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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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Wedchar2912
post Mar 13 2024, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Mar 13 2024, 11:38 AM)
Yea I know.

Was wondering for the future. Will it be continued or also based on this year budget?
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no one knows... asking about the future at times is a futile exercise... sad.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 15 2024, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(autodriver @ Mar 15 2024, 10:06 AM)
Thanks for advice. Even if I have comprehensive medical and life insurance but keep a good health is important. I went Japan travel few times and everyday walk is like 15k steps average. I am not sure whether or not I can walk so many steps when travelling overseas after retire.
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if it is just about the stamina to walk, the solution is relatively simple... everyday make sure you walk like 10 to 15K steps... then when you travel, you know u at least can walk like 10 to 15km almost without major complications.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 15 2024, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Mar 15 2024, 12:06 PM)
Economic Strategist???

but the details given all wrong....
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the quality of our academic specialists... haha
now I understand why some people once heard that the specialist is from Malaysia, they just tune off... biggrin.gif


Wedchar2912
post Mar 16 2024, 08:34 PM

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self declare first... i know this is a thread about epf and mod may delete my posts...

Nonetheless, reading the discussion about tertiary education, it does seem like many here don't think too highly of such education. Is it because of the quality of employees we interact with here in Malaysia, or something else? Or we think pretty much all uni are the same low quality?

Then again, 1 million ringgit minimum for top notch education is a rather large sum, and one does wonder if this fund, especially if invested properly, can be better put to use for the kid's life.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 21 2024, 10:47 AM

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all these talk... will it bring actual changes? 250 million is a rounding error of 0 billion.

those who feel have enough stashed in EPF, maybe should still consider moving some out overseas... at least the 2023 dividend part.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 21 2024, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 21 2024, 10:56 AM)
Gone...into Singapore bank shares.
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u managed to catch the recent uptick of the SG banks? biggrin.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 21 2024, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 21 2024, 10:49 AM)
What actual changes do you want?
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don't want this thread to be locked again, or me getting flagged.

but we all know any changes must be structural and proper... not 250 million type of hot to semi-cold funds.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 21 2024, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 21 2024, 11:27 AM)
Don't divert from EPF discussion...

Already 1 guy gotten SUS'ed don't know what reason... After which topic locked....
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agree... that's why my original statement is about diversifying away from EPF... at least the 2023 dividend... smile.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 24 2024, 02:50 PM

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Why are insurance discussion persisting in EPF thread?
there is a very robust insurance thread already existing...
Wedchar2912
post Mar 25 2024, 06:37 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 25 2024, 06:31 PM)
it may have a balanced portfolio... but can still be conservative in its overall approach...

equities risk are not the same...
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don't forget the free put option/2.5% minimum return provided technically free by Federal Gov of Malaysia.

this is the feature that basically make EPF a superior to almost any fund one can find in Malaysia, in terms of risk reward.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 28 2024, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Mar 28 2024, 03:03 PM)
working population shrinking y-o-y

thanks to late marriage & childless / smaller family size

so retirements funds lack of yearly deposits too
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ah... but if you believe in the "out of the world thinking" that smaller funds are easier to manage and can get better returns, this would be a good thing for EPF div rates moving forward.... no?

tongue.gif drool.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 30 2024, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 30 2024, 12:25 PM)
before you know it... some ppl will say 10 mil not enough for retirement... lol

dun tembak numbers out from thin air lah... hahaha... go dosm, pick your own cpi basket...
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haha... that didn't take long... at least the idea of 4 million ringgit is enough for retirement did last a year at least. biggrin.gif

inflation is a tricky thing, because the word means different thing to different people… kinda reminded me of the fact that a he may not be a he anymore. (in this case: lifestyle inflation).
Nonetheless, what I know from own experience of being alive for at least 40 years and being aware almost the same number of years, it is genuinely not as high as everyone thinks. (of course it is not zero also).

A few concrete examples of numbers that I so happen to know:
My current car bought in 2009 for 150K, latest version price is ~190K : inflation ~1.8% pa
Chicken rice in late 1980s is 1 rm, now is 7 to 8rm : inflation ~6%
Education in a Ivy U in late 1990s is ~ 70K rm (@3.8) per year, now is ~300K rm (@4.7) per year: inflation ~5.5%


One of the few items I noticed that really has high inflation rate is luxury watches. A entry level AP watch was like around 30K rm in 2011, now if want to buy even second hand is like above 200K rm. That’s like 16% increase. Btw, this is just one luxury brand, not all brands can command such inflation rate.
What about medical bill? Anyone has factual numbers to share?

Media always claim education and healthcare will always have some of the highest inflations. Of all the unis, i would guess the US Ivies would command the highest inflation right? and that also is around 5 to 6% pa only in ringgit terms when our ringgit already crashed vs usd.

So to claim that we need EPF to be running at 10 to 20% return is silly… but beating inflation is a given and it is in EPF’s mandate to do so…

Wedchar2912
post Mar 30 2024, 07:37 PM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Mar 30 2024, 03:33 PM)
this is not call inflation...it's asset appreciation (value increase)
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some will claim it is just semantics...

same formula... it is a good... to some, die die also must have right? haha. blink.gif tongue.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 02:40 PM

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QUOTE(fuzzy @ Mar 30 2024, 11:51 PM)
Medical inflation generally is 10-20% per annum, you can read up on it as its a real concern for a lot of insurers. But gomen is RM1 haha.

Luxury watches are not inflation, its just artificial pricing to create scarcity, thats why no all brands can do the same because they don't command that fomoness. But its good for my "portfolio" even if I probably would never sell any of it  tongue.gif
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That’s the thing… I prefer to see concrete examples of the medical cost inflation, so as to gauge if what quoted by media is realistic. The 10 to 20% pa rate is something that is being thrown around by media, but is it truly representative/accurate?

Early this year a ex-colleague went through a stent procedure at a private hospital in Subang. His bill came out to be around 30K rm.
Allow me to ponder. Anyone knows how much it would have costs in 2000s? Working backwards, if inflation was 15% pa, then in 2004, a stent procedure would have only costs 2K rm. (11K if 5%, 4.5K if 10%, 0.8K if 20%)

So is the medical inflation story overblown? Or a stent procedure is really that cheap back in 2004 at 2Krm, which for sure is not as my old laptop also costs me way more than that. Or 11K rm is closer?

Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Mar 31 2024, 03:19 PM)
That's not the full story. Medical inflation also includes the additional cost that can be ascribed to:

1. Newer treatments/medications that never existed before
2. Earlier detection and diagnosis of illnesses due to advancement in technology, and the subsequent cost of care/treatment/medication
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what you mentioned here are known issues that are relevant to almost all goods and services... nothing special about them. (phone, computer, car, wine, haircut, etc)

that's why I specify a particular life saving medical service... stent procedure...

maybe our resident /k doc hksgmy can share if he remembers how much a similar stent procedure back in 2004 thereabout costs. Or any medical procedure that he is well verse.

Another example: i remember back in 2004, seeing a GP when down with flu/fever costs around 30 rm... now costs 90 rm. That is 5.6% inflation rate.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Mar 31 2024, 03:42 PM)
You fail to understand what I wrote.

Medical inflation is not merely referring to the cost increases for like to like procedures. It includes earlier detection, modern treatment and modern medication, all of which result in higher cost to the insurance pool. People may also live on longer after detection. The cost of keeping that person alive (recurrent procedures and medication) is also a a factor on the increased costs to the insurance pool.
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It is you who failed to understand the proper definition of inflation on goods and services (go look up the actual definition, not the layman understanding).

Nonetheless, it doesn't matter. MOD already gave reminder, so won't comment further.

Just great to know that EPF do factor in the aim to beat official inflation by 2%.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 31 2024, 03:55 PM)
alamak have to delete...
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biggrin.gif

ok, back to EPF dividend... it has been almost 1 month already... anyone took out their funds from EPF and moved elsewhere, or still continue to top up extra into EPF?
I took out the past few year's dividend already... blink.gif nod.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 05:40 PM

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QUOTE(dwRK @ Mar 31 2024, 05:13 PM)
i top up max liao...

dun subscribe to the epf doom and gloom scenario... sure malaysia got problems... sure epf is politicized... sure dividends are reducing... but epf remains the safest place for excess funds and reasonable dividend yields...

but i do have plan b... and it doesn't need more epf monies... wink.gif
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epf will remain as one of the best way to store ringgit cash... nonetheless, with more data points post Nov 2022, its time for me to deploy my cash elsewhere.

I am also helping, in general sense, not to make EPF too big to manage, since the new spin is smaller funds is easier to manage. tongue.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 31 2024, 09:43 PM

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QUOTE(cclim2011 @ Mar 31 2024, 09:29 PM)
hello guys, if i topup epf now thru epf app and maybank fpx, the fund is considered today (ie 31st March)? any citoff day / time? thanks.
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doesn't matter which method... it is too late for this month. today is a non-biz day also.


Wedchar2912
post Apr 1 2024, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(gamenoob @ Apr 1 2024, 09:39 AM)
I always thought EPF commitment was to deliver no less than 2.5% dividends.

So with EPF will always have to beat  inflation by 2%.... That is unlikely to see epf goes below 4% given the official inflation hover around 2%.....yes?
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The 2.5% min yield is the bare min and guaranteed by gov of Malaysia.

The 2% above some average inflation rate is a investment objective of EPF. This is not guaranteed but is a aim.

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Apr 1 2024, 12:32 PM

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