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 Gold Investment Corner V8, All About Gold

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SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(sinbad2k @ Dec 10 2014, 03:39 PM)
sidetracking again?It's not as if I said that everyone getting rid of USD today and expect everything to work without USD tomorrow. Again, all I'm trying to say is that the fact that so many countries are repatriating their gold from the Fed, and some bypassing the USD in trade, signifies something. Sure everything will still be in conducted in USD now but they're also anticipating currency crisis, USD crisis to be exact.

"Gold is not a money nor currency but another asset class which investors can diversify into."
I've already mentioned that gold is not a good currency tool.  But I do believe gold is money(according to the definition I learned). Your definition of money could be different, so I'm not arguing.

"Properties can store value, land can store value, share can store value, oil/iron ore/besi buruk also another one can store value, so does gold, silver, copper etc."

I'm talking about inherent value. If you put it your way, even pebbles can store value.
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Actually what many people expect is a currency crisis. USD will probably be the last man standing after this.

Problem with properties is, they are too overvalued at this point of time.
SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 10 2014, 02:34 PM)
Bro, you don't know what you are talking about.

If worldwide use gold backed currency, then the money worldwide is fixed at an amount, capital inflow from A to B, B to C, doesn't increase the money supply.  laugh.gif

Last time, there is enough gold to back the limited currency in circulation, so gold backed no problem at all.
eg. US had 1000 tons of gold, which equivalent can back let day USD100 billion, while economy size is just 50 billion, no issue, money still can create more.

The world economy does "fly" after removing the gold backed back in 70's.
The world developed fast since after 80's and general public has a better life across.

Last time, in 70's, 80's, you need to beg employer to have a job, those having a job is considered luxury and most people live in poverty.
If want to use gold backed, economy cannot grow, hence people have no chance to escape poverty, rich people remain rich, poor people remain poor.
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Again, you fail to see the picture.

Assuming that the overall gold is constant. The countries that are more productive will be rewarded with more gold flowing into their system. The countries that are less productive will see capital going out of their system. That is how companies work right? They do not have the priviledge of creating money out of thin air. How come you are so rigid in the way you think? In this system, more control is being given to the free market rather then to governments.

If country A is productive, their capital can still increase due to increased inflow. So in the end, the gold that a more productive country has, will not be limited to 100 ton. So there is incentive to be productive.

Why not? If US is productive. There will be net inflow of gold into their economy thus causing their overall value of their dollar to increase.

The current system encourages things like crony capitalism etc.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Dec 10 2014, 04:13 PM
SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 10 2014, 04:27 PM)
Economy doesn't work in single loop but infinite loop.

So countries less productive see all capital going out until zero?  laugh.gif

Bigger picture is very simple for fixed amount money.
When start,
A country has 1 bil
B country has 1 bil

B capital keep on flowing to A due to so called more productive, every month flow 100 mil, at the end of 11th month, B has no money, while A maximum can have is 2 billion.

So if US is productive, all gold inflow to USD, the rest of world eat what? No gold, no money.  laugh.gif
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If there is too much outflow, then there has to be a way to stem that out flow.

Similar to how a company is being managed. If not properly managed, bankrupt.

SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 10 2014, 04:22 PM)
Nikkei is still only 50% off its peak.

Also Nikkei is doing well, bounce off 50% from low because exporter profit more due to USD.

A booming stock market indices, doesn't necessary reflect how well the GDP growth.
Japan now official in recession, GDP growth negative 2 Q (-7%, -1%), but stock up 50% from its low...  whistling.gif

QE more money available to pour into stock market.

Japan is the classic example, money printing /= booming economy.
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Actually QE does inflate the stock market.

That same QE cause the current all high in the US stock market.

I never said that Japan has a booming economy. The fact is that a lot of people tend to associate a booming stock market with a booming economy which is wrong.

Are you sure that Japan is exporting more because of the USD? I mean, do you suddenly start buying sony or toyota just because JPY went down ?

Do you suddenly use Docomo telecommunication services?

Seriously.


SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 10 2014, 04:41 PM)
My money definition.

Money = medium of exchange that enable to buy whatever we want.

Gold cannot buy car, house, unless being converted into RM or USD.

While other want to have other definition, I also cannot argue about it.  smile.gif

Yes, look at those antique stuff, worth millions a single piece.
Everything has a value and store a value, besi buruk also store RM0.90 per kg value.  biggrin.gif
Pebbles also store a few RM per kg, I believed.  tongue.gif
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Of course.

Because the mindset right now has been changed.

Once upon a time, countries cannot buy oil unless they use USD. This has changed recently. Now you can sell your oil to China in Yuan.
You can trade directly if you are in Singapore with China in SGD.

Paradigm changes my friend. You are still in the old paradigm.

Gold is of course the ultimate value storage because people has recognize it since the beggining of time. There are characteristics in gold that everyone recognizes.
SUSsylar111
post Dec 10 2014, 05:45 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 10 2014, 05:04 PM)
I don't see crude oil quoted in the futures market in SGD.

Yuan is not an international freely trade currency like USD.
Until Yuan become free trade worldwide which is not at the moment, there is obstacle to use Yuan.

I don't deny is a historical "value" asset, but it is not good money (medium of exchange) or being used as to back currency.
Currency, money needs to have limitless upside for modern economy to function, while gold quantity if fixed in this world.

Yes, paradigm change and USD may be less as a force in the old day, but up until now USD is still the one major currency traded in the world, and not going to chance soon and there is no other major alternative can replace it.
By right, second largest economy China, its currency should be challenging it, but Yuan is not international freely traded currency, so the option is not there until China opens up the Yuan, which I don't think China willing to do so at forseeable future.
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Obviously when say Russia sells it's oil to china, they are not going to sell in USD because there's an agreement between those 2 nations not to do that.

When Korea trade with china, or UK trades with China. They can bypass the USD.

I never ever indicated that oil is traded in SGd. I am saying that when china trades with Singapore, they do not have to use USD to trade.

Seriously, you twist what i say at every chance.

Are you only interested in twisting facts just to win the argument.?

As I said, in the past, almost every trade between nations are conducted using USD. And I have already that though increasing amount of swap agreements, countries are already starting to bypass the USD. You are asserting yourself when proved otherwise. You are forever in denial.

You obviously do not understand what swap agreements mean etc
SUSsylar111
post Dec 11 2014, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 11 2014, 09:52 AM)
Because over the pass, we do not have deflation so economy still going.

Deflation in ordinary phone resulted, the last time leading phone manufacturers Nokia, no longer exist.

You can argue Iphone is doing well, but Iphone doesn't have deflation, Iphone price never drop.

You can see how deflation kill company/industry in ordinary phone.

That's why you see intel processor won't drop to RM100 per piece, last time Pentium 4 cost Rm400, now i3 also Rm400.
There is no deflation in computer, last time you bought a PC at Rm1000~1500, now still need Rm1000~1500, just spec upgraded.
If PC having deflation drop to less than Rm500, then whole PC industry will crumble down. Nobody can survive with a new PC just cost Rm500.
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Seriously, do you even check the facts before you write?

Nokia was affected not because price of phone dropped. But because they were specialist in mobile phones not smart phones. The recent years saw a boom in smart phones and normal mobile phone has lost it's significance.

And Nokia is still here. In fact, Nokia stocks went up 4 times compared to 2 years ago.

Really.

I wonder if you actually even understanding what currency swap means. If USD was so stable and trusted, there will not be a need to do this in the first place.

Also for computers, they are getting cheaper actually. I mean the amount of monies you need to get a computer of decent spec is getting lesser and lesser.

I think 17 years ago, you need at least 2.5-3k to get a decent computer.

And dun forget even by your definition, the price of computer remains at current price despite the fact that currency decrease in value. In other words, in real terms, the price of computer actually dropped.

Do you even analyze what you say carefully?

Did you seriously make money from the stock market? Because you cannot even do basic analysis.

You just want to win arguments right?

This post has been edited by sylar111: Dec 11 2014, 10:24 AM
SUSsylar111
post Dec 12 2014, 04:58 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 11 2014, 10:42 AM)
Last time there were ordinary phone last time cost more than RM1000 (my first hp), just can text and phone, now there is no ordinary phone can be sold at more than RM300~400. Price tumbled for ordinary phone.

There was no ordinary phone at sub Rm100, but now there is even at Rm60!

If Nokia still can sell ordinary phone at RM1000, Nokia still going strong.
Fyi, Microsoft has bought over Nokia, and they don't intend to use the name Nokia for the future model.

That's why computer industry is not doing well, many old computer shops closing one and another. Only very competitive players can survive at razor sharp thin margin.

Deflation/inflation is measured by price, not currency value.
Price Rm1500 in 90's, now Rm1600, there is inflation of Rm100, even though the value of Rm1500 is different nowadays. 2 totally different front of issue.

What I interest to post is fact and figure, and the consequence of money supply of gold backed currency, never know nor interest whether there is win or not in argument. No prize for it.  smile.gif
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Your argument is very flawed and you know it. You like to use USD as the benchmark. So did computer price decrease in terms of USD then. After all, for most major hardware company, they are measured based on this standard. You are starting to look more and more absurd really.

Most analyst out there would not argue that computer prices are getting cheaper and cheaper. You are the only 1 who is saying otherwise just to prove a point. But you know in your heart it is totally absurd.

Why dun u use zimbabwe dollars then. I am pretty sure the price of computers increase a lot in terms of zimbabwe dollars.

Anyway you are wrong regarding Nokia not being around. That is a ridiculous assumption since Nokia was once the dominating player and they could easily get into the smartphone arena given that even Samsung is doing that

I am pretty sure that if Apple did not come in, Nokia will still be dominating in the mobile phone industry. Nokia could sell their phones at 150 and still make a profit. The thing is, there may be other brands that sell at a cheaper price but then Nokia is already an established name and that commands a premium as well. I think you are the only one out there who says that Nokia died off because of price competition. Also the reason why phones are sub 100 right now is because they are not in demand. Nokia could still sell some of the higher end phones for 400 even 500 plus if not for the ascendency of smart phone. The fact of the matter is, mobile phones are now obsolete because of the smart phone. Nokia suffered because of this. You are twisting something that everyone knows just to fit your argument. Most people with a brain would know how absurd your basis are.

Even in the smart phone arena, phones are getting cheaper. You have Xiao Mi and the others creating really cheap phones. Apple sell their phones at a very high premium. Everyone except you knows that. That explains why they have such a strong balance sheet. It's the brand. They can afford to sell their phones at a high price and people will still buy because they are brand conscience.

I have said that a gold backed currency is not ideal but necessary. But then seeing that you do not even get your basics correct, it is pointless going further on this.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Dec 12 2014, 05:02 AM
SUSsylar111
post Dec 12 2014, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Dec 12 2014, 09:16 AM)
If there is no smart phone pop up in the market, ordinary phone may still around RM1000 per piece.
And Nokia won't be at current state.

Ordinary phone drop in price? Yes --> deflation.  Disregard the demand issue or not, we are talking about deflation effect to company, not company competitive or not.

Nokia is doing fine and making hefty profit? They may manage to turn the loss recently, but was bleeding severely previously few year.
I don't think need to find article to tell the state of Nokia, common known issue.
But this is first time, I came across saying Nokia is doing fine in phone business.

Did Iphone price have deflation (drop in price), this answer all the mother question of deflation.

Gold backed currency issue is not about not ideal, but unworkable.
Remember the previous 9 person hoarding 99% of the money example I gave?
This simple model already illustrate how unworkable gold backed currency. Don't need to dig into more details.

I stop posting long explanation simple Q&A will answer all (if not saying twist again doh.gif )

Ordinary phone drop in price? Yes --> deflation -- company struggling
Iphone drop in price? No --> no deflation, company making decent profit.
Xioami drop in price? No it starts off with currency pricing --> company still doing ok.
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IPhone which is supposed to be the start of the smart phone revolution was first released on Jun 2007
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_iPhone

Of course there are other smart phones around but then let's accept it, they are not a threat to Nokia.

The thing is, even though the iphone was release during that time, it would still take I think around 1-2 years to take steam.
Nokia was selling cheap phones even before 2008- 2009. You can get a very cheap phone for aroud RM200 plus. Let's face it. Even in 2008, iphone probably isn't even a threat to Nokia. Iphone was probably viewed as something that is cool at that time but then only geeks would buy it. Bought 1 phone with the simplest spec for 240 I think. And most people would still be buying Nokia rather then other china brands even if the other china brands are selling for say RM150 because of brand recognision.

Smart Phones did not cause Nokia phones to decrease in price because their price range is totally different. An iphone probably cost around RM2k plus. A ordinary but good Nokia phone cost around RM400-500 plus. So how can you even say that smart phone drove the price of Nokia down?

Companies espacially those that are of the size of Nokia do not sell phones at a loss. The reason why they lose out is because normal mobile phones are not popular. They could still generate a profit if they sell their phones at RM200 if say there is huge demand. The fact is that there is no more demand because people are now buying smart phones. Of course their operation is going to take a hit because of that. You still do not get it do you. It's not deflation that cause Nokia to go downhill, it's demand.

You are again twisting my words. I never said Nokia was always profitable. I said they could still make a profit selling a cheap phone. Obviously they took a hit because of the smart phone revolution. Everyone knows that. But to say that they will not generate a profit just because phones are getting cheaper is total nonsense. Besides, they could still sell higher spec phones at a higher price.

Now you call iphone the answer towards mother of deflation. Are you so desperate? The fact of the matter is, the cost of smart phones is decreasing. Even prior to XiaoMi, Samsung is able to sell a phone with better specs for around RM1200plus. Smart Phones are getting cheaper and cheaper. That is the trend if you take iphone out of the picture which most people pay a premium for not because it's the better phone but because of it's brand. The general trend for smart phone is that they are getting cheaper though. Just because of iphone, you generalize it to the entire smart phone industry. Of course common sense will tell you that if iphone can still remain hot selling at high price, there is very little incentive in the first place to lower the price. But then, if people do not buy iphone because of the brand, you can be pretty sure that the price of iphone will be coming down.

Your assumption here is that people just keep their wealth and do not spend it. The thing is that, people generally do not do that. When you are rich, you still buy things and continue to invest in things. Why can't a person be rich in a gold based currency system? If that person can invent something that everyone needs, people will still buy products from this person. Isn't that what free market is? Selling something that people need and profiting from this? You obviously know nothing about free market economics. If say I am able to come out with an idea and need funding, wouldn't someone who is rich put money into my idea? Why are you assuming that rich people will never spend what they have saved? But I really do not want to discuss this further because it seems your basic understanding of things is lacking.

The thing is, I can tell you are really desperate. So desperate that you are starting to make basic grammer mistakes. You are just trying to justify yourself using whatever means possible.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Dec 12 2014, 12:48 PM
SUSsylar111
post Dec 16 2014, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(TruthHurts @ Dec 12 2014, 01:40 PM)
With that many stars on your avatar. I'm guessing you don't need to know the difference between GOLD thread and IPHONE thread.

rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif
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This is between me and cherroy.
Understanding of Gold involves hard economics.

So yes, it's relevant.
SUSsylar111
post Jan 19 2015, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jan 19 2015, 04:59 PM)
other than oil price, weaker MYR against USD also contribute higher gold price (in malaysia  tongue.gif )
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gold going up against usd leh.
Hmmm. You arr typing for fun is it?

Lower Oil price normally would cause a drop in gold price because less cost is required to mine the gold.
But in this case, lower oil price cause an increase in gold price because lower oil price shows that the economy is not stable.

That is why you see the inverse relationshpi right now.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 19 2015, 05:42 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jan 19 2015, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(annychua @ Jan 19 2015, 04:23 AM)
Hi all members, I wanna sell my pamp Suisse gold bar 100g. Anyone interested plz pm me with your best price..tq so much
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Got certification etc or not. You just tell us what price you want to sell it for.
SUSsylar111
post Jan 19 2015, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jan 19 2015, 05:56 PM)
Okay, maybe I'm wrong about oil price, But I'm very sure weaker MYR against USD contribute to higher gold price in malaysia nod.gif
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Nope. Gold is going up against USD itself.
Anyway, basics is not your forte.

The thing is, the reason why Gold is going up is because of the economics situation right now for example the Swiss unpegged to the Euro. Many factors affecting gold price.

USD can go up but if gold goes down vs USD then gold may even go down against MYR.

Normally if USD goes up, gold goes down.

And you are so happy stating the obvious. Seriously.

SUSsylar111
post Jan 20 2015, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jan 20 2015, 12:06 AM)
veli good decision  rclxms.gif
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Yeah 1283. Veli veli good.

Need More Ppl like you.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 20 2015, 04:37 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jan 20 2015, 05:13 PM

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QUOTE(randm @ Jan 20 2015, 04:59 PM)
its going to take something very special for the dollar to go up (and therefore gold to go down). not even the US unemployment reports or whatever can help as people already aware of the manipulated media. it will need a lot more than that to change the sentiment. weaker dollar actually can be good for US exports. rumour about european central bank QE coming up next week after the swiss unpegging.
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Those ppl who say that gold will go to 1000 even 900 are just pawns. That's all. That's how I see them.
Need more of those pawns around. Otherwise how I will get rich?

Oil down. Gold price up. Gold and silver mining = ?

But USD is going up actually if you notice.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 20 2015, 05:19 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jan 21 2015, 07:02 PM

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QUOTE(blasto @ Jan 21 2015, 06:46 PM)
thx for your advise  notworthy.gif .. hope to see go up more another us100+ this year .. possible ?
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100 usd is nothing
SUSsylar111
post Jan 22 2015, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(turion64 @ Jan 22 2015, 02:56 PM)
yeah, if only those crisis remains true..
holding $1300 is the turning point for it to move upwards or downwards i think..
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Seems that someone somewhere does not like it to be at 1300. You know what I mean.
I mean you see the big push down suddenly after the 1300 mark. It was cruising before that.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 22 2015, 03:29 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jan 22 2015, 06:09 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 22 2015, 05:40 PM)
Good to pause...can't go up in a straight line.
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Hmmm. yeah. But seem that from here on. touching 1300 should be a little more difficult.
I am getting a little nervous about tomorrow's potential QE though.

This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 22 2015, 06:10 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jan 27 2015, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(shankar_dass93 @ Jan 26 2015, 08:05 PM)
Gold price started falling and is doing at around 1278 doh.gif
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Well, I have been saying all along.
If you want to invest in something, you better study that thing properly.
Options Expiry, Gold normally "goes down".

PS: I really love it when someone somehow feels elated when gold price goes down even though most likely this person has no vested interest in this metal.


This post has been edited by sylar111: Jan 27 2015, 06:18 PM
SUSsylar111
post Jul 22 2015, 05:19 PM

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QUOTE(knight @ Jul 22 2015, 04:25 PM)
Nice sharing. If only I know this wedge pattern. I should not buy few months back.
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If you could predict, you would be a millionaire.

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