Wisest, .... not necessary oldest.

My simple-minded thesis below why (immediate term) gold possibly risk price drop, although couple of TA gurus suggest $3300-4200/oz, final 5th wave.

Was hoping for some confluence from the other Unker.



This post has been edited by Unkerpanjang: Apr 3 2025, 07:03 PM

Yeah! But it's just false comfort when compared at a snap shot.

Over the 2 decades our MYR has been depreciating against true wealth (ie gold). Our epf, asnb dividends are below actual inflation.

Nothing beat time in the market, just don't time the market. Layman term DCA.

Bro, we start deep breathing exercise lah. Let go....Zen!

Everyday I pray for no gold revaluation...for country aman n damai. With AI computation......sgd/myr fair value 4.4x

Bro...already verified...kopitiam level.

The only gold with such % fluctuation = digital gold = Bitcoin.

Watching bigger picture.

1. Asset Market Cascading
2. Carry Trade Liquidation
3. Dollar Liquidity Crunch (crush emerging mkt currency)
4. Safe Haven Asset Surge. (Treasuries, Gold, Swiss)

W Buffet has been sitting on $330B treasuries. He's betting yield rates coming down. Eventually, flight to safe Haven, ie pt 4 happens.

Malaysia USA denominated debt is ard MYR$625B, flight to US dollars will create more financial stress on MYR. Hence, historically why gold in MYR is higher than gold in USD.

Unless you earn n spend in USD...worry for MYR.

Be careful what you wish for, lest it comes true.

Honestly, I find Unker's persistence to be very intriguing (not eccentric, delusional). I also conclude Unker firmly believes inwhat he shares.

My recommendation is to utilize the AI tools, Excel, to improve on the accuracy as clearly the stated facts, timeframe n computation show Unker to be 'inaccurate'.

If you wish to help others, the foundation of trust must first be established. Otherwise, nobody is gonna take you seriously.

Getting back to the grind. Stay healthy, stay safe. Until then....

Cleverness is the willingness to listen to others.

Brilliance is the ability to sift the gold from the bullshit.

Typically, those who don’t invest in gold on a forum tend to be the most vocal. It’s funny how the ones dismissing it often have the loudest opinions, while the quiet ones are usually the ones stacking their portfolios (past 23 years DCA still proven to be most effective strategy!)

Noise doesn’t equal knowledge—just look at the trend. As the saying goes in investing, "The trend is your friend".

The skeptics shout, the buyers sit back and watch the gold market do its thing.

Wish coming true....

Here’s a list of 23 plausible excuses, one for each year from 2002 to 2024, to justify why you didn’t buy gold over the past 23 years.

2002: I was too busy trying to figure out if Y2K was still going to happen.

2003: I thought the Iraq War would tank the economy, so I held off on investments.

2004: I spent all my money on a flip phone to look cool.

2005: I was convinced Hurricane Katrina meant we’d all be bartering with canned goods instead.

2006: I got distracted by the hype around the first YouTube videos.

2007: I was saving up for a Wii instead—priorities!

2008: The financial crisis hit, and I thought gold was just jewelry, not an investment.

2009: I was too broke from the recession to even think about gold.

2010: I figured the world would end in 2012, so why bother?

2011: Gold prices peaked, and I didn’t want to buy at the top like a sucker.

2012: I was stockpiling for the Mayan apocalypse instead.

2013: I got caught up in the Bitcoin craze and forgot about gold.

2014: I thought oil prices crashing meant gold was next.

2015: I was too busy binge-watching Netflix’s new shows.

2016: The election chaos made me think cash under the mattress was safer.

2017: I spent my money on overpriced avocado toast instead.

2018: I was waiting for the trade war with China to settle down first.

2019: I thought the economy was too good—gold seemed boring.

2020: I was hoarding toilet paper during the pandemic, not gold.

2021: I got distracted by meme stocks like GameStop.

2022: Inflation scared me, but I spent my cash on gas instead.

2023: I was too busy arguing about AI taking over the world.

2024: I figured I’d wait for gold to hit an even $2,000 per ounce—missed it again!


2025:?

Hnnng!!!

Wear pagoda t shirt + shorts + hang 3 x 10 oz around neck.

Walk into Lexus Showroom.

Damn!!!!!

Gold price going up & up!

As an experienced investor and hoarder, allow me to share some advice

It means Char Koay Teow will also price up.

Go to your fav stall, buy you char Koay Teow in bulk & freeze dry. You'll thank me.

"Icarus, say helllo to Newton".

Bro, pls share your own opinions.

If/when sell the gold. What to invest with the fiat?

Random outburst from this Unker.

1. The path to hell is paved with good intentions. That's why it's wise to avoid kesian others or offering unsolicited investment advice in public forums.

2. When it comes to investment. You are the captain of your own ship. Don't allow others to steer your ship. If it sinks, you got yourself to blame.

3. Never take investment advice in open forum. Especially from someone who writes his own rulebook and grades his own performance. Instead of showing remorse, he doubles down on the wrong investment call.

4. Investing is easy. Buy high, Sell higher!

I currently hold a considerable amount of gold as part of my asset allocation. While many view a scenario of gold prices skyrocketing as a positive outcome, I see it differently. In many cases, such a sharp rise reflects economic stress-marked by high inflation, social divergence and increased unemployment. It's a scenario that while potentially rewarding for some large bags gold holders, it would likely coincide with a bleak and stressful environment for the country at large.

That said, my exposure in crypto is significantly higher than my gold holdings. This reflects my preference for an alternative future-one where geopolitical tensions, such as tariffs wars, begin to subside, and global markets shift to a more constructive, risk-on environment resulting in gold QUIETLY rising as well.

In such a scenario, driven by innovation, optimism and FOMO, offer a more hopeful path forward than one implied by runaway gold price by itself.

We can only hope & pray common sense prevails. At the mean time "Boss, Char Koay Teow. Just duck egg,...No Caviar!"

This post has been edited by Unkerpanjang: Apr 18 2025, 01:27 PM

Bro, how fast things can change within a couple of weeks. So much work was invested for Malaysia to be a beneficiary in the initial US-Mexico tariff spat, until US listed the worldwide tariff.

All the anticipated incoming volume just evaporated, now Unker too free hence passing time posting random outburst.

Unker, I believe we might be overemphasizing the risk of buying gold at current prices. The real issue, if any, stems from improper asset allocation.

For instance, if gold constitutes only 10% of your portfolio (alongside kwsp, asnb, stocks, ETFs, crypto, rental properties, and other investment tools) and you are still gainfully employed, a 30% drop in gold price would only result in a 3% decline in your overall portfolio. That's hardly catastrophic. Stat the course-its not the end of the world.

However, if someone struggling to cover monthly expenses is pouring money into gold, that's a different issue altogether. It's poor money management, investing in gold is never a make or break gamble.