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 USA Stock Discussion v7, Greece Debt Crisis!

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danmooncake
post Oct 16 2015, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 16 2015, 01:52 PM)
could also be partly due to yesterday being last trading day for nov options.

dec options expiring on nov 17.
at 47, think i may short again tonite. tongue.gif
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Despite the lower price of WTI yesterday, I'm surprised how bullish energy select sector (XLE and its 3x ERX) this week. Lots of ikan bilis from last week turned into groupers... drool.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 20 2015, 12:49 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 20 2015, 12:01 AM)
latest...

foreign commentary on Msia budget>

its going to be HARD. Msia is just like brazil and some arab nations facing potential sovereignty risks. budget will either need to raise taxes (in some forms), and/or expenditure cuts, and/or using reserves to support the expenses (!!!).

wow...that bad?
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How to cut expenses? I heard BR1M for 2016 will be higher.

Malaysia govt somehow must have figured a way to get more money. Perhaps, PM got more "donations" from
the brotherly Middle East folks. biggrin.gif


danmooncake
post Oct 20 2015, 03:09 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 20 2015, 02:22 AM)
ya, i think so too.

last recent high was 4.46.

4.50 is within reach.
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Aiyo.. now that I got Ringgit exchanged, somehow I don't wish it to be higher than 4.25 anymore. sad.gif


danmooncake
post Oct 20 2015, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 20 2015, 09:08 AM)
if investment, just hope price appr > rm depr + transaction costs +operating costs + yr cost of capital.

think most foreign investors in msia property using usd/sgd/rmb/gbp 3-4 yrs ago now lost money.

hence the statement "property so cheap foreigners will buy them all" does not hold water.
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True... if bought 3-4 yrs ago (or even bought most liquid assets like stocks/bonds), now would have lost money because of depreciated ringgit. Hence, I think that's why foreigners are continuing to dump Msia bonds once they've mature or try to sell them to break even despite got 4-5% yield.

Anyway, I'm in for long haul for my property in Iskandar Johor, hopefully, we've hit the low point in Ringgit depreciation here (above that >4.25 mark and below 4.50). If continue towards between 4.5 and 5.0, then it would take me another 5-10 years for capital returns. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 20 2015, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 20 2015, 10:48 PM)
latest...

euro stoxx dropping ... as ecb was seen as saying 'our capital acc is narrowing'...

ibm sales -14%, dropping 5+%

yum! spinning of its china biz due to prolonged supply chain problems, rising +2%
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Tales of two diff. companies operating differently in China.

IBM is in tough position. Probably started 2 years ago - all caused by China - Chinese govt decided to move away their services from foreign companies to go domestic, and recent slowdown.

Yum - still pretty good demand from Chinese consumers for their KFC and so forth despite some scandals. thumbup.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 21 2015, 09:55 PM

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Oil is weak again.. affecting XLE now. But, I think there are some ikan bilis opportunities here. nod.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 21 2015, 11:05 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 21 2015, 10:39 PM)
i was expecting good support at 45.32 but no... it went below 45! biggrin.gif

now, where is next low... 44?

dunno whether to short or to long now. laugh.gif
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I think high 44 or low 45 will hold till this weekend. So, got a little of XLE options to play a bit but I'm watching that floor at 67. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 21 2015, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 21 2015, 11:14 PM)
it's all very jittery now - equal number of "about to go up" and "will still go down further" analysis reports. sweat.gif

whether long or short, gotta be very alert, sleepy eyes will not be forgiven biggrin.gif

xle... 67 is a good support but since it went to 60 not so long ago...?

i am still just trading crude, fast in fast out.

not comfortable yet to dive in to collect for keeps.
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Same here. but playing energy stocks only. 2 more days till expiration. I think it can hold, otherwise I own a bunch of shares. sweat.gif

danmooncake
post Oct 22 2015, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 22 2015, 09:59 PM)
ecb hinted more qe for euro - stock markets love this cocaine! biggrin.gif

usd rise, capping crude gains.
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But, I'm seeing good rally for XLE despite this "cap" of crude. It's above 45.
I think this weekend can get at least small grouper. rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 23 2015, 01:34 AM

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I just fish out half of the grouper and just leave the half short puts intact for tomorrow expiration.
XLE is doing good so far. It can go either way tomorrow, either zoom to 69 or retreat back down below 68.


danmooncake
post Oct 23 2015, 03:32 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 23 2015, 02:20 AM)
2 am. something is pulling down the prices .... hope can rebound abit
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It is rebounding... someone pumping it back up. rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 23 2015, 05:51 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 23 2015, 03:54 AM)
could debt ceiling a bear party?
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Dunno, it's very strange. Dollar also spiked up. Normally, it should be down. hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 23 2015, 10:43 PM

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Aiyo... took profits too fast yesterday. doh.gif

XLE has turned into bigger grouper tonight. Only got two groupers left to fish out. Ahhh sheesh..
danmooncake
post Oct 23 2015, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 23 2015, 10:44 PM)
It's too bullish - unless the demand picks up again within two years, or nations around the world consume even more energy (fossil fuel). As for electricity consumption (going up-> yes)... but majority of electricity production aren't from fossil fuel.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 23 2015, 11:05 PM
danmooncake
post Oct 24 2015, 12:46 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 24 2015, 12:05 AM)
look at goog and amzn. mad rise ....
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Also MSFT, also pushing AAPL up. Very good for Nasdaq (pushing above 5K again) and for QQQ, QLD, TECL..

Both SP500 and Dow also follow along and breaking above the resistance line.
I think this may set the mark for end of year rally here for this month, hence double bottom confirmation for last month.

Time to Buy Buy Buy if there's any pull back.. drool.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 24 2015, 12:46 AM
danmooncake
post Oct 24 2015, 06:17 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 23 2015, 09:43 PM)
2084 coming... biggrin.gif
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2084 shouldn't be a problem. Also, the "W" shape has completed. The bulls have proven once again they're in control. The last few bearish events - Dow plunges 500+ pts in August because of Interest rate fear, China slow down and oil superglut within the two months as if they didn't happen. biggrin.gif

danmooncake
post Oct 25 2015, 11:14 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 25 2015, 06:43 PM)
The FOMC will meet on the coming Tuesday and Wednesday, and will release a statement at 2am, early-Thursday morning, Msian time.

Important number: third-quarter US GDP figure due out on the same day as the policy statement ann't. Opinions gathered say this figure will dip badly from the second-Q GDP figure.
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Here's what I think this crazy market will do

If 3rd Q dips badly, market will go up.
If 3rd Q is good (or better than expected), market will go down. laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 26 2015, 10:11 PM

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Ikan bilis spotted again for energy sector. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Oct 27 2015, 07:08 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 26 2015, 10:12 PM)
ya, a few too many. eyes biurring......

betting crude to dip well well below 44?
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Yes.. energy/commodities as always get attacked by bears first and even sp500 struggling to hold on to gains from last week.

I think crude can go to low 40s again and let see if it can hold there.
danmooncake
post Oct 27 2015, 11:35 PM

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Got some ikan bilis... (xle @ 65.25) just right off the 50ma support level. Let's see if it can fill that gap. sweat.gif


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