The Young, the Old and the RestlessInvestment Dilemma: To Buy or Not to Buy.In every investment, there is only one decision to make: to be in or pass and skip the opportunity.
(There is a good line on missed opportunity that I can recalled – “Better to have lost opportunity than to have lost money.)
IMHO, the young investor will have an easier decision as time is on his side. And he doesn’t have the baggage of a large amount of money to decide whether to invest it all at once or to spread the investment.
The 2 common investment strategies, DCA and VA, were posted earlier, 2 or 3 pages back. Please read it to see which one is more appropriate to your financial objective.
(There are other methods too, but this investor is too lazy to learn more, and more importantly, this investor likes to keep things simple as his brain cells can’t handle matters that are too complicated.)
Anyway, as mentioned, the investment decision is simple: to buy or not to buy. And I find that DCA and VA methods are more than adequate to aid in making the decision.
The YoungSo you are young and just starting your career, and have a bit of extra savings from your salary to invest into unit trust. You have decided the target of how much to have in the short term, and also the long term for retirement. You had already done the background check on which fund company to have, which fund (or funds) to begin with. And you had also decided which strategy to use.
Once the investment objective and investment strategy is decided, please stick to it. If the strategy was abandoned mid way, there was no strategy.
Maybe you were being whimsical and were following some recommendation that unit trust will give you much better returns than what you are getting in another type of savings or investment without further thoughts.
If the objective and strategy is not carefully thought thoroughly, and select the fund that is most suitable to your objective, you will hit this buying dilemma when the market goes down or stay flat. You will decide to discontinue further purchases of the fund, and will maybe pull out entirely when you have doubts in the fund that you have selected.
IMHO, it will helps to ease the anxiety and emotional stress on whether it is the right fund to be holding when the market goes south, by having a less aggressive and more conservative fund when the objective is for the short term, and a more aggressive and volatile fund for the longer term.
Give a thought about having a bond fund if the objective is for the short term. Maybe you will find it more suitable to your objective, and your level of risk. (Risk is closely associated with greediness!)
And the entry charge into a bond fund is usually much lower than the charge for an equity fund; and thus don’t have to worry too much on how much the service charge will eventually bite into the growth.
For the longer term, as time is on your side, take a more volatile fund, such as a growth fund or a small cap fund. I prefer small cap funds – google Paul Merriman academic opinion on small caps in his articles that appeared in MarketWatch.
In summary, DCA or VA will help you to get over the “to buy, or not to buy” dilemma when you comes to the next purchase that was scheduled into your investment plan. The investment plan could be a weekly purchase, or monthly, or quarterly. It will help you to filter out the negative news that the market will go down in the short term, or else you will be thinking why continue to make another purchase when you can get better value by delaying or postponing the purchase.
Another important point to remember is that nobody, not even the financial professionals, know with a high degree of certainty how the market will move in the following month. But we are very certain that the market can move in 3 directions only – up, down or flat.
So in each purchase, we either gain some or lose some. (Only in the short term lar. The optimism viewpoint on the long term is that the economy and stock market will grow.) So by making regular purchases, we average out the gains and losses.
Cheers.
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So if the investment plan is monthly, we make a purchase this month.
If the market goes down after we made the purchase, never mind - don’t worry, be happy - since we will be making another purchase next month and will get more units for our money.
If the market goes up, what to do, this is the best amount of money I can spare to invest this month, and just be happy that I managed to add more units before the price goes up.
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Next, the Old and the Restless...