Najib totally democratic, says Dr M
Read more: https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/313944#ixzz3n9JHeGyG


.. nov 23 closing date for abu dhabi funds' rm2.5bil rights issues on rhb

what else?
Roger89
post Sep 30 2015, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Sep 30 2015, 12:56 AM)
Roger89,

<<Just hold on tight.>>

???  If I am you and I have more cash in RM, I would exchange more RM to USD.  Hold on tight is NOT what I would do.

Dreamer
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Hold onto your USD. I'm a believer in the current dollar rally too.

I see also that the GBP/MYR appreciate a lot more then USD/MYR because of the USD rise, and GBP rise. But now is a lot more expensive, eg RM6.8 for 1 GBP then say RM5 for 1 GBP a while back. For USD say RM4.45 compared to RM3.5 a while back.

Should i just go for pure USD or will other currencies still follow this trend/percentage rise?
GarubaSwey
post Sep 30 2015, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2015, 01:34 AM)
4.5, 4.7, 5.0....

what are the major up and coming factors that will determine the value of the rm?

beside usa fed rate hike timing and oil/gas prices, i can think of:

.. rm11 billion bonds maturing tmrw

.. oct 23 budget 2016 tabling

.. oct parliament
.. nov 23 closing date for abu dhabi funds' rm2.5bil rights issues on rhb

what else?
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Crude palm oil, its surprisingly going up now even during haze/smog, probably crashing soon

China devalues Yuan again?
AVFAN
post Sep 30 2015, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(Roger89 @ Sep 30 2015, 10:21 AM)
I see also that the GBP/MYR appreciate a lot more then USD/MYR because of the USD rise, and GBP rise.
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not really.

gbp vs usd:
last 1 yr, 1.62->1.52.
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1Y
AVFAN
post Sep 30 2015, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(GarubaSwey @ Sep 30 2015, 10:30 AM)
Crude palm oil, its surprisingly going up now even during haze/smog, probably crashing soon

China devalues Yuan again?
*
like crude, there will always be some minor ups and downs due to stocks, inventory count, weather.

cpo also subjected to import/export taxes effect as there are far fewer producers and users of this commodity compared to crude oil.

china... another devaluation is possible but looks unlikely in the immediate term, no indication at this time.

india has just cut int rate by 50bps but should not affect rm too much as india is not among msia's largest trading partners.
Roger89
post Sep 30 2015, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2015, 10:34 AM)
not really.

gbp vs usd:
last 1 yr, 1.62->1.52.
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1Y
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Perhaps you're right. I guess it's the multiplier effect. To get the exchange rate;- GBP to USD to MYR...
topearn
post Sep 30 2015, 12:23 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2015, 10:40 AM)
like crude, there will always be some minor ups and downs due to stocks, inventory count, weather.

cpo also subjected to import/export taxes effect as there are far fewer producers and users of this commodity compared to crude oil.

china... another devaluation is possible but looks unlikely in the immediate term, no indication at this time.

india has just cut int rate by 50bps but should not affect rm too much as india is not among msia's largest trading partners.
*
What does China devaluation mean ? We can buy more RMB for RM1 ?

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