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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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ikanbilis
post Nov 5 2015, 06:44 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 5 2015, 04:24 PM)
lol went back below 4.30 biggrin.gif

1.00 USD  =  4.29932 MYR
*
I see now is 4.3141 drool.gif

AVFAN
post Nov 5 2015, 07:51 PM

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rm cannot get stronger, growth at risk.

QUOTE
Amid Growth Risks, Weak Ringgit

Government says Malaysia may miss trade targets this year
Currency is the worst performer in Asia vs dollar in 2015

Malaysia’s central bank left interest rates unchanged for an eighth meeting as policy makers juggle risks to economic growth while contending with a currency that’s the worst performer in Asia this year.
Bank Negara Malaysia kept the overnight policy rate at 3.25 percent, it said in a statement in Kuala Lumpur Thursday. The decision was predicted by all 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
Prime Minister Najib Razak is counting on domestic demand to shore up a cooling economy as global growth falters, pledging to boost consumption, spur private investment and accelerate selected infrastructure projects next year. While Malaysia’s biggest trading partners of China and Singapore have both eased monetary policy in recent weeks, it is constrained by a currency that has depreciated about 19 percent this year.
“Growth risk is a main concern now, although we’ve seen rising costs of late,” Julia Goh, a Kuala Lumpur-based economist at United Overseas Bank Ltd., said before the decision. "Our projection is for them to hold for at least into the first half of next year.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ks-weak-ringgit


TSwil-i-am
post Nov 5 2015, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 5 2015, 07:51 PM)
rm cannot get stronger, growth at risk.
*
Glad to c tis news icon_idea.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 5 2015, 10:17 PM

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BNM kept OPR unchanged
Gud news for borrowers but bad news for MYR
icemanfx
post Nov 5 2015, 11:26 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 5 2015, 10:17 PM)
BNM kept OPR unchanged
Gud news for borrowers but bad news for MYR
*
If not because of myr depreciation, monetary easing would be on the card.

AVFAN
post Nov 6 2015, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 5 2015, 10:17 PM)
BNM kept OPR unchanged
Gud news for borrowers but bad news for MYR
*
i just called a bank. buying usd is now at 4.317.


QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 5 2015, 11:26 PM)
If not because of myr depreciation, monetary easing would be on the card.
*
that was pretty much expected.

commodity based economy, low commodity prices, high debt levels, highest profile scandals cum coverup = no room to move.

if the storm was less than perfect, can cut int rates, incr money supply to spur spending/growth.

now... can only watch growth slow while rm has little chance to recover significantly.
nexona88
post Nov 6 2015, 06:21 PM

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The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM417.9 billion (equivalent to USD94.0 billion) as at 30 October 2015. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 8.7 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times the short-term external debt
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 6 2015, 07:46 PM

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Global funds raise Malaysian bond holdings as ringgit rallies
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...lies/?style=biz

Surprisingly foreign investors make a U turn
AVFAN
post Nov 6 2015, 09:01 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 6 2015, 07:46 PM)
Global funds raise Malaysian bond holdings as ringgit rallies
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...lies/?style=biz

Surprisingly foreign investors make a U turn
*
they are very confident.

that gst can always will be raised to pay the interest; rakyat always pay w/o complaint. tongue.gif
cherroy
post Nov 6 2015, 10:28 PM

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Seems like the rate hike bet is on the card back with much stronger than expected job data.

USD rally across all currencies strongly, even gold is plunging through the 1100 strong resistance level.
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 6 2015, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(tidurking @ Nov 6 2015, 10:14 PM)
Holy fuack suddenly jump to 4.38 due to strong usd haih...
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The quoted rate is not reliable
nexona88
post Nov 6 2015, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(tidurking @ Nov 6 2015, 10:14 PM)
Holy fuack suddenly jump to 4.38 due to strong usd haih...
*
seriously ohmy.gif shocking.gif

4.50 next week sad.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 6 2015, 11:32 PM

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excellent usa jobs report.

incr chance of rate hike in dec.

rising us bond yields.

crude approaching 44.

usd/euro 0.932.

rm... not hard to estimate what it will be on monday...
hazard_puppet
post Nov 6 2015, 11:40 PM

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phew strong nfp data!

manage to grab 120pips on euro/usd pair

wonder how myr will perform next week
ikanbilis
post Nov 7 2015, 12:42 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 6 2015, 10:36 PM)
seriously  ohmy.gif  shocking.gif

4.50 next week  sad.gif
*
Really? rclxm9.gif rclxms.gif rclxm9.gif

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 7 2015, 06:51 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 6 2015, 11:32 PM)
excellent usa jobs report.

incr chance of rate hike in dec.

rising us bond yields.

crude approaching 44.

usd/euro 0.932.

rm... not hard to estimate what it will be on monday...
*
Fasten yo seatbelt b4 MYR accelerate to 4.44 icon_idea.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 7 2015, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 7 2015, 06:51 AM)
Fasten yo seatbelt b4 MYR accelerate to 4.44  icon_idea.gif
*
new major external factors have arrived.

we just need to see if new major local factors will emerge - primarily mgs yields and bijan chronicles.

if perfect storm... ya, 4.44, 4.50.


below is just a personal opinion from a blogger but i think it has some validity in it:

QUOTE
My comments : The banks are not getting enough deposits from their customers. This does not mean there is not enough liquidity in the system. It simply means people are putting their money elsewhere. So the banks will have to raise their deposit rates to attract deposits. Ultimately they will also raise their interest rates (to cover the higher deposit rates). My concern is that there is not enough new economic activity in the country to use up all that money. We will have plenty of Ringgits floating around chasing too few economically viable projects. This will lead to more inflation. Also the value of the Ringgit will fall again.
I am surprised about the banks now taking US$ deposits. This will cause more Malaysians to convert their Ringgit to US$ and place it in US$ deposiits. The Ringgit will fall even more
.


cherroy
post Nov 7 2015, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 7 2015, 12:06 PM)
below is just a personal opinion from a blogger but i think it has some validity in it:
*
If not mistaken, I came across an article/report saying that foreign currency deposit was surging more than 30% during September period, so liquidity is not a major issue.

Just banks FD portion is not raising as much which banks need to undergo good FD promotion rate to attract more FD, at the same time Basel III does have an effect for bank to chase after more FD.
nexona88
post Nov 7 2015, 02:40 PM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Nov 7 2015, 12:42 AM)
Really? rclxm9.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxm9.gif
*
myabe tongue.gif

1.00 USD = 4.35850 MYR whistling.gif
ikanbilis
post Nov 7 2015, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 7 2015, 06:51 AM)
Fasten yo seatbelt b4 MYR accelerate to 4.44  icon_idea.gif
*
4.44 = Die die die? Bad omen? shocking.gif sweat.gif


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