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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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nexona88
post Nov 7 2015, 03:29 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 7 2015, 03:00 PM)
4.44 = Die die die? Bad omen?  shocking.gif  sweat.gif
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better make it 4.45 laugh.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 7 2015, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 7 2015, 01:07 PM)
If not mistaken, I came across an article/report saying that foreign currency deposit was surging more than 30% during September period, so liquidity is not a major issue.

Just banks FD portion is not raising as much which banks need to undergo good FD promotion rate to attract more FD, at the same time Basel III does have an effect for bank to chase after more FD.
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One of the reason y Banks raise FD rate is their LTV is very High
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 7 2015, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 7 2015, 03:00 PM)
4.44 = Die die die? Bad omen?  shocking.gif  sweat.gif
*
From another angle, it means Eat Eat Eat icon_idea.gif
cherroy
post Nov 8 2015, 08:10 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 7 2015, 05:23 PM)
One of the reason y Banks raise FD rate is their LTV is very High
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LTV has nothing to do with higher rate of FD being offered.

It is about FD growth cannot keep up on pace with loan growth.
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 8 2015, 08:25 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 8 2015, 08:10 AM)
LTV has nothing to do with higher rate of FD being offered.

It is about FD growth cannot keep up on pace with loan growth.
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They need deposits to cope with loan growth
SUSsupersound
post Nov 8 2015, 08:49 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 7 2015, 05:23 PM)
One of the reason y Banks raise FD rate is their LTV is very High
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Well, our government bankrupt already but cannot simply release more ASW or what ever Amanah Saham to non bumi to raise funds, since the dividend has to be > 5% only can attract people to dump money in.
So they have to use local banks to raise funds without need to spend more on dividends.
Increasing OPR now will not be an option since most Malaysians are having DSR of >85%. As long as no OPR increase, USD will remain strong while RM will like a shopping mall's toilet paper = no value whistling.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 8 2015, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Nov 8 2015, 08:49 AM)
Well, our government bankrupt already but cannot simply release more ASW or what ever Amanah Saham to non bumi to raise funds, since the dividend has to be > 5% only can attract people to dump money in.
So they have to use local banks to raise funds without need to spend more on dividends.
Increasing OPR now will not be an option since most Malaysians are having DSR of >85%. As long as no OPR increase, USD will remain strong while RM will like a shopping mall's toilet paper = no value whistling.gif
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There is no relationship between bank deposits n Asx as both have different features
SUSsupersound
post Nov 8 2015, 12:14 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 8 2015, 10:52 AM)
There is no relationship between bank deposits n Asx as both have different features
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Well, if this is Singapore, yes you are right, else you are wrong.
Few years back, almost every year they will release more units for us to buy, but for the past 3 years, there's no more.
All the funds are black box operations, nobody will knows how they use our funds.
For most people's mindset, they just want to have some interest/dividends for their day to day expenses or retirement usage.
A fact that most fund managers trying to deny : government has no money now and trying ways to raise funds and at the same time want to songlap whistling.gif
cherroy
post Nov 8 2015, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 8 2015, 08:25 AM)
They need deposits to cope with loan growth
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Yes, but this has nothing to do with high or low LTV.
It is about the loaned out money doesn't flow back into deposit enough.


AVFAN
post Nov 8 2015, 05:53 PM

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politics cannot be detached from economics, esp here with bijanomics.

this is from a respected MP:
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...ederal-reserve/

interpret it anyway u wish!

AVFAN
post Nov 9 2015, 09:19 AM

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QUOTE
Banks’ dollar borrowing adds layer of risk to Malaysia’s creeping crisis - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...h.egEbyCvX.dpuf



4.370.
nexona88
post Nov 9 2015, 09:28 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 9 2015, 09:19 AM)
4.370.
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4.40 today? blush.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 9 2015, 09:51 AM

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Glad to c it goes up slowly
AVFAN
post Nov 9 2015, 02:07 PM

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QUOTE
The dollar remained aloft in Asian trade on Monday, after soaring to nearly seven-month highs against a basket of currencies as robust U.S. employment data prompted more investors to bet on an interest rate increase by year this year.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose 271,000 last month, far exceeding the 180,000 new jobs for October economists polled by Reuters had predicted. Following the report, 15 of 17 primary dealers, the banks that deal with the U.S. Federal Reserve directly, said they expect it to raise rates at its next meeting in December, according to a Reuters poll.

Interest rates futures were pricing in a 70 percent probability that the U.S. central bank will raise borrowing costs next month, according to the CME Group's FedWatch.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/08/dollar-soli...y-year-end.html

nexona88
post Nov 9 2015, 02:43 PM

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8 Nov 2015 18:40 UTC - 9 Nov 2015 06:40 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.36702 low:4.34882 high:4.37785

ikanbilis
post Nov 9 2015, 04:46 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 9 2015, 02:43 PM)
8 Nov 2015 18:40 UTC - 9 Nov 2015 06:40 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.36702 low:4.34882 high:4.37785
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Slow and steady. Patiently waiting for 4.40 by Friday... brows.gif
nexona88
post Nov 9 2015, 04:49 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 9 2015, 04:46 PM)
Slow and steady. Patiently waiting for 4.40 by Friday... brows.gif
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your wish might come true blush.gif
ikanbilis
post Nov 9 2015, 05:02 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 9 2015, 04:49 PM)
your wish might come true  blush.gif
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Think 4.40 not a problem. Problem is whether target 4.50 can be reached by the end of Nov? whistling.gif

ikanbilis
post Nov 9 2015, 05:36 PM

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4.3816 now

2 cents to reach my first target....


AVFAN
post Nov 9 2015, 05:39 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 9 2015, 05:02 PM)
Think 4.40 not a problem. Problem is whether target 4.50 can be reached by the end of Nov?  whistling.gif
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frankly, it's anyone's guess now.

QUOTE
The USDMYR traded at 4.38 MYR on Monday November 9, according to interbank foreign exchange market quotes. The Malaysian Dollar averaged 2.91 from 1972 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 4.71 in January of 1998 and a record low of 2.10 in October of 1978.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/currency


how we wish it is 1978. chapfan 80 sen, nasi lemak with chicken rm1.00, bakuteh rm3, big steak rm8. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Nov 9 2015, 05:41 PM

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