QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 5 2015, 04:24 PM)
I see now is 4.3141 USD/MYR drop, V2
USD/MYR drop, V2
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Nov 5 2015, 06:44 PM
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Senior Member
2,543 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Nov 5 2015, 07:51 PM
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All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
rm cannot get stronger, growth at risk.
QUOTE Amid Growth Risks, Weak Ringgit Government says Malaysia may miss trade targets this year Currency is the worst performer in Asia vs dollar in 2015 Malaysia’s central bank left interest rates unchanged for an eighth meeting as policy makers juggle risks to economic growth while contending with a currency that’s the worst performer in Asia this year. Bank Negara Malaysia kept the overnight policy rate at 3.25 percent, it said in a statement in Kuala Lumpur Thursday. The decision was predicted by all 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Prime Minister Najib Razak is counting on domestic demand to shore up a cooling economy as global growth falters, pledging to boost consumption, spur private investment and accelerate selected infrastructure projects next year. While Malaysia’s biggest trading partners of China and Singapore have both eased monetary policy in recent weeks, it is constrained by a currency that has depreciated about 19 percent this year. “Growth risk is a main concern now, although we’ve seen rising costs of late,” Julia Goh, a Kuala Lumpur-based economist at United Overseas Bank Ltd., said before the decision. "Our projection is for them to hold for at least into the first half of next year.” http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ks-weak-ringgit |
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Nov 5 2015, 10:03 PM
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#1903
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Senior Member
10,001 posts Joined: May 2013 |
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Nov 5 2015, 10:17 PM
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#1904
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Senior Member
10,001 posts Joined: May 2013 |
BNM kept OPR unchanged
Gud news for borrowers but bad news for MYR |
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Nov 5 2015, 11:26 PM
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All Stars
21,456 posts Joined: Jul 2012 |
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Nov 6 2015, 10:22 AM
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All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 5 2015, 10:17 PM) i just called a bank. buying usd is now at 4.317.QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 5 2015, 11:26 PM) that was pretty much expected.commodity based economy, low commodity prices, high debt levels, highest profile scandals cum coverup = no room to move. if the storm was less than perfect, can cut int rates, incr money supply to spur spending/growth. now... can only watch growth slow while rm has little chance to recover significantly. |
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Nov 6 2015, 06:21 PM
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All Stars
48,446 posts Joined: Sep 2014 From: REality |
The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM417.9 billion (equivalent to USD94.0 billion) as at 30 October 2015. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 8.7 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times the short-term external debt
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Nov 6 2015, 07:46 PM
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Senior Member
10,001 posts Joined: May 2013 |
Global funds raise Malaysian bond holdings as ringgit rallies
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...lies/?style=biz Surprisingly foreign investors make a U turn |
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Nov 6 2015, 09:01 PM
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All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 6 2015, 07:46 PM) Global funds raise Malaysian bond holdings as ringgit rallies they are very confident.http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...lies/?style=biz Surprisingly foreign investors make a U turn that gst can always will be raised to pay the interest; rakyat always pay w/o complaint. |
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Nov 6 2015, 10:28 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
Seems like the rate hike bet is on the card back with much stronger than expected job data.
USD rally across all currencies strongly, even gold is plunging through the 1100 strong resistance level. |
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Nov 6 2015, 10:33 PM
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Senior Member
10,001 posts Joined: May 2013 |
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Nov 6 2015, 10:36 PM
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All Stars
48,446 posts Joined: Sep 2014 From: REality |
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Nov 6 2015, 11:32 PM
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All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
excellent usa jobs report.
incr chance of rate hike in dec. rising us bond yields. crude approaching 44. usd/euro 0.932. rm... not hard to estimate what it will be on monday... |
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Nov 6 2015, 11:40 PM
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Senior Member
561 posts Joined: May 2012 |
phew strong nfp data!
manage to grab 120pips on euro/usd pair wonder how myr will perform next week |
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Nov 7 2015, 12:42 AM
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Senior Member
2,543 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Nov 7 2015, 06:51 AM
Show posts by this member only | IPv6 | Post
#1916
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10,001 posts Joined: May 2013 |
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Nov 7 2015, 12:06 PM
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All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 7 2015, 06:51 AM) new major external factors have arrived.we just need to see if new major local factors will emerge - primarily mgs yields and bijan chronicles. if perfect storm... ya, 4.44, 4.50. below is just a personal opinion from a blogger but i think it has some validity in it: QUOTE My comments : The banks are not getting enough deposits from their customers. This does not mean there is not enough liquidity in the system. It simply means people are putting their money elsewhere. So the banks will have to raise their deposit rates to attract deposits. Ultimately they will also raise their interest rates (to cover the higher deposit rates). My concern is that there is not enough new economic activity in the country to use up all that money. We will have plenty of Ringgits floating around chasing too few economically viable projects. This will lead to more inflation. Also the value of the Ringgit will fall again. I am surprised about the banks now taking US$ deposits. This will cause more Malaysians to convert their Ringgit to US$ and place it in US$ deposiits. The Ringgit will fall even more. |
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Nov 7 2015, 01:07 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 7 2015, 12:06 PM) If not mistaken, I came across an article/report saying that foreign currency deposit was surging more than 30% during September period, so liquidity is not a major issue.Just banks FD portion is not raising as much which banks need to undergo good FD promotion rate to attract more FD, at the same time Basel III does have an effect for bank to chase after more FD. |
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Nov 7 2015, 02:40 PM
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All Stars
48,446 posts Joined: Sep 2014 From: REality |
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Nov 7 2015, 03:00 PM
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Senior Member
2,543 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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